Modelling Our Future

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Demystifying Climate Models

Author : Andrew Gettelman
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3662489597
Total Pages : 282 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (624 download)

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Book Synopsis Demystifying Climate Models by : Andrew Gettelman

Download or read book Demystifying Climate Models written by Andrew Gettelman and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-04-09 with total page 282 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book demystifies the models we use to simulate present and future climates, allowing readers to better understand how to use climate model results. In order to predict the future trajectory of the Earth’s climate, climate-system simulation models are necessary. When and how do we trust climate model predictions? The book offers a framework for answering this question. It provides readers with a basic primer on climate and climate change, and offers non-technical explanations for how climate models are constructed, why they are uncertain, and what level of confidence we should place in them. It presents current results and the key uncertainties concerning them. Uncertainty is not a weakness but understanding uncertainty is a strength and a key part of using any model, including climate models. Case studies of how climate model output has been used and how it might be used in the future are provided. The ultimate goal of this book is to promote a better understanding of the structure and uncertainties of climate models among users, including scientists, engineers and policymakers.

Modelling Transitions

Author : Enayat A. Moallemi
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 0429578776
Total Pages : 268 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (295 download)

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Book Synopsis Modelling Transitions by : Enayat A. Moallemi

Download or read book Modelling Transitions written by Enayat A. Moallemi and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2019-11-28 with total page 268 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Modelling Transitions shows what computational, formal and data-driven approaches can and could mean for sustainability transitions research, presenting the state-of-the-art and exploring what lies beyond. Featuring contributions from many well-known authors, this book presents the various benefits of modelling for transitions research. More than just taking stock, it also critically examines what modelling of transformative change means and could mean for transitions research and for other disciplines that study societal changes. This includes identifying a variety of approaches currently not part of the portfolios of transitions modellers. Far from only singing praise, critical methodological and philosophical introspection are key aspects of this important book. This book speaks to modellers and non-modellers alike who value the development of robust knowledge on transitions to sustainability, including colleagues in congenial fields. Be they students, researchers or practitioners, everyone interested in transitions should find this book relevant as reference, resource and guide.

Predicting the Future

Author : Henry Abarbanel
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1461472180
Total Pages : 253 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (614 download)

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Book Synopsis Predicting the Future by : Henry Abarbanel

Download or read book Predicting the Future written by Henry Abarbanel and published by Springer. This book was released on 2013-06-12 with total page 253 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Through the development of an exact path integral for use in transferring information from observations to a model of the observed system, the author provides a general framework for the discussion of model building and evaluation across disciplines. Through many illustrative examples drawn from models in neuroscience, geosciences, and nonlinear electrical circuits, the concepts are exemplified in detail. Practical numerical methods for approximate evaluations of the path integral are explored, and their use in designing experiments and determining a model’s consistency with observations is explored.

Environmental Modelling

Author : Keith Beven
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1482288575
Total Pages : 329 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (822 download)

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Book Synopsis Environmental Modelling by : Keith Beven

Download or read book Environmental Modelling written by Keith Beven and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2018-09-03 with total page 329 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Uncertainty in the predictions of science when applied to the environment is an issue of great current relevance in relation to the impacts of climate change, protecting against natural and man-made disasters, pollutant transport and sustainable resource management. However, it is often ignored both by scientists and decision makers, or interpreted as a conflict or disagreement between scientists. This is not necessarily the case, the scientists might well agree, but their predictions would still be uncertain and knowledge of that uncertainty might be important in decision making. Environmental Modelling: An Uncertain Future? introduces students, scientists and decision makers to: the different concepts and techniques of uncertainty estimation in environmental prediction the philosophical background to different concepts of uncertainty the constraint of uncertainties by the collection of observations and data assimilation in real-time forecasting techniques for decision making under uncertainty. This book will be relevant to environmental modellers, practitioners and decision makers in hydrology, hydraulics, ecology, meteorology and oceanography, geomorphology, geochemistry, soil science, pollutant transport and climate change. A companion website for the book can be found at www.uncertain-future.org.uk

Modelling Future Telecommunications Systems

Author : P. Cochrane
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1461520495
Total Pages : 376 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (615 download)

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Book Synopsis Modelling Future Telecommunications Systems by : P. Cochrane

Download or read book Modelling Future Telecommunications Systems written by P. Cochrane and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 376 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Telecommunications today is in the midst of far-reaching changes due to rapid development of new technologies, services and social evolution. This is the first book to model the process of change in telecommunications, including all of the relevant factors. The approach is practical and responsible, based on hard facts and tested models. It deals with fundamental issues affecting the future development of telecoms and its impact on societies and presents views which some will find radical.

Modelling Our Future

Author : Anil Gupta
Publisher : Elsevier Science Limited
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 630 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Modelling Our Future by : Anil Gupta

Download or read book Modelling Our Future written by Anil Gupta and published by Elsevier Science Limited. This book was released on 2007-02-28 with total page 630 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The issues associated with population ageing are already assuming prominence in most OECD countries. Many governments are extremely concerned about the likely impact of population ageing upon future government outlays and economic growth. In Australia, for example, there have already been two major government reports that have attempted to quantify the likely implications for government spending of population ageing. These reports have concluded that there will either have to be cuts in current government programs, increases in taxes or some combination of these. The ageing population will also require more health human resources (doctors, nurses, pharmacists etc.), in an environment where the existing workforce itself is ageing. Economic growth is forecast to slow significantly in future decades due to population ageing, reducing government's ability to rely on a rapidly growing taxpaying labour force to finance the expected shortfalls.

Statistical Downscaling and Bias Correction for Climate Research

Author : Douglas Maraun
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1107066050
Total Pages : 365 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (7 download)

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Book Synopsis Statistical Downscaling and Bias Correction for Climate Research by : Douglas Maraun

Download or read book Statistical Downscaling and Bias Correction for Climate Research written by Douglas Maraun and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2018-01-18 with total page 365 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive and practical guide, providing technical background and user context for researchers, graduate students, practitioners and decision makers. This book presents the main approaches and describes their underlying assumptions, skill and limitations. Guidelines for the application of downscaling and the use of downscaled information in practice complete the volume.

Subscribed

Author : Tien Tzuo
Publisher : Penguin
ISBN 13 : 0525536469
Total Pages : 258 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (255 download)

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Book Synopsis Subscribed by : Tien Tzuo

Download or read book Subscribed written by Tien Tzuo and published by Penguin. This book was released on 2018-06-05 with total page 258 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A USA Today bestseller! Companies like Netflix, Spotify, and Salesforce are just the tip of the iceberg for the subscription model. The real transformation--and the real opportunity--is just beginning. Subscription companies are growing nine times faster than the S&P 500. Why? Because unlike product companies, subscription companies know their customers. A happy subscriber base is the ultimate economic moat. Today's consumers prefer the advantages of access over the hassles of maintenance, from transportation (Uber, Surf Air), to clothing (Stitch Fix, Eleven James), to razor blades and makeup (Dollar Shave Club, Birchbox). Companies are similarly demanding easier, long-term solutions, trading their server rooms for cloud storage solutions like Box. Simply put, the world is shifting from products to services. But how do you turn customers into subscribers? As the CEO of the world's largest subscription management platform, Tien Tzuo has helped hundreds of companies transition from relying on individual sales to building customer-centric, recurring-revenue businesses. His core message in Subscribed is simple: Ready or not, excited or terrified, you need to adapt to the Subscription Economy -- or risk being left behind. Tzuo shows how to use subscriptions to build lucrative, ongoing one-on-one relationships with your customers. This may require reinventing substantial parts of your company, from your accounting practices to your entire IT architecture, but the payoff can be enormous. Just look at the case studies: * Adobe transitions from selling enterprise software licenses to offering cloud-based solutions for a flat monthly fee, and quadruples its valuation. * Fender evolves from selling guitars one at a time to creating lifelong musicians by teaching beginners to play, and keeping them inspired for life. * Caterpillar uses subscriptions to help solve problems -- it's not about how many tractors you can rent, but how much dirt you need to move. In Subscribed, you'll learn how these companies made the shift, and how you can transform your own product into a valuable service with a practical, step-by-step framework. Find out how how you can prepare and prosper now, rather than trying to catch up later.

Our Future Climate

Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.E/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Our Future Climate by :

Download or read book Our Future Climate written by and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Issued for World Meteorological Day 2003, this brochure explains, in terms accessible to the general public, the climate system and the climate change processes, as well as model projections of our future climate with its far-reaching consequences to society. The brochure also explains why the unprecedented weather- and climate-related extreme events, such as floods, droughts and tropical cyclones in various parts of the world, are glimpses of what could be awaiting future generations if human-induced change to our climate is not brought under control.--Publisher's description.

Climate System Dynamics and Modelling

Author : Hugues Goosse
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1316033503
Total Pages : 696 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (16 download)

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Book Synopsis Climate System Dynamics and Modelling by : Hugues Goosse

Download or read book Climate System Dynamics and Modelling written by Hugues Goosse and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2015-08-10 with total page 696 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This textbook presents all aspects of climate system dynamics, on all timescales from the Earth's formation to modern human-induced climate change. It discusses the dominant feedbacks and interactions between all the components of the climate system: atmosphere, ocean, land surface and ice sheets. It addresses one of the key challenges for a course on the climate system: students can come from a range of backgrounds. A glossary of key terms is provided for students with little background in the climate sciences, whilst instructors and students with more expertise will appreciate the book's modular nature. Exercises are provided at the end of each chapter for readers to test their understanding. This textbook will be invaluable for any course on climate system dynamics and modeling, and will also be useful for scientists and professionals from other disciplines who want a clear introduction to the topic.

Perspectives on Digital Humanism

Author : Hannes Werthner
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030861449
Total Pages : 342 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (38 download)

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Book Synopsis Perspectives on Digital Humanism by : Hannes Werthner

Download or read book Perspectives on Digital Humanism written by Hannes Werthner and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-11-23 with total page 342 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This open access book aims to set an agenda for research and action in the field of Digital Humanism through short essays written by selected thinkers from a variety of disciplines, including computer science, philosophy, education, law, economics, history, anthropology, political science, and sociology. This initiative emerged from the Vienna Manifesto on Digital Humanism and the associated lecture series. Digital Humanism deals with the complex relationships between people and machines in digital times. It acknowledges the potential of information technology. At the same time, it points to societal threats such as privacy violations and ethical concerns around artificial intelligence, automation and loss of jobs, ongoing monopolization on the Web, and sovereignty. Digital Humanism aims to address these topics with a sense of urgency but with a constructive mindset. The book argues for a Digital Humanism that analyses and, most importantly, influences the complex interplay of technology and humankind toward a better society and life while fully respecting universal human rights. It is a call to shaping technologies in accordance with human values and needs.

Modelling Our Future

Author : Ann Harding
Publisher : JAI Press Incorporated
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 560 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Modelling Our Future by : Ann Harding

Download or read book Modelling Our Future written by Ann Harding and published by JAI Press Incorporated. This book was released on 2007-02-02 with total page 560 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The issues associated with population ageing are already assuming prominence in OECD countries. This volume describes the modelling approaches and research, providing insights into how different countries are facing the challenges associated with population ageing.

Positive Leadership in Practice

Author : Cornelia Lucey
Publisher : Taylor & Francis
ISBN 13 : 1000590526
Total Pages : 201 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (5 download)

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Book Synopsis Positive Leadership in Practice by : Cornelia Lucey

Download or read book Positive Leadership in Practice written by Cornelia Lucey and published by Taylor & Francis. This book was released on 2022-06-14 with total page 201 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book aims to help leaders become the best versions of themselves, achieve extraordinary results, and help their team accomplish the same. Packed with research and practical advice from real-life positive leaders, it offers an extensive look into both what high-performance leadership is and how it can be achieved. Positive Leadership in Practice is a resource that all leaders can tap into to be more effective. The book introduces an ALIGHT model that guides leaders through six fundamental resources that can alight their own and their team’s motivation and transform their performance to an extraordinary level. Further breaking down the six resources into 18 core components, the book expands on what constitutes the six resources to make them tangible and accessible. The book also offers leaders the opportunity to self-assess their own levels of resources and levels of positive leadership through a questionnaire, as well as opportunities to reflect on how to further develop these levels of resources and positive leadership. Finally, the book signposts practical strategies to tap into on the back of their reflections to take action to become their best possible positive leader. This book is for existing and aspiring managers, leaders, and those with people-related roles such as in human resources, coaching, leadership development, and organisational consultants, as well as anyone in more informal leadership positions. After all, we are all leaders.

Review of the Draft Fourth National Climate Assessment

Author : National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine
Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309471699
Total Pages : 207 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (94 download)

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Book Synopsis Review of the Draft Fourth National Climate Assessment by : National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine

Download or read book Review of the Draft Fourth National Climate Assessment written by National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2018-06-18 with total page 207 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Climate change poses many challenges that affect society and the natural world. With these challenges, however, come opportunities to respond. By taking steps to adapt to and mitigate climate change, the risks to society and the impacts of continued climate change can be lessened. The National Climate Assessment, coordinated by the U.S. Global Change Research Program, is a mandated report intended to inform response decisions. Required to be developed every four years, these reports provide the most comprehensive and up-to-date evaluation of climate change impacts available for the United States, making them a unique and important climate change document. The draft Fourth National Climate Assessment (NCA4) report reviewed here addresses a wide range of topics of high importance to the United States and society more broadly, extending from human health and community well-being, to the built environment, to businesses and economies, to ecosystems and natural resources. This report evaluates the draft NCA4 to determine if it meets the requirements of the federal mandate, whether it provides accurate information grounded in the scientific literature, and whether it effectively communicates climate science, impacts, and responses for general audiences including the public, decision makers, and other stakeholders.

Models for Tropical Climate Dynamics

Author : Boualem Khouider
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3030177750
Total Pages : 303 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (31 download)

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Book Synopsis Models for Tropical Climate Dynamics by : Boualem Khouider

Download or read book Models for Tropical Climate Dynamics written by Boualem Khouider and published by Springer. This book was released on 2019-07-03 with total page 303 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is a survey of the research work done by the author over the last 15 years, in collaboration with various eminent mathematicians and climate scientists on the subject of tropical convection and convectively coupled waves. In the areas of climate modelling and climate change science, tropical dynamics and tropical rainfall are among the biggest uncertainties of future projections. This not only puts at risk billions of human beings who populate the tropical continents but it is also of central importance for climate predictions on the global scale. This book aims to introduce the non-expert readers in mathematics and theoretical physics to this fascinating topic in order to attract interest into this difficult and exciting research area. The general thyme revolves around the use of new deterministic and stochastic multi-cloud models for tropical convection and convectively coupled waves. It draws modelling ideas from various areas of mathematics and physics and used in conjunction with state-of-the-art satellite and in-situ observations and detailed numerical simulations. After a review of preliminary material on tropical dynamics and moist thermodynamics, including recent discoveries based on satellite observations as well as Markov chains, the book immerses the reader into the area of models for convection and tropical waves. It begins with basic concepts of linear stability analysis and ends with the use of these models to improve the state-of-the-art global climate models. The book also contains a fair amount of exercises that makes it suitable as a textbook complement on the subject.

New Frontiers in Microsimulation Modelling

Author : Ann Harding
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1351914928
Total Pages : 607 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis New Frontiers in Microsimulation Modelling by : Ann Harding

Download or read book New Frontiers in Microsimulation Modelling written by Ann Harding and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2017-10-19 with total page 607 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the past fifteen years, microsimulation models have become firmly established as vital tools for analysis of the distributional impact of changes in governmental programmes. Across Europe, the US, Canada and Australia, microsimulation models are used extensively to assess who are the winners and losers from proposed policy reforms; this is now expanding into new frontiers, both geographically and in terms of policy areas. With contributions from more than 60 international experts, this volume offers a comprehensive introduction to the state of microsimulation internationally, illustrating a wide range of new applications and approaches. It will be of relevance to government policy makers, social policy planners, economists and those concerned with predicting the impact of public policy change and to academics in a variety of disciplines, especially social and public policy, human geography, development studies and economics.

Models to Inform Planning for the Future of Electric Power in the United States

Author : National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine
Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309680964
Total Pages : 89 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (96 download)

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Book Synopsis Models to Inform Planning for the Future of Electric Power in the United States by : National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine

Download or read book Models to Inform Planning for the Future of Electric Power in the United States written by National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2020-09-25 with total page 89 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Providing a reliable and resilient supply of electric power to communities across the United States has always posed a complex challenge. Utilities must support daily operations to serve a diverse array of customers across a heterogeneous landscape while simultaneously investing in infrastructure to meet future needs, all while juggling an enormous array of competing priorities influenced by costs, capabilities, environmental and social impacts, regulatory requirements, and consumer preferences. A rapid pace of change in technologies, policies and priorities, and consumer needs and behaviors has further compounded this challenge in recent years. The National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine convened a workshop on February 3, 2020 to explore strategies for incorporating new technologies, planning and operating strategies, business models, and architectures in the U.S. electric power system. Speakers and participants from industry, government, and academia discussed available models for long-term transmission and distribution planning, as well as the broader context of how these models are used and future opportunities and needs. This publication summarizes the presentations and discussions from the workshop.