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Macroeconomic Effects Of Tax Rate And Base Changes Evidence From Fiscal Consolidations
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Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Effects of Tax Rate and Base Changes: Evidence from Fiscal Consolidations by : Ms.Era Dabla-Norris
Download or read book Macroeconomic Effects of Tax Rate and Base Changes: Evidence from Fiscal Consolidations written by Ms.Era Dabla-Norris and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-09-28 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the macroeconomic effects of tax changes during fiscal consolidations. We build a new narrative dataset of tax changes during fiscal consolidation years, containing detailed information on the expected revenue impact, motivation, and announcement and implementation dates of nearly 2,500 tax measures across 10 OECD countries. We analyze the macroeconomic impact of tax changes, distinguishing between tax rate and tax base changes, and further separating between changes in personal income, corporate income, and value added tax. Our results suggest that base broadening during fiscal consolidations leads to smaller output and employment declines compared to rate hikes, even when distinguishing between tax types.
Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Effects of Tax Rate and Base Changes by : Frederico Lima
Download or read book Macroeconomic Effects of Tax Rate and Base Changes written by Frederico Lima and published by . This book was released on 2022 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the macroeconomic effects of tax changes during fiscal consolidations. We build a new narrative dataset of tax changes during fiscal consolidation years, containing detailed information on the expected yield, motivation, and announcement and implementation dates of more than 2,000 tax measures across 10 OECD countries. Using this data, we then analyze the macroeconomic impact of tax changes, distinguishing between tax rate and tax base changes, and further differentiating between changes in personal income, corporate income, and value added taxes. Our results suggest that base broadening during fiscal consolidations leads to smaller output and employment declines compared to rate hikes, even when distinguishing between tax types.
Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Effects of Tax Rates and Base Changes by : Era Dabla-Norris
Download or read book Macroeconomic Effects of Tax Rates and Base Changes written by Era Dabla-Norris and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the macroeconomic effects of tax changes during fiscal consolidations. We build a new narrative dataset of tax changes during fiscal consolidation years, containing detailed information on the expected revenue impact, motivation, and announcement and implementation dates of nearly 2,500 tax measures across 10 OECD countries. We analyze the macroeconomic impact of tax changes, distinguishing between tax rate and tax base changes, and further separating between changes in personal income, corporate income, and value added tax. Our results suggest that base broadening during fiscal consolidations leads to smaller output and employment declines compared to rate hikes, even when distinguishing between tax types.
Book Synopsis The Fiscal State-Dependent Effects of Capital Income Tax Cuts by : Alexandra Fotiou
Download or read book The Fiscal State-Dependent Effects of Capital Income Tax Cuts written by Alexandra Fotiou and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2020-05-29 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using the post-WWII data of U.S. federal corporate income tax changes, within a Smooth Transition VAR, this paper finds that the output effect of capital income tax cuts is government debt-dependent: it is less expansionary when debt is high than when it is low. To explore the mechanisms that can drive this fiscal state-dependent tax effect, the paper uses a DSGE model with regime-switching fiscal policy and finds that a capital income tax cut is stimulative to the extent that it is unlikely to result in a future fiscal adjustment. As government debt increases to a sufficiently high level, the probability of future fiscal adjustments starts rising, and the expansionary effects of a capital income tax cut can diminish substantially, whether the expected adjustments are through a policy reversal or a consumption tax increase. Also, a capital income tax cut need not always have large revenue feedback effects as suggested in the literature.
Book Synopsis Tax Reforms and Fiscal Shock Smoothing by : Mr.David Amaglobeli
Download or read book Tax Reforms and Fiscal Shock Smoothing written by Mr.David Amaglobeli and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-05-23 with total page 29 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the role of tax policy reforms in enhancing fiscal shock smoothing in a panel of 13 OECD economies during the period 1980-2017. The results suggest that tax reforms, in particular those that broaden the tax base, significantly enhance the ability of fiscal policy to mitigate the impact of growth shocks on disposable income. We find that the magnitude of shock smoothing increases from an average of 2 percent to 3-31⁄2 percent following the reform. The effects are considerably higher for tax base than tax rate changes, and also higher for indirect tax than direct tax changes. The effects are symmetric—that is, the increase in shock smoothing following a reform expanding the tax base (rate) is similar to the decline in shock smoothing after a reform narrowing the tax base (rate). Tax elasticity, collection efficiency, and the progressivity of the tax system are important channels through which tax reforms affect fiscal stabilization.
Book Synopsis Fiscal Adjustments by : Daniel Leigh
Download or read book Fiscal Adjustments written by Daniel Leigh and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2007-07 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper analyzes the determinants of success of recent fiscal consolidations in the OECD countries as well as the short-run and long-run effects of fiscal adjustments on economic activity by looking at fourteen case studies, panel data for OECD countries, and the results of simulations using a non-Ricardian multi-country dynamic general equilibrium model. The study finds that while fiscal consolidations tend to have short-run contractionary effects, they can be expansionary in the long run, provided that they do not rely excessively on cuts in productive government expenditure. They can also create positive spillover effects for the rest of the world.
Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Effects of Tax Rate and Base Changes: Evidence from Fiscal Consolidations by : Ms.Era Dabla-Norris
Download or read book Macroeconomic Effects of Tax Rate and Base Changes: Evidence from Fiscal Consolidations written by Ms.Era Dabla-Norris and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-10-01 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the macroeconomic effects of tax changes during fiscal consolidations. We build a new narrative dataset of tax changes during fiscal consolidation years, containing detailed information on the expected revenue impact, motivation, and announcement and implementation dates of nearly 2,500 tax measures across 10 OECD countries. We analyze the macroeconomic impact of tax changes, distinguishing between tax rate and tax base changes, and further separating between changes in personal income, corporate income, and value added tax. Our results suggest that base broadening during fiscal consolidations leads to smaller output and employment declines compared to rate hikes, even when distinguishing between tax types.
Book Synopsis The Dynamic Macroeconomic Effects of Tax Policy in an Overlapping Generations Model by : Ms.Jenny Elisabeth Ligthart
Download or read book The Dynamic Macroeconomic Effects of Tax Policy in an Overlapping Generations Model written by Ms.Jenny Elisabeth Ligthart and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1998-12-01 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper studies the dynamic allocation effects of tax policy in the context of an overlapping generations model of the Blanchard-Yaari type. The model is extended to allow for endogenous labor supply and three tax instruments: a capital income tax, labor income tax, and consumption tax. Analytical expressions and simple diagrams are used to discuss the impact, transition, and long-run effects of tax policy changes. It is shown that a part of the long-run incidence of capital and consumption taxes falls on capital when households’ horizons are finite, whereas labor would fully bear the burden of these taxes in an infinite horizon model.
Book Synopsis The Macroeconomic Effects of Tax Changes by : Christina Romer
Download or read book The Macroeconomic Effects of Tax Changes written by Christina Romer and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates the impact of changes in the level of taxation on economic activity. We use the narrative record -- presidential speeches, executive-branch documents, and Congressional reports -- to identify the size, timing, and principal motivation for all major postwar tax policy actions. This narrative analysis allows us to separate revenue changes resulting from legislation from changes occurring for other reasons. It also allows us to further separate legislated changes into those taken for reasons related to prospective economic conditions, such as countercyclical actions and tax changes tied to changes in government spending, and those taken for more exogenous reasons, such as to reduce an inherited budget deficit or to promote long-run growth. We then examine the behavior of output following these more exogenous legislated changes. The resulting estimates indicate that tax increases are highly contractionary. The effects are strongly significant, highly robust, and much larger than those obtained using broader measures of tax changes. The large effect stems in considerable part from a powerful negative effect of tax increases on investment. We also find that legislated tax increases designed to reduce a persistent budget deficit appear to have much smaller output costs than other tax increases.
Book Synopsis The Macroeconomic Effects of Tax Changes by : Christina D. Romer
Download or read book The Macroeconomic Effects of Tax Changes written by Christina D. Romer and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 71 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates the impact of changes in the level of taxation on economic activity. We use the narrative record -- presidential speeches, executive-branch documents, and Congressional reports -- to identify the size, timing, and principal motivation for all major postwar tax policy actions. This narrative analysis allows us to separate revenue changes resulting from legislation from changes occurring for other reasons. It also allows us to further separate legislated changes into those taken for reasons related to prospective economic conditions, such as countercyclical actions and tax changes tied to changes in government spending, and those taken for more exogenous reasons, such as to reduce an inherited budget deficit or to promote long-run growth. We then examine the behavior of output following these more exogenous legislated changes. The resulting estimates indicate that tax increases are highly contractionary. The effects are strongly significant, highly robust, and much larger than those obtained using broader measures of tax changes. The large effect stems in considerable part from a powerful negative effect of tax increases on investment. We also find that legislated tax increases designed to reduce a persistent budget deficit appear to have much smaller output costs than other tax increases.
Book Synopsis The Impact of Macroeconomic Policieson the Level of Taxation (andon the Fiscal Balance) in Developing Countries by : Mr.Vito Tanzi
Download or read book The Impact of Macroeconomic Policieson the Level of Taxation (andon the Fiscal Balance) in Developing Countries written by Mr.Vito Tanzi and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1988-10-24 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In recent years the level of taxation of many developing countries has changed dramatically over relatively short periods. These changes are too large and too sudden to attribute fully to a deterioration in tax administration or to changes in the traditional determinants of tax levels. The paper argues that they should be attributed mostly to macroeconomic policies. The paper discusses the connection between tax levels and (a) the real value of the official exchange rate, (b) import substitution policies, (c) trade liberalization, (d) inflation, (e) public debt, (f) financial policies. The paper concludes that more attention should be paid to those relationships and that tax reform should aim at neutralizing some of these effects.
Book Synopsis Macroeconomic and Distributional Effects of Personal Income Tax Reforms by : Mrs.Sandra V Lizarazo Ruiz
Download or read book Macroeconomic and Distributional Effects of Personal Income Tax Reforms written by Mrs.Sandra V Lizarazo Ruiz and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-09-01 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper assesses the macroeconomic and distributional impact of personal income tax (PIT) reforms in the U.S. drawing on a multi-sector heterogenous agents model in which consumers have non-homothetic preferences and sectors differ in terms of their relative labor and skill intensity. The model is calibrated to key characteristics of the US economy. We find that (i) PIT cuts stimulate growth but the supply side effects are never large enough to offset the revenue loss from lower marginal tax rates; (ii) PIT cuts do “trickle-down” the income distribution: tax cuts stimulate demand for non-tradable services which raise the wages and employment prospects of low-skilled workers even if the tax cut is not directly incident on them; (iii) A revenue neutral tax plan that reduces PIT for middle-income groups, raises the consumption tax, and expands the Earned Income Tax Credit can have modestly positive effects on growth while reducing income polarization; (iv) The growth effects from lower income taxes are concentrated in non-tradable service sectors although the increased demand for tradable goods generate positive spillovers to other countries; (v) Tax cuts targeted to higher income groups have a stronger growth impact than tax cuts for middle income households but significantly worsen income polarization, even after taking into account trickle-down effects and an expansion of the Earned Income Tax Credit.
Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Effects of Capital Tax Rate Changes by : Saroj Bhattarai
Download or read book Macroeconomic Effects of Capital Tax Rate Changes written by Saroj Bhattarai and published by . This book was released on 2022 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Growth Experiment by : Lawrence Lindsey
Download or read book The Growth Experiment written by Lawrence Lindsey and published by . This book was released on 1990-05-06 with total page 280 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive assessment of the economic consequences of the Reagan tax cuts ; show how Reagan's "great experiment" permanently changed the nation's tax system.
Book Synopsis Macroeconomic effects from government purchases and taxes by : Robert J. Barro
Download or read book Macroeconomic effects from government purchases and taxes written by Robert J. Barro and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: For U.S. annual data that include WWII, the estimated multiplier for defense spending is 0.6-0.7 at the median unemployment rate. There is some evidence that this multiplier rises with the extent of economic slack and reaches 1.0 when the unemployment rate is around 12%. Multipliers for non-defense purchases cannot be reliably estimated because of the lack of good instruments. For samples that begin in 1950, increases in average marginal income-tax rates (measured by a newly constructed time series) have a significantly negative effect on real GDP. Increases in taxes seem to reduce real GDP with mainly a one-year lag due to income effects and mostly a two-year lag due to substitution (tax-rate) effects. Since the defense-spending multiplier is typically less than one, greater spending tends to crowd out other components of GDP. The largest effects are on private investment, but non-defense purchases and net exports tend also to fall. The response of private consumer expenditure differs insignificantly from zero.
Author :Mr.Santiago Acosta Ormaechea Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :149831418X Total Pages :38 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (983 download)
Book Synopsis The Value Added Tax and Growth: Design Matters by : Mr.Santiago Acosta Ormaechea
Download or read book The Value Added Tax and Growth: Design Matters written by Mr.Santiago Acosta Ormaechea and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-05-07 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Does the design of a tax matter for growth? Assembling a novel dataset for 30 OECD countries over the 1970-2016 period, this paper examines whether the value added tax (VAT) may have different effects on long-run growth depending on whether it is raised through the standard rate or through C-efficiency (a measure of the departure of the VAT from a perfectly enforced tax levied at a single rate on all consumption). Our key findings are twofold. First, for a given total tax revenue, a rise in the VAT, financed by a fall in income taxes, promotes growth only when the VAT is raised through C-efficiency. Second, for a given VAT revenue, a rise in Cefficiency, offset by a fall in the standard rate, also promotes growth. The implication is thus that in OECD countries broadening the VAT base through fewer reduced rates and exemptions is more conducive to higher long-run growth than a rise in the standard rate.
Book Synopsis The Effectiveness of Fiscal Policy in Stimulating Economic Activity by : Richard Hemming
Download or read book The Effectiveness of Fiscal Policy in Stimulating Economic Activity written by Richard Hemming and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2002-12 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper reviews the theoretical and empirical literature on the effectiveness of fiscal policy. The focus is on the size of fiscal multipliers, and on the possibility that multipliers can turn negative (i.e., that fiscal contractions can be expansionary). The paper concludes that fiscal multipliers are overwhelmingly positive but small. However, there is some evidence of negative fiscal multipliers.
