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Author : Han Chen
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (139 download)
Download or read book Multivariate Stochastic Volatility Models Based on Generalized Fisher Transformation written by Han Chen and published by . This book was released on 2023 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Luc Bauwens
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118272056
Total Pages : 566 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (182 download)
Download or read book Handbook of Volatility Models and Their Applications written by Luc Bauwens and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2012-03-22 with total page 566 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A complete guide to the theory and practice of volatility models in financial engineering Volatility has become a hot topic in this era of instant communications, spawning a great deal of research in empirical finance and time series econometrics. Providing an overview of the most recent advances, Handbook of Volatility Models and Their Applications explores key concepts and topics essential for modeling the volatility of financial time series, both univariate and multivariate, parametric and non-parametric, high-frequency and low-frequency. Featuring contributions from international experts in the field, the book features numerous examples and applications from real-world projects and cutting-edge research, showing step by step how to use various methods accurately and efficiently when assessing volatility rates. Following a comprehensive introduction to the topic, readers are provided with three distinct sections that unify the statistical and practical aspects of volatility: Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity and Stochastic Volatility presents ARCH and stochastic volatility models, with a focus on recent research topics including mean, volatility, and skewness spillovers in equity markets Other Models and Methods presents alternative approaches, such as multiplicative error models, nonparametric and semi-parametric models, and copula-based models of (co)volatilities Realized Volatility explores issues of the measurement of volatility by realized variances and covariances, guiding readers on how to successfully model and forecast these measures Handbook of Volatility Models and Their Applications is an essential reference for academics and practitioners in finance, business, and econometrics who work with volatility models in their everyday work. The book also serves as a supplement for courses on risk management and volatility at the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels.
Author : David X. Chan
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 31 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)
Download or read book Multivariate Stochastic Volatility Models with Correlated Errors written by David X. Chan and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We develop a Bayesian approach for parsimoniously estimating the correlation structure of the errors in a multivariate stochastic volatility model. Since the number of parameters in the joint correlation matrix of the return and volatility errors is potentially very large, we impose a prior that allows the off-diagonal elements of the inverse of the correlation matrix to be identically zero. The model is estimated using a Markov chain simulation method that samples from the posterior distribution of the volatilities and parameters. We illustrate the approach using both simulated and real examples. In the real examples, the method is applied to equities at three levels of aggregation: returns for firms within the same industry, returns for different industries and returns aggregated at the index level. We find pronounced correlation effects only at the highest level of aggregation.
Author : Neil Shephard
Publisher : OUP Oxford
ISBN 13 : 0191531421
Total Pages : 536 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (915 download)
Download or read book Stochastic Volatility written by Neil Shephard and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2005-03-10 with total page 536 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Stochastic volatility is the main concept used in the fields of financial economics and mathematical finance to deal with time-varying volatility in financial markets. This book brings together some of the main papers that have influenced the field of the econometrics of stochastic volatility, and shows that the development of this subject has been highly multidisciplinary, with results drawn from financial economics, probability theory, and econometrics, blending to produce methods and models that have aided our understanding of the realistic pricing of options, efficient asset allocation, and accurate risk assessment. A lengthy introduction by the editor connects the papers with the literature.
Author : Sebastian Trojan
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (93 download)
Download or read book Essays on Multivariate Stochastic Volatility Models written by Sebastian Trojan and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The first essay describes a very general stochastic volatility (SV) model specification with leverage, heavy tails, skew and switching regimes, using realized volatility (RV) as an auxiliary time series to improve inference on latent volatility. The information content of the range and of implied volatility using the VIX index is also analyzed. Database is the S & P 500 index. Asymmetry in the observation error is modeled by the generalized hyperbolic skew Student-t distribution, whose heavy and light tail enable substantial skewness. Resulting number of regimes and dynamics differ dependent on the auxiliary volatility proxy and are investigated in-sample for the financial crash period 2008/09 in more detail. An out-of-sample study comparing predictive ability of various model variants for a calm and a volatile period yields insights about the gains on forecasting performance from different volatility proxies. Results indicate that including RV or the VIX pays off mostly in more volatile market conditions, whereas in calmer environments SV specifications using no auxiliary series outperform. The range as volatility proxy provides a superior in-sample fit, but its predictive performance is found to be weak. The second essay presents a high frequency stochastic volatility model. Price duration and associated absolute price change in event time are modeled contemporaneously to fully capture volatility on the tick level, combining the SV and stochastic conditional duration (SCD) model. Estimation is with IBM stock intraday data 2001/10 (decimalization completed), taking a minimum midprice threshold of a half tick. Persistent information flow is extracted, featuring a positively correlated innovation term and negative cross effects in the AR(1) persistence matrix. Additionally, regime switching in both duration and absolute price change is introduced to increase nonlinear capabilities of the model. Thereby, a separate price jump.
Download or read book Multivariate Continuous Time Stochastic Volatility Models Driven by a Lévy Process written by and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Several multivariate stochastic models in continuous time are introduced and their probabilistic and statistical properties are studied in detail. All models are driven by Lévy processes and can generally be used to model multidimensional time series of observations. In this thesis the focus is on various stochastic volatility models for financial data. Firstly, multidimensional continuous-time autoregressive moving-average (CARMA) processes are considered and, based upon them, a multivariate continuous-time exponential GARCH model (ECOGARCH). Thereafter, positive semi-definite Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type processes are introduced and the behaviour of the square root (and similar transformations) of stochastic processes of finite variation, which take values in the positive semi-definite matrices and can be represented as the sum of an integral with respect to time and another integral with respect to an extended Poisson random measure, is analysed in general. The positive semi-definite Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type processes form the basis for the definition of a multivariate extension of the popular stochastic volatility model of Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard. After a detailed theoretical study this model is estimated for some observed stock price series. As a further model with stochastic volatility multivariate continuous time GARCH (COGARCH) processes are introduced and their probabilistic and statistical properties are analysed.
Author : Jun Yu
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 33 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)
Download or read book A Class of Nonlinear Stochastic Volatility Models written by Jun Yu and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper proposes a class of nonlinear stochastic volatility models based on the Box-Cox transformation which offers an alternative to the one introduced in Andersen (1994). The proposed class encompasses many parametric stochastic volatility models that have appeared in the literature, including the well known lognormal stochastic volatility model, and has an advantage in the ease with which different specifications on stochastic volatility can be tested. In addition, the functional form of transformation which induces marginal normality of volatility is obtained as a byproduct of this general way of modeling stochastic volatility. The efficient method of moments approach is used to estimate model parameters. Empirical results reveal that the lognormal stochastic volatility model is rejected for daily index return data but not for daily individual stock return data. As a consequence, the stock volatility can be well described by the lognormal distribution as its marginal distribution, consistent with the result found in a recent literature (cf Andersen et al (2001a)). However, the index volatility does not follow the lognormal distribution as its marginal distribution.
Author : Roman Liesenfeld
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)
Download or read book Univariate and Multivariate Stochastic Volatility Models written by Roman Liesenfeld and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A Maximum Likelihood (ML) approach based upon an Efficient Importance Sampling (EIS) procedure is used to estimate several extensions of the standard Stochastic Volatility (SV) model for daily financial return series. EIS provides a highly generic procedure for a very accurate Monte Carlo evaluation of the marginal likelihood which depends upon high-dimensional interdependent integrals. Extensions of the standard SV model being analyzed only require minor modifications in the ML-EIS procedure. Furthermore, EIS can also be applied for filtering which provides the basis for several diagnostic tests. Our empirical analysis indicates that extensions such as a semi-nonparametric specification of the error term distribution in the return equation dominate the standard SV model. Finally, we also apply the ML-EIS approach to a multivariate factor model with stochastic volatility.
Author : Yu-Cheng Ku
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 87 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (69 download)
Download or read book Essays on Multivariate Stochastic Volatility Models Using Wishart Processes written by Yu-Cheng Ku and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 87 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Archil Gulisashvili
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642312144
Total Pages : 371 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (423 download)
Download or read book Analytically Tractable Stochastic Stock Price Models written by Archil Gulisashvili and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-09-04 with total page 371 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Asymptotic analysis of stochastic stock price models is the central topic of the present volume. Special examples of such models are stochastic volatility models, that have been developed as an answer to certain imperfections in a celebrated Black-Scholes model of option pricing. In a stock price model with stochastic volatility, the random behavior of the volatility is described by a stochastic process. For instance, in the Hull-White model the volatility process is a geometric Brownian motion, the Stein-Stein model uses an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process as the stochastic volatility, and in the Heston model a Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process governs the behavior of the volatility. One of the author's main goals is to provide sharp asymptotic formulas with error estimates for distribution densities of stock prices, option pricing functions, and implied volatilities in various stochastic volatility models. The author also establishes sharp asymptotic formulas for the implied volatility at extreme strikes in general stochastic stock price models. The present volume is addressed to researchers and graduate students working in the area of financial mathematics, analysis, or probability theory. The reader is expected to be familiar with elements of classical analysis, stochastic analysis and probability theory.
Author : Alexander Philipov
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 57 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)
Download or read book Multivariate Stochastic Volatility Via Wishart Random Processes written by Alexander Philipov and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 57 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial models for asset and derivatives pricing, risk management, portfolio optimization, and asset allocation rely on volatility forecasts. Time-varying volatility models, such as GARCH and Stochastic Volatility (SVOL), have been successful in improving forecasts over constant volatility models. We develop a new multivariate SVOL framework for modeling financial data that assumes covariance matrices stochastically varying through a Wishart process. In our formulation, scalar variances naturally extend to covariance matrices rather than vectors of variances as in traditional SVOL models. Model fitting is performed using Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation from the posterior distribution. Due to the complexity of the model, an efficiently designed Gibbs sampler is described that produces inferences with a manageable amount of computation. Our approach is illustrated on a multivariate time series of monthly industry portfolio returns. In a test of the economic value of our model, minimum-variance portfolios based on our SVOL covariance forecasts outperform out-of-sample portfolios based on alternative covariance models such as Dynamic Conditional Correlations and factor-based covariances.
Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 34 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)
Download or read book The Memory of Stochastic Volatility Models written by and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A valid asymptotic expansion for the covariance of functions of multivariate normal vectors is applied to approximate autovariances of time series generated by nonlinear transformation of Gaussian latent variates, and nonlinear functions of these, with special reference to long memory stochastic volatility models, serving to identify the roles played by the underlying Gaussian processes and the nonlinear transformation. Implications for simple stochastic volatility models are examined in detail, with numerical and Monte Carlo calculations, and applications to cyclic behaviour, cross-sectional and temporal aggregation, and multivariate models are discussed.
Author : Jian Wang
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (16 download)
Download or read book Real Time Estimation of Multivariate Stochastic Volatility Models written by Jian Wang and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Jun Yu
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 29 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (224 download)
Download or read book Multivariate Stochastic Volatility Models written by Jun Yu and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Shows that fully likelihood-based estimation and comparison of multivariate stochastic volatility (SV) models can be easily performed via a freely available Bayesian software called WinBUGS.
Author : Siddhartha Chib
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (137 download)
Download or read book Analysis of High Dimensional Multivariate Stochastic Volatility Models written by Siddhartha Chib and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper is concerned with the fitting and comparison of high dimensional multivariate time series models with time varying correlations. The models considered here combine features of the classical factor model with those of the univariate stochastic volatility model. Specifically, a set of unobserved time-dependent factors, along with an associated loading matrix, are used to model the contemporaneous correlation while, conditioned on the factors, the noise in each factor and each series is assumed to follow independent three-parameter univariate stochastic volatility processes. A complete analysis of these models, and its special cases, is developed that encompasses estimation, filtering and model choice. The centerpieces of our estimation algorithm (which relies on MCMC methods) is (1) a reduced blocking scheme for sampling the free elements of the loading matrix and the factors and (2) a special method for sampling the parameters of the univariate SV process. The sampling of the loading matrix (containing typically many hundreds of parameters) is done via a highly tuned Metropolis-Hastings step. The resulting algorithm is completely scalable in terms of series and factors and very simulation-efficient. We also provide methods for estimating the log-likelihood function and the filtered values of the time-varying volatilities and correlations. We pay special attention to the problem of comparing one version of the model with another and for determining the number of factors. For this purpose we use MCMC methods to find the marginal likelihood and associated Bayes factors of each fitted model. In sum, these procedures lead to the first unified and practical likelihood based analysis of truly high dimensional models of stochastic volatility. We apply our methods in detail to two datasets. The first is the return vector on 20 exchange rates against the US Dollar. The second is the return vector on 40 common stocks quoted on the New York Stock Exchange.
Author : Matteo Pelagatti
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (122 download)
Download or read book Estimating High Dimensional Multivariate Stochastic Volatility Models written by Matteo Pelagatti and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Xiuping Mao
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 56 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)
Download or read book Asymmetric Stochastic Volatility Models written by Xiuping Mao and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper, we derive the statistical properties of a general family of Stochastic Volatility (SV) models with leverage effect which capture the dynamic evolution of asymmetric volatility in financial returns. We provide analytical expressions of moments and autocorrelations of power-transformed absolute returns. Moreover, we use an Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) filter-based Maximum Likelihood (ML) method to estimate the parameters of the SV models. In Monte Carlo simulations we show that the ABC filter-based ML accurately estimates the parameters of a very general specification of the log-volatility with standardized returns following the Generalized Error Distribution (GED). The results are illustrated by analyzing series of daily S&P 500 and MSCI World returns.
