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Monetary Shocks And Real Exchange Rates
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Book Synopsis Interest Rates, Exchange Rates and World Monetary Policy by : John E. Floyd
Download or read book Interest Rates, Exchange Rates and World Monetary Policy written by John E. Floyd and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-12-04 with total page 406 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A careful basic theoretical and econometric analysis of the factors determining the real exchange rates of Canada, the U.K., Japan, France and Germany with respect to the United States is conducted. The resulting conclusion is that real exchange rates are almost entirely determined by real factors relating to growth and technology such as oil and commodity prices, international allocations of world investment across countries, and underlying terms of trade changes. Unanticipated money supply shocks, calculated in five alternative ways have virtually no effects. A Blanchard-Quah VAR analysis also indicates that the effects of real shocks predominate over monetary shocks by a wide margin. The implications of these facts for the conduct of monetary policy in countries outside the U.S. are then explored leading to the conclusion that all countries, to avoid exchange rate overshooting, have tended to automatically follow the same monetary policy as the United States. The history of world monetary policy is reviewed along with the determination of real exchange rates within the Euro Area.
Book Synopsis Monetary Shocks and Real Exchange Rates in Sticky Price Models of International Business Cycles by : V. V. Chari
Download or read book Monetary Shocks and Real Exchange Rates in Sticky Price Models of International Business Cycles written by V. V. Chari and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The data show large and persistent deviations of real exchange rates from purchasing power parity. Recent work has shown that to a large extent these movements are driven by deviations from the law of one price for traded goods. In the data, real and nominal exchange rates are about 6 times as volatile as relative price levels and they both are highly persistent, with serial correlations of 0.85 and 0.83, respectively. This paper develops a sticky price model with price discriminating monopolists, which produces deviations from the law of one price for traded goods. Our benchmark model, which has prices set for one quarter at a time and a unit consumption elasticity of money demand, does not come close to reproducing these observations. A model which has producers setting prices for 6 quarters at a time and a consumption elasticity of money demand of 0.27 does much better. In it real and nominal exchange rates are about 3 times as volatile as relative price levels and exchange rates are persistent, with serial correlations of 0.65 and 0.66, respectively.
Book Synopsis Real Exchange Rate Effects of Monetary Shocks Under Fixed and Flexible Exchange Rates by : Reuven Glick
Download or read book Real Exchange Rate Effects of Monetary Shocks Under Fixed and Flexible Exchange Rates written by Reuven Glick and published by . This book was released on 1987 with total page 100 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Monetary Shocks and Real Exchange Rates by : John H. Rogers
Download or read book Monetary Shocks and Real Exchange Rates written by John H. Rogers and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis What Determines Real Exchange Rates? The Long and Short of it by : Mr.Ronald MacDonald
Download or read book What Determines Real Exchange Rates? The Long and Short of it written by Mr.Ronald MacDonald and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1997-02-01 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper presents a reduced-form model of the real exchange rate. Using multilateral cointegration methods, the model is implemented for the real effective exchange rates of the dollar, the mark, and the yen, over the period 1974-1993. In contrast to much other research using real exchange rates, there is evidence of significant and sensible long-run relationships for a simplified version as well as for the full version of the model. The estimated long-run relationships are used to produce dynamic equations, which outperform a random walk and produce sensible dynamic patterns in the context of an impulse response analysis.
Book Synopsis Sources of Real Exchange Rate Fluctuations by : Richard H. Clarida
Download or read book Sources of Real Exchange Rate Fluctuations written by Richard H. Clarida and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 96 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates empirically and attempts to identify the sources of real exchange rate fluctuations since the collapse of Bretton Woods. The paper's first two sections survey and extend earlier, non-structural empirical work on this subject by Campbell and Clarida (1987), Meese and Rogoff (1988), and Cumby and Huizinga (1990). The paper's main contribution is to build and estimate a three equation open macro model in the spirit of Dornbusch (1976) and Obstfeld (1985) and to identify the model's structural shocks - to demand, supply, and money -using the approach pioneered by Blanchard and Quah (1989). For two of the four countries we study, Germany and Japan, our structural estimates imply that monetary shocks, to money supply as well as to the demand for real money balances, explain a substantial amount of the variance of real exchange rates relative to the dollar. We find that demand shocks, to national saving and investment, explain the majority of the variance in real exchange rate fluctuations, while supply shocks explain very little. The model's estimated short run dynamics are strikingly consistent with the predictions of the simple textbook Mundell-Fleming model.
Book Synopsis Real Shocks and Real Exchange Rates in Really Long-term Data by : John Harold Rogers
Download or read book Real Shocks and Real Exchange Rates in Really Long-term Data written by John Harold Rogers and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Dynamics by : Jean-Olivier Hairault
Download or read book Exchange Rate Dynamics written by Jean-Olivier Hairault and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2004 with total page 320 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book builds upon the seminal work by Obsfeld and Rogoff, Foundations of International Macroeconomics and provides a coherent and modern framework for thinking about exchange rate dynamics.
Book Synopsis Real Exchange Rate Fluctuations and the Business Cycle by : Mr.Bankim Chadha
Download or read book Real Exchange Rate Fluctuations and the Business Cycle written by Mr.Bankim Chadha and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1996-11-01 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes the relationship between the real exchange rate and the business cycle in Japan during the floating rate period. A structural vector autoregression is used to identify different types of macroeconomic shocks that determine fluctuations in aggregate output and the real exchange rate. Relative nominal and real demand shocks are found to be the main determinants of variation in real exchange rate changes, while relative output growth is driven primarily by supply shocks. Historical decompositions suggest that the sharp appreciations of the yen in 1993 and 1995 and its subsequent depreciation can be attributed primarily to relative nominal shocks.
Book Synopsis Targeting the Real Exchange Rate by : Mr.Guillermo Calvo
Download or read book Targeting the Real Exchange Rate written by Mr.Guillermo Calvo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1994-02-01 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper presents a theoretical and empirical analysis of policies aimed at setting a more depreciated level of the real exchange rate. An intertemporal optimizing model suggests that, in the absence of changes in fiscal policy, a more depreciated level of the real exchange can only be attained temporarily. This can be achieved by means of higher inflation and/or higher real interest rates, depending on the degree of capital mobility. Evidence for Brazil, Chile, and Colombia supports the model’s prediction that undervalued real exchange rates are associated with higher inflation.
Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Dynamics by : Jean-OIiver Hairault
Download or read book Exchange Rate Dynamics written by Jean-OIiver Hairault and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2003-12-18 with total page 446 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This important new book builds upon the seminal work by Obsfeld and Rogoff, Foundations of International Macroeconomics and aims at providing a coherent and modern framework for thinking about exchange rate dynamics. With a wide range of contributions, this book is likely to be welcomed by the macroeconomics and financial community.
Book Synopsis Real Exchange Rate Levels, Productivity and Demand Shocks by : Menzie David Chinn
Download or read book Real Exchange Rate Levels, Productivity and Demand Shocks written by Menzie David Chinn and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1997-05-01 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We investigate the long-run relationship between the real exchange rate, traded and nontraded productivity levels, and government spending for 14 OECD countries, using recently developed panel cointegration tests. The results indicate that under certain assumptions it is easier to detect cointegration in panel data than in the available time series; moreover, the rate of reversion to long-run equilibrium is estimated with greater precision. Using the model augmented by oil prices, we find that in 1991 (the last year productivity data are available) there is less overvaluation of the U.S. dollar than that implied by a naive version of purchasing power parity.
Book Synopsis Monetary Shocks and Real Exchange Rates in Sticky Price Models of Internatioanl Business Cycles by : V.V.. Chari
Download or read book Monetary Shocks and Real Exchange Rates in Sticky Price Models of Internatioanl Business Cycles written by V.V.. Chari and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Current Account and Real Exchange Rate Dynamics in the G-7 Countries by : Jaewoo Lee
Download or read book Current Account and Real Exchange Rate Dynamics in the G-7 Countries written by Jaewoo Lee and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2002-08 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The canonical predictions of intertemporal open-economy macro models are tested by a structural VAR analysis of Group of Seven countries. The analysis is distinguished from the previous literature in that it adopts minimal assumptions for identification. Consistent with a large set of theoretical models, permanent shocks have large long-term effects on the real exchange rate but relatively small effects on the current account; temporary shocks have large effects on the current account and exchange rate in the short run, but not on either variable in the long run. The signs of some impulse responses point toward models that differentiate tradables and nontradables.
Book Synopsis Determinants of Real Exchange Rates by : Vikas Kakkar
Download or read book Determinants of Real Exchange Rates written by Vikas Kakkar and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page 27 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Monetary and Real Shocks, the Business Cycle and the Value of the Euro by : Renato Filosa
Download or read book Monetary and Real Shocks, the Business Cycle and the Value of the Euro written by Renato Filosa and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Euro-Dollar Real Exchange Rate Dynamics in an Estimated Two-Country Model by : Pau Rabanal
Download or read book Euro-Dollar Real Exchange Rate Dynamics in an Estimated Two-Country Model written by Pau Rabanal and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2006-07 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We use a Bayesian approach to estimate a standard two-country New Open Economy Macroeconomics model using data for the United States and the euro area, and we perform model comparisons to study the importance of departing from the law of one price and complete markets assumptions. Our results can be summarized as follows. First, we find that the baseline model does a good job in explaining real exchange rate volatility but at the cost of overestimating volatility in output and consumption. Second, the introduction of incomplete markets allows the model to better match the volatilities of all real variables. Third, introducing sticky prices in Local Currency Pricing improves the fit of the baseline model but does not improve the fit as much as introducing incomplete markets. Finally, we show that monetary shocks have played a minor role in explaining the behavior of the real exchange rate, while both demand and technology shocks have been important.
