Introduction to Statistical Modelling

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1489931740
Total Pages : 133 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (899 download)

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Book Synopsis Introduction to Statistical Modelling by : Annette J. Dobson

Download or read book Introduction to Statistical Modelling written by Annette J. Dobson and published by Springer. This book was released on 2013-11-11 with total page 133 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is about generalized linear models as described by NeIder and Wedderburn (1972). This approach provides a unified theoretical and computational framework for the most commonly used statistical methods: regression, analysis of variance and covariance, logistic regression, log-linear models for contingency tables and several more specialized techniques. More advanced expositions of the subject are given by McCullagh and NeIder (1983) and Andersen (1980). The emphasis is on the use of statistical models to investigate substantive questions rather than to produce mathematical descriptions of the data. Therefore parameter estimation and hypothesis testing are stressed. I have assumed that the reader is familiar with the most commonly used statistical concepts and methods and has some basic knowledge of calculus and matrix algebra. Short numerical examples are used to illustrate the main points. In writing this book I have been helped greatly by the comments and criticism of my students and colleagues, especially Anne Young. However, the choice of material, and the obscurities and errors are my responsibility and I apologize to the reader for any irritation caused by them. For typing the manuscript under difficult conditions I am grateful to Anne McKim, Jan Garnsey, Cath Claydon and Julie Latimer.

Statistical Modeling and Inference for Social Science

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1107003148
Total Pages : 393 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (7 download)

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Book Synopsis Statistical Modeling and Inference for Social Science by : Sean Gailmard

Download or read book Statistical Modeling and Inference for Social Science written by Sean Gailmard and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2014-06-09 with total page 393 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Written specifically for graduate students and practitioners beginning social science research, Statistical Modeling and Inference for Social Science covers the essential statistical tools, models and theories that make up the social scientist's toolkit. Assuming no prior knowledge of statistics, this textbook introduces students to probability theory, statistical inference and statistical modeling, and emphasizes the connection between statistical procedures and social science theory. Sean Gailmard develops core statistical theory as a set of tools to model and assess relationships between variables - the primary aim of social scientists - and demonstrates the ways in which social scientists express and test substantive theoretical arguments in various models. Chapter exercises guide students in applying concepts to data, extending their grasp of core theoretical concepts. Students will also gain the ability to create, read and critique statistical applications in their fields of interest.

Introduction to Statistical Modelling and Inference

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Author :
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 100064457X
Total Pages : 391 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (6 download)

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Book Synopsis Introduction to Statistical Modelling and Inference by : Murray Aitkin

Download or read book Introduction to Statistical Modelling and Inference written by Murray Aitkin and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2022-09-30 with total page 391 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The complexity of large-scale data sets (“Big Data”) has stimulated the development of advanced computational methods for analysing them. There are two different kinds of methods to aid this. The model-based method uses probability models and likelihood and Bayesian theory, while the model-free method does not require a probability model, likelihood or Bayesian theory. These two approaches are based on different philosophical principles of probability theory, espoused by the famous statisticians Ronald Fisher and Jerzy Neyman. Introduction to Statistical Modelling and Inference covers simple experimental and survey designs, and probability models up to and including generalised linear (regression) models and some extensions of these, including finite mixtures. A wide range of examples from different application fields are also discussed and analysed. No special software is used, beyond that needed for maximum likelihood analysis of generalised linear models. Students are expected to have a basic mathematical background in algebra, coordinate geometry and calculus. Features • Probability models are developed from the shape of the sample empirical cumulative distribution function (cdf) or a transformation of it. • Bounds for the value of the population cumulative distribution function are obtained from the Beta distribution at each point of the empirical cdf. • Bayes’s theorem is developed from the properties of the screening test for a rare condition. • The multinomial distribution provides an always-true model for any randomly sampled data. • The model-free bootstrap method for finding the precision of a sample estimate has a model-based parallel – the Bayesian bootstrap – based on the always-true multinomial distribution. • The Bayesian posterior distributions of model parameters can be obtained from the maximum likelihood analysis of the model. This book is aimed at students in a wide range of disciplines including Data Science. The book is based on the model-based theory, used widely by scientists in many fields, and compares it, in less detail, with the model-free theory, popular in computer science, machine learning and official survey analysis. The development of the model-based theory is accelerated by recent developments in Bayesian analysis.

Introduction to Linear Models and Statistical Inference

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Author :
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0471740101
Total Pages : 600 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (717 download)

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Book Synopsis Introduction to Linear Models and Statistical Inference by : Steven J. Janke

Download or read book Introduction to Linear Models and Statistical Inference written by Steven J. Janke and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2005-09-15 with total page 600 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A multidisciplinary approach that emphasizes learning by analyzing real-world data sets This book is the result of the authors' hands-on classroom experience and is tailored to reflect how students best learn to analyze linear relationships. The text begins with the introduction of four simple examples of actual data sets. These examples are developed and analyzed throughout the text, and more complicated examples of data sets are introduced along the way. Taking a multidisciplinary approach, the book traces the conclusion of the analyses of data sets taken from geology, biology, economics, psychology, education, sociology, and environmental science. As students learn to analyze the data sets, they master increasingly sophisticated linear modeling techniques, including: * Simple linear models * Multivariate models * Model building * Analysis of variance (ANOVA) * Analysis of covariance (ANCOVA) * Logistic regression * Total least squares The basics of statistical analysis are developed and emphasized, particularly in testing the assumptions and drawing inferences from linear models. Exercises are included at the end of each chapter to test students' skills before moving on to more advanced techniques and models. These exercises are marked to indicate whether calculus, linear algebra, or computer skills are needed. Unlike other texts in the field, the mathematics underlying the models is carefully explained and accessible to students who may not have any background in calculus or linear algebra. Most chapters include an optional final section on linear algebra for students interested in developing a deeper understanding. The many data sets that appear in the text are available on the book's Web site. The MINITAB(r) software program is used to illustrate many of the examples. For students unfamiliar with MINITAB(r), an appendix introduces the key features needed to study linear models. With its multidisciplinary approach and use of real-world data sets that bring the subject alive, this is an excellent introduction to linear models for students in any of the natural or social sciences.

An Introduction to Statistical Modelling

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Author :
Publisher : Wiley
ISBN 13 : 9780470711019
Total Pages : 264 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (11 download)

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Book Synopsis An Introduction to Statistical Modelling by : W. J. Krzanowski

Download or read book An Introduction to Statistical Modelling written by W. J. Krzanowski and published by Wiley. This book was released on 2010-06-28 with total page 264 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Statisticians rely heavily on making models of 'causal situations' in order to fully explain and predict events. Modelling therefore plays a vital part in all applications of statistics and is a component of most undergraduate programmes. 'An Introduction to Statistical Modelling' provides a single reference with an applied slant that caters for all three years of a degree course. The book concentrates on core issues and only the most essential mathematical justifications are given in detail. Attention is firmly focused on the statistical aspects of the techniques, in this lively, practical approach.

Probability and Statistical Inference

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 131536204X
Total Pages : 444 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (153 download)

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Book Synopsis Probability and Statistical Inference by : Miltiadis C. Mavrakakis

Download or read book Probability and Statistical Inference written by Miltiadis C. Mavrakakis and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2021-03-28 with total page 444 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Probability and Statistical Inference: From Basic Principles to Advanced Models covers aspects of probability, distribution theory, and inference that are fundamental to a proper understanding of data analysis and statistical modelling. It presents these topics in an accessible manner without sacrificing mathematical rigour, bridging the gap between the many excellent introductory books and the more advanced, graduate-level texts. The book introduces and explores techniques that are relevant to modern practitioners, while being respectful to the history of statistical inference. It seeks to provide a thorough grounding in both the theory and application of statistics, with even the more abstract parts placed in the context of a practical setting. Features: •Complete introduction to mathematical probability, random variables, and distribution theory. •Concise but broad account of statistical modelling, covering topics such as generalised linear models, survival analysis, time series, and random processes. •Extensive discussion of the key concepts in classical statistics (point estimation, interval estimation, hypothesis testing) and the main techniques in likelihood-based inference. •Detailed introduction to Bayesian statistics and associated topics. •Practical illustration of some of the main computational methods used in modern statistical inference (simulation, boostrap, MCMC). This book is for students who have already completed a first course in probability and statistics, and now wish to deepen and broaden their understanding of the subject. It can serve as a foundation for advanced undergraduate or postgraduate courses. Our aim is to challenge and excite the more mathematically able students, while providing explanations of statistical concepts that are more detailed and approachable than those in advanced texts. This book is also useful for data scientists, researchers, and other applied practitioners who want to understand the theory behind the statistical methods used in their fields.

An Introduction to Statistical Modeling of Extreme Values

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1447136756
Total Pages : 219 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (471 download)

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Book Synopsis An Introduction to Statistical Modeling of Extreme Values by : Stuart Coles

Download or read book An Introduction to Statistical Modeling of Extreme Values written by Stuart Coles and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-11-27 with total page 219 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Directly oriented towards real practical application, this book develops both the basic theoretical framework of extreme value models and the statistical inferential techniques for using these models in practice. Intended for statisticians and non-statisticians alike, the theoretical treatment is elementary, with heuristics often replacing detailed mathematical proof. Most aspects of extreme modeling techniques are covered, including historical techniques (still widely used) and contemporary techniques based on point process models. A wide range of worked examples, using genuine datasets, illustrate the various modeling procedures and a concluding chapter provides a brief introduction to a number of more advanced topics, including Bayesian inference and spatial extremes. All the computations are carried out using S-PLUS, and the corresponding datasets and functions are available via the Internet for readers to recreate examples for themselves. An essential reference for students and researchers in statistics and disciplines such as engineering, finance and environmental science, this book will also appeal to practitioners looking for practical help in solving real problems. Stuart Coles is Reader in Statistics at the University of Bristol, UK, having previously lectured at the universities of Nottingham and Lancaster. In 1992 he was the first recipient of the Royal Statistical Society's research prize. He has published widely in the statistical literature, principally in the area of extreme value modeling.

Introduction to Statistical Modelling and Inference

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781032105734
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (57 download)

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Book Synopsis Introduction to Statistical Modelling and Inference by : Murray A. Aitkin

Download or read book Introduction to Statistical Modelling and Inference written by Murray A. Aitkin and published by . This book was released on 2023 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The complexity of large-scale data sets ("Big Data") has stimulated the development of advanced computational methods for analyzing them. There are two different kinds of methods to aid this. The model-based method uses probability models and likelihood and Bayesian theory, while the model-free method does not require a probability model, likelihood or Bayesian theory. These two approaches are based on different philosophical principles of probability theory, espoused by the famous statisticians Ronald Fisher and Jerzy Neyman Introduction to Statistical Modelling and Inference covers simple experimental and survey designs, and probability models up to and including generalised linear (regression) models and some extensions of these, including finite mixtures. A wide range of examples from different application fields are also discussed and analyzed. No special software is used, beyond that needed for maximum likelihood analysis of generalised linear models. Students are expected to have a basic mathematical background of algebra, coordinate geometry and calculus. Features Probability models are developed from the shape of the sample empirical cumulative distribution function, (cdf) or a transformation of it. Bounds for the value of the population cumulative distribution function are obtained from the Beta distribution at each point of the empirical cdf. Bayes's theorem is developed from the properties of the screening test for a rare condition. The multinomial distribution provides an always-true model for any randomly sampled data. The model-free bootstrap method for finding the precision of a sample estimate has a model-based parallel - the Bayesian bootstrap - based on the always-true multinomial distribution. The Bayesian posterior distributions of model parameters can be obtained from the maximum likelihood analysis of the model. This book is aimed at students in a wide range of disciplines including Data Science. The book is based on the model-based theory, used widely by scientists in many fields, and compares it, in less detail, with the model-free theory, popular in computer science, machine learning and official survey analysis. The development of the model-based theory is accelerated by recent developments in Bayesian analysis"--

In All Likelihood

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Publisher : OUP Oxford
ISBN 13 : 0191650587
Total Pages : 543 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (916 download)

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Book Synopsis In All Likelihood by : Yudi Pawitan

Download or read book In All Likelihood written by Yudi Pawitan and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2013-01-17 with total page 543 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Based on a course in the theory of statistics this text concentrates on what can be achieved using the likelihood/Fisherian method of taking account of uncertainty when studying a statistical problem. It takes the concept ot the likelihood as providing the best methods for unifying the demands of statistical modelling and the theory of inference. Every likelihood concept is illustrated by realistic examples, which are not compromised by computational problems. Examples range from a simile comparison of two accident rates, to complex studies that require generalised linear or semiparametric modelling. The emphasis is that the likelihood is not simply a device to produce an estimate, but an important tool for modelling. The book generally takes an informal approach, where most important results are established using heuristic arguments and motivated with realistic examples. With the currently available computing power, examples are not contrived to allow a closed analytical solution, and the book can concentrate on the statistical aspects of the data modelling. In addition to classical likelihood theory, the book covers many modern topics such as generalized linear models and mixed models, non parametric smoothing, robustness, the EM algorithm and empirical likelihood.

Handbook of Statistical Genomics

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119429250
Total Pages : 1828 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (194 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Statistical Genomics by : David J. Balding

Download or read book Handbook of Statistical Genomics written by David J. Balding and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2019-07-09 with total page 1828 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A timely update of a highly popular handbook on statistical genomics This new, two-volume edition of a classic text provides a thorough introduction to statistical genomics, a vital resource for advanced graduate students, early-career researchers and new entrants to the field. It introduces new and updated information on developments that have occurred since the 3rd edition. Widely regarded as the reference work in the field, it features new chapters focusing on statistical aspects of data generated by new sequencing technologies, including sequence-based functional assays. It expands on previous coverage of the many processes between genotype and phenotype, including gene expression and epigenetics, as well as metabolomics. It also examines population genetics and evolutionary models and inference, with new chapters on the multi-species coalescent, admixture and ancient DNA, as well as genetic association studies including causal analyses and variant interpretation. The Handbook of Statistical Genomics focuses on explaining the main ideas, analysis methods and algorithms, citing key recent and historic literature for further details and references. It also includes a glossary of terms, acronyms and abbreviations, and features extensive cross-referencing between chapters, tying the different areas together. With heavy use of up-to-date examples and references to web-based resources, this continues to be a must-have reference in a vital area of research. Provides much-needed, timely coverage of new developments in this expanding area of study Numerous, brand new chapters, for example covering bacterial genomics, microbiome and metagenomics Detailed coverage of application areas, with chapters on plant breeding, conservation and forensic genetics Extensive coverage of human genetic epidemiology, including ethical aspects Edited by one of the leading experts in the field along with rising stars as his co-editors Chapter authors are world-renowned experts in the field, and newly emerging leaders. The Handbook of Statistical Genomics is an excellent introductory text for advanced graduate students and early-career researchers involved in statistical genetics.

Probability Theory and Statistical Inference

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1107185149
Total Pages : 787 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (71 download)

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Book Synopsis Probability Theory and Statistical Inference by : Aris Spanos

Download or read book Probability Theory and Statistical Inference written by Aris Spanos and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2019-09-19 with total page 787 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This empirical research methods course enables informed implementation of statistical procedures, giving rise to trustworthy evidence.

Modern Statistics with R

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 9781032512440
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (124 download)

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Book Synopsis Modern Statistics with R by : Måns Thulin

Download or read book Modern Statistics with R written by Måns Thulin and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2024-08-20 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The past decades have transformed the world of statistical data analysis, with new methods, new types of data, and new computational tools. Modern Statistics with R introduces you to key parts of this modern statistical toolkit. It teaches you: Data wrangling - importing, formatting, reshaping, merging, and filtering data in R. Exploratory data analysis - using visualisations and multivariate techniques to explore datasets. Statistical inference - modern methods for testing hypotheses and computing confidence intervals. Predictive modelling - regression models and machine learning methods for prediction, classification, and forecasting. Simulation - using simulation techniques for sample size computations and evaluations of statistical methods. Ethics in statistics - ethical issues and good statistical practice. R programming - writing code that is fast, readable, and (hopefully!) free from bugs. No prior programming experience is necessary. Clear explanations and examples are provided to accommodate readers at all levels of familiarity with statistical principles and coding practices. A basic understanding of probability theory can enhance comprehension of certain concepts discussed within this book. In addition to plenty of examples, the book includes more than 200 exercises, with fully worked solutions available at: www.modernstatisticswithr.com.

Statistical Modeling and Computation

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1461487757
Total Pages : 412 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (614 download)

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Book Synopsis Statistical Modeling and Computation by : Dirk P. Kroese

Download or read book Statistical Modeling and Computation written by Dirk P. Kroese and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-11-18 with total page 412 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This textbook on statistical modeling and statistical inference will assist advanced undergraduate and graduate students. Statistical Modeling and Computation provides a unique introduction to modern Statistics from both classical and Bayesian perspectives. It also offers an integrated treatment of Mathematical Statistics and modern statistical computation, emphasizing statistical modeling, computational techniques, and applications. Each of the three parts will cover topics essential to university courses. Part I covers the fundamentals of probability theory. In Part II, the authors introduce a wide variety of classical models that include, among others, linear regression and ANOVA models. In Part III, the authors address the statistical analysis and computation of various advanced models, such as generalized linear, state-space and Gaussian models. Particular attention is paid to fast Monte Carlo techniques for Bayesian inference on these models. Throughout the book the authors include a large number of illustrative examples and solved problems. The book also features a section with solutions, an appendix that serves as a MATLAB primer, and a mathematical supplement.​

Linear Models in Statistics

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470192607
Total Pages : 690 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (71 download)

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Book Synopsis Linear Models in Statistics by : Alvin C. Rencher

Download or read book Linear Models in Statistics written by Alvin C. Rencher and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2008-01-07 with total page 690 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The essential introduction to the theory and application of linear models—now in a valuable new edition Since most advanced statistical tools are generalizations of the linear model, it is neces-sary to first master the linear model in order to move forward to more advanced concepts. The linear model remains the main tool of the applied statistician and is central to the training of any statistician regardless of whether the focus is applied or theoretical. This completely revised and updated new edition successfully develops the basic theory of linear models for regression, analysis of variance, analysis of covariance, and linear mixed models. Recent advances in the methodology related to linear mixed models, generalized linear models, and the Bayesian linear model are also addressed. Linear Models in Statistics, Second Edition includes full coverage of advanced topics, such as mixed and generalized linear models, Bayesian linear models, two-way models with empty cells, geometry of least squares, vector-matrix calculus, simultaneous inference, and logistic and nonlinear regression. Algebraic, geometrical, frequentist, and Bayesian approaches to both the inference of linear models and the analysis of variance are also illustrated. Through the expansion of relevant material and the inclusion of the latest technological developments in the field, this book provides readers with the theoretical foundation to correctly interpret computer software output as well as effectively use, customize, and understand linear models. This modern Second Edition features: New chapters on Bayesian linear models as well as random and mixed linear models Expanded discussion of two-way models with empty cells Additional sections on the geometry of least squares Updated coverage of simultaneous inference The book is complemented with easy-to-read proofs, real data sets, and an extensive bibliography. A thorough review of the requisite matrix algebra has been addedfor transitional purposes, and numerous theoretical and applied problems have been incorporated with selected answers provided at the end of the book. A related Web site includes additional data sets and SAS® code for all numerical examples. Linear Model in Statistics, Second Edition is a must-have book for courses in statistics, biostatistics, and mathematics at the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels. It is also an invaluable reference for researchers who need to gain a better understanding of regression and analysis of variance.

Think Stats

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Publisher : "O'Reilly Media, Inc."
ISBN 13 : 1449313108
Total Pages : 137 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (493 download)

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Book Synopsis Think Stats by : Allen B. Downey

Download or read book Think Stats written by Allen B. Downey and published by "O'Reilly Media, Inc.". This book was released on 2011-07-01 with total page 137 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: If you know how to program, you have the skills to turn data into knowledge using the tools of probability and statistics. This concise introduction shows you how to perform statistical analysis computationally, rather than mathematically, with programs written in Python. You'll work with a case study throughout the book to help you learn the entire data analysis process—from collecting data and generating statistics to identifying patterns and testing hypotheses. Along the way, you'll become familiar with distributions, the rules of probability, visualization, and many other tools and concepts. Develop your understanding of probability and statistics by writing and testing code Run experiments to test statistical behavior, such as generating samples from several distributions Use simulations to understand concepts that are hard to grasp mathematically Learn topics not usually covered in an introductory course, such as Bayesian estimation Import data from almost any source using Python, rather than be limited to data that has been cleaned and formatted for statistics tools Use statistical inference to answer questions about real-world data

Introduction to Statistical Methods for Financial Models

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Author :
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1351981900
Total Pages : 303 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis Introduction to Statistical Methods for Financial Models by : Thomas A Severini

Download or read book Introduction to Statistical Methods for Financial Models written by Thomas A Severini and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2017-07-06 with total page 303 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides an introduction to the use of statistical concepts and methods to model and analyze financial data. The ten chapters of the book fall naturally into three sections. Chapters 1 to 3 cover some basic concepts of finance, focusing on the properties of returns on an asset. Chapters 4 through 6 cover aspects of portfolio theory and the methods of estimation needed to implement that theory. The remainder of the book, Chapters 7 through 10, discusses several models for financial data, along with the implications of those models for portfolio theory and for understanding the properties of return data. The audience for the book is students majoring in Statistics and Economics as well as in quantitative fields such as Mathematics and Engineering. Readers are assumed to have some background in statistical methods along with courses in multivariate calculus and linear algebra.

Introduction to Statistical Modelling and Inference

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Author :
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1000644588
Total Pages : 429 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (6 download)

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Book Synopsis Introduction to Statistical Modelling and Inference by : Murray Aitkin

Download or read book Introduction to Statistical Modelling and Inference written by Murray Aitkin and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2022-09-30 with total page 429 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The complexity of large-scale data sets (“Big Data”) has stimulated the development of advanced computational methods for analysing them. There are two different kinds of methods to aid this. The model-based method uses probability models and likelihood and Bayesian theory, while the model-free method does not require a probability model, likelihood or Bayesian theory. These two approaches are based on different philosophical principles of probability theory, espoused by the famous statisticians Ronald Fisher and Jerzy Neyman. Introduction to Statistical Modelling and Inference covers simple experimental and survey designs, and probability models up to and including generalised linear (regression) models and some extensions of these, including finite mixtures. A wide range of examples from different application fields are also discussed and analysed. No special software is used, beyond that needed for maximum likelihood analysis of generalised linear models. Students are expected to have a basic mathematical background in algebra, coordinate geometry and calculus. Features • Probability models are developed from the shape of the sample empirical cumulative distribution function (cdf) or a transformation of it. • Bounds for the value of the population cumulative distribution function are obtained from the Beta distribution at each point of the empirical cdf. • Bayes’s theorem is developed from the properties of the screening test for a rare condition. • The multinomial distribution provides an always-true model for any randomly sampled data. • The model-free bootstrap method for finding the precision of a sample estimate has a model-based parallel – the Bayesian bootstrap – based on the always-true multinomial distribution. • The Bayesian posterior distributions of model parameters can be obtained from the maximum likelihood analysis of the model. This book is aimed at students in a wide range of disciplines including Data Science. The book is based on the model-based theory, used widely by scientists in many fields, and compares it, in less detail, with the model-free theory, popular in computer science, machine learning and official survey analysis. The development of the model-based theory is accelerated by recent developments in Bayesian analysis.