Kalman Filters With Applications To Loss Reserving

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Loss Reserving

Author : Greg Taylor
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 35 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Loss Reserving by : Greg Taylor

Download or read book Loss Reserving written by Greg Taylor and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper reviews the development of loss reserving models over the past, classifying them according to an elementary taxonomy. The taxonomic components include (1) the algebraic structure of the model, (2) the form of its parameter estimation, (3) whether or not it is explicitly stochastic, and (4) whether or not its parameters evolve over time. Particular attention is given to one of the higher species of model, involving complex structure, optimal estimation, and evolutionary parameters. A generalisation of the Kalman filter is considered as a basis of adaptive loss reserving in this case. Real life numerical examples are provided.Some implications of this type of data analysis for loss reserving are discussed, with particular reference to the form of data set used. The use of triangular arrays is questioned, and alternatives examined. Again, real life numerical examples are provided.

Introduction and Implementations of the Kalman Filter

Author : Felix Govaers
Publisher : BoD – Books on Demand
ISBN 13 : 1838805362
Total Pages : 130 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (388 download)

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Book Synopsis Introduction and Implementations of the Kalman Filter by : Felix Govaers

Download or read book Introduction and Implementations of the Kalman Filter written by Felix Govaers and published by BoD – Books on Demand. This book was released on 2019-05-22 with total page 130 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Sensor data fusion is the process of combining error-prone, heterogeneous, incomplete, and ambiguous data to gather a higher level of situational awareness. In principle, all living creatures are fusing information from their complementary senses to coordinate their actions and to detect and localize danger. In sensor data fusion, this process is transferred to electronic systems, which rely on some "awareness" of what is happening in certain areas of interest. By means of probability theory and statistics, it is possible to model the relationship between the state space and the sensor data. The number of ingredients of the resulting Kalman filter is limited, but its applications are not.

Loss Reserving

Author : Gregory Taylor
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1461545838
Total Pages : 396 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (615 download)

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Book Synopsis Loss Reserving by : Gregory Taylor

Download or read book Loss Reserving written by Gregory Taylor and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 396 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: All property and casualty insurers are required to carry out loss reserving as a statutory accounting function. Thus, loss reserving is an essential sphere of activity, and one with its own specialized body of knowledge. While few books have been devoted to the topic, the amount of published research literature on loss reserving has almost doubled in size during the last fifteen years. Greg Taylor's book aims to provide a comprehensive, state-of-the-art treatment of loss reserving that reflects contemporary research advances to date. Divided into two parts, the book covers both the conventional techniques widely used in practice, and more specialized loss reserving techniques employing stochastic models. Part I, Deterministic Models, covers very practical issues through the abundant use of numerical examples that fully develop the techniques under consideration. Part II, Stochastic Models, begins with a chapter that sets up the additional theoretical material needed to illustrate stochastic modeling. The remaining chapters in Part II are self-contained, and thus can be approached independently of each other. A special feature of the book is the use throughout of a single real life data set to illustrate the numerical examples and new techniques presented. The data set illustrates most of the difficult situations presented in actuarial practice. This book will meet the needs for a reference work as well as for a textbook on loss reserving.

Introduction to Random Signals and Applied Kalman Filtering with Matlab Exercises and Solutions

Author : Robert Grover Brown
Publisher : Wiley-Liss
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 504 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Introduction to Random Signals and Applied Kalman Filtering with Matlab Exercises and Solutions by : Robert Grover Brown

Download or read book Introduction to Random Signals and Applied Kalman Filtering with Matlab Exercises and Solutions written by Robert Grover Brown and published by Wiley-Liss. This book was released on 1997 with total page 504 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this updated edition the main thrust is on applied Kalman filtering. Chapters 1-3 provide a minimal background in random process theory and the response of linear systems to random inputs. The following chapter is devoted to Wiener filtering and the remainder of the text deals with various facets of Kalman filtering with emphasis on applications. Starred problems at the end of each chapter are computer exercises. The authors believe that programming the equations and analyzing the results of specific examples is the best way to obtain the insight that is essential in engineering work.

Kalman Filtering

Author : Mohinder S. Grewal
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 111898496X
Total Pages : 639 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (189 download)

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Book Synopsis Kalman Filtering by : Mohinder S. Grewal

Download or read book Kalman Filtering written by Mohinder S. Grewal and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2015-02-02 with total page 639 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The definitive textbook and professional reference on Kalman Filtering – fully updated, revised, and expanded This book contains the latest developments in the implementation and application of Kalman filtering. Authors Grewal and Andrews draw upon their decades of experience to offer an in-depth examination of the subtleties, common pitfalls, and limitations of estimation theory as it applies to real-world situations. They present many illustrative examples including adaptations for nonlinear filtering, global navigation satellite systems, the error modeling of gyros and accelerometers, inertial navigation systems, and freeway traffic control. Kalman Filtering: Theory and Practice Using MATLAB, Fourth Edition is an ideal textbook in advanced undergraduate and beginning graduate courses in stochastic processes and Kalman filtering. It is also appropriate for self-instruction or review by practicing engineers and scientists who want to learn more about this important topic.

Bayesian Filtering and Smoothing

Author : Simo Särkkä
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 110703065X
Total Pages : 255 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (7 download)

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Book Synopsis Bayesian Filtering and Smoothing by : Simo Särkkä

Download or read book Bayesian Filtering and Smoothing written by Simo Särkkä and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2013-09-05 with total page 255 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A unified Bayesian treatment of the state-of-the-art filtering, smoothing, and parameter estimation algorithms for non-linear state space models.

Encyclopedia of Actuarial Science, 3 Volume Set

Author : Jozef L. Teugels
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 652 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Encyclopedia of Actuarial Science, 3 Volume Set by : Jozef L. Teugels

Download or read book Encyclopedia of Actuarial Science, 3 Volume Set written by Jozef L. Teugels and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2004-10-29 with total page 652 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Encyclopedia of Actuarial Science presents a timely and comprehensive body of knowledge designed to serve as an essential reference for the actuarial profession and all related business and financial activities, as well as researchers and students in actuarial science and related areas. Drawing on the experience of leading international editors and authors from industry and academic research the encyclopedia provides an authoritative exposition of both quantitative methods and practical aspects of actuarial science and insurance. The cross-disciplinary nature of the work is reflected not only in its coverage of key concepts from business, economics, risk, probability theory and statistics but also by the inclusion of supporting topics such as demography, genetics, operations research and informatics.

Approximate Kalman Filtering

Author : Guanrong Chen
Publisher : World Scientific
ISBN 13 : 9814504351
Total Pages : 242 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (145 download)

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Book Synopsis Approximate Kalman Filtering by : Guanrong Chen

Download or read book Approximate Kalman Filtering written by Guanrong Chen and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 1993-08-30 with total page 242 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Kalman filtering algorithm gives optimal (linear, unbiased and minimum error-variance) estimates of the unknown state vectors of a linear dynamic-observation system, under the regular conditions such as perfect data information; complete noise statistics; exact linear modeling; ideal well-conditioned matrices in computation and strictly centralized filtering.In practice, however, one or more of the aforementioned conditions may not be satisfied, so that the standard Kalman filtering algorithm cannot be directly used, and hence “approximate Kalman filtering” becomes necessary. In the last decade, a great deal of attention has been focused on modifying and/or extending the standard Kalman filtering technique to handle such irregular cases. It has been realized that approximate Kalman filtering is even more important and useful in applications.This book is a collection of several tutorial and survey articles summarizing recent contributions to the field, along the line of approximate Kalman filtering with emphasis on both its theoretical and practical aspects.

Tracking and Kalman Filtering Made Easy

Author : Eli Brookner
Publisher : Wiley-Interscience
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 512 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Tracking and Kalman Filtering Made Easy by : Eli Brookner

Download or read book Tracking and Kalman Filtering Made Easy written by Eli Brookner and published by Wiley-Interscience. This book was released on 1998 with total page 512 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: TRACKING, PREDICTION, AND SMOOTHING BASICS. g and g-h-k Filters. Kalman Filter. Practical Issues for Radar Tracking. LEAST-SQUARES FILTERING, VOLTAGE PROCESSING, ADAPTIVE ARRAY PROCESSING, AND EXTENDED KALMAN FILTER. Least-Squares and Minimum-Variance Estimates for Linear Time-Invariant Systems. Fixed-Memory Polynomial Filter. Expanding- Memory (Growing-Memory) Polynomial Filters. Fading-Memory (Discounted Least-Squares) Filter. General Form for Linear Time-Invariant System. General Recursive Minimum-Variance Growing-Memory Filter (Bayes and Kalman Filters without Target Process Noise). Voltage Least-Squares Algorithms Revisited. Givens Orthonormal Transformation. Householder Orthonormal Transformation. Gram--Schmidt Orthonormal Transformation. More on Voltage-Processing Techniques. Linear Time-Variant System. Nonlinear Observation Scheme and Dynamic Model (Extended Kalman Filter). Bayes Algorithm with Iterative Differential Correction for Nonlinear Systems. Kalman Filter Revisited. Appendix. Problems. Symbols and Acronyms. Solution to Selected Problems. References. Index.

Optimal Filtering

Author : Brian D. O. Anderson
Publisher : Courier Corporation
ISBN 13 : 0486136892
Total Pages : 370 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (861 download)

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Book Synopsis Optimal Filtering by : Brian D. O. Anderson

Download or read book Optimal Filtering written by Brian D. O. Anderson and published by Courier Corporation. This book was released on 2012-05-23 with total page 370 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Graduate-level text extends studies of signal processing, particularly regarding communication systems and digital filtering theory. Topics include filtering, linear systems, and estimation; discrete-time Kalman filter; time-invariant filters; more. 1979 edition.

Feedback Systems

Author : Karl Johan Åström
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 069121347X
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (912 download)

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Book Synopsis Feedback Systems by : Karl Johan Åström

Download or read book Feedback Systems written by Karl Johan Åström and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2021-02-02 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The essential introduction to the principles and applications of feedback systems—now fully revised and expanded This textbook covers the mathematics needed to model, analyze, and design feedback systems. Now more user-friendly than ever, this revised and expanded edition of Feedback Systems is a one-volume resource for students and researchers in mathematics and engineering. It has applications across a range of disciplines that utilize feedback in physical, biological, information, and economic systems. Karl Åström and Richard Murray use techniques from physics, computer science, and operations research to introduce control-oriented modeling. They begin with state space tools for analysis and design, including stability of solutions, Lyapunov functions, reachability, state feedback observability, and estimators. The matrix exponential plays a central role in the analysis of linear control systems, allowing a concise development of many of the key concepts for this class of models. Åström and Murray then develop and explain tools in the frequency domain, including transfer functions, Nyquist analysis, PID control, frequency domain design, and robustness. Features a new chapter on design principles and tools, illustrating the types of problems that can be solved using feedback Includes a new chapter on fundamental limits and new material on the Routh-Hurwitz criterion and root locus plots Provides exercises at the end of every chapter Comes with an electronic solutions manual An ideal textbook for undergraduate and graduate students Indispensable for researchers seeking a self-contained resource on control theory

Kalman Filtering and Information Fusion

Author : Hongbin Ma
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 9811508062
Total Pages : 295 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (115 download)

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Book Synopsis Kalman Filtering and Information Fusion by : Hongbin Ma

Download or read book Kalman Filtering and Information Fusion written by Hongbin Ma and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2019-11-27 with total page 295 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book addresses a key technology for digital information processing: Kalman filtering, which is generally considered to be one of the greatest discoveries of the 20th century. It introduces readers to issues concerning various uncertainties in a single plant, and to corresponding solutions based on adaptive estimation. Further, it discusses in detail the issues that arise when Kalman filtering technology is applied in multi-sensor systems and/or multi-agent systems, especially when various sensors are used in systems like intelligent robots, autonomous cars, smart homes, smart buildings, etc., requiring multi-sensor information fusion techniques. Furthermore, when multiple agents (subsystems) interact with one another, it produces coupling uncertainties, a challenging issue that is addressed here with the aid of novel decentralized adaptive filtering techniques.Overall, the book’s goal is to provide readers with a comprehensive investigation into the challenging problem of making Kalman filtering work well in the presence of various uncertainties and/or for multiple sensors/components. State-of-art techniques are introduced, together with a wealth of novel findings. As such, it can be a good reference book for researchers whose work involves filtering and applications; yet it can also serve as a postgraduate textbook for students in mathematics, engineering, automation, and related fields.To read this book, only a basic grasp of linear algebra and probability theory is needed, though experience with least squares, navigation, robotics, etc. would definitely be a plus.

Predictive Modeling Applications in Actuarial Science

Author : Edward W. Frees
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1107029872
Total Pages : 565 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (7 download)

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Book Synopsis Predictive Modeling Applications in Actuarial Science by : Edward W. Frees

Download or read book Predictive Modeling Applications in Actuarial Science written by Edward W. Frees and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2014-07-28 with total page 565 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is for actuaries and financial analysts developing their expertise in statistics and who wish to become familiar with concrete examples of predictive modeling.

Stochastic Claims Reserving Methods in Insurance

Author : Mario V. Wüthrich
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470772727
Total Pages : 438 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (77 download)

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Book Synopsis Stochastic Claims Reserving Methods in Insurance by : Mario V. Wüthrich

Download or read book Stochastic Claims Reserving Methods in Insurance written by Mario V. Wüthrich and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2008-04-30 with total page 438 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Claims reserving is central to the insurance industry. Insurance liabilities depend on a number of different risk factors which need to be predicted accurately. This prediction of risk factors and outstanding loss liabilities is the core for pricing insurance products, determining the profitability of an insurance company and for considering the financial strength (solvency) of the company. Following several high-profile company insolvencies, regulatory requirements have moved towards a risk-adjusted basis which has lead to the Solvency II developments. The key focus in the new regime is that financial companies need to analyze adverse developments in their portfolios. Reserving actuaries now have to not only estimate reserves for the outstanding loss liabilities but also to quantify possible shortfalls in these reserves that may lead to potential losses. Such an analysis requires stochastic modeling of loss liability cash flows and it can only be done within a stochastic framework. Therefore stochastic loss liability modeling and quantifying prediction uncertainties has become standard under the new legal framework for the financial industry. This book covers all the mathematical theory and practical guidance needed in order to adhere to these stochastic techniques. Starting with the basic mathematical methods, working right through to the latest developments relevant for practical applications; readers will find out how to estimate total claims reserves while at the same time predicting errors and uncertainty are quantified. Accompanying datasets demonstrate all the techniques, which are easily implemented in a spreadsheet. A practical and essential guide, this book is a must-read in the light of the new solvency requirements for the whole insurance industry.

Factorization of Boundary Value Problems Using the Invariant Embedding Method

Author : Jacques Henry
Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0081010907
Total Pages : 258 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (81 download)

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Book Synopsis Factorization of Boundary Value Problems Using the Invariant Embedding Method by : Jacques Henry

Download or read book Factorization of Boundary Value Problems Using the Invariant Embedding Method written by Jacques Henry and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2016-11-09 with total page 258 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Factorization Method for Boundary Value Problems by Invariant Embedding presents a new theory for linear elliptic boundary value problems. The authors provide a transformation of the problem in two initial value problems that are uncoupled, enabling you to solve these successively. This method appears similar to the Gauss block factorization of the matrix, obtained in finite dimension after discretization of the problem. This proposed method is comparable to the computation of optimal feedbacks for linear quadratic control problems. - Develops the invariant embedding technique for boundary value problems - Makes a link between control theory, boundary value problems and the Gauss factorization - Presents a new theory for successively solving linear elliptic boundary value problems - Includes a transformation in two initial value problems that are uncoupled

Claim Models

Author : Greg Taylor
Publisher : MDPI
ISBN 13 : 3039286641
Total Pages : 108 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (392 download)

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Book Synopsis Claim Models by : Greg Taylor

Download or read book Claim Models written by Greg Taylor and published by MDPI. This book was released on 2020-04-15 with total page 108 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This collection of articles addresses the most modern forms of loss reserving methodology: granular models and machine learning models. New methodologies come with questions about their applicability. These questions are discussed in one article, which focuses on the relative merits of granular and machine learning models. Others illustrate applications with real-world data. The examples include neural networks, which, though well known in some disciplines, have previously been limited in the actuarial literature. This volume expands on that literature, with specific attention to their application to loss reserving. For example, one of the articles introduces the application of neural networks of the gated recurrent unit form to the actuarial literature, whereas another uses a penalized neural network. Neural networks are not the only form of machine learning, and two other papers outline applications of gradient boosting and regression trees respectively. Both articles construct loss reserves at the individual claim level so that these models resemble granular models. One of these articles provides a practical application of the model to claim watching, the action of monitoring claim development and anticipating major features. Such watching can be used as an early warning system or for other administrative purposes. Overall, this volume is an extremely useful addition to the libraries of those working at the loss reserving frontier.

Encyclopedia of Quantitative Risk Analysis and Assessment

Author :
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470035498
Total Pages : 2163 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (7 download)

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Book Synopsis Encyclopedia of Quantitative Risk Analysis and Assessment by :

Download or read book Encyclopedia of Quantitative Risk Analysis and Assessment written by and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2008-09-02 with total page 2163 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Leading the way in this field, the Encyclopedia of Quantitative Risk Analysis and Assessment is the first publication to offer a modern, comprehensive and in-depth resource to the huge variety of disciplines involved. A truly international work, its coverage ranges across risk issues pertinent to life scientists, engineers, policy makers, healthcare professionals, the finance industry, the military and practising statisticians. Drawing on the expertise of world-renowned authors and editors in this field this title provides up-to-date material on drug safety, investment theory, public policy applications, transportation safety, public perception of risk, epidemiological risk, national defence and security, critical infrastructure, and program management. This major publication is easily accessible for all those involved in the field of risk assessment and analysis. For ease-of-use it is available in print and online.