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Monetary Policy And Risk Premium Shocks In Hungary
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Book Synopsis Monetary Policy and Risk-Premium Shocks in Hungary by : Ms.Alina Carare
Download or read book Monetary Policy and Risk-Premium Shocks in Hungary written by Ms.Alina Carare and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-11-01 with total page 51 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We document the transmission of monetary policy and risk-premium shocks in Hungary, by applying recent advances in the Bayesian estimation of large VAR models. The method allows extracting information from over 100 series, opening the "black box" of the transmission mechanism to provide the most comprehensive description to date of the impact of these two shocks on the economy under the inflation-targeting regime. We find novel evidence that most of the channels of transmission are operational in Hungary, in spite of large liability euroization and high foreign ownership of banks and corporations. Due to financial stability concerns, monetary policy responds procyclically to risk-premium shocks. We also find that the use of such a large panel of data improves inflation forecasting performance over smaller models and renders this model suitable for policy purposes.
Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Consequences of Financial Shocks by : Balazs Vonnak
Download or read book Macroeconomic Consequences of Financial Shocks written by Balazs Vonnak and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates the macroeconomic effect of monetary policy and risk premium shocks in Hungary with focus on the role government securities and foreign exchange markets play in transmitting those disturbances. Financial (monetary policy and risk premium) shocks are identified within a VAR framework by imposing sign restrictions on impulse responses. Hungarian data of the past ten years is used. Financial shocks explain small part of output and price level variance. They are however, the main driving forces behind short-term interest rate and, particularly, exchange rate fluctuations. During the past ten years risk premium shocks have had virtually no effect on output and prices, and only transitionary effect on the interest rate and the exchange rate due to the behaviour of Hungarian monetary policy that successfully neutralised those shocks.
Book Synopsis Monetary Policy Analysis with a Quarterly Projection Model by : Chris Jackson
Download or read book Monetary Policy Analysis with a Quarterly Projection Model written by Chris Jackson and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2024-08-13 with total page 14 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The calibration of monetary policy is particularly challenging at a time of large shocks. Interest rates in Hungary rose sharply in response a significant increase in inflation and depreciation in the forint in 2022. As inflationary pressures have eased, the base rate has been reduced but remains restrictive. Balancing the risks of loosening too quickly and inflation taking longer to return to target against those of loosening too slowly with larger costs to output requires careful calibration. This paper uses a Quarterly Projection Model to provide a quantitative guide to the calibration of monetary policy in Hungary. As underlying inflation remains elevated and second-round effects continue to push up services inflation, the model suggests that further cuts in interest rates should proceed cautiously and gradually.
Book Synopsis Hungarian Monetary Policy Operations Before, During, and After the Pandemic by : Mr. Tonny Lybek
Download or read book Hungarian Monetary Policy Operations Before, During, and After the Pandemic written by Mr. Tonny Lybek and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-02-26 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Within its inflation-targeting framework, the Magyar Nemzeti Bank (MNB) has frequently adjusted its monetary operations. This has raised questions about their internal consistency, appropriateness, and effectiveness. A broader assessment, implying a comparison to a counterfactual, is outside the scope of this paper. Our prior is agnostic. We find that the changes were generally well-motivated within the MNB statutory powers; prioritized, transparently explained, and monitored; and promptly adjusted, when they no longer served their purpose. Occasionally, some tools have worked at cross purposes. Government policies have at times hampered monetary policy. Simplicity comes with a premium, as complexity can blur signals.
Download or read book Hungary written by International Monetary and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-02-03 with total page 63 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: While the economy was recovering from the COVID-crisis, a succession of shocks and loose fiscal policy intensified inflation and fueled a large external deficit. Appropriately, the central bank significantly tightened monetary policy and the government plans a large fiscal adjustment. However, regulatory measures undermine the tighter fiscal and monetary policy mix. Growth is expected to slow sharply with still-elevated inflation and sizable risks can worsen the outlook.
Author :International Monetary Fund Publisher :INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND ISBN 13 :9781451818109 Total Pages :41 pages Book Rating :4.8/5 (181 download)
Book Synopsis Hungary: Selected Issues by : International Monetary Fund
Download or read book Hungary: Selected Issues written by International Monetary Fund and published by INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND. This book was released on 2008-09-24 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Selected Issues paper for Hungary highlights the monetary policy framework in Hungary and the models used by the central bank (MNB). The MNB's Quarterly Projection Model combines neo-Keynesian features in the short term with neoclassical features in the long term. It is a two-sector small-open-economy model, estimated by Bayesian methods. Fiscal policy is modeled using various revenue and expenditure items. Rich in sectoral details and structural shocks, the model generates impulse responses of different variables to structural shocks.
Author :International Monetary Fund Publisher :INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND ISBN 13 :9781513558769 Total Pages :54 pages Book Rating :4.5/5 (587 download)
Book Synopsis Toward an Integrated Policy Framework by : International Monetary Fund
Download or read book Toward an Integrated Policy Framework written by International Monetary Fund and published by INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND. This book was released on 2020-10-08 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Policymakers often face difficult tradeoffs in pursuing domestic and external stabilization objectives. The paper reflects staff’s work to advance the understanding of the policy options and tradeoffs available to policymakers in a systematic and analytical way. The paper recognizes that the optimal path of the IPF tools depends on structural characteristics and fiscal policies. The operational implications of IPF findings require careful consideration. Developing safeguards to minimize the risk of inappropriate use of IPF policies will be essential. Staff remains guided by the Fund’s Institutional View (IV) on the Liberalization and Management of Capital Flows.
Book Synopsis Coordination of Monetary and Fiscal Policies by : International Monetary Fund
Download or read book Coordination of Monetary and Fiscal Policies written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1998-03-01 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recently, monetary authorities have increasingly focused on implementing policies to ensure price stability and strengthen central bank independence. Simultaneously, in the fiscal area, market development has allowed public debt managers to focus more on cost minimization. This “divorce” of monetary and debt management functions in no way lessens the need for effective coordination of monetary and fiscal policy if overall economic performance is to be optimized and maintained in the long term. This paper analyzes these issues based on a review of the relevant literature and of country experiences from an institutional and operational perspective.
Book Synopsis Why Inflation Targeting? by : Charles Freedman
Download or read book Why Inflation Targeting? written by Charles Freedman and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2009-04-01 with total page 27 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is the second chapter of a forthcoming monograph entitled "On Implementing Full-Fledged Inflation-Targeting Regimes: Saying What You Do and Doing What You Say." We begin by discussing the costs of inflation, including their role in generating boom-bust cycles. Following a general discussion of the need for a nominal anchor, we describe a specific type of monetary anchor, the inflation-targeting regime, and its two key intellectual roots-the absence of long-run trade-offs and the time-inconsistency problem. We conclude by providing a brief introduction to the way in which inflation targeting works.
Book Synopsis Unconventional Monetary Policies in Emerging Markets and Frontier Countries by : Chiara Fratto
Download or read book Unconventional Monetary Policies in Emerging Markets and Frontier Countries written by Chiara Fratto and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-01-22 with total page 71 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The COVID-19 crisis induced an unprecedented launch of unconventional monetary policy through asset purchase programs (APPs) by emerging market and developing economies. This paper presents a new dataset of APP announcements and implementation from March until August 2020 for 27 emerging markets and 8 small advanced economies. APPs’ effects on bond yields, exchange rates, equities, and debt spreads are estimated using different methodologies. The results confirm that APPs were successful in significantly reducing bond yields in EMDEs, and these effects were stronger than those of policy rate cuts, suggesting that such UMP could be important tools for EMDEs during financial market stress.
Book Synopsis Emerging Research on Monetary Policy, Banking, and Financial Markets by : Spulbar, Cristi
Download or read book Emerging Research on Monetary Policy, Banking, and Financial Markets written by Spulbar, Cristi and published by IGI Global. This book was released on 2019-06-14 with total page 343 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As more and more emerging markets seek to compete in an ever-growing pool of global competitors, rapidly growing economies are consistently running into issues relating to the proper understanding of fiscal markets. The future of global economics depends on the wellbeing of sustainable economic growth and the expansion of banking systems. Emerging Research on Monetary Policy, Banking, and Financial Markets is an essential reference source that discusses the complex nature of financial markets and the growth of developing economies. Featuring research on topics such as international markets, transition economies, and financial instability, this book is ideally designed for academicians, students, researchers, policymakers, professionals, financial analysts, and economists interested in the future of reformed worldwide banking systems.
Book Synopsis How Monetary Policy Works by : Lavan Mahadeva
Download or read book How Monetary Policy Works written by Lavan Mahadeva and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2004-08-02 with total page 464 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: For monetary policymakers worldwide, developing a practical understanding of how monetary policy transmits to the economy is a day-to-day challenge. The data such policymakers have is imperfect, the maps they use are continually redrawn. With such uncertainty, understanding this complicated issue is rarely straightforward. This book, a collaboration between some of the finest minds working on monetary theory in the world, helps to provide a foundation for understanding monetary policy in all its complex glory. Using models, case studies and new empirical evidence, the contributors to this book help readers on many levels develop their technical expertise. Students of macroeconomics, money and banking and international finance will find this to be a good addition to their reading lists. At the same time, policymakers and professionals within banking will learn valuable lessons from a thorough read of this book's pages.
Author :International Monetary Fund. European Dept. Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 : Total Pages :35 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (2 download)
Book Synopsis Hungary by : International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
Download or read book Hungary written by International Monetary Fund. European Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2024-08-02 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Hungary: Selected Issues
Book Synopsis Negative Interest Rate Policy (NIRP) by : Andreas Jobst
Download or read book Negative Interest Rate Policy (NIRP) written by Andreas Jobst and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-08-10 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: More than two years ago the European Central Bank (ECB) adopted a negative interest rate policy (NIRP) to achieve its price stability objective. Negative interest rates have so far supported easier financial conditions and contributed to a modest expansion in credit, demonstrating that the zero lower bound is less binding than previously thought. However, interest rate cuts also weigh on bank profitability. Substantial rate cuts may at some point outweigh the benefits from higher asset values and stronger aggregate demand. Further monetary accommodation may need to rely more on credit easing and an expansion of the ECB’s balance sheet rather than substantial additional reductions in the policy rate.
Book Synopsis Dominant Currency Paradigm: A New Model for Small Open Economies by : Camila Casas
Download or read book Dominant Currency Paradigm: A New Model for Small Open Economies written by Camila Casas and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-11-22 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Most trade is invoiced in very few currencies. Despite this, the Mundell-Fleming benchmark and its variants focus on pricing in the producer’s currency or in local currency. We model instead a ‘dominant currency paradigm’ for small open economies characterized by three features: pricing in a dominant currency; pricing complementarities, and imported input use in production. Under this paradigm: (a) the terms-of-trade is stable; (b) dominant currency exchange rate pass-through into export and import prices is high regardless of destination or origin of goods; (c) exchange rate pass-through of non-dominant currencies is small; (d) expenditure switching occurs mostly via imports, driven by the dollar exchange rate while exports respond weakly, if at all; (e) strengthening of the dominant currency relative to non-dominant ones can negatively impact global trade; (f) optimal monetary policy targets deviations from the law of one price arising from dominant currency fluctuations, in addition to the inflation and output gap. Using data from Colombia we document strong support for the dominant currency paradigm.
Download or read book Hungary written by International Monetary and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-02-03 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Hungary: Selected Issues
Author :International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :1498363288 Total Pages :135 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (983 download)
Book Synopsis Global Financial Stability Report, April 2016 by : International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
Download or read book Global Financial Stability Report, April 2016 written by International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-04-11 with total page 135 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The current Global Financial Stability Report (April 2016) finds that global financial stability risks have risen since the last report in October 2015. The new report finds that the outlook has deteriorated in advanced economies because of heightened uncertainty and setbacks to growth and confidence, while declines in oil and commodity prices and slower growth have kept risks elevated in emerging markets. These developments have tightened financial conditions, reduced risk appetite, raised credit risks, and stymied balance sheet repair. A broad-based policy response is needed to secure financial stability. Advanced economies must deal with crisis legacy issues, emerging markets need to bolster their resilience to global headwinds, and the resilience of market liquidity should be enhanced. The report also examines financial spillovers from emerging market economies and finds that they have risen substantially. This implies that when assessing macro-financial conditions, policymakers may need to increasingly take into account economic developments in emerging market economies. Finally, the report assesses changes in the systemic importance of insurers, finding that across advanced economies the contribution of life insurers to systemic risk has increased in recent years. The results suggest that supervisors and regulators should take a more macroprudential approach to the sector.
