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Multivariate Markov Switching Common Factor Models For The Uk
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Book Synopsis Multivariate Markov Switching Common Factor Models for the UK. by : Terence C. Mills
Download or read book Multivariate Markov Switching Common Factor Models for the UK. written by Terence C. Mills and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We estimate a model that incorporates two key features of business cycles, comovement among economic variables and switching between regimes of boom and slump, to quarterly UK data for the last four decades. A common factor, interpreted as a composite indicator of coincident variables, and estimates of turning points from one regime to the other, are extracted from the data by using the Kalman filter and maximum likelihood estimation. Both comovement and regime switching are found to be important features of the UK business cycle. The composite indicator produces a sensible representation of the cycle and the estimated turning points agree fairly well with independently determined chronologies. These estimates are sharper than those produced by a univariate Markov switching model of GDP alone. A fairly typical stylized fact of business cycles is confirmed by this model - recessions are steeper and shorter than recoveries.
Book Synopsis Markov-switching Common Dynamic Factor Model with Mixed-frequency Data by : Konstantin A. Kholodilin
Download or read book Markov-switching Common Dynamic Factor Model with Mixed-frequency Data written by Konstantin A. Kholodilin and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Handbook Of Applied Econometrics And Statistical Inference by : Aman Ullah
Download or read book Handbook Of Applied Econometrics And Statistical Inference written by Aman Ullah and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2002-01-29 with total page 741 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Summarizes developments and techniques in the field. It highlights areas such as sample surveys, nonparametic analysis, hypothesis testing, time series analysis, Bayesian inference, and distribution theory for applications in statistics, economics, medicine, biology, and engineering.
Book Synopsis The Oxford Handbook of Bayesian Econometrics by : John Geweke
Download or read book The Oxford Handbook of Bayesian Econometrics written by John Geweke and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2011-09-29 with total page 576 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Bayesian econometric methods have enjoyed an increase in popularity in recent years. Econometricians, empirical economists, and policymakers are increasingly making use of Bayesian methods. This handbook is a single source for researchers and policymakers wanting to learn about Bayesian methods in specialized fields, and for graduate students seeking to make the final step from textbook learning to the research frontier. It contains contributions by leading Bayesians on the latest developments in their specific fields of expertise. The volume provides broad coverage of the application of Bayesian econometrics in the major fields of economics and related disciplines, including macroeconomics, microeconomics, finance, and marketing. It reviews the state of the art in Bayesian econometric methodology, with chapters on posterior simulation and Markov chain Monte Carlo methods, Bayesian nonparametric techniques, and the specialized tools used by Bayesian time series econometricians such as state space models and particle filtering. It also includes chapters on Bayesian principles and methodology.
Book Synopsis Multivariate Markov Switching with Weighted Regime Determination by : Michael Dueker
Download or read book Multivariate Markov Switching with Weighted Regime Determination written by Michael Dueker and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "This article deals with using panel data to infer regime changes that are common to all of the cross section. The methods presented here apply to Markov switching vector autoregressions, dynamic factor models with Markov switching and other multivariate Markov switching models. The key feature we seek to add to these models is to permit cross-sectional units to have different weights in the calculation of regime probabilities. We apply our approach to estimating a business cycle chronology for the 50 U.S. States and the Euro area, and we compare results between country-specific weights and the usual case of equal weights. The model with weighted regime determination suggests that Europe experienced a recession in 2002-03, whereas the usual model with equal weights does not"--Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis web site.
Book Synopsis Dynamic Factor Markov Switching Model and Its Applications in Business Cycles by : Chengxuan Yu
Download or read book Dynamic Factor Markov Switching Model and Its Applications in Business Cycles written by Chengxuan Yu and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 220 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Oxford Handbook of Economic Forecasting by : Michael P. Clements
Download or read book The Oxford Handbook of Economic Forecasting written by Michael P. Clements and published by OUP USA. This book was released on 2011-07-08 with total page 732 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Greater data availability has been coupled with developments in statistical theory and economic theory to allow more elaborate and complicated models to be entertained. These include factor models, DSGE models, restricted vector autoregressions, and non-linear models.
Book Synopsis Computational Science - ICCS 2006 by : Vassil N. Alexandrov
Download or read book Computational Science - ICCS 2006 written by Vassil N. Alexandrov and published by Springer. This book was released on 2006-05-10 with total page 1128 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is Volume IV of the four-volume set LNCS 3991-3994 constituting the refereed proceedings of the 6th International Conference on Computational Science, ICCS 2006. The 98 revised full papers and 29 revised poster papers of the main track presented together with 500 accepted workshop papers were carefully reviewed and selected for inclusion in the four volumes. The coverage spans the whole range of computational science.
Book Synopsis Computational Science - ICCS 2006 by :
Download or read book Computational Science - ICCS 2006 written by and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2006 with total page 1128 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Synchronization of Markov Chains in Multivariate Regime-Switching Models by : Raphael Vial
Download or read book Synchronization of Markov Chains in Multivariate Regime-Switching Models written by Raphael Vial and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Multivariate regime-switching presents an efficient way of jointly modeling the cyclical behavior of financial time series. Standard regime-switching models thereby a priori determine the relationship between the regime-switches of individual assets. These switches are usually assumed to be either perfectly synchronized or fully independent. However, neither assumption seems realistic in practice. This thesis develops a multivariate Markov regime-switching model to infer the actual degree of synchronization from the underlying data. This flexible model allows subgroups of assets to be driven by individual Markov chains. At the same time, these Markov chains underlie a dynamically changing degree of synchronization. In comparison to most existing solutions, this model is not restricted to bivariate analysis. To keep the model traceable, a novel factorization algorithm for the regime-dependent correlation matrix is formulated. This algorithm scales down the increase in parameters and presents an efficient way of ensuring positive semi-definite correlation matrices. The structure of the flexible regime-switching model is motivated by the initial synchronization analysis conducted in this thesis. The analysis of univariate regime-switching results shows that neither perfectly synchronized nor fully independent regime cycles are empirically observable. The synchronization of regime cycles tends to dynamically change over time. Some assets, however, might show more contemporaneous switching dynamics and can therefore be governed by a joint regime process. The empirical results for a sample of six international equity markets confirm the assumptions underlying this thesis. The flexible model reveals a stable synchronization factor, marked by one particular change in synchronization. The estimated parameters of this model closely cover the individual dynamics of their underlying assets and confirm the model's validity. Moreover, in some.
Book Synopsis Markov-switching dynamic factor models in real time by : Maximo Camacho
Download or read book Markov-switching dynamic factor models in real time written by Maximo Camacho and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Finance India written by and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 1220 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Markov-switching Dynamic Factor Models in Real Time by : Máximo Camacho
Download or read book Markov-switching Dynamic Factor Models in Real Time written by Máximo Camacho and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We extend the Markov-switching dynamic factor model to account for some of the specificities of the day-to-day monitoring of economic developments from macroeconomic indicators, such as ragged edges and mixed frequencies. We examine the theoretical benefits of this extension and corroborate the results through several MonteCarlo simulations. Finally, we assess its empirical reliability to compute real-time inferences of the US business cycle.
Book Synopsis Stationarity of Multivariate Markov-switching ARMA Models by : Christian Francq
Download or read book Stationarity of Multivariate Markov-switching ARMA Models written by Christian Francq and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author :International Monetary Fund Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :1451813635 Total Pages :121 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (518 download)
Book Synopsis France by : International Monetary Fund
Download or read book France written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2005-06-08 with total page 121 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: These Technical Notes on France explain integration of global financial markets. The stress tests for the France Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP) were designed to yield as comprehensive and detailed a picture as possible within the constraints of the approach. Retail activity by foreign banks in France is small, but significant. The financial landscape in France remains characterized by a large number of idiosyncrasies that affect monetary transmission. Macroeconometric models point to a smaller reaction to monetary policy in France than in other large euro-area economies.
Book Synopsis The Markov-switching Model as Applied to the UK and US Business Cycles by : Fida Hussain
Download or read book The Markov-switching Model as Applied to the UK and US Business Cycles written by Fida Hussain and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author :Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter Publisher :Springer Science & Business Media ISBN 13 :0387357688 Total Pages :506 pages Book Rating :4.3/5 (873 download)
Book Synopsis Finite Mixture and Markov Switching Models by : Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter
Download or read book Finite Mixture and Markov Switching Models written by Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2006-11-24 with total page 506 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The past decade has seen powerful new computational tools for modeling which combine a Bayesian approach with recent Monte simulation techniques based on Markov chains. This book is the first to offer a systematic presentation of the Bayesian perspective of finite mixture modelling. The book is designed to show finite mixture and Markov switching models are formulated, what structures they imply on the data, their potential uses, and how they are estimated. Presenting its concepts informally without sacrificing mathematical correctness, it will serve a wide readership including statisticians as well as biologists, economists, engineers, financial and market researchers.
