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Measuring And Predicting Turning Points Using A Dynamic Bi Factor Model
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Book Synopsis Measuring and Predicting Turning Points Using a Dynamic Bi-Factor Model by : Konstantin A. Kholodilin
Download or read book Measuring and Predicting Turning Points Using a Dynamic Bi-Factor Model written by Konstantin A. Kholodilin and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper a dynamic bi-factor model with Markov-switching is developed to measure and predict turning points. Both common factors have their own cyclical dynamics and their lead-lag relationships are reflected in the transition probabilities matrix. The model is applied to four coincident and four selected leading indicators for the US economy. The bi-factor model stimates that, on average, CLI leads CCI by 7-8 months at both peaks and troughs. The model-derived recession probabilities of CCI and those of CLI with a lag of 9 months capture the NBER business cycle chronology very well. The out-of-sample forecast using CLI successfully detected the latest recession from March to December 2001. This ensures the measurement and prediction of turning points in a precise and timely fashion.
Book Synopsis Dynamic Factor Models by : Siem Jan Koopman
Download or read book Dynamic Factor Models written by Siem Jan Koopman and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2016-01-08 with total page 685 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume explores dynamic factor model specification, asymptotic and finite-sample behavior of parameter estimators, identification, frequentist and Bayesian estimation of the corresponding state space models, and applications.
Book Synopsis Proceedings of the Eighth International Conference on Management Science and Engineering Management by : Jiuping Xu
Download or read book Proceedings of the Eighth International Conference on Management Science and Engineering Management written by Jiuping Xu and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-05-06 with total page 787 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is the Proceedings of the Eighth International Conference on Management Science and Engineering Management (ICMSEM) held from July 25 to 27, 2014 at Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Lisbon, Portugal and organized by International Society of Management Science and Engineering Management (ISMSEM), Sichuan University (Chengdu, China) and Universidade Nova de Lisboa (Lisbon, Portugal). The goals of the conference are to foster international research collaborations in Management Science and Engineering Management as well as to provide a forum to present current findings. A total number of 138 papers from 14 countries are selected for the proceedings by the conference scientific committee through rigorous referee review. The selected papers in the first volume are focused on Intelligent System and Management Science covering areas of Intelligent Systems, Decision Support Systems, Manufacturing and Supply Chain Management.
Book Synopsis Longitudinal Multivariate Psychology by : Emilio Ferrer
Download or read book Longitudinal Multivariate Psychology written by Emilio Ferrer and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2018-10-09 with total page 348 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume presents a collection of chapters focused on the study of multivariate change. As people develop and change, multivariate measurement of that change and analysis of those measures can illuminate the regularities in the trajectories of individual development, as well as time-dependent changes in population averages. As longitudinal data have recently become much more prevalent in psychology and the social sciences, models of change have become increasingly important. This collection focuses on methodological, statistical, and modeling aspects of multivariate change and applications of longitudinal models to the study of psychological processes. The volume is divided into three major sections: Extension of latent change models, Measurement and testing issues in longitudinal modeling, and Novel applications of multivariate longitudinal methodology. It is intended for advanced students and researchers interested in learning about state-of-the-art techniques for longitudinal data analysis, as well as understanding the history and development of such techniques.
Download or read book Nuclear Science Abstracts written by and published by . This book was released on 1975 with total page 1166 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Business Intelligence Success Factors by : Olivia Parr Rud
Download or read book Business Intelligence Success Factors written by Olivia Parr Rud and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2009-04-27 with total page 334 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Over the last few decades, the growth of Business Intelligence has enabled companies to streamline many processes and expand into new markets on an unprecedented scale. New BI technologies are also enabling mass collaboration and innovation. However, implementation of these BI solutions often gives rise to new challenges. Business Intelligence Success Factors shows you how to turn those challenges into opportunities by mastering five key skills. Olivia Parr Rud shares insights gained from her two decades of experience in Business Intelligence to offer the latest practices that are emerging in organizational development. Written to help enhance your understanding of the current business climate and to provide the tools necessary to thrive in this new global economy, Business Intelligence Success Factors examines the components of chaos theory, complex adaptive systems, quantum physics, and evolutionary biology. A scientific framework for these new corporate issues helps explain why developing these key competencies are critical, given the speed of change, globalization, as well as advancements in technology and Business Intelligence. Divided into four cohesive parts, Business Intelligence Success Factors explores: The current business landscape as well as the latest scientific research: today's business realities and how and why they can lead to chaos New scientific models for viewing the global economy The five essential competencies Communication, Collaboration, Innovation, Adaptability, and Leadership that improve an organization's ability to leverage the new opportunities in a volatile global economy Profiles of several amazing leaders who are working to make a difference Cutting-edge research and case studies via invited contributors offering a wealth of knowledge and experience Move beyond mere survival to realize breakaway success in the global economy with the practical guidance found in Business Intelligence Success Factors.
Download or read book Energy Research Abstracts written by and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page 1684 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Applied mechanics reviews written by and published by . This book was released on 1948 with total page 400 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Dynamic Models in Biology by : Stephen P. Ellner
Download or read book Dynamic Models in Biology written by Stephen P. Ellner and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2011-09-19 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From controlling disease outbreaks to predicting heart attacks, dynamic models are increasingly crucial for understanding biological processes. Many universities are starting undergraduate programs in computational biology to introduce students to this rapidly growing field. In Dynamic Models in Biology, the first text on dynamic models specifically written for undergraduate students in the biological sciences, ecologist Stephen Ellner and mathematician John Guckenheimer teach students how to understand, build, and use dynamic models in biology. Developed from a course taught by Ellner and Guckenheimer at Cornell University, the book is organized around biological applications, with mathematics and computing developed through case studies at the molecular, cellular, and population levels. The authors cover both simple analytic models--the sort usually found in mathematical biology texts--and the complex computational models now used by both biologists and mathematicians. Linked to a Web site with computer-lab materials and exercises, Dynamic Models in Biology is a major new introduction to dynamic models for students in the biological sciences, mathematics, and engineering.
Book Synopsis Business Cycles by : Francis X. Diebold
Download or read book Business Cycles written by Francis X. Diebold and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 1999-04-12 with total page 442 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Table of Contents
Book Synopsis Integration Challenges for Analytics, Business Intelligence, and Data Mining by : Azevedo, Ana
Download or read book Integration Challenges for Analytics, Business Intelligence, and Data Mining written by Azevedo, Ana and published by IGI Global. This book was released on 2020-12-11 with total page 250 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As technology continues to advance, it is critical for businesses to implement systems that can support the transformation of data into information that is crucial for the success of the company. Without the integration of data (both structured and unstructured) mining in business intelligence systems, invaluable knowledge is lost. However, there are currently many different models and approaches that must be explored to determine the best method of integration. Integration Challenges for Analytics, Business Intelligence, and Data Mining is a relevant academic book that provides empirical research findings on increasing the understanding of using data mining in the context of business intelligence and analytics systems. Covering topics that include big data, artificial intelligence, and decision making, this book is an ideal reference source for professionals working in the areas of data mining, business intelligence, and analytics; data scientists; IT specialists; managers; researchers; academicians; practitioners; and graduate students.
Book Synopsis Interpretable Machine Learning by : Christoph Molnar
Download or read book Interpretable Machine Learning written by Christoph Molnar and published by Lulu.com. This book was released on 2020 with total page 320 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is about making machine learning models and their decisions interpretable. After exploring the concepts of interpretability, you will learn about simple, interpretable models such as decision trees, decision rules and linear regression. Later chapters focus on general model-agnostic methods for interpreting black box models like feature importance and accumulated local effects and explaining individual predictions with Shapley values and LIME. All interpretation methods are explained in depth and discussed critically. How do they work under the hood? What are their strengths and weaknesses? How can their outputs be interpreted? This book will enable you to select and correctly apply the interpretation method that is most suitable for your machine learning project.
Book Synopsis Dynamic Factor Models by : Jörg Breitung
Download or read book Dynamic Factor Models written by Jörg Breitung and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Factor Graphs for Robot Perception by : Frank Dellaert
Download or read book Factor Graphs for Robot Perception written by Frank Dellaert and published by . This book was released on 2017-08-15 with total page 162 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Reviews the use of factor graphs for the modeling and solving of large-scale inference problems in robotics. Factor graphs are introduced as an economical representation within which to formulate the different inference problems, setting the stage for the subsequent sections on practical methods to solve them.
Book Synopsis Publications of the National Bureau of Standards ... Catalog by : United States. National Bureau of Standards
Download or read book Publications of the National Bureau of Standards ... Catalog written by United States. National Bureau of Standards and published by . This book was released on 1986 with total page 396 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Fundamentals of Predictive Analytics with JMP, Second Edition by : Ron Klimberg
Download or read book Fundamentals of Predictive Analytics with JMP, Second Edition written by Ron Klimberg and published by SAS Institute. This book was released on 2017-12-19 with total page 406 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Going beyond the theoretical foundation, this step-by-step book gives you the technical knowledge and problem-solving skills that you need to perform real-world multivariate data analysis. --
Book Synopsis Scientific and Technical Aerospace Reports by :
Download or read book Scientific and Technical Aerospace Reports written by and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 312 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
