Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Volatility in a Small Open Economy

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Publisher : GRIN Verlag
ISBN 13 : 3640438361
Total Pages : 41 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (44 download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Volatility in a Small Open Economy by : Jonas Böhmer

Download or read book Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Volatility in a Small Open Economy written by Jonas Böhmer and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2009-10 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Seminar paper from the year 2008 in the subject Business economics - Economic Policy, grade: 1,3, University of Bonn (Wirtschaftspolitische Abteilung der Rechts- und Staatswissenschaftlichen Fakultät), course: Geldtheorie- und politik, language: English, abstract: Does inflation reduce welfare? What is worse, a volatile exchange rate or a high inflation rate? And is the central bank able to drive these variables? These questions are the topic of a paper by Jordi Gali and Tommaso Monacelli, published in 2005 and titled "Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Volatility in a Small Open Economy". As apparent by the title Gali and Monacelli (G+M) analyze the influence of monetary policy on the volatility of the exchange rate, more precisely the nominal exchange rate and the terms of trade. For this purpose they create a small open economy with sticky prices of Calvo-type. Due to its minor size this economy does not influence the world economy. However, depending on the degree of openness this economy is affected by the rest of the world. Having specified this framework, G+M introduce three different monetary regimes and evaluate the resulting exchange rate volatilities . Using a central bank loss function G+M rank these three rules according to the implied welfare which shows a positive correlation between welfare and exchange rate volatility. Thence G+M prefer Taylor rules over an exchange rate pegging. To get a general idea of Gali and Monacelli`s argumentation this expose will start in chapter 2 with an abbreviated overlook over G+M's model of a small open economy. In the following chapter there will be the introduction of the three central bank rules, necessary to close the model, as well as an analysis of the underlying welfare levels. Since the welfare evaluation is based on some special assumptions, chapter 4 will give an overview of recent literature which discusses possible extensions as well as their implications for G+M's ranking of implied welfare. Concluding cha

Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Management In Less Developed Countries

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475523165
Total Pages : 65 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Management In Less Developed Countries by : Mr. Marco Airaudo

Download or read book Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Management In Less Developed Countries written by Mr. Marco Airaudo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-03-08 with total page 65 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We analyze coordination of monetary and exchange rate policy in a two-sector model of a small open economy featuring imperfect substitution between domestic and foreign financial assets. Our central finding is that management of the exchange rate greatly enhances the efficacy of inflation targeting. In a flexible exchange rate system, inflation targeting incurs a high risk of indeterminacy where macroeconomic fluctuations can be driven by self-fulfilling expectations. Moreover, small inflation shocks may escalate into much larger increases in inflation ex post. Both problems disappear when the central bank leans heavily against the wind in a managed float.

Exchange Rate Dynamics

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Author :
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1134426135
Total Pages : 320 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (344 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Dynamics by : Jean-Olivier Hairault

Download or read book Exchange Rate Dynamics written by Jean-Olivier Hairault and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2004 with total page 320 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book builds upon the seminal work by Obsfeld and Rogoff, Foundations of International Macroeconomics and provides a coherent and modern framework for thinking about exchange rate dynamics.

Hybrid Inflation Targeting Regimes

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451873816
Total Pages : 59 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Hybrid Inflation Targeting Regimes by : Jorge Restrepo

Download or read book Hybrid Inflation Targeting Regimes written by Jorge Restrepo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2009-10-01 with total page 59 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper uses a DSGE model to examine whether including the exchange rate explicitly in the central bank's policy reaction function can improve macroeconomic performance. It is found that including an element of exchange rate smoothing in the policy reaction function is helpful both for financially robust advanced economies and for financially vulnerable emerging economies in handling risk premium shocks. As long as the weight placed on exchange rate smoothing is relatively small, the effects on inflation and output volatility in the event of demand and cost-push shocks are minimal. Financially vulnerable emerging economies are especially likely to benefit from some exhange rate smoothing because of the perverse impact of exchange rate movements on activity.

Interest Rate Targeting in a Small Open Economy

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 145192142X
Total Pages : 32 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis Interest Rate Targeting in a Small Open Economy by : Mr.Guillermo Calvo

Download or read book Interest Rate Targeting in a Small Open Economy written by Mr.Guillermo Calvo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1990-03-01 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An important hurdle in analyzing interest rate targeting is that standard models usually lead to price level or inflation rate indeterminacy. This paper develops a simple framework in which such problems do not arise because the bonds whose interest rate is controlled provide liquidity services. This framework is used to examine interest rate targeting in a small open economy under predetermined exchange rates. A permanent increase in the interest rate has no real effects. In contrast, a temporary increase in the interest rate leads to higher consumption and to a current account deficit that worsens over time.

Exchange Rate Volatility and Trade Flows--Some New Evidence

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498330282
Total Pages : 132 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Volatility and Trade Flows--Some New Evidence by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Exchange Rate Volatility and Trade Flows--Some New Evidence written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2004-05-19 with total page 132 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: NULL

Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Rules in an Open Economy

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Publisher : INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
ISBN 13 : 9781451921892
Total Pages : 37 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (218 download)

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Book Synopsis Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Rules in an Open Economy by : Mr.Eric Parrado

Download or read book Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Rules in an Open Economy written by Mr.Eric Parrado and published by INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND. This book was released on 2004-02-01 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper provides a simple dynamic neo-Keynesian model that can be used to analyze the impact of monetary policy that considers inflation targeting in a small open economy. This economy is characterized by imperfect competition and short-run price rigidity. The main findings of the paper are that, depending on what shocks affect the economy, the effects of inflation targeting on output and inflation volatility depend crucially on the exchange rate regime and the inflation index being targeted. First, in the presence of real shocks, flexible exchange rates dominate managed exchange rates, while for nominal shocks the reverse is true. Second, domestically generated inflation targeting is preferable to CPI inflation targeting, because the former is more stabilizing not only in relation to both measures of inflation, but also to the output gap and the real exchange rate. Finally, flexible inflation targeting outperforms strict inflation targeting in terms of welfare.

Exchange Rate Dynamics

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1134426127
Total Pages : 446 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (344 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Dynamics by : Jean-OIiver Hairault

Download or read book Exchange Rate Dynamics written by Jean-OIiver Hairault and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2003-12-18 with total page 446 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This important new book builds upon the seminal work by Obsfeld and Rogoff, Foundations of International Macroeconomics and aims at providing a coherent and modern framework for thinking about exchange rate dynamics. With a wide range of contributions, this book is likely to be welcomed by the macroeconomics and financial community.

Dominant Currency Paradigm: A New Model for Small Open Economies

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484330609
Total Pages : 62 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Dominant Currency Paradigm: A New Model for Small Open Economies by : Camila Casas

Download or read book Dominant Currency Paradigm: A New Model for Small Open Economies written by Camila Casas and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-11-22 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Most trade is invoiced in very few currencies. Despite this, the Mundell-Fleming benchmark and its variants focus on pricing in the producer’s currency or in local currency. We model instead a ‘dominant currency paradigm’ for small open economies characterized by three features: pricing in a dominant currency; pricing complementarities, and imported input use in production. Under this paradigm: (a) the terms-of-trade is stable; (b) dominant currency exchange rate pass-through into export and import prices is high regardless of destination or origin of goods; (c) exchange rate pass-through of non-dominant currencies is small; (d) expenditure switching occurs mostly via imports, driven by the dollar exchange rate while exports respond weakly, if at all; (e) strengthening of the dominant currency relative to non-dominant ones can negatively impact global trade; (f) optimal monetary policy targets deviations from the law of one price arising from dominant currency fluctuations, in addition to the inflation and output gap. Using data from Colombia we document strong support for the dominant currency paradigm.

Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Dynamics in a Behavioral Open Economy Model

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 44 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Dynamics in a Behavioral Open Economy Model by : Marcin Kolasa

Download or read book Monetary Policy and Exchange Rate Dynamics in a Behavioral Open Economy Model written by Marcin Kolasa and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2022-06-03 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We develop an extension of the open economy New Keynesian model in which agents are boundedly rational à la Gabaix (2020). Our setup nests rational expectations (RE) as a special case and it can successfully mitigate many “puzzling” aspects of the relationship between exchange rates and interest rates. Since the model implies an uncovered interest rate parity (UIP) condition featuring behavioral expectations, our results are also consistent with recent empirical evidence showing that several UIP puzzles vanish when actual exchange rate expectations are used (instead of realizations implicitly coupled with the RE assumption). We find that cognitive discounting dampens the effects of current monetary shocks and lowers the efficacy of forward guidance (FG), but its relative importance in mitigating the so-called FG puzzle is decreasing in openness. Finally, we show that accounting for myopia exacerbates the small open economy unit-root problem, makes positive monetary spillovers more likely, and increases the persistence of net foreign assets and the real exchange rate.

Currency Politics

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Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400865344
Total Pages : 318 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Currency Politics by : Jeffry A. Frieden

Download or read book Currency Politics written by Jeffry A. Frieden and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2014-12-28 with total page 318 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The politics surrounding exchange rate policies in the global economy The exchange rate is the most important price in any economy, since it affects all other prices. Exchange rates are set, either directly or indirectly, by government policy. Exchange rates are also central to the global economy, for they profoundly influence all international economic activity. Despite the critical role of exchange rate policy, there are few definitive explanations of why governments choose the currency policies they do. Filled with in-depth cases and examples, Currency Politics presents a comprehensive analysis of the politics surrounding exchange rates. Identifying the motivations for currency policy preferences on the part of industries seeking to influence politicians, Jeffry Frieden shows how each industry's characteristics—including its exposure to currency risk and the price effects of exchange rate movements—determine those preferences. Frieden evaluates the accuracy of his theoretical arguments in a variety of historical and geographical settings: he looks at the politics of the gold standard, particularly in the United States, and he examines the political economy of European monetary integration. He also analyzes the politics of Latin American currency policy over the past forty years, and focuses on the daunting currency crises that have frequently debilitated Latin American nations, including Mexico, Argentina, and Brazil. With an ambitious mix of narrative and statistical investigation, Currency Politics clarifies the political and economic determinants of exchange rate policies.

Monetary Policy Credibility and Exchange Rate Pass-Through

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475560311
Total Pages : 33 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary Policy Credibility and Exchange Rate Pass-Through by : Mr.Yan Carriere-Swallow

Download or read book Monetary Policy Credibility and Exchange Rate Pass-Through written by Mr.Yan Carriere-Swallow and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-12-13 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A long-standing conjecture in macroeconomics is that recent declines in exchange rate pass-through are in part due to improved monetary policy performance. In a large sample of emerging and advanced economies, we find evidence of a strong link between exchange rate pass-through to consumer prices and the monetary policy regime’s performance in delivering price stability. Using input-output tables, we decompose exchange rate pass-through to consumer prices into a component that reflects the adjustment of imported goods at the border, and another that captures the response of all other prices. We find that price stability and central bank credibility have reduced the second component.

Monetary Policy Rules for Financially Vulnerable Economies

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451845855
Total Pages : 37 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary Policy Rules for Financially Vulnerable Economies by : Mr.Eduardo Morón

Download or read book Monetary Policy Rules for Financially Vulnerable Economies written by Mr.Eduardo Morón and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-02-01 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: One distinguishable characteristic of emerging market economies is that they are not financially robust. These economies are incapable of smoothing out large external shocks, as sudden capital outflows imply large and abrupt swings in the real exchange rate. Using a small open-economy model, this paper examines alternative monetary policy rules for economies with different degrees of liability dollarization. The paper answers the question of how efficient it is to use inflation targeting under high liability dollarization. Our findings suggest that it might be optimal to follow a nonlinear policy rule that defends the real exchange rate in a financially vulnerable economy.

Flexible Exchange Rates for a Stable World Economy

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Publisher : Peterson Institute
ISBN 13 : 0881326356
Total Pages : 301 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (813 download)

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Book Synopsis Flexible Exchange Rates for a Stable World Economy by : Joseph E. Gagnon

Download or read book Flexible Exchange Rates for a Stable World Economy written by Joseph E. Gagnon and published by Peterson Institute. This book was released on 2011 with total page 301 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Volatile exchange rates and how to manage them are a contentious topic whenever economic policymakers gather in international meetings. This book examines the broad parameters of exchange rate policy in light of both high-powered theory and real-world experience. What are the costs and benefits of flexible versus fixed exchange rates? How much of a role should the exchange rate play in monetary policy? Why don't volatile exchange rates destabilize inflation and output? The principal finding of this book is that using monetary policy to fight exchange rate volatility, including through the adoption of a fixed exchange rate regime, leads to greater volatility of employment, output, and inflation. In other words, the "cure" for exchange rate volatility is worse than the disease. This finding is demonstrated in economic models, in historical case studies, and in statistical analysis of the data. The book devotes considerable attention to understanding the reasons why volatile exchange rates do not destabilize inflation and output. The book concludes that many countries would benefit from allowing greater flexibility of their exchange rates in order to target monetary policy at stabilization of their domestic economies. Few, if any, countries would benefit from a move in the opposite direction.

Inflation Targeting Lite' in Small Open Economies

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451861915
Total Pages : 26 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Inflation Targeting Lite' in Small Open Economies by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Inflation Targeting Lite' in Small Open Economies written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2005-09-01 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper develops a new macrofinance model for small open economies, allowing the investigation of Mauritius's experience with 'inflation targeting lite' as described in Stone (2003). It finds that this monetary policy regime has been associated with a general reduction in inflation, principally through a reduction in inflation expectations. The credibility the Bank of Mauritius has established with its 'inflation targeting lite' regime has allowed it to shift from an emphasis on exchange rate targeting towards inflation targeting. By estimating a model in which the yield curve is modeled explicitly we are able to obtain estimates of inflation expectations.

Exchange Rate Dynamics Redux

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 54 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Dynamics Redux by : Maurice Obstfeld

Download or read book Exchange Rate Dynamics Redux written by Maurice Obstfeld and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Market Volatility and Foreign Exchange Intervention in EMEs

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9789291319626
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (196 download)

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Book Synopsis Market Volatility and Foreign Exchange Intervention in EMEs by : Banco de Pagos Internacionales (Basilea, Suiza). Departamento Monetario y Económico

Download or read book Market Volatility and Foreign Exchange Intervention in EMEs written by Banco de Pagos Internacionales (Basilea, Suiza). Departamento Monetario y Económico and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: