Markov Switching And Long Memory

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Long Memory and Regime Switching

Author : Francis X. Diebold
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 64 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (321 download)

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Book Synopsis Long Memory and Regime Switching by : Francis X. Diebold

Download or read book Long Memory and Regime Switching written by Francis X. Diebold and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The theoretical and empirical econometric literatures on long memory and regime switching have evolved largely independently, as the phenomena appear distinct. We argue, in contrast, that they are intimately related, and we substantiate our claim in several environments, including a simple mixture model, Engle and Lee's (1999) stochastic permanent break model, and Hamilton's (1989) Markov switching model. In particular, we show analytically that stochastic regime switching is easily confused with long memory, even asymptotically, so long as only a small' amount of regime switching occurs, in a sense that we make precise. A Monte Carlo analysis supports the relevance of the theory and produces additional insights.

Long Memory in Economics

Author : Gilles Teyssière
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3540346252
Total Pages : 394 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (43 download)

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Book Synopsis Long Memory in Economics by : Gilles Teyssière

Download or read book Long Memory in Economics written by Gilles Teyssière and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2006-09-22 with total page 394 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Assembles three different strands of long memory analysis: statistical literature on the properties of, and tests for, LRD processes; mathematical literature on the stochastic processes involved; and models from economic theory providing plausible micro foundations for the occurrence of long memory in economics.

Statistics for Long-Memory Processes

Author : Jan Beran
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 9780412049019
Total Pages : 336 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (49 download)

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Book Synopsis Statistics for Long-Memory Processes by : Jan Beran

Download or read book Statistics for Long-Memory Processes written by Jan Beran and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 1994-10-01 with total page 336 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Statistical Methods for Long Term Memory Processes covers the diverse statistical methods and applications for data with long-range dependence. Presenting material that previously appeared only in journals, the author provides a concise and effective overview of probabilistic foundations, statistical methods, and applications. The material emphasizes basic principles and practical applications and provides an integrated perspective of both theory and practice. This book explores data sets from a wide range of disciplines, such as hydrology, climatology, telecommunications engineering, and high-precision physical measurement. The data sets are conveniently compiled in the index, and this allows readers to view statistical approaches in a practical context. Statistical Methods for Long Term Memory Processes also supplies S-PLUS programs for the major methods discussed. This feature allows the practitioner to apply long memory processes in daily data analysis. For newcomers to the area, the first three chapters provide the basic knowledge necessary for understanding the remainder of the material. To promote selective reading, the author presents the chapters independently. Combining essential methodologies with real-life applications, this outstanding volume is and indispensable reference for statisticians and scientists who analyze data with long-range dependence.

Finite Mixture and Markov Switching Models

Author : Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 0387357688
Total Pages : 506 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (873 download)

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Book Synopsis Finite Mixture and Markov Switching Models by : Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter

Download or read book Finite Mixture and Markov Switching Models written by Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2006-11-24 with total page 506 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The past decade has seen powerful new computational tools for modeling which combine a Bayesian approach with recent Monte simulation techniques based on Markov chains. This book is the first to offer a systematic presentation of the Bayesian perspective of finite mixture modelling. The book is designed to show finite mixture and Markov switching models are formulated, what structures they imply on the data, their potential uses, and how they are estimated. Presenting its concepts informally without sacrificing mathematical correctness, it will serve a wide readership including statisticians as well as biologists, economists, engineers, financial and market researchers.

Informatics Engineering and Information Science, Part II

Author : Azizah Abd Manaf
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642254527
Total Pages : 773 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (422 download)

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Book Synopsis Informatics Engineering and Information Science, Part II by : Azizah Abd Manaf

Download or read book Informatics Engineering and Information Science, Part II written by Azizah Abd Manaf and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2011-10-28 with total page 773 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This 4-Volume-Set, CCIS 0251 - CCIS 0254, constitutes the refereed proceedings of the International Conference on Informatics Engineering and Information Science, ICIEIS 2011, held in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, in November 2011. The 210 revised full papers presented together with invited papers in the 4 volumes were carefully reviewed and selected from numerous submissions. The papers are organized in topical sections on e-learning, information security, software engineering, image processing, algorithms, artificial intelligence and soft computing, e-commerce, data mining, neural networks, social networks, grid computing, biometric technologies, networks, distributed and parallel computing, wireless networks, information and data management, web applications and software systems, multimedia, ad hoc networks, mobile computing, as well as miscellaneous topics in digital information and communications.

Markov Chain Monte Carlo in Practice

Author : W.R. Gilks
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1482214970
Total Pages : 505 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (822 download)

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Book Synopsis Markov Chain Monte Carlo in Practice by : W.R. Gilks

Download or read book Markov Chain Monte Carlo in Practice written by W.R. Gilks and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 1995-12-01 with total page 505 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In a family study of breast cancer, epidemiologists in Southern California increase the power for detecting a gene-environment interaction. In Gambia, a study helps a vaccination program reduce the incidence of Hepatitis B carriage. Archaeologists in Austria place a Bronze Age site in its true temporal location on the calendar scale. And in France,

S. Co. 2009. Sixth Conference. Complex Data Modeling and Computationally Intensive Statistical Methods for Estimation and Prediction

Author :
Publisher : Maggioli Editore
ISBN 13 : 8838743851
Total Pages : 493 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (387 download)

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Book Synopsis S. Co. 2009. Sixth Conference. Complex Data Modeling and Computationally Intensive Statistical Methods for Estimation and Prediction by :

Download or read book S. Co. 2009. Sixth Conference. Complex Data Modeling and Computationally Intensive Statistical Methods for Estimation and Prediction written by and published by Maggioli Editore. This book was released on 2009 with total page 493 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Markov Processes for Stochastic Modeling

Author : Oliver Ibe
Publisher : Newnes
ISBN 13 : 0124078397
Total Pages : 515 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (24 download)

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Book Synopsis Markov Processes for Stochastic Modeling by : Oliver Ibe

Download or read book Markov Processes for Stochastic Modeling written by Oliver Ibe and published by Newnes. This book was released on 2013-05-22 with total page 515 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Markov processes are processes that have limited memory. In particular, their dependence on the past is only through the previous state. They are used to model the behavior of many systems including communications systems, transportation networks, image segmentation and analysis, biological systems and DNA sequence analysis, random atomic motion and diffusion in physics, social mobility, population studies, epidemiology, animal and insect migration, queueing systems, resource management, dams, financial engineering, actuarial science, and decision systems. Covering a wide range of areas of application of Markov processes, this second edition is revised to highlight the most important aspects as well as the most recent trends and applications of Markov processes. The author spent over 16 years in the industry before returning to academia, and he has applied many of the principles covered in this book in multiple research projects. Therefore, this is an applications-oriented book that also includes enough theory to provide a solid ground in the subject for the reader. - Presents both the theory and applications of the different aspects of Markov processes - Includes numerous solved examples as well as detailed diagrams that make it easier to understand the principle being presented - Discusses different applications of hidden Markov models, such as DNA sequence analysis and speech analysis.

Multifractal Volatility

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Author : Laurent E. Calvet
Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 0080559964
Total Pages : 273 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (85 download)

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Book Synopsis Multifractal Volatility by : Laurent E. Calvet

Download or read book Multifractal Volatility written by Laurent E. Calvet and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2008-10-13 with total page 273 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Calvet and Fisher present a powerful, new technique for volatility forecasting that draws on insights from the use of multifractals in the natural sciences and mathematics and provides a unified treatment of the use of multifractal techniques in finance. A large existing literature (e.g., Engle, 1982; Rossi, 1995) models volatility as an average of past shocks, possibly with a noise component. This approach often has difficulty capturing sharp discontinuities and large changes in financial volatility. Their research has shown the advantages of modelling volatility as subject to abrupt regime changes of heterogeneous durations. Using the intuition that some economic phenomena are long-lasting while others are more transient, they permit regimes to have varying degrees of persistence. By drawing on insights from the use of multifractals in the natural sciences and mathematics, they show how to construct high-dimensional regime-switching models that are easy to estimate, and substantially outperform some of the best traditional forecasting models such as GARCH. The goal of Multifractal Volatility is to popularize the approach by presenting these exciting new developments to a wider audience. They emphasize both theoretical and empirical applications, beginning with a style that is easily accessible and intuitive in early chapters, and extending to the most rigorous continuous-time and equilibrium pricing formulations in final chapters. - Presents a powerful new technique for forecasting volatility - Leads the reader intuitively from existing volatility techniques to the frontier of research in this field by top scholars at major universities - The first comprehensive book on multifractal techniques in finance, a cutting-edge field of research

The Oxford Handbook of Computational Economics and Finance

Author : Shu-Heng Chen
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0190877502
Total Pages : 785 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (98 download)

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Book Synopsis The Oxford Handbook of Computational Economics and Finance by : Shu-Heng Chen

Download or read book The Oxford Handbook of Computational Economics and Finance written by Shu-Heng Chen and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2018-01-12 with total page 785 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Oxford Handbook of Computational Economics and Finance provides a survey of both the foundations of and recent advances in the frontiers of analysis and action. It is both historically and interdisciplinarily rich and also tightly connected to the rise of digital society. It begins with the conventional view of computational economics, including recent algorithmic development in computing rational expectations, volatility, and general equilibrium. It then moves from traditional computing in economics and finance to recent developments in natural computing, including applications of nature-inspired intelligence, genetic programming, swarm intelligence, and fuzzy logic. Also examined are recent developments of network and agent-based computing in economics. How these approaches are applied is examined in chapters on such subjects as trading robots and automated markets. The last part deals with the epistemology of simulation in its trinity form with the integration of simulation, computation, and dynamics. Distinctive is the focus on natural computationalism and the examination of the implications of intelligent machines for the future of computational economics and finance. Not merely individual robots, but whole integrated systems are extending their "immigration" to the world of Homo sapiens, or symbiogenesis.

The Economy As An Evolving Complex System II

Author : W. Brian Arthur
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 0429976267
Total Pages : 437 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (299 download)

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Book Synopsis The Economy As An Evolving Complex System II by : W. Brian Arthur

Download or read book The Economy As An Evolving Complex System II written by W. Brian Arthur and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2018-05-04 with total page 437 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A new view of the economy as an evolving, complex system has been pioneered at the Santa Fe Institute over the last ten years, This volume is a collection of articles that shape and define this view?a view of the economy as emerging from the interactions of individual agents whose behavior constantly evolves, whose strategies and actions are always adapting.The traditional framework in economics portrays activity within an equilibrium steady state. The interacting agents in the economy are typically homogenous, solve well-defined problems using perfect rationality, and act within given legal and social structures. The complexity approach, by contrast, sees economic activity as continually changing?continually in process. The interacting agents are typically heterogeneous, they must cognitively interpret the problems they face, and together they create the structures?markets, legal and social institutions, price patters, expectations?to which they individually react. Such structures may never settle down. Agents may forever adapt and explore and evolve their behaviors within structures that continually emerge and change and disappear?structures these behaviors co-create. This complexity approach does not replace the equilibrium one?it complements it.The papers here collected originated at a recent conference at the Santa Fe Institute, which was called to follow up the well-known 1987 SFI conference organized by Philip Anderson, Kenneth Arrow, and David Pines. They survey the new study of complexity and the economy. They apply this approach to real economic problems and they show the extent to which the initial vision of the 1987 conference has come to fruition.

Non-Linear Time Series Models in Empirical Finance

Author : Philip Hans Franses
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 0521770416
Total Pages : 299 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (217 download)

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Book Synopsis Non-Linear Time Series Models in Empirical Finance by : Philip Hans Franses

Download or read book Non-Linear Time Series Models in Empirical Finance written by Philip Hans Franses and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2000-07-27 with total page 299 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This 2000 volume reviews non-linear time series models, and their applications to financial markets.

Hidden Markov Models in Finance

Author : Rogemar S. Mamon
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 0387711635
Total Pages : 203 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (877 download)

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Book Synopsis Hidden Markov Models in Finance by : Rogemar S. Mamon

Download or read book Hidden Markov Models in Finance written by Rogemar S. Mamon and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-04-26 with total page 203 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A number of methodologies have been employed to provide decision making solutions globalized markets. Hidden Markov Models in Finance offers the first systematic application of these methods to specialized financial problems: option pricing, credit risk modeling, volatility estimation and more. The book provides tools for sorting through turbulence, volatility, emotion, chaotic events – the random "noise" of financial markets – to analyze core components.

Markov Chains and Stochastic Stability

Author : Sean Meyn
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 0521731828
Total Pages : 623 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (217 download)

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Book Synopsis Markov Chains and Stochastic Stability by : Sean Meyn

Download or read book Markov Chains and Stochastic Stability written by Sean Meyn and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2009-04-02 with total page 623 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: New up-to-date edition of this influential classic on Markov chains in general state spaces. Proofs are rigorous and concise, the range of applications is broad and knowledgeable, and key ideas are accessible to practitioners with limited mathematical background. New commentary by Sean Meyn, including updated references, reflects developments since 1996.

Advances in Electric Power and Energy Systems

Author : Mohamed E. El-Hawary
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118171349
Total Pages : 341 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (181 download)

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Book Synopsis Advances in Electric Power and Energy Systems by : Mohamed E. El-Hawary

Download or read book Advances in Electric Power and Energy Systems written by Mohamed E. El-Hawary and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2017-07-12 with total page 341 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive review of state-of-the-art approaches to power systems forecasting from the most respected names in the field, internationally Advances in Electric Power and Energy Systems is the first book devoted exclusively to a subject of increasing urgency to power systems planning and operations. Written for practicing engineers, researchers, and post-grads concerned with power systems planning and forecasting, this book brings together contributions from many of the world’s foremost names in the field who address a range of critical issues, from forecasting power system load to power system pricing to post-storm service restoration times, river flow forecasting, and more. In a time of ever-increasing energy demands, mounting concerns over the environmental impacts of power generation, and the emergence of new, smart-grid technologies, electricity price forecasting has assumed a prominent role within both the academic and industrial arenas. Short-run forecasting of electricity prices has become necessary for power generation unit schedule, since it is the basis of every maximization strategy. This book fills a gap in the literature on this increasingly important topic. Following an introductory chapter offering background information necessary for a full understanding of the forecasting issues covered, this book: Introduces advanced methods of time series forecasting, as well as neural networks Provides in-depth coverage of state-of-the-art power system load forecasting and electricity price forecasting Addresses river flow forecasting based on autonomous neural network models Deals with price forecasting in a competitive market Includes estimation of post-storm restoration times for electric power distribution systems Features contributions from world-renowned experts sharing their insights and expertise in a series of self-contained chapters Advances in Electric Power and Energy Systems is a valuable resource for practicing engineers, regulators, planners, and consultants working in or concerned with the electric power industry. It is also a must read for senior undergraduates, graduate students, and researchers involved in power system planning and operation.

Proceedings of the European Conference on Complex Systems 2012

Author : Thomas Gilbert
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 331900395X
Total Pages : 1030 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (19 download)

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Book Synopsis Proceedings of the European Conference on Complex Systems 2012 by : Thomas Gilbert

Download or read book Proceedings of the European Conference on Complex Systems 2012 written by Thomas Gilbert and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-08-15 with total page 1030 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The European Conference on Complex Systems, held under the patronage of the Complex Systems Society, is an annual event that has become the leading European conference devoted to complexity science. ECCS'12, its ninth edition, took place in Brussels, during the first week of September 2012. It gathered about 650 scholars representing a wide range of topics relating to complex systems research, with emphasis on interdisciplinary approaches. More specifically, the following tracks were covered: 1. Foundations of Complex Systems 2. Complexity, Information and Computation 3. Prediction, Policy and Planning, Environment 4. Biological Complexity 5. Interacting Populations, Collective Behavior 6. Social Systems, Economics and Finance This book contains a selection of the contributions presented at the conference and its satellite meetings. Its contents reflect the extent, diversity and richness of research areas in the field, both fundamental and applied.

Nonlinear Financial Econometrics: Markov Switching Models, Persistence and Nonlinear Cointegration

Author : Greg N. Gregoriou
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 0230295215
Total Pages : 214 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (32 download)

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Book Synopsis Nonlinear Financial Econometrics: Markov Switching Models, Persistence and Nonlinear Cointegration by : Greg N. Gregoriou

Download or read book Nonlinear Financial Econometrics: Markov Switching Models, Persistence and Nonlinear Cointegration written by Greg N. Gregoriou and published by Springer. This book was released on 2010-12-08 with total page 214 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book proposes new methods to value equity and model the Markowitz efficient frontier using Markov switching models and provide new evidence and solutions to capture the persistence observed in stock returns across developed and emerging markets.