Multicriteria Decision Making Under Conditions Of Uncertainty

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Multicriteria Decision-Making Under Conditions of Uncertainty

Author : Petr Ekel
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119534925
Total Pages : 368 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (195 download)

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Book Synopsis Multicriteria Decision-Making Under Conditions of Uncertainty by : Petr Ekel

Download or read book Multicriteria Decision-Making Under Conditions of Uncertainty written by Petr Ekel and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2019-12-12 with total page 368 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A guide to the various models and methods to multicriteria decision-making in conditions of uncertainty presented in a systematic approach Multicriteria Decision-Making under Conditions of Uncertainty presents approaches that help to answer the fundamental questions at the center of all decision-making problems: "What to do?" and "How to do it?" The book explores methods of representing and handling diverse manifestations of the uncertainty factor and a multicriteria nature of problems that can arise in system design, planning, operation, and control. The authors—noted experts on the topic—and their book covers essential questions, including notions and fundamental concepts of fuzzy sets, models and methods of multiobjective as well as multiattribute decision-making, the classical approach to dealing with uncertainty of information and its generalization for analyzing multicriteria problems in condition of uncertainty, and more. This comprehensive book contains information on "harmonious solutions" in multiobjective problem-solving (analyzing “i>X, F> models), construction and analysis of “i>X, R/i” models, results aimed at generating robust solutions in analyzing multicriteria problems under uncertainty, and more. In addition, the book includes illustrative examples of various applications, including real-world case studies related to the authors’ various industrial projects. This important resource: Explains the design and processing aspect of fuzzy sets, including construction of membership functions, fuzzy numbers, fuzzy relations, aggregation operations, and fuzzy sets transformations Describes models of multiobjective decision-making (“i>X. M/i” models), their analysis on the basis of using the Bellman-Zadeh approach to decision-making in a fuzzy environment, and their diverse applications, including multicriteria allocation of resources Investigates models of multiattribute decision-making (“i>X, R/i” models) and their analysis on the basis of the construction and processing of fuzzy preference relations as well as demonstrating their applications to solve diverse classes of multiattribute problems Explores notions of payoff matrices and fuzzy-set-based generalization and modification of the classic approach to decision-making under conditions of uncertainty to generate robust solutions in analyzing multicriteria problems Written for students, researchers and practitioners in disciplines in which decision-making is of paramount relevance, Multicriteria Decision-Making under Conditions of Uncertainty presents a systematic and current approach that encompasses a range of models and methods as well as new applications.

Multi-criteria Decision Making Methods

Author : Evangelos Triantaphyllou
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1475731574
Total Pages : 307 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (757 download)

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Book Synopsis Multi-criteria Decision Making Methods by : Evangelos Triantaphyllou

Download or read book Multi-criteria Decision Making Methods written by Evangelos Triantaphyllou and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-09 with total page 307 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Multi-Criteria Decision Making (MCDM) has been one of the fastest growing problem areas in many disciplines. The central problem is how to evaluate a set of alternatives in terms of a number of criteria. Although this problem is very relevant in practice, there are few methods available and their quality is hard to determine. Thus, the question `Which is the best method for a given problem?' has become one of the most important and challenging ones. This is exactly what this book has as its focus and why it is important. The author extensively compares, both theoretically and empirically, real-life MCDM issues and makes the reader aware of quite a number of surprising `abnormalities' with some of these methods. What makes this book so valuable and different is that even though the analyses are rigorous, the results can be understood even by the non-specialist. Audience: Researchers, practitioners, and students; it can be used as a textbook for senior undergraduate or graduate courses in business and engineering.

Advances in Natural Computation, Fuzzy Systems and Knowledge Discovery

Author : Yong Liu
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030325911
Total Pages : 1119 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (33 download)

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Book Synopsis Advances in Natural Computation, Fuzzy Systems and Knowledge Discovery by : Yong Liu

Download or read book Advances in Natural Computation, Fuzzy Systems and Knowledge Discovery written by Yong Liu and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2019-11-06 with total page 1119 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book discusses the recent advances in natural computation, fuzzy systems and knowledge discovery. Presenting selected, peer-reviewed papers from the 15th International Conference on Natural Computation, Fuzzy Systems and Knowledge Discovery (ICNC-FSKD 2019), held in Kunming, China, from 20 to 22 July 2019, it is a useful resource for researchers, including professors and graduate students, as well as R&D staff in industry.

Multicriteria Decision Making Under Uncertainty

Author : Horst A. Eiselt
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (77 download)

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Book Synopsis Multicriteria Decision Making Under Uncertainty by : Horst A. Eiselt

Download or read book Multicriteria Decision Making Under Uncertainty written by Horst A. Eiselt and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Decision Making Under Uncertainty

Author : Mykel J. Kochenderfer
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262331713
Total Pages : 350 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (623 download)

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Book Synopsis Decision Making Under Uncertainty by : Mykel J. Kochenderfer

Download or read book Decision Making Under Uncertainty written by Mykel J. Kochenderfer and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2015-07-24 with total page 350 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An introduction to decision making under uncertainty from a computational perspective, covering both theory and applications ranging from speech recognition to airborne collision avoidance. Many important problems involve decision making under uncertainty—that is, choosing actions based on often imperfect observations, with unknown outcomes. Designers of automated decision support systems must take into account the various sources of uncertainty while balancing the multiple objectives of the system. This book provides an introduction to the challenges of decision making under uncertainty from a computational perspective. It presents both the theory behind decision making models and algorithms and a collection of example applications that range from speech recognition to aircraft collision avoidance. Focusing on two methods for designing decision agents, planning and reinforcement learning, the book covers probabilistic models, introducing Bayesian networks as a graphical model that captures probabilistic relationships between variables; utility theory as a framework for understanding optimal decision making under uncertainty; Markov decision processes as a method for modeling sequential problems; model uncertainty; state uncertainty; and cooperative decision making involving multiple interacting agents. A series of applications shows how the theoretical concepts can be applied to systems for attribute-based person search, speech applications, collision avoidance, and unmanned aircraft persistent surveillance. Decision Making Under Uncertainty unifies research from different communities using consistent notation, and is accessible to students and researchers across engineering disciplines who have some prior exposure to probability theory and calculus. It can be used as a text for advanced undergraduate and graduate students in fields including computer science, aerospace and electrical engineering, and management science. It will also be a valuable professional reference for researchers in a variety of disciplines.

Objectives and Multi-Objective Decision Making Under Uncertainty

Author : J. Wilhelm
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642463266
Total Pages : 118 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (424 download)

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Book Synopsis Objectives and Multi-Objective Decision Making Under Uncertainty by : J. Wilhelm

Download or read book Objectives and Multi-Objective Decision Making Under Uncertainty written by J. Wilhelm and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 118 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Treatment of Uncertainty in Multicriteria Decision Making

Author : Ian Durbach
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 298 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (525 download)

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Book Synopsis The Treatment of Uncertainty in Multicriteria Decision Making by : Ian Durbach

Download or read book The Treatment of Uncertainty in Multicriteria Decision Making written by Ian Durbach and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 298 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Multiple Criteria Decision Analysis

Author : Valerie Belton
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1461514959
Total Pages : 381 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (615 download)

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Book Synopsis Multiple Criteria Decision Analysis by : Valerie Belton

Download or read book Multiple Criteria Decision Analysis written by Valerie Belton and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 381 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The field of multiple criteria decision analysis (MCDA), also termed multiple criteria decision aid, or multiple criteria decision making (MCDM), has developed rapidly over the past quarter century and in the process a number of divergent schools of thought have emerged. This can make it difficult for a new entrant into the field to develop a comprehensive appreciation of the range of tools and approaches which are available to assist decision makers in dealing with the ever-present difficulties of seeking compromise or consensus between conflicting inter ests and goals, i.e. the "multiple criteria". The diversity of philosophies and models makes it equally difficult for potential users of MCDA, i.e. management scientists and/or decision makers facing problems involving conflicting goals, to gain a clear understanding of which methodologies are appropriate to their particular context. Our intention in writing this book has been to provide a compre hensive yet widely accessible overview of the main streams of thought within MCDA. We aim to provide readers with sufficient awareness of the underlying philosophies and theories, understanding of the practi cal details of the methods, and insight into practice to enable them to implement any of the approaches in an informed manner. As the title of the book indicates, our emphasis is on developing an integrated view of MCDA, which we perceive to incorporate both integration of differ ent schools of thought within MCDA, and integration of MCDA with broader management theory, science and practice.

Decision Making Process

Author : Denis Bouyssou
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118619528
Total Pages : 671 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (186 download)

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Book Synopsis Decision Making Process by : Denis Bouyssou

Download or read book Decision Making Process written by Denis Bouyssou and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2013-05-10 with total page 671 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides an overview of the main methods and results in the formal study of the human decision-making process, as defined in a relatively wide sense. A key aim of the approach contained here is to try to break down barriers between various disciplines encompassed by this field, including psychology, economics and computer science. All these approaches have contributed to progress in this very important and much-studied topic in the past, but none have proved sufficient so far to define a complete understanding of the highly complex processes and outcomes. This book provides the reader with state-of-the-art coverage of the field, essentially forming a roadmap to the field of decision analysis. The first part of the book is devoted to basic concepts and techniques for representing and solving decision problems, ranging from operational research to artificial intelligence. Later chapters provide an extensive overview of the decision-making process under conditions of risk and uncertainty. Finally, there are chapters covering various approaches to multi-criteria decision-making. Each chapter is written by experts in the topic concerned, and contains an extensive bibliography for further reading and reference.

Uncertain Multi-Attribute Decision Making

Author : Zeshui Xu
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3662456400
Total Pages : 375 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (624 download)

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Book Synopsis Uncertain Multi-Attribute Decision Making by : Zeshui Xu

Download or read book Uncertain Multi-Attribute Decision Making written by Zeshui Xu and published by Springer. This book was released on 2015-02-05 with total page 375 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book introduces methods for uncertain multi-attribute decision making including uncertain multi-attribute group decision making and their applications to supply chain management, investment decision making, personnel assessment, redesigning products, maintenance services, military system efficiency evaluation. Multi-attribute decision making, also known as multi-objective decision making with finite alternatives, is an important component of modern decision science. The theory and methods of multi-attribute decision making have been extensively applied in engineering, economics, management and military contexts, such as venture capital project evaluation, facility location, bidding, development ranking of industrial sectors and so on. Over the last few decades, great attention has been paid to research on multi-attribute decision making in uncertain settings, due to the increasing complexity and uncertainty of supposedly objective aspects and the fuzziness of human thought. This book can be used as a reference guide for researchers and practitioners working in e.g. the fields of operations research, information science, management science and engineering. It can also be used as a textbook for postgraduate and senior undergraduate students.

Multiple Criteria Decision Making

Author : Constantin Zopounidis
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319392921
Total Pages : 218 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (193 download)

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Book Synopsis Multiple Criteria Decision Making by : Constantin Zopounidis

Download or read book Multiple Criteria Decision Making written by Constantin Zopounidis and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-09-08 with total page 218 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents a broad range of innovative applications and case studies in all areas of management and engineering, including public administration, finance, marketing, engineering, transportation, and energy systems. It addresses issues related to problem structuring, preference modeling, and model construction, presenting a framework that provides clear decision-making support in practice. In addition, it includes hybrid and integrated techniques combining multiple criteria decision making (MCDM) with other analytical methods. The book reflects the growing impact of MCDM in the field of management science and operations research. Building on recent and established theoretical advances and presenting their applications in specific domains, it offers a comprehensive resource for researchers, graduate students and professionals alike.

Fuzzy Multi-Criteria Decision Making

Author : Cengiz Kahraman
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 0387768130
Total Pages : 591 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (877 download)

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Book Synopsis Fuzzy Multi-Criteria Decision Making by : Cengiz Kahraman

Download or read book Fuzzy Multi-Criteria Decision Making written by Cengiz Kahraman and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2008-08-09 with total page 591 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This work examines all the fuzzy multicriteria methods recently developed, such as fuzzy AHP, fuzzy TOPSIS, interactive fuzzy multiobjective stochastic linear programming, fuzzy multiobjective dynamic programming, grey fuzzy multiobjective optimization, fuzzy multiobjective geometric programming, and more. Each of the 22 chapters includes practical applications along with new developments/results. This book may be used as a textbook in graduate operations research, industrial engineering, and economics courses. It will also be an excellent resource, providing new suggestions and directions for further research, for computer programmers, mathematicians, and scientists in a variety of disciplines where multicriteria decision making is needed.

Trends in Multiple Criteria Decision Analysis

Author : Salvatore Greco
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1441959041
Total Pages : 421 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (419 download)

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Book Synopsis Trends in Multiple Criteria Decision Analysis by : Salvatore Greco

Download or read book Trends in Multiple Criteria Decision Analysis written by Salvatore Greco and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2010-09-10 with total page 421 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Multiple Criteria Decision Making (MCDM) is the study of methods and procedures by which concerns about multiple conflicting criteria can be formally incorporated into the management planning process. A key area of research in OR/MS, MCDM is now being applied in many new areas, including GIS systems, AI, and group decision making. This volume is in effect the third in a series of Springer books by these editors (all in the ISOR series), and it brings all the latest developments in MCDM into focus. Looking at developments in the applications, methodologies and foundations of MCDM, it presents research from leaders in the field on such topics as Problem Structuring Methodologies; Measurement Theory and MCDA; Recent Developments in Evolutionary Multiobjective Optimization; Habitual Domains and Dynamic MCDM in Changeable Spaces; Stochastic Multicriteria Acceptability Analysis; and many more chapters.

Decision Making Under Uncertainty

Author : David E. Bell
Publisher : Thomson South-Western
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 228 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Decision Making Under Uncertainty by : David E. Bell

Download or read book Decision Making Under Uncertainty written by David E. Bell and published by Thomson South-Western. This book was released on 1995 with total page 228 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: These authors draw on nearly 50 years of combined teaching and consulting experience to give readers a straightforward yet systematic approach for making estimates about the likelihood and consequences of future events -- and then using those assessments to arrive at sound decisions. The book's real-world cases, supplemented with expository text and spreadsheets, help readers master such techniques as decision trees and simulation, such concepts as probability, the value of information, and strategic gaming; and such applications as inventory stocking problems, bidding situations, and negotiating.

Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty

Author : Vincent A. W. J. Marchau
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3030052524
Total Pages : 408 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (3 download)

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Book Synopsis Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty by : Vincent A. W. J. Marchau

Download or read book Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty written by Vincent A. W. J. Marchau and published by Springer. This book was released on 2019-04-04 with total page 408 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This open access book focuses on both the theory and practice associated with the tools and approaches for decisionmaking in the face of deep uncertainty. It explores approaches and tools supporting the design of strategic plans under deep uncertainty, and their testing in the real world, including barriers and enablers for their use in practice. The book broadens traditional approaches and tools to include the analysis of actors and networks related to the problem at hand. It also shows how lessons learned in the application process can be used to improve the approaches and tools used in the design process. The book offers guidance in identifying and applying appropriate approaches and tools to design plans, as well as advice on implementing these plans in the real world. For decisionmakers and practitioners, the book includes realistic examples and practical guidelines that should help them understand what decisionmaking under deep uncertainty is and how it may be of assistance to them. Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty: From Theory to Practice is divided into four parts. Part I presents five approaches for designing strategic plans under deep uncertainty: Robust Decision Making, Dynamic Adaptive Planning, Dynamic Adaptive Policy Pathways, Info-Gap Decision Theory, and Engineering Options Analysis. Each approach is worked out in terms of its theoretical foundations, methodological steps to follow when using the approach, latest methodological insights, and challenges for improvement. In Part II, applications of each of these approaches are presented. Based on recent case studies, the practical implications of applying each approach are discussed in depth. Part III focuses on using the approaches and tools in real-world contexts, based on insights from real-world cases. Part IV contains conclusions and a synthesis of the lessons that can be drawn for designing, applying, and implementing strategic plans under deep uncertainty, as well as recommendations for future work. The publication of this book has been funded by the Radboud University, the RAND Corporation, Delft University of Technology, and Deltares.

Research and Practice in Multiple Criteria Decision Making

Author : Yacov Y. Haimes
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642573118
Total Pages : 574 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (425 download)

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Book Synopsis Research and Practice in Multiple Criteria Decision Making by : Yacov Y. Haimes

Download or read book Research and Practice in Multiple Criteria Decision Making written by Yacov Y. Haimes and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 574 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: During the past two decades, the consideration of mUltiple objectives in modeling and decision making has grown by leaps and bounds. The nineties in particular have seen the emphasis shift from the dominance of single-objective modeling and optimization toward an emphasis on multiple objectives. The proceedings of this Conference epitomize these evolutionary changes and contribute to the important role that the tield of multiple criteria decision making (MCDM) now plays in planning, design, operational, management, and policy decisions. Of special interest are the contributions of MCDM to manufacturing engineering. For example, it has recently been recognized that optimal, single-objective solutions have often been pursued at the expense of the much broader applicability of designs and solutions that satisfy multiple objectives. In particular, the theme (MCDM and Its Worldwide Role in Risk-Based Decision Making) of the XIVth International Conference on Multiple Criteria Decision Making (Charlottesville, Virginia, USA, June 8-12, 1998) represents the growing importance of risk-cost-benefit analysis in decision making and in engineering design and manufacturing. In such systems, minimizing the of rare and extreme events emerges as an essential objective that risk complements the minimization of the traditional expected value of risk, along with the objectives attached to cost and performance. These proceedings include forty-five papers that were presented at the Conference. A variety of techniques have been proposed for solving multiple criteria decision-making problems. The emphasis and style of the different techniques largely reflect the fields of expertise of their developers.

Simplified Approaches for Multi-criteria Decision Making Under Uncertainty

Author : Theodor J. Stewart
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 14 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (328 download)

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Book Synopsis Simplified Approaches for Multi-criteria Decision Making Under Uncertainty by : Theodor J. Stewart

Download or read book Simplified Approaches for Multi-criteria Decision Making Under Uncertainty written by Theodor J. Stewart and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 14 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Abstract: "The problem of uncertainty in the outcome of decisions has tended to be glossed over by many MCDM methods, with the exception of multiattribute utility theory (MAUT). MAUT does, however, require quite complicated preference elicitations and knowledge of the full multivariate distribution of outcomes. We demonstrate in this paper, by means of a series of simulation studies, that the preference orderings of MAUT are only minimally changed when using a simple additive aggregation of marginal utilities, especially in relation to the natural imprecisions inherent in preference elicitation. It is shown in the simulations that by far the most critical aspect of multicriteria decision analysis under uncertainty is not the form of aggregation, but the correct elicitation of marginal utilities which properly represent decision maker preferences over gambles. We relate the results obtained here to other results on the approximation of distributions by 3- or 5-point discrete distributions, and suggest that the use of deterministic MCDM methods of any form (not necessarily value function techniques), applied to an extended formulation in which each criterion measure is repeated for 3 or 5 'scenarios', is well justifiable."