Knowing The Risk

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Know the Risk

Author : Romney Duffey
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0080509738
Total Pages : 259 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (85 download)

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Book Synopsis Know the Risk by : Romney Duffey

Download or read book Know the Risk written by Romney Duffey and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2002-11-22 with total page 259 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We live in a technological world, exposed to many risks and errors and the fear of death. Know the Risk shows us how we can learn from the many errors and tragic accidents which have plagued our developing technological world.This breakthrough volume presents a new concept and theory that shows how errors can and should be analyzed so that learning and experience are accounted for. The authors show that, by using a universal learning curve, errors can be tracked and managed so that they are reduced to the smallest number possible.The authors have devoted a number of years to gathering data, analyzing theories relating to error reduction, design improvement, management of errors and assignment of cause. The analyzed data relates to millions of errors. They find a common thread between all technology-related accidents and link all of these errors (from the headline stories to the everyday accidents). They challenge the reader to take a different look at the stream of threats, risks, dangers, statistics and errors by presenting a new perspective. The book makes use of detailed illustrations and explores many headline accidents which highlight human weaknesses in harnessing and exploiting the technology we have developed; from the Titanic to Chernobyl, Bhopal to Concorde, the Mary Rose to the Paddington rail crash and examine errors over which we have little or no control. By analyzing the vast data society has collected, the authors show how the famous accidents and our everyday risks are related.The authors prove the strength of their observations by comparing their findings to the recorded history of tragedies, disasters, accidents and incidents in chemical, airline, shipping, rail, automobile, nuclear, medical, industrial and manufacturing technologies. They also address the management of Quality and losses in production, the search for zero defects and the avoidance of personal risk and danger. Stresses the importance of a learning environment for safety improvementPlaces both quality and safety management in the same learning contextLearn how to track and manage errors to reduce as quickly as possible

Risk Intelligence

Author : David Apgar
Publisher : Harvard Business Press
ISBN 13 : 9781422131015
Total Pages : 230 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (31 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk Intelligence by : David Apgar

Download or read book Risk Intelligence written by David Apgar and published by Harvard Business Press. This book was released on 2006-07-06 with total page 230 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Too many executives think risk management is strictly for technical specialists. In Risk Intelligence: Learning to Manage What We Don’t Know, David Apgar challenges this misconception. The author explains how to raise the quality of your risk analysis—-thus enhancing your “risk IQ”—-by applying four simple rules: 1) Recognize which risks are learnable—and reduce their uncertainty by discovering more about them. 2) Identify risks you can learn about the fastest. The higher your learning speed, the more a project is worth pursuing. 3) Take on risky projects one at a time—learning about the risks underlying each before moving to the next. 4) Build networks of business partners, suppliers, and customers who can collectively manage new ventures’ risks by playing distinct roles. The book provides two tools for improving your risk IQ—the Risk Intelligence Audit and the Risk Scorecard—and concludes with a 10-step action plan for systematically raising your managerial and organizational risk IQ. Your reward? Smarter business decisions over time.

Ten Laws of Operational Risk

Author : Michael Grimwade
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119841356
Total Pages : 423 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (198 download)

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Book Synopsis Ten Laws of Operational Risk by : Michael Grimwade

Download or read book Ten Laws of Operational Risk written by Michael Grimwade and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2022-01-04 with total page 423 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: TEN LAWS OF OPERATIONAL RISK Unlike credit and market risk, operational risk currently lacks an overarching theory to explain how and why losses occur. As a result, operational risk managers have been forced to use unsatisfactory tools and processes that fail to add sufficient commercial value. In Ten Laws of Operational Risk: Understanding its Behaviours to Improve its Management, Michael Grimwade delivers an insightful discussion of the nature of operational risk and a groundbreaking redesign of the profession???s existing tools. The author???s Ten Laws are grounded on the business profiles of firms and the human and institutional behaviours that drive operational risk. They are underpinned by taxonomies for the causes; the inadequacies or failures that constitute both control failures and events; and the impacts of operational risks. Drawing on twenty-five years of first-hand experience and research, this book explains the patterns and trends that are apparent in the historical data and offers solutions to the persistent problems inherent in risk appetite, RCSAs, scenario analysis, reputational risk, stress testing, capital modeling, and insurance. It also provides fresh insights into the everyday activities of risk managers with respect to predictive key risk and control indicators, root cause analysis, why controls fail, the risks posed by change, and product risk profiles. Ten Laws of Operational Risk presents a structured and evidence-based approach to identifying emerging risks and predicting future behaviours related to pandemics, climate change, cybercrime, artificial intelligence, and machine learning. It includes revealing industry data, in-depth case studies, and real-world examples that shed light on recurring and obstinate problems in operational risk management. A must-read resource for Chief Risk Officers and other risk professionals, as well as regulators, management consultants, and students and scholars of operational risk, Ten Laws of Operational Risk provides an invaluable new, systematic, and rigorous approach to operational risk management. PRAISE FOR TEN LAWS OF OPERATIONAL RISK ???Operational Risk can no longer be described as a new concept, but as a discipline few attempts have been made to really understand its behaviour. In his book Michael does this very successfully, blending extensive practical experience with analytical thought leadership to propose a set of laws that explain why and how Operational Risks arise, and what can be done to manage them. Assertions are evidence based, with numerous real examples used to underpin his hypotheses. This is a valuable addition to Operational Risk thinking and is recommended for experienced professionals and novices alike.??? ??? Dr Luke Carrivick, Director of Research & Information, ORX ???Michael has established himself as one of Operational Risk???s foremost thinkers. His ability to use historical data to analyse events is unrivalled. In this must-read book, he identifies ten fundamental laws that provide every Operational Risk practitioner with a clear set of rules they can use to understand current events and predict their impacts.??? ??? Andrew Sheen, former Head of the FSA???s Operational Risk Review team ???Michael is one of the most prominent thinkers in Operational Risk. He combines a long career in Operational Risk management and measurement with a deep, long-standing reflection on the fundamental causes, dynamics and patterns in the manifestation of Operational Risk events. He produces, with this book, a remarkable synthesis of his insightful and innovative work.??? ??? Dr Ariane Chapelle, Honorary Reader, University College London; Managing Partner, Chapelle Consulting ???Michael is a highly respected expert in the field of Operational Risk, who has developed some ground-breaking frameworks for analysing this risk and guiding better risk management decisions. As a working practitioner in the field he brings many insights that will appeal to other practitioners as well as regulators, students and scholars.??? ??? Professor Elizabeth Sheedy, Macquarie Business School ???Michael???s views and analysis challenge the traditional Basel II views of Operational Risk and are genuinely thought-provoking. His book on the Ten Laws of Operational Risk will give financial services clarity and a practical view, where it has been previously lacking, on how best to manage such risks.??? ??? Tin Lau, Group Head of Financial and Strategic Risk, TP ICAP

Calculated Risks

Author : Gerd Gigerenzer
Publisher : Simon and Schuster
ISBN 13 : 1439127093
Total Pages : 375 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (391 download)

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Book Synopsis Calculated Risks by : Gerd Gigerenzer

Download or read book Calculated Risks written by Gerd Gigerenzer and published by Simon and Schuster. This book was released on 2015-11-10 with total page 375 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: At the beginning of the twentieth century, H. G. Wells predicted that statistical thinking would be as necessary for citizenship in a technological world as the ability to read and write. But in the twenty-first century, we are often overwhelmed by a baffling array of percentages and probabilities as we try to navigate in a world dominated by statistics. Cognitive scientist Gerd Gigerenzer says that because we haven't learned statistical thinking, we don't understand risk and uncertainty. In order to assess risk -- everything from the risk of an automobile accident to the certainty or uncertainty of some common medical screening tests -- we need a basic understanding of statistics. Astonishingly, doctors and lawyers don't understand risk any better than anyone else. Gigerenzer reports a study in which doctors were told the results of breast cancer screenings and then were asked to explain the risks of contracting breast cancer to a woman who received a positive result from a screening. The actual risk was small because the test gives many false positives. But nearly every physician in the study overstated the risk. Yet many people will have to make important health decisions based on such information and the interpretation of that information by their doctors. Gigerenzer explains that a major obstacle to our understanding of numbers is that we live with an illusion of certainty. Many of us believe that HIV tests, DNA fingerprinting, and the growing number of genetic tests are absolutely certain. But even DNA evidence can produce spurious matches. We cling to our illusion of certainty because the medical industry, insurance companies, investment advisers, and election campaigns have become purveyors of certainty, marketing it like a commodity. To avoid confusion, says Gigerenzer, we should rely on more understandable representations of risk, such as absolute risks. For example, it is said that a mammography screening reduces the risk of breast cancer by 25 percent. But in absolute risks, that means that out of every 1,000 women who do not participate in screening, 4 will die; while out of 1,000 women who do, 3 will die. A 25 percent risk reduction sounds much more significant than a benefit that 1 out of 1,000 women will reap. This eye-opening book explains how we can overcome our ignorance of numbers and better understand the risks we may be taking with our money, our health, and our lives.

What Every Engineer Should Know About Risk Engineering and Management

Author : John X. Wang
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 9780824793012
Total Pages : 268 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (93 download)

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Book Synopsis What Every Engineer Should Know About Risk Engineering and Management by : John X. Wang

Download or read book What Every Engineer Should Know About Risk Engineering and Management written by John X. Wang and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2000-02-15 with total page 268 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Explains how to assess and handle technical risk, schedule risk, and cost risk efficiently and effectively--enabling engineering professionals to anticipate failures regardless of system complexity--highlighting opportunities to turn failure into success."

Know Your Chances

Author : Steven Woloshin
Publisher : Univ of California Press
ISBN 13 : 0520252225
Total Pages : 154 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (22 download)

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Book Synopsis Know Your Chances by : Steven Woloshin

Download or read book Know Your Chances written by Steven Woloshin and published by Univ of California Press. This book was released on 2008-11-30 with total page 154 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Understanding risk -- Putting risk in perspective -- Risk charts : a way to get perspective -- Judging the benefit of a health intervention -- Not all benefits are equal : understand the outcome -- Consider the downsides -- Do the benefits outweight the downsides? -- Beware of exaggerated importance -- Beware of exaggerated certainty -- Who's behind the numbers?

Take the Risk

Author : Ben Carson, M.D.
Publisher : Zondervan
ISBN 13 : 0310315921
Total Pages : 244 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Take the Risk by : Ben Carson, M.D.

Download or read book Take the Risk written by Ben Carson, M.D. and published by Zondervan. This book was released on 2009-05-26 with total page 244 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: By avoiding risk, are you also avoiding your life's full potential? Join acclaimed neurosurgeon Dr. Ben Carson as he explores the life-changing power of taking the risk, even if you're afraid. In our risk-avoidant culture, we place a high premium on safety. We insure our vacations. We check crash tests on cars. We extend the warranties on our appliances. But by insulating ourselves from the unknown--the natural risks of life--we miss the great adventure of living our lives to their fullest potential. Dr. Ben Carson spent his childhood as an at-risk child on the streets of Detroit, and he took big risks in performing complex surgeries on the brain and the spinal cord. Now, offering inspiring personal examples, Dr. Carson invites us to embrace risk in our own lives. In Take the Risk, Dr. Carson examines our safety-at-all-costs culture and the meaning of risk and security in our lives. Take the Risk guides you through an extensive examination of risk, including: Risk-taking in history An assessment of the real costs and rewards of risk Learning how to assess and accept risks Understanding how risk reveals the purpose of your life From a man whose life dramatically portrays the connection between great risks and greater successes, the insights Dr. Carson shares in Take the Risk will help you dispel your fear of risk in order to dream big, aim high, move with confidence, and reap the rewards of wise risk-taking. Praise for Take the Risk: "Whether you are a world-renowned neurosurgeon, a CEO, or a teacher, this book applies to anyone who ever wondered about the difference between the pacesetters and those who struggle to keep up. It is the pacesetters who Take the Risk, and this book explains when and why to take risks to empower everyone to become a trailblazer rather than a mere spectator. For anyone who wants to rise above mediocrity, this book is a must-read." --Armstrong Williams, author and radio host, The Armstrong Williams Show

Understanding Risk

Author : David Murphy
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 9781584888949
Total Pages : 472 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (889 download)

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Book Synopsis Understanding Risk by : David Murphy

Download or read book Understanding Risk written by David Murphy and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2008-04-23 with total page 472 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Sound risk management often involves a combination of both mathematical and practical aspects. Taking this into account, Understanding Risk: The Theory and Practice of Financial Risk Management explains how to understand financial risk and how the severity and frequency of losses can be controlled. It combines a quantitative approach with a

Reckoning with Risk

Author : Gerd Gigerenzer
Publisher : Penguin UK
ISBN 13 : 0140297863
Total Pages : 239 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (42 download)

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Book Synopsis Reckoning with Risk by : Gerd Gigerenzer

Download or read book Reckoning with Risk written by Gerd Gigerenzer and published by Penguin UK. This book was released on 2003-04-24 with total page 239 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Are ordinary people able to reason with risk? Detailing case histories and examples, this text presents readers with tools for understanding statistics. In so doing, it encourages us to overcome our innumeracy and empowers us to take responsibility for our own choices.

Risk

Author : Dan Gardner
Publisher : McClelland & Stewart
ISBN 13 : 1551992108
Total Pages : 510 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk by : Dan Gardner

Download or read book Risk written by Dan Gardner and published by McClelland & Stewart. This book was released on 2009-02-24 with total page 510 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the tradition of Malcolm Gladwell, Gardner explores a new way of thinking about the decisions we make. We are the safest and healthiest human beings who ever lived, and yet irrational fear is growing, with deadly consequences — such as the 1,595 Americans killed when they made the mistake of switching from planes to cars after September 11. In part, this irrationality is caused by those — politicians, activists, and the media — who promote fear for their own gain. Culture also matters. But a more fundamental cause is human psychology. Working with risk science pioneer Paul Slovic, author Dan Gardner sets out to explain in a compulsively readable fashion just what that statement above means as to how we make decisions and run our lives. We learn that the brain has not one but two systems to analyze risk. One is primitive, unconscious, and intuitive. The other is conscious and rational. The two systems often agree, but occasionally they come to very different conclusions. When that happens, we can find ourselves worrying about what the statistics tell us is a trivial threat — terrorism, child abduction, cancer caused by chemical pollution — or shrugging off serious risks like obesity and smoking. Gladwell told us about “the black box” of our brains; Gardner takes us inside, helping us to understand how to deconstruct the information we’re bombarded with and respond more logically and adaptively to our world. Risk is cutting-edge reading.

Understanding and Managing Risk Attitude

Author : Dr David Hillson
Publisher : Gower Publishing, Ltd.
ISBN 13 : 1409450503
Total Pages : 207 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (94 download)

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Book Synopsis Understanding and Managing Risk Attitude by : Dr David Hillson

Download or read book Understanding and Managing Risk Attitude written by Dr David Hillson and published by Gower Publishing, Ltd.. This book was released on 2012-03-01 with total page 207 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Despite many years of development, risk management remains problematic for the majority of organizations. One common challenge is the human dimension, in other words, the way people perceive risk and risk management. Risk management processes and techniques are operated by people, each of whom is a complex individual, influenced by many different factors. And the problem is compounded by the fact that most risk management involves people working in groups. This introduces further layers of complexity through relationships and group dynamics. David Hillson's and Ruth Murray-Webster's Understanding and Managing Risk Attitude will help you understand the human aspects of risk management and to manage proactively the influence of human behaviour on the risk process. The authors introduce a range of models, perspectives and examples to define and detail the range of possible risk attitudes; looking both at individuals and groups. Using leading-edge thinking on self-awareness and emotional literacy, they develop a powerful approach to address the most common shortfall in current risk management: the failure to manage the human aspects of the process. All this is presented in a practical and applied framework, rather than as a theoretical or academic treatise, based on the authors' shared experiences and expertise, rather than empirical research. Anyone involved in implementing risk management will benefit from this book, including risk practitioners, senior managers and directors responsible for corporate governance, project managers and their teams. It is also essential reading for HR professionals and others interested in organizational or behavioural psychology. This second edition is updated to strengthen the understanding of individual risk attitudes and reinforce what individuals can do to manage those risk attitudes that are leading them away from their objectives. For people who want to embrace this subject, the book highlights ways forward that are proven and practical.

The Science of Adolescent Risk-Taking

Author : National Research Council
Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309158524
Total Pages : 144 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis The Science of Adolescent Risk-Taking by : National Research Council

Download or read book The Science of Adolescent Risk-Taking written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2011-02-25 with total page 144 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Adolescence is a time when youth make decisions, both good and bad, that have consequences for the rest of their lives. Some of these decisions put them at risk of lifelong health problems, injury, or death. The Institute of Medicine held three public workshops between 2008 and 2009 to provide a venue for researchers, health care providers, and community leaders to discuss strategies to improve adolescent health.

Right Risk

Author : Bill Treasurer
Publisher : Berrett-Koehler Publishers
ISBN 13 : 1609943821
Total Pages : 308 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (99 download)

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Book Synopsis Right Risk by : Bill Treasurer

Download or read book Right Risk written by Bill Treasurer and published by Berrett-Koehler Publishers. This book was released on 2003-07-03 with total page 308 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We must take risks if we are to grow personally and professionally. Risks are a part of a fully-lived life. But in the commotion of today's fast-paced, technology-driven world, people have become disconnected from the wise counsel of their inner resources, hampering their ability to make meaningful choices. Consequently, risks are increasingly being taken in an impulsive, haphazard, and often reckless way. In Right Risk, Bill Treasurer draws on the experiences and insights of successful risk-takers (including his own experiences as a daredevil high diver) to detail ten principles that readers can use to take risks with greater intelligence and confidence. Right Risk is about taking more deliberate and intentional risks in an increasingly complex world. It aims to answer such questions as: How do I know which risks to take and which to avoid? How do I balance the need to take more risks with the need to preserve my safety? How do I muster up the courage to take risks when it is so much easier not to? How do I confront all those people who keep telling me what a mistake it would be to take the risk? And, most importantly, How do I make risk-taking less of an anxiety-provoking experience? Right Risk will help readers take risks with greater discipline, focus, and maturity-to confidently face life's challenges and take advantage of life's opportunities.

The Art of Risk

Author : Kayt Sukel
Publisher : National Geographic Books
ISBN 13 : 1426214731
Total Pages : 235 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (262 download)

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Book Synopsis The Art of Risk by : Kayt Sukel

Download or read book The Art of Risk written by Kayt Sukel and published by National Geographic Books. This book was released on 2016-03-01 with total page 235 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Are risk-takers born or made? Why are some more willing to go out on a limb (so to speak) than others? How do we weigh the value of opportunities large or small that may have the potential to change the course of our lives? These are just a few of the questions that author Kayt Sukel tackles, applying the latest research in neuroscience and psychology to compelling real-world situations. Building on a portfolio of work that has appeared in such publications as Scientific American, Atlantic Monthly, The Washington Post, and more, Sukel offers an in-depth look at risk-taking and its role in the many facets of life that resonates on a personal level. Smart, progressive, and truly enlightening, The Art of Risk blends riveting case studies and hard-hitting science to explore risk-taking and how it impacts decision-making in work, play, love, and life, providing insight in understanding individual behavior and furthering personal success.

Fundamentals of Risk Management

Author : Paul Hopkin
Publisher : Kogan Page Publishers
ISBN 13 : 0749479620
Total Pages : 488 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (494 download)

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Book Synopsis Fundamentals of Risk Management by : Paul Hopkin

Download or read book Fundamentals of Risk Management written by Paul Hopkin and published by Kogan Page Publishers. This book was released on 2017-01-03 with total page 488 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Fundamentals of Risk Management, now in its fourth edition, is a comprehensive introduction to commercial and business risk for students and a broad range of risk professionals. Providing extensive coverage of the core frameworks of business continuity planning, enterprise risk management and project risk management, this is the definitive guide to dealing with the different types of risk an organization faces. With relevant international case examples from both the private and public sectors, this revised edition of Fundamentals of Risk Management is completely aligned to ISO 31000 and provides a full analysis of changes in contemporary risk areas including supply chain, cyber risk, risk culture and improvements in risk management documentation and statutory risk reporting. This new edition of Fundamentals of Risk Management has been fully updated to reflect the development of risk management standards and practice, in particular business continuity standards, regulatory developments, risks to reputation and the business model, changes in enterprise risk management (ERM), loss control and the value of insurance as a risk management method. Also including a thorough overview of the international risk management standards and frameworks, strategy and policy, this book is the definitive professional text for risk managers.

Risk Communication and Vaccination

Author : Institute of Medicine
Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309057906
Total Pages : 43 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (9 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk Communication and Vaccination by : Institute of Medicine

Download or read book Risk Communication and Vaccination written by Institute of Medicine and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 1997-08-10 with total page 43 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Solving for Project Risk Management: Understanding the Critical Role of Uncertainty in Project Management

Author : Christian B. Smart
Publisher : McGraw Hill Professional
ISBN 13 : 1260473848
Total Pages : 321 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (64 download)

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Book Synopsis Solving for Project Risk Management: Understanding the Critical Role of Uncertainty in Project Management by : Christian B. Smart

Download or read book Solving for Project Risk Management: Understanding the Critical Role of Uncertainty in Project Management written by Christian B. Smart and published by McGraw Hill Professional. This book was released on 2020-11-23 with total page 321 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Risk is real—but you can manage it with this hard-hitting guide to reducing risk on any project, in any industry All projects, large and small, are subject to various risks. But the failure to manage inherent risk with diligence and know-how can lead to devastating consequences for an organization. In this comprehensive hands-on guide, a renowned expert in the field provides everything organizations need to conduct project risk management the right way. Why do so many projects come in over schedule and over budget? How do projected expenditures and schedules line up with reality? How can you accurately assess risk to mitigate financial disaster? Through a methodical, statistics-based approach, Christian B. Smart reveals: The enduring problem of cost and schedule growth How rigorous project risk management can reduce the impact of uncertainty The systematic tendency to underestimate risk—and how to avoid it Ways to accurately assess confidence levels in project risk management The need for proper risk management at the portfolio level The author lays out common problems and explains how to effectively solve them. And while he employs a wealth of illustrative charts, graphs, and statistics, he presents the material in an accessible style, and peppers the text with powerful personal anecdotes. Ideal for project managers, business analysts, and senior decision makers in both the public and private sectors, Solving for Project Risk Management offers everything you need to ensure your projects run smoothly, on budget, and deliver the expected outcomes.