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Modeling And Forecasting Demand In Tourism
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Book Synopsis Tourism Demand Modelling and Forecasting by : Haiyan Song
Download or read book Tourism Demand Modelling and Forecasting written by Haiyan Song and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2000 with total page 183 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A textbook for a graduate or final-year undergraduate course in tourism studies that might also find interest among researchers and practitioners who want to apply recent developments in econometric modeling and forecasting to tourism demand analysis. Song and Witt (both management in the service sector, U. of Surrey, Britain) begin with the fundamentals of tourism demand analysis, and the problems of traditional modeling and forecasting. Then they explore the general- to-specific approach, the time-varying parameter model, and the panel- data approach. Annotation copyrighted by Book News, Inc., Portland, OR
Book Synopsis Modeling and Forecasting Demand in Tourism by : Stephen F. Witt
Download or read book Modeling and Forecasting Demand in Tourism written by Stephen F. Witt and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 216 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Based on data on outbound tourism from France and Germany collected through personal interviews of residents or micro censuses covering the period 1965 to 1983; and from the UK for the period 1965 to 1985 and the USA for the period 1965 to 1984 through surveys carried out at airports and seaports. Additional surveys record USA land border crossing tourist data.
Book Synopsis Forecasting Tourism Demand by : Douglas Frechtling
Download or read book Forecasting Tourism Demand written by Douglas Frechtling and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2012-05-23 with total page 279 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 'Forecasting tourism demand' is a text that no tourism professional can afford to be without. The tourism industry has experienced an overwhelming boom over recent years, and being able to predict future trends as accurately as possible is vital in the struggle to stay one step ahead of the competition. Building on the success of 'Practical Tourism Forecasting' this text looks at 13 methods of forecasting and with a user friendly style, 'Forecasting Tourism Demand' guides the reader through each method, highlighting its strengths and weaknesses and explaining how it can be applied to the tourism industry. 'Forecasting Tourism Demand' employs charts and tables to explain how to: * plan a forecasting project * analyse time series and other information * select the appropriate forecasting model * use the model for forecasting and evaluate its results Ideal for marketing managers and strategic planners in business, transportation planners and economic policy makers in government who must project demand for their products among tourists. Executives who rely on forecasts prepared by others will find it invaluable in assisting them to evaluate the validity and reliability of predictions and forecasts. Those engaged in analysing business trends will find it useful in surveying the future of what has been called the largest industry in the world.
Book Synopsis Tourism Demand Modelling and Forecasting by : Haiyan Song
Download or read book Tourism Demand Modelling and Forecasting written by Haiyan Song and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2012-08-21 with total page 183 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The phenomenal growth of both the world-wide tourism industry and academic interest in tourism over the last thirty years has generated great interest in tourism demand modelling and forecasting from both sectors. However, the tendency for researchers and practitioners engaged in quantitative causal tourism modelling and forecasting to run many regression equations and try to choose the 'best' model based on various parametric and non-parametric criteria has been widely criticised as failing to provide credible results. The aim of this book is to present the recent advances in econometric modelling methodology within the context of tourism demand analysis at a level that is accessible to non-specialists, and to illustrate these new developments with actual tourism applications. The book begins with an introduction to the fundamentals of tourism demand analysis, before addressing the problems of traditional tourism demand modelling and forecasting, i.e. data mining and spurious regression due to common trends in the time series. Three chapters explore the general-to-specific approach to tourism demand modelling and forecasting, including the use of autoregressive distributed lag processes, cointegration analysis and error correction models. The time varying parameter model together with the use of the Kalman filter as an estimation method is a useful tool for examining the effects of regime shifts on tourism demand elasticities: this is explored next. The panel data approach is introduced as a way of overcoming the problem of estimation and forecasting biases caused by insufficient time series data. The book concludes by evaluating the empirical forecasting performance of the various models and putting forward some general conclusions.
Book Synopsis Tourism Forecasting and Marketing by : Kevin Wong
Download or read book Tourism Forecasting and Marketing written by Kevin Wong and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2012-10-12 with total page 160 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Stay up to date with the most effective practices in tourism demand forecasting! Tourism Forecasting and Marketing presents vital, up-to-date research on the latest practice and applications of tourism demand modeling and forecasting. The book addresses both econometric and time series approaches to forecasting, focusing on the concepts, model specification, data analysis, and methodologies used in day-to-day tourism planning. An international panel of practitioners and academics call on a diverse range of empirical research findings to discuss commonly used theoretical frameworks for forecasting and future directions tourism demand is likely to take. Tourism Forecasting and Marketing presents research findings from the United States, the United Kingdom, Asia, and Australia that are invaluable for guiding government and private sector tourism investment and development decisions. The book addresses traditional versus modern forecasting techniques; evaluations of current and past forecasting methods; modeling and forecasting destination choice; and the impact of forecasting and marketing on tourism demand. Topics include: using time series models to forecast inbound tourism demand for China and Greece determining the economic factors that influence tourism demand in Hong Kong, Indonesia, and Malaysia examining domestic travel expenditures in South Korea developing a model to forecast ski tourism using the Palmore cohort analysis for tourism forecasting and much more! Tourism Forecasting and Marketing is an important textbook for educators and students working in tourism policy planning and management, and tourism marketing. The book is equally effective as a reference for travel and tourism researchers, and for professionals dealing with tourism demand analysis and forecasting.
Book Synopsis The Advanced Econometrics of Tourism Demand by : Haiyan Song
Download or read book The Advanced Econometrics of Tourism Demand written by Haiyan Song and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2008-12-09 with total page 234 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Tourism demand is the foundation on which all tourism-related business decisions ultimately rest. This book introduces students, researchers and practitioners to the modern developments in advanced econometric methodology within the context of tourism demand analysis and illustrates these developments with actual tourism applications.
Book Synopsis Econometric Modelling and Forecasting of Tourism Demand by : Doris Chenguang Wu
Download or read book Econometric Modelling and Forecasting of Tourism Demand written by Doris Chenguang Wu and published by Taylor & Francis. This book was released on 2022-10-27 with total page 327 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This insightful and timely volume provides a succinct, expert-led introduction to the latest developments in advanced econometric methodologies in the context of tourism demand modelling and forecasting. Written by a plethora of worldwide experts on this topic, this book offers a comprehensive approach to tourism econometrics. Accurate demand forecasts are crucial to decision-making in the tourism industry and this book provides real-life tourism applications and the corresponding R code alongside theoretical foundations, in order to enhance understanding and practice amongst its readers. The methodologies introduced include general to specific modelling, cointegration, vector autoregression, time-varying parameter modelling, spatiotemporal econometric models, mixed-frequency forecasting, hybrid forecasting models, forecasting combination techniques, density forecasting, judgemental forecasting, scenario forecasting under crisis, and web-based tourism forecasting. Embellished with insightful figures and tables throughout, this book is an invaluable resource for those using advanced econometric methodologies in their studies and research, including both undergraduate and postgraduate students, researchers, and practitioners.
Book Synopsis Strategic Management in Tourism, 3rd Edition. CABI Tourism Texts by : Luiz Moutinho
Download or read book Strategic Management in Tourism, 3rd Edition. CABI Tourism Texts written by Luiz Moutinho and published by CABI. This book was released on 2018-02-26 with total page 380 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This comprehensive textbook has, at its core, the importance of linking strategic thinking with action in the management of tourism. It provides an analytical evaluation of the most important global trends, as well as an analysis of the impact of crucial environmental issues and their implications. Now in its third edition, and reviewing the major factors affecting international tourism management, this well-established student resource provides an essential overview of strategic management for students and professionals in the tourism sector.
Book Synopsis Handbook of Research on Smart Technology Models for Business and Industry by : Thomas, J. Joshua
Download or read book Handbook of Research on Smart Technology Models for Business and Industry written by Thomas, J. Joshua and published by IGI Global. This book was released on 2020-06-19 with total page 520 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Advances in machine learning techniques and ever-increasing computing power has helped create a new generation of hardware and software technologies with practical applications for nearly every industry. As the progress has, in turn, excited the interest of venture investors, technology firms, and a growing number of clients, implementing intelligent automation in both physical and information systems has become a must in business. Handbook of Research on Smart Technology Models for Business and Industry is an essential reference source that discusses relevant abstract frameworks and the latest experimental research findings in theory, mathematical models, software applications, and prototypes in the area of smart technologies. Featuring research on topics such as digital security, renewable energy, and intelligence management, this book is ideally designed for machine learning specialists, industrial experts, data scientists, researchers, academicians, students, and business professionals seeking coverage on current smart technology models.
Book Synopsis Forecasting: principles and practice by : Rob J Hyndman
Download or read book Forecasting: principles and practice written by Rob J Hyndman and published by OTexts. This book was released on 2018-05-08 with total page 380 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Forecasting is required in many situations. Stocking an inventory may require forecasts of demand months in advance. Telecommunication routing requires traffic forecasts a few minutes ahead. Whatever the circumstances or time horizons involved, forecasting is an important aid in effective and efficient planning. This textbook provides a comprehensive introduction to forecasting methods and presents enough information about each method for readers to use them sensibly.
Book Synopsis Neural Networks in Business Forecasting by : G. Peter Zhang
Download or read book Neural Networks in Business Forecasting written by G. Peter Zhang and published by IGI Global. This book was released on 2004-01-01 with total page 311 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Forecasting is one of the most important activities that form the basis for strategic, tactical, and operational decisions in all business organizations. Recently, neural networks have emerged as an important tool for business forecasting. There are considerable interests and applications in forecasting using neural networks. Neural Networks in Business Forecasting provides for researchers and practitioners some recent advances in applying neural networks to business forecasting. A number of case studies demonstrating the innovative or successful applications of neural networks to many areas of business as well as methods to improve neural network forecasting performance are presented.
Book Synopsis Tourism Demand Modelling and Forecasting by : Sikha Pratap
Download or read book Tourism Demand Modelling and Forecasting written by Sikha Pratap and published by . This book was released on 2023 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Modeling and Forecasting Monthly Tourism Arrivals to Aruba Since COVID-19 Pandemic by : Olga Bespalova
Download or read book Modeling and Forecasting Monthly Tourism Arrivals to Aruba Since COVID-19 Pandemic written by Olga Bespalova and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2022-11-11 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper improves short-term forecasting models of monthly tourism arrivals by estimating and evaluating a time-series model with exogenous regressors (ARIMA-X) using a case of Aruba, a small open tourism-dependent economy. Given importance of the US market for Aruba, it investigates informational value of Google Searches originating in the USA, flight capacity utilization on the US air-carriers, and per capita demand of the US consumers, given the volatility index in stock markets (VIX). It yields several insights. First, flight capacity is the best variable to account for the travel restrictions during the pandemic. Second, US real personal consumption expenditure becomes a more significnat predictor than income as the former better captured impact of the COVID-19 restrictions on the consumers’ behavior, while income boosted by the pandemic fiscal support was not fully directed to spending. Third, intercept correction improves the model in the estimation period. Finally, the pandemic changed econometric relationships between the tourism arrivals and their main determinants, and accuracy of the forecast models. Going forward, the analysts should re-estimate the models. Out-of-sample forecasts with 5 percent confidence intervals are produced for 18 months ahead.
Book Synopsis Forecasting Urban Travel by : David E. Boyce
Download or read book Forecasting Urban Travel written by David E. Boyce and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2015-02-27 with total page 661 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Forecasting Urban Travel presents in a non-mathematical way the evolution of methods, models and theories underpinning travel forecasts and policy analysis, from the early urban transportation studies of the 1950s to current applications throughout the
Book Synopsis A Disaggregate Travel Demand Model by : Martin Gomm Richards
Download or read book A Disaggregate Travel Demand Model written by Martin Gomm Richards and published by . This book was released on 1975 with total page 180 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Trends in Artificial Intelligence Theory and Applications. Artificial Intelligence Practices by : Hamido Fujita
Download or read book Trends in Artificial Intelligence Theory and Applications. Artificial Intelligence Practices written by Hamido Fujita and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-09-04 with total page 931 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book constitutes the thoroughly refereed proceedings of the 33rd International Conference on Industrial, Engineering and Other Applications of Applied Intelligent Systems, IEA/AIE 2020, held in Kitakyushu, Japan, in September 2020. The 62 full papers and 17 short papers presented were carefully reviewed and selected from 119 submissions. The IEA/AIE 2020 conference will continue the tradition of emphasizing on applications of applied intelligent systems to solve real-life problems in all areas. These areas include are language processing; robotics and drones; knowledge based systems; innovative applications of intelligent systems; industrial applications; networking applications; social network analysis; financial applications and blockchain; medical and health-related applications; anomaly detection and automated diagnosis; decision-support and agent-based systems; multimedia applications; machine learning; data management and data clustering; pattern mining; system control, classification, and fault diagnosis.
Book Synopsis Tourist Destination Management by : Nazmi Kozak
Download or read book Tourist Destination Management written by Nazmi Kozak and published by Springer. This book was released on 2019-04-27 with total page 323 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a wide-ranging overview of the current state of tourist destination management and presents important recent research in the field. Contemporary theoretical and methodological approaches to management and marketing are discussed, and innovative practices with respect to both urban and rural destinations are described with the aid of many interesting case studies from across Europe and beyond. In addition, the volume addresses key issues such as governance, cooperation, the use of social media, and sustainability. A variety of influences on tourism development are examined, and efficient strategies for making destinations distinct are explored. The book will be a welcome addition and update to the existing literature and will be of interest to academics and practitioners alike.
