Probability and Bayesian Modeling

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1351030132
Total Pages : 553 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (51 download)

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Book Synopsis Probability and Bayesian Modeling by : Jim Albert

Download or read book Probability and Bayesian Modeling written by Jim Albert and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2019-12-06 with total page 553 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Probability and Bayesian Modeling is an introduction to probability and Bayesian thinking for undergraduate students with a calculus background. The first part of the book provides a broad view of probability including foundations, conditional probability, discrete and continuous distributions, and joint distributions. Statistical inference is presented completely from a Bayesian perspective. The text introduces inference and prediction for a single proportion and a single mean from Normal sampling. After fundamentals of Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms are introduced, Bayesian inference is described for hierarchical and regression models including logistic regression. The book presents several case studies motivated by some historical Bayesian studies and the authors’ research. This text reflects modern Bayesian statistical practice. Simulation is introduced in all the probability chapters and extensively used in the Bayesian material to simulate from the posterior and predictive distributions. One chapter describes the basic tenets of Metropolis and Gibbs sampling algorithms; however several chapters introduce the fundamentals of Bayesian inference for conjugate priors to deepen understanding. Strategies for constructing prior distributions are described in situations when one has substantial prior information and for cases where one has weak prior knowledge. One chapter introduces hierarchical Bayesian modeling as a practical way of combining data from different groups. There is an extensive discussion of Bayesian regression models including the construction of informative priors, inference about functions of the parameters of interest, prediction, and model selection. The text uses JAGS (Just Another Gibbs Sampler) as a general-purpose computational method for simulating from posterior distributions for a variety of Bayesian models. An R package ProbBayes is available containing all of the book datasets and special functions for illustrating concepts from the book. A complete solutions manual is available for instructors who adopt the book in the Additional Resources section.

Bayesian Computation with R

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 0387922989
Total Pages : 304 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (879 download)

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Book Synopsis Bayesian Computation with R by : Jim Albert

Download or read book Bayesian Computation with R written by Jim Albert and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-04-20 with total page 304 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: There has been dramatic growth in the development and application of Bayesian inference in statistics. Berger (2000) documents the increase in Bayesian activity by the number of published research articles, the number of books,andtheextensivenumberofapplicationsofBayesianarticlesinapplied disciplines such as science and engineering. One reason for the dramatic growth in Bayesian modeling is the availab- ity of computational algorithms to compute the range of integrals that are necessary in a Bayesian posterior analysis. Due to the speed of modern c- puters, it is now possible to use the Bayesian paradigm to ?t very complex models that cannot be ?t by alternative frequentist methods. To ?t Bayesian models, one needs a statistical computing environment. This environment should be such that one can: write short scripts to de?ne a Bayesian model use or write functions to summarize a posterior distribution use functions to simulate from the posterior distribution construct graphs to illustrate the posterior inference An environment that meets these requirements is the R system. R provides a wide range of functions for data manipulation, calculation, and graphical d- plays. Moreover, it includes a well-developed, simple programming language that users can extend by adding new functions. Many such extensions of the language in the form of packages are easily downloadable from the Comp- hensive R Archive Network (CRAN).

Bayes Rules!

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1000529568
Total Pages : 606 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (5 download)

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Book Synopsis Bayes Rules! by : Alicia A. Johnson

Download or read book Bayes Rules! written by Alicia A. Johnson and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2022-03-03 with total page 606 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Praise for Bayes Rules!: An Introduction to Applied Bayesian Modeling “A thoughtful and entertaining book, and a great way to get started with Bayesian analysis.” Andrew Gelman, Columbia University “The examples are modern, and even many frequentist intro books ignore important topics (like the great p-value debate) that the authors address. The focus on simulation for understanding is excellent.” Amy Herring, Duke University “I sincerely believe that a generation of students will cite this book as inspiration for their use of – and love for – Bayesian statistics. The narrative holds the reader’s attention and flows naturally – almost conversationally. Put simply, this is perhaps the most engaging introductory statistics textbook I have ever read. [It] is a natural choice for an introductory undergraduate course in applied Bayesian statistics." Yue Jiang, Duke University “This is by far the best book I’ve seen on how to (and how to teach students to) do Bayesian modeling and understand the underlying mathematics and computation. The authors build intuition and scaffold ideas expertly, using interesting real case studies, insightful graphics, and clear explanations. The scope of this book is vast – from basic building blocks to hierarchical modeling, but the authors’ thoughtful organization allows the reader to navigate this journey smoothly. And impressively, by the end of the book, one can run sophisticated Bayesian models and actually understand the whys, whats, and hows.” Paul Roback, St. Olaf College “The authors provide a compelling, integrated, accessible, and non-religious introduction to statistical modeling using a Bayesian approach. They outline a principled approach that features computational implementations and model assessment with ethical implications interwoven throughout. Students and instructors will find the conceptual and computational exercises to be fresh and engaging.” Nicholas Horton, Amherst College An engaging, sophisticated, and fun introduction to the field of Bayesian statistics, Bayes Rules!: An Introduction to Applied Bayesian Modeling brings the power of modern Bayesian thinking, modeling, and computing to a broad audience. In particular, the book is an ideal resource for advanced undergraduate statistics students and practitioners with comparable experience. Bayes Rules! empowers readers to weave Bayesian approaches into their everyday practice. Discussions and applications are data driven. A natural progression from fundamental to multivariable, hierarchical models emphasizes a practical and generalizable model building process. The evaluation of these Bayesian models reflects the fact that a data analysis does not exist in a vacuum. Features • Utilizes data-driven examples and exercises. • Emphasizes the iterative model building and evaluation process. • Surveys an interconnected range of multivariable regression and classification models. • Presents fundamental Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation. • Integrates R code, including RStan modeling tools and the bayesrules package. • Encourages readers to tap into their intuition and learn by doing. • Provides a friendly and inclusive introduction to technical Bayesian concepts. • Supports Bayesian applications with foundational Bayesian theory.

Introducing Monte Carlo Methods with R

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Author :
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1441915753
Total Pages : 297 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (419 download)

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Book Synopsis Introducing Monte Carlo Methods with R by : Christian Robert

Download or read book Introducing Monte Carlo Methods with R written by Christian Robert and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2010 with total page 297 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book covers the main tools used in statistical simulation from a programmer’s point of view, explaining the R implementation of each simulation technique and providing the output for better understanding and comparison.

Advanced Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119956803
Total Pages : 308 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (199 download)

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Book Synopsis Advanced Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods by : Faming Liang

Download or read book Advanced Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods written by Faming Liang and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-07-05 with total page 308 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are now an indispensable tool in scientific computing. This book discusses recent developments of MCMC methods with an emphasis on those making use of past sample information during simulations. The application examples are drawn from diverse fields such as bioinformatics, machine learning, social science, combinatorial optimization, and computational physics. Key Features: Expanded coverage of the stochastic approximation Monte Carlo and dynamic weighting algorithms that are essentially immune to local trap problems. A detailed discussion of the Monte Carlo Metropolis-Hastings algorithm that can be used for sampling from distributions with intractable normalizing constants. Up-to-date accounts of recent developments of the Gibbs sampler. Comprehensive overviews of the population-based MCMC algorithms and the MCMC algorithms with adaptive proposals. This book can be used as a textbook or a reference book for a one-semester graduate course in statistics, computational biology, engineering, and computer sciences. Applied or theoretical researchers will also find this book beneficial.

Doing Bayesian Data Analysis

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Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 0123814863
Total Pages : 673 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (238 download)

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Book Synopsis Doing Bayesian Data Analysis by : John Kruschke

Download or read book Doing Bayesian Data Analysis written by John Kruschke and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2010-11-25 with total page 673 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: There is an explosion of interest in Bayesian statistics, primarily because recently created computational methods have finally made Bayesian analysis tractable and accessible to a wide audience. Doing Bayesian Data Analysis, A Tutorial Introduction with R and BUGS, is for first year graduate students or advanced undergraduates and provides an accessible approach, as all mathematics is explained intuitively and with concrete examples. It assumes only algebra and 'rusty' calculus. Unlike other textbooks, this book begins with the basics, including essential concepts of probability and random sampling. The book gradually climbs all the way to advanced hierarchical modeling methods for realistic data. The text provides complete examples with the R programming language and BUGS software (both freeware), and begins with basic programming examples, working up gradually to complete programs for complex analyses and presentation graphics. These templates can be easily adapted for a large variety of students and their own research needs.The textbook bridges the students from their undergraduate training into modern Bayesian methods. - Accessible, including the basics of essential concepts of probability and random sampling - Examples with R programming language and BUGS software - Comprehensive coverage of all scenarios addressed by non-bayesian textbooks- t-tests, analysis of variance (ANOVA) and comparisons in ANOVA, multiple regression, and chi-square (contingency table analysis). - Coverage of experiment planning - R and BUGS computer programming code on website - Exercises have explicit purposes and guidelines for accomplishment

Bayesian Model Selection and Statistical Modeling

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 9781439836156
Total Pages : 300 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (361 download)

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Book Synopsis Bayesian Model Selection and Statistical Modeling by : Tomohiro Ando

Download or read book Bayesian Model Selection and Statistical Modeling written by Tomohiro Ando and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2010-05-27 with total page 300 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Along with many practical applications, Bayesian Model Selection and Statistical Modeling presents an array of Bayesian inference and model selection procedures. It thoroughly explains the concepts, illustrates the derivations of various Bayesian model selection criteria through examples, and provides R code for implementation. The author shows how to implement a variety of Bayesian inference using R and sampling methods, such as Markov chain Monte Carlo. He covers the different types of simulation-based Bayesian model selection criteria, including the numerical calculation of Bayes factors, the Bayesian predictive information criterion, and the deviance information criterion. He also provides a theoretical basis for the analysis of these criteria. In addition, the author discusses how Bayesian model averaging can simultaneously treat both model and parameter uncertainties. Selecting and constructing the appropriate statistical model significantly affect the quality of results in decision making, forecasting, stochastic structure explorations, and other problems. Helping you choose the right Bayesian model, this book focuses on the framework for Bayesian model selection and includes practical examples of model selection criteria.

Markov Chain Monte Carlo

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 9780412818202
Total Pages : 264 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (182 download)

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Book Synopsis Markov Chain Monte Carlo by : Dani Gamerman

Download or read book Markov Chain Monte Carlo written by Dani Gamerman and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 1997-10-01 with total page 264 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Bridging the gap between research and application, Markov Chain Monte Carlo: Stochastic Simulation for Bayesian Inference provides a concise, and integrated account of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) for performing Bayesian inference. This volume, which was developed from a short course taught by the author at a meeting of Brazilian statisticians and probabilists, retains the didactic character of the original course text. The self-contained text units make MCMC accessible to scientists in other disciplines as well as statisticians. It describes each component of the theory in detail and outlines related software, which is of particular benefit to applied scientists.

Tools for Statistical Inference

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1468405101
Total Pages : 118 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (684 download)

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Book Synopsis Tools for Statistical Inference by : Martin A. Tanner

Download or read book Tools for Statistical Inference written by Martin A. Tanner and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 118 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From the reviews: The purpose of the book under review is to give a survey of methods for the Bayesian or likelihood-based analysis of data. The author distinguishes between two types of methods: the observed data methods and the data augmentation ones. The observed data methods are applied directly to the likelihood or posterior density of the observed data. The data augmentation methods make use of the special "missing" data structure of the problem. They rely on an augmentation of the data which simplifies the likelihood or posterior density. #Zentralblatt für Mathematik#

Monte Carlo Statistical Methods

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1475741456
Total Pages : 670 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (757 download)

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Book Synopsis Monte Carlo Statistical Methods by : Christian Robert

Download or read book Monte Carlo Statistical Methods written by Christian Robert and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-14 with total page 670 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We have sold 4300 copies worldwide of the first edition (1999). This new edition contains five completely new chapters covering new developments.

Statistical Rethinking

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1315362619
Total Pages : 488 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (153 download)

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Book Synopsis Statistical Rethinking by : Richard McElreath

Download or read book Statistical Rethinking written by Richard McElreath and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2018-01-03 with total page 488 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Statistical Rethinking: A Bayesian Course with Examples in R and Stan builds readers’ knowledge of and confidence in statistical modeling. Reflecting the need for even minor programming in today’s model-based statistics, the book pushes readers to perform step-by-step calculations that are usually automated. This unique computational approach ensures that readers understand enough of the details to make reasonable choices and interpretations in their own modeling work. The text presents generalized linear multilevel models from a Bayesian perspective, relying on a simple logical interpretation of Bayesian probability and maximum entropy. It covers from the basics of regression to multilevel models. The author also discusses measurement error, missing data, and Gaussian process models for spatial and network autocorrelation. By using complete R code examples throughout, this book provides a practical foundation for performing statistical inference. Designed for both PhD students and seasoned professionals in the natural and social sciences, it prepares them for more advanced or specialized statistical modeling. Web Resource The book is accompanied by an R package (rethinking) that is available on the author’s website and GitHub. The two core functions (map and map2stan) of this package allow a variety of statistical models to be constructed from standard model formulas.

Permutation, Parametric, and Bootstrap Tests of Hypotheses

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 0387271589
Total Pages : 331 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (872 download)

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Book Synopsis Permutation, Parametric, and Bootstrap Tests of Hypotheses by : Phillip I. Good

Download or read book Permutation, Parametric, and Bootstrap Tests of Hypotheses written by Phillip I. Good and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2005-12-19 with total page 331 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Previous edition sold over 1400 copies worldwide. This new edition includes many more real-world illustrations from biology, business, clinical trials, economics, geology, law, medicine, social science and engineering along with twice the number of exercises.

Modeling Binary Correlated Responses using SAS, SPSS and R

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319238051
Total Pages : 283 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (192 download)

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Book Synopsis Modeling Binary Correlated Responses using SAS, SPSS and R by : Jeffrey R. Wilson

Download or read book Modeling Binary Correlated Responses using SAS, SPSS and R written by Jeffrey R. Wilson and published by Springer. This book was released on 2015-10-12 with total page 283 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Statistical tools to analyze correlated binary data are spread out in the existing literature. This book makes these tools accessible to practitioners in a single volume. Chapters cover recently developed statistical tools and statistical packages that are tailored to analyzing correlated binary data. The authors showcase both traditional and new methods for application to health-related research. Data and computer programs will be publicly available in order for readers to replicate model development, but learning a new statistical language is not necessary with this book. The inclusion of code for R, SAS, and SPSS allows for easy implementation by readers. For readers interested in learning more about the languages, though, there are short tutorials in the appendix. Accompanying data sets are available for download through the book s website. Data analysis presented in each chapter will provide step-by-step instructions so these new methods can be readily applied to projects. Researchers and graduate students in Statistics, Epidemiology, and Public Health will find this book particularly useful.

Using R and RStudio for Data Management, Statistical Analysis, and Graphics

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1482237377
Total Pages : 280 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (822 download)

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Book Synopsis Using R and RStudio for Data Management, Statistical Analysis, and Graphics by : Nicholas J. Horton

Download or read book Using R and RStudio for Data Management, Statistical Analysis, and Graphics written by Nicholas J. Horton and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2015-03-10 with total page 280 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book covers the aspects of R most often used by statistical analysts. Incorporating the use of RStudio and the latest R packages, this second edition offers new chapters on simulation, special topics, and case studies. It reorganizes and enhances the chapters on data input and output, data management, statistical and mathematical functions, programming, high-level graphics plots, and the customization of plots. It also provides a detailed discussion of the philosophy and use of the knitr and markdown packages for R.

Handbook of Statistical Methods for Case-Control Studies

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1498768598
Total Pages : 536 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (987 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Statistical Methods for Case-Control Studies by : Ørnulf Borgan

Download or read book Handbook of Statistical Methods for Case-Control Studies written by Ørnulf Borgan and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2018-06-27 with total page 536 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Handbook of Statistical Methods for Case-Control Studies is written by leading researchers in the field. It provides an in-depth treatment of up-to-date and currently developing statistical methods for the design and analysis of case-control studies, as well as a review of classical principles and methods. The handbook is designed to serve as a reference text for biostatisticians and quantitatively-oriented epidemiologists who are working on the design and analysis of case-control studies or on related statistical methods research. Though not specifically intended as a textbook, it may also be used as a backup reference text for graduate level courses. Book Sections Classical designs and causal inference, measurement error, power, and small-sample inference Designs that use full-cohort information Time-to-event data Genetic epidemiology About the Editors Ørnulf Borgan is Professor of Statistics, University of Oslo. His book with Andersen, Gill and Keiding on counting processes in survival analysis is a world classic. Norman E. Breslow was, at the time of his death, Professor Emeritus in Biostatistics, University of Washington. For decades, his book with Nick Day has been the authoritative text on case-control methodology. Nilanjan Chatterjee is Bloomberg Distinguished Professor, Johns Hopkins University. He leads a broad research program in statistical methods for modern large scale biomedical studies. Mitchell H. Gail is a Senior Investigator at the National Cancer Institute. His research includes modeling absolute risk of disease, intervention trials, and statistical methods for epidemiology. Alastair Scott was, at the time of his death, Professor Emeritus of Statistics, University of Auckland. He was a major contributor to using survey sampling methods for analyzing case-control data. Chris J. Wild is Professor of Statistics, University of Auckland. His research includes nonlinear regression and methods for fitting models to response-selective data.

Bayesian Methods for Ecology

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 113946387X
Total Pages : 310 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (394 download)

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Book Synopsis Bayesian Methods for Ecology by : Michael A. McCarthy

Download or read book Bayesian Methods for Ecology written by Michael A. McCarthy and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2007-05-10 with total page 310 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The interest in using Bayesian methods in ecology is increasing, however many ecologists have difficulty with conducting the required analyses. McCarthy bridges that gap, using a clear and accessible style. The text also incorporates case studies to demonstrate mark-recapture analysis, development of population models and the use of subjective judgement. The advantages of Bayesian methods, are also described here, for example, the incorporation of any relevant prior information and the ability to assess the evidence in favour of competing hypotheses. Free software is available as well as an accompanying web-site containing the data files and WinBUGS codes. Bayesian Methods for Ecology will appeal to academic researchers, upper undergraduate and graduate students of Ecology.

Inference in Hidden Markov Models

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 0387289828
Total Pages : 656 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (872 download)

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Book Synopsis Inference in Hidden Markov Models by : Olivier Cappé

Download or read book Inference in Hidden Markov Models written by Olivier Cappé and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2006-04-12 with total page 656 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is a comprehensive treatment of inference for hidden Markov models, including both algorithms and statistical theory. Topics range from filtering and smoothing of the hidden Markov chain to parameter estimation, Bayesian methods and estimation of the number of states. In a unified way the book covers both models with finite state spaces and models with continuous state spaces (also called state-space models) requiring approximate simulation-based algorithms that are also described in detail. Many examples illustrate the algorithms and theory. This book builds on recent developments to present a self-contained view.