Long Term Projections Of Power Political Economic And Military Forecasting

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Long Term Projections of Power: Political, Economic, and Military Forecasting

Author : Oskar Morgenstern
Publisher : Cambridge, Mass : Ballinger Publishing Company
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 266 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Long Term Projections of Power: Political, Economic, and Military Forecasting by : Oskar Morgenstern

Download or read book Long Term Projections of Power: Political, Economic, and Military Forecasting written by Oskar Morgenstern and published by Cambridge, Mass : Ballinger Publishing Company. This book was released on 1973 with total page 266 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Monograph presenting a critique of long term forecasting techniques operationally useful for predicting the shape of political power and technological capacity in the future - comprises a literature survey of major projections to the year 2000, and examines their relevance to armed forces power, economic systems, environmental problems, research and development efforts, etc. Bibliography pp. 217 to 224, references and statistical tables.

Global Trends 2040

Author : National Intelligence Council
Publisher : Cosimo Reports
ISBN 13 : 9781646794973
Total Pages : 158 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (949 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Trends 2040 by : National Intelligence Council

Download or read book Global Trends 2040 written by National Intelligence Council and published by Cosimo Reports. This book was released on 2021-03 with total page 158 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic marks the most significant, singular global disruption since World War II, with health, economic, political, and security implications that will ripple for years to come." -Global Trends 2040 (2021) Global Trends 2040-A More Contested World (2021), released by the US National Intelligence Council, is the latest report in its series of reports starting in 1997 about megatrends and the world's future. This report, strongly influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic, paints a bleak picture of the future and describes a contested, fragmented and turbulent world. It specifically discusses the four main trends that will shape tomorrow's world: - Demographics-by 2040, 1.4 billion people will be added mostly in Africa and South Asia. - Economics-increased government debt and concentrated economic power will escalate problems for the poor and middleclass. - Climate-a hotter world will increase water, food, and health insecurity. - Technology-the emergence of new technologies could both solve and cause problems for human life. Students of trends, policymakers, entrepreneurs, academics, journalists and anyone eager for a glimpse into the next decades, will find this report, with colored graphs, essential reading.

Long Term Projections of Power

Author : Klaus P. Heiss
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 350 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (227 download)

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Book Synopsis Long Term Projections of Power by : Klaus P. Heiss

Download or read book Long Term Projections of Power written by Klaus P. Heiss and published by . This book was released on 1970 with total page 350 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Techniques of long term projections were evaluated. Among these the most useful tools were identified and applied. Major forecasts are that Japan and Western Europe will be increasingly dependent on outside energy resource support which may induce political/military dependence, and that mainland China is identified as increasingly expansive in economic development, capable of sustaining industrial growth rates between 15 and 20 percent over the next decades, reaching the level of economic development of the 1970 USSR. (Author).

The Tragedy of Great Power Politics (Updated Edition)

Author : John J. Mearsheimer
Publisher : W. W. Norton & Company
ISBN 13 : 0393076245
Total Pages : 572 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (93 download)

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Book Synopsis The Tragedy of Great Power Politics (Updated Edition) by : John J. Mearsheimer

Download or read book The Tragedy of Great Power Politics (Updated Edition) written by John J. Mearsheimer and published by W. W. Norton & Company. This book was released on 2003-01-17 with total page 572 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "A superb book.…Mearsheimer has made a significant contribution to our understanding of the behavior of great powers."—Barry R. Posen, The National Interest The updated edition of this classic treatise on the behavior of great powers takes a penetrating look at the question likely to dominate international relations in the twenty-first century: Can China rise peacefully? In clear, eloquent prose, John Mearsheimer explains why the answer is no: a rising China will seek to dominate Asia, while the United States, determined to remain the world's sole regional hegemon, will go to great lengths to prevent that from happening. The tragedy of great power politics is inescapable.

Global Trends 2030

Author : National Intelligence Council
Publisher : Cosimo Reports
ISBN 13 : 9781646797721
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (977 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Trends 2030 by : National Intelligence Council

Download or read book Global Trends 2030 written by National Intelligence Council and published by Cosimo Reports. This book was released on 2018-02-07 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This important report, Global Trends 2030-Alternative Worlds, released in 2012 by the U.S. National Intelligence Council, describes megatrends and potential game changers for the next decades. Among the megatrends, it analyzes: - increased individual empowerment - the diffusion of power among states and the ascent of a networked multi-polar world - a world's population growing to 8.3 billion people, of which sixty percent will live in urbanized areas, and surging cross-border migration - expanding demand for food, water, and energy It furthermore describes potential game changers, including: - a global economy that could thrive or collapse - increased global insecurity due to regional instability in the Middle East and South Asia - new technologies that could solve the problems caused by the megatrends - the possibility, but by no means the certainty, that the U.S. with new partners will reinvent the international system Students of trends, forward-looking entrepreneurs, academics, journalists and anyone eager for a glimpse into the next decades will find this essential reading.

Global Trends

Author : National Intelligence Council and Office
Publisher : Createspace Independent Publishing Platform
ISBN 13 : 9781543054705
Total Pages : 80 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (547 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Trends by : National Intelligence Council and Office

Download or read book Global Trends written by National Intelligence Council and Office and published by Createspace Independent Publishing Platform. This book was released on 2017-02-17 with total page 80 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This edition of Global Trends revolves around a core argument about how the changing nature of power is increasing stress both within countries and between countries, and bearing on vexing transnational issues. The main section lays out the key trends, explores their implications, and offers up three scenarios to help readers imagine how different choices and developments could play out in very different ways over the next several decades. Two annexes lay out more detail. The first lays out five-year forecasts for each region of the world. The second provides more context on the key global trends in train.

Africa Projected

Author : Timothy M. Shaw
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1349064998
Total Pages : 229 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (49 download)

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Book Synopsis Africa Projected by : Timothy M. Shaw

Download or read book Africa Projected written by Timothy M. Shaw and published by Springer. This book was released on 1985-06-18 with total page 229 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents an original and critical overview of Africa's diverse political economies which takes into account contemporary crises, current analyses, historical insights, and projected problems. In addition to treating new data, it proposes a novel framework for analysis which includes class coalitions as well as contradictions and emphasizes division as well as co-operation within the bourgeoisie and proletariat.

Defence Policy of Nigeria: Capability and Context

Author : Charles Quarker Dokubo
Publisher : AuthorHouse
ISBN 13 : 1456731556
Total Pages : 690 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (567 download)

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Book Synopsis Defence Policy of Nigeria: Capability and Context by : Charles Quarker Dokubo

Download or read book Defence Policy of Nigeria: Capability and Context written by Charles Quarker Dokubo and published by AuthorHouse. This book was released on 2011-01-20 with total page 690 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Reader provides a structurally coherent explanation and review of the magnified role conception and organizational task expansion for the Nigerian military establishment in foreign policy. It argues essentially that one of the most problematic and intractable areas of public policy in Nigeria since the Civil War concerns the development of a professional defence establishment adequate to meet the challenges arising from the altered parameters of iour security environment. The correction of this condition is the primary motivation of the Armed Forces modernization and augmentation program that touches upon all elements of Nigeria's military power. This Reader is at once a review and a critique of the major facets of this modernization and augmentation process of the Nigerian armed forces within the operative context of the changing dimension of threat perception and the strategic parameters that have guided Nigerian military planning since the Civil War in 1970.

China’s Grand Strategy

Author : Andrew Scobell
Publisher : Rand Corporation
ISBN 13 : 1977404200
Total Pages : 155 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (774 download)

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Book Synopsis China’s Grand Strategy by : Andrew Scobell

Download or read book China’s Grand Strategy written by Andrew Scobell and published by Rand Corporation. This book was released on 2020-07-27 with total page 155 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: To explore what extended competition between the United States and China might entail out to 2050, the authors of this report identified and characterized China’s grand strategy, analyzed its component national strategies (diplomacy, economics, science and technology, and military affairs), and assessed how successful China might be at implementing these over the next three decades.

Solar Energy Research and Development

Author : United States. Congress. Joint Committee on Atomic Energy
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 860 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Solar Energy Research and Development by : United States. Congress. Joint Committee on Atomic Energy

Download or read book Solar Energy Research and Development written by United States. Congress. Joint Committee on Atomic Energy and published by . This book was released on 1975 with total page 860 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Hearings and Reports on Atomic Energy

Author : United States. Congress. Joint Committee on Atomic Energy
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 1416 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (828 download)

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Book Synopsis Hearings and Reports on Atomic Energy by : United States. Congress. Joint Committee on Atomic Energy

Download or read book Hearings and Reports on Atomic Energy written by United States. Congress. Joint Committee on Atomic Energy and published by . This book was released on 1975 with total page 1416 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Hearings, Reports and Prints of the Joint Committee on Atomic Energy

Author : United States. Congress. Joint Committee on Atomic Energy
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 942 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (35 download)

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Book Synopsis Hearings, Reports and Prints of the Joint Committee on Atomic Energy by : United States. Congress. Joint Committee on Atomic Energy

Download or read book Hearings, Reports and Prints of the Joint Committee on Atomic Energy written by United States. Congress. Joint Committee on Atomic Energy and published by . This book was released on 1974 with total page 942 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Hegemony and Democracy

Author : Bruce Russett
Publisher : Taylor & Francis
ISBN 13 : 1136818871
Total Pages : 289 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (368 download)

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Book Synopsis Hegemony and Democracy by : Bruce Russett

Download or read book Hegemony and Democracy written by Bruce Russett and published by Taylor & Francis. This book was released on 2011-03-10 with total page 289 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Hegemony and Democracy is constructed around the question of whether hegemony is sustainable, especially when the hegemon is a democratic state. The book draws on earlier publications over Bruce Russett’s long career and features new chapters that show the continuing relevance of his scholarship. In examining hegemony during and after the Cold War, it addresses: The importance of domestic politics in the formulation of foreign policy; The benefits and costs of seeking security through military power at the expense of expanding networks of shared national and transnational institutions; The incentives of other states to bandwagon with a strong but unthreatening hegemon and 'free-ride' on benefits it may provide rather than to balance against a powerful hegemon. The degree to which hegemony and democracy undermine or support each other. By applying theories of collective action and foreign policy, Russett explores the development of American hegemony and the prospects for a democratic hegemon to retain its influence during the coming decades. This collection is an essential volume for students and scholars of International Relations, American Politics, and US Foreign Policy.

China's Military Potential

Author : Larry M. Wortzel
Publisher : DIANE Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1428912649
Total Pages : 39 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (289 download)

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Book Synopsis China's Military Potential by : Larry M. Wortzel

Download or read book China's Military Potential written by Larry M. Wortzel and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on 1998 with total page 39 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This monograph provides an appraisal of the ability of the People's Republic of China (PRC) to build a credible military force in the 21st century. The author examines a complicated set of factors, which when taken together, equates to potential military power in China's case. Perhaps foremost among these factors is the PRC's current economic success and whether Beijing can transfer it to the military sphere. Colonel Wortzel concludes that China could become a military power in every sense, but the greater likelihood is that the PRC will be overcome by internal problems. Nonetheless, the growth in China's military potential bears careful watching by U.S. military planners.

Asia and the Road Ahead

Author : Robert A. Scalapino
Publisher : Univ of California Press
ISBN 13 : 0520329929
Total Pages : 348 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (23 download)

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Book Synopsis Asia and the Road Ahead by : Robert A. Scalapino

Download or read book Asia and the Road Ahead written by Robert A. Scalapino and published by Univ of California Press. This book was released on 2023-04-28 with total page 348 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This title is part of UC Press's Voices Revived program, which commemorates University of California Press’s mission to seek out and cultivate the brightest minds and give them voice, reach, and impact. Drawing on a backlist dating to 1893, Voices Revived makes high-quality, peer-reviewed scholarship accessible once again using print-on-demand technology. This title was originally published in 1975.

Conflict, War, and Peace

Author : Sara McLaughlin Mitchell
Publisher : CQ Press
ISBN 13 : 1483322106
Total Pages : 440 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (833 download)

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Book Synopsis Conflict, War, and Peace by : Sara McLaughlin Mitchell

Download or read book Conflict, War, and Peace written by Sara McLaughlin Mitchell and published by CQ Press. This book was released on 2013-08-16 with total page 440 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Introducing students to the scientific study of peace and war, Conflict, War, and Peace: An Introduction to Scientific Research, edited by Sara McLaughlin Mitchell and John A. Vasquez, provides an overview of current scholarship in this dynamic area of study. Focusing on the factors that shape relationships between countries and that make war or peace more likely, this collection of articles by top scholars explores such key topics as dangerous dyads, alliances, territorial disputes, rivalry, arms races, democracy peace, trade, international organizations, territorial peace, and nuclear weapons. Each article is followed by the editors’ commentary: a “Major Contributions” section highlights the article’s theoretical advances and relates each study to the broader literature, while a “Methodological Notes” section carefully walks students through the techniques used in the analysis. Methodological topics include research design, percentages, probabilities, odds ratios, statistical significance, levels of analysis, selection bias, logic, duration models, and game theory models.

The Power-Conflict Story

Author : Kelly Kadera
Publisher : University of Michigan Press
ISBN 13 : 0472027417
Total Pages : 208 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (72 download)

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Book Synopsis The Power-Conflict Story by : Kelly Kadera

Download or read book The Power-Conflict Story written by Kelly Kadera and published by University of Michigan Press. This book was released on 2010-07-23 with total page 208 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Power-Conflict Story explains patterns of behavior in major world rivalries since 1816. Kelly M. Kadera carefully lays out the dynamic connections between two rival nations' power relationship and their conflictual interactions with one another. Rivals accumulate power and use conflict as a method of reducing their opponent's power level. But conflict is costly because it invites reciprocation from the opponent who has similar motives. Applying the formal model that she has developed, Kadera makes some interesting and novel predictions about which types of rivals win and what strategies they use. The empirical record on national power levels and interstate conflict convincingly support these predictions. Examples include the rise of the United States as a world power and the corresponding fall of British hegemony near the turn of the last century; Germany's unsuccessful attempt to overtake Britain during the Second World War; and Russia's rivalry with China during the early 1900s. One of the central contributions of the book's explanation of interstate rivalry is the integration of two opposing schools of thought, balance of power theory and power transition theory. This integration is accomplished by the author's dynamic formal model that emphasizes fluctuations in conflict behavior under different power relationships as well as shifts in power levels resulting from natural growth and resource depletion. The formal model and its analysis are presented in a conversational manner, making it accessible to the reader. ThePower-Conflict Story will appeal to students and scholars of international relations, world history, formal modeling, applied mathematics, numerical methods, and research methodology. Kelly M. Kadera is Assistant Professor of Political Science, University of Iowa.