International Factors and Stock Return Predictability

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 90 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (824 download)

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Book Synopsis International Factors and Stock Return Predictability by : Daniel Thomas Quill

Download or read book International Factors and Stock Return Predictability written by Daniel Thomas Quill and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 90 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Stock Return Predictability and Market Integration

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 30 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Stock Return Predictability and Market Integration by : David G. McMillan

Download or read book Stock Return Predictability and Market Integration written by David G. McMillan and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the predictability of a range of international stock markets where we allow the presence of both local and global predictive factors. Recent research has argued that US returns have predictive power for international stock returns. We expand this line of research, following work on market integration, to include a more general definition of the global factor, based on principal components analysis. Results identify three global expected returns factors, one related to the major stock markets of the US, UK and Asia and one related to the other markets analysed. The third component is related to dividend growth. A single dominant realised returns factor is also noted. A forecasting exercise comparing the principal components based factors to a US return factor and local market only factors, as well as the historical mean benchmark find supportive evidence for the former approach. It is hoped that the results from this paper will be informative on three counts. First, to academics interested in understanding the dynamics asset price movement. Second, to market participants who aim to time the market and engage in portfolio and risk management. Third, to those (policy makers and others) who are interested in linkages across international markets and the nature and degree of integration.

International Stock Return Predictability under Model Uncertainty

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 46 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis International Stock Return Predictability under Model Uncertainty by : Andreas Schrimpf

Download or read book International Stock Return Predictability under Model Uncertainty written by Andreas Schrimpf and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines return predictability when the investor is uncertain about the right state variables. A novel feature of the model averaging approach used in this paper is to account for finite-sample bias of the coefficients in the predictive regressions. Drawing on an extensive international dataset, we find that interest-rate related variables are usually among the most prominent predictive variables, whereas valuation ratios perform rather poorly. Yet, predictability of market excess returns weakens substantially, once model uncertainty is accounted for. We document notable differences in the degree of in-sample and out-of-sample predictability across different stock markets. Overall, these findings suggest that return predictability is neither a uniform, nor a universal feature across international capital markets.

International Stock Return Predictability

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 65 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis International Stock Return Predictability by : Pierre Giot

Download or read book International Stock Return Predictability written by Pierre Giot and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 65 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The predictability of stock returns in ten countries is assessed taking into account recently developed out-of-sample statistical tests and risk-adjusted metrics. Predictive variables include both valuation ratios and interest rate variables. Out-of-sample predictive power is found to be greatest for the short-term and long-term interest rate variables. Given the importance of trading profitability in assessing market efficiency, we show that such statistical predictive power is economically meaningless across countries and investment horizons. All in all, no common pattern of stock return predictability emerges across countries, be it on statistical or economic grounds.

International Stock Return Predictability

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 64 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (255 download)

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Book Synopsis International Stock Return Predictability by : Pierre Giot

Download or read book International Stock Return Predictability written by Pierre Giot and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Predicting Global Stock Returns

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 60 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (121 download)

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Book Synopsis Predicting Global Stock Returns by : Erik Hjalmarsson

Download or read book Predicting Global Stock Returns written by Erik Hjalmarsson and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: I test for stock return predictability in the largest and most comprehensive data set analyzed so far, using four common forecasting variables: the dividend- and earnings-price ratios, the short interest rate, and the term spread. The data contain over 20,000 monthly observations from 40 international markets, including 24 developed and 16 emerging economies. In addition, I develop new methods for predictive regressions with panel data. Inference based on the standard fixed effects estimator is shown to suffer from severe size distortions in the typical stock return regression, and an alternative robust estimator is proposed. The empirical results indicate that the short interest rate and the term spread are fairly robust predictors of stock returns in developed markets. In contrast, no strong or consistent evidence of predictability is found when considering the earnings- and dividend-price ratios as predictors.

Macro Variables, Interest Rates and International Stock Return Predictability

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 118 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (741 download)

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Book Synopsis Macro Variables, Interest Rates and International Stock Return Predictability by : Jürgen Friedmann

Download or read book Macro Variables, Interest Rates and International Stock Return Predictability written by Jürgen Friedmann and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 118 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Predicting Stock Returns

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319690086
Total Pages : 141 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (196 download)

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Book Synopsis Predicting Stock Returns by : David G McMillan

Download or read book Predicting Stock Returns written by David G McMillan and published by Springer. This book was released on 2017-11-30 with total page 141 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a comprehensive analysis of asset price movement. It examines different aspects of stock return predictability, the interaction between stock return and dividend growth predictability, the relationship between stocks and bonds, and the resulting implications for asset price movement. By contributing to our understanding of the factors that cause price movement, this book will be of benefit to researchers, practitioners and policy makers alike.

The Handbook of Equity Market Anomalies

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118127765
Total Pages : 352 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (181 download)

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Book Synopsis The Handbook of Equity Market Anomalies by : Leonard Zacks

Download or read book The Handbook of Equity Market Anomalies written by Leonard Zacks and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-08-24 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Investment pioneer Len Zacks presents the latest academic research on how to beat the market using equity anomalies The Handbook of Equity Market Anomalies organizes and summarizes research carried out by hundreds of finance and accounting professors over the last twenty years to identify and measure equity market inefficiencies and provides self-directed individual investors with a framework for incorporating the results of this research into their own investment processes. Edited by Len Zacks, CEO of Zacks Investment Research, and written by leading professors who have performed groundbreaking research on specific anomalies, this book succinctly summarizes the most important anomalies that savvy investors have used for decades to beat the market. Some of the anomalies addressed include the accrual anomaly, net stock anomalies, fundamental anomalies, estimate revisions, changes in and levels of broker recommendations, earnings-per-share surprises, insider trading, price momentum and technical analysis, value and size anomalies, and several seasonal anomalies. This reliable resource also provides insights on how to best use the various anomalies in both market neutral and in long investor portfolios. A treasure trove of investment research and wisdom, the book will save you literally thousands of hours by distilling the essence of twenty years of academic research into eleven clear chapters and providing the framework and conviction to develop market-beating strategies. Strips the academic jargon from the research and highlights the actual returns generated by the anomalies, and documented in the academic literature Provides a theoretical framework within which to understand the concepts of risk adjusted returns and market inefficiencies Anomalies are selected by Len Zacks, a pioneer in the field of investing As the founder of Zacks Investment Research, Len Zacks pioneered the concept of the earnings-per-share surprise in 1982 and developed the Zacks Rank, one of the first anomaly-based stock selection tools. Today, his firm manages U.S. equities for individual and institutional investors and provides investment software and investment data to all types of investors. Now, with his new book, he shows you what it takes to build a quant process to outperform an index based on academically documented market inefficiencies and anomalies.

International Sign Predictability of Stock Returns

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (931 download)

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Book Synopsis International Sign Predictability of Stock Returns by : Henri Nyberg

Download or read book International Sign Predictability of Stock Returns written by Henri Nyberg and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Global Stock Markets

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3663085295
Total Pages : 346 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (63 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Stock Markets by : Wolfgang Drobetz

Download or read book Global Stock Markets written by Wolfgang Drobetz and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-06-29 with total page 346 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Wolfgang Drobetz provides empirical evidence on the time variation of expected stock returns over the stages of the business cycle.

Handbook of Economic Forecasting

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Publisher : Elsevier
ISBN 13 : 0444627405
Total Pages : 667 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (446 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Economic Forecasting by : Graham Elliott

Download or read book Handbook of Economic Forecasting written by Graham Elliott and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2013-08-23 with total page 667 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The highly prized ability to make financial plans with some certainty about the future comes from the core fields of economics. In recent years the availability of more data, analytical tools of greater precision, and ex post studies of business decisions have increased demand for information about economic forecasting. Volumes 2A and 2B, which follows Nobel laureate Clive Granger's Volume 1 (2006), concentrate on two major subjects. Volume 2A covers innovations in methodologies, specifically macroforecasting and forecasting financial variables. Volume 2B investigates commercial applications, with sections on forecasters' objectives and methodologies. Experts provide surveys of a large range of literature scattered across applied and theoretical statistics journals as well as econometrics and empirical economics journals. The Handbook of Economic Forecasting Volumes 2A and 2B provide a unique compilation of chapters giving a coherent overview of forecasting theory and applications in one place and with up-to-date accounts of all major conceptual issues. Focuses on innovation in economic forecasting via industry applications Presents coherent summaries of subjects in economic forecasting that stretch from methodologies to applications Makes details about economic forecasting accessible to scholars in fields outside economics

Complex Systems in Finance and Econometrics

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1441977007
Total Pages : 919 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (419 download)

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Book Synopsis Complex Systems in Finance and Econometrics by : Robert A. Meyers

Download or read book Complex Systems in Finance and Econometrics written by Robert A. Meyers and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2010-11-03 with total page 919 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Finance, Econometrics and System Dynamics presents an overview of the concepts and tools for analyzing complex systems in a wide range of fields. The text integrates complexity with deterministic equations and concepts from real world examples, and appeals to a broad audience.

International Stock Return Predictability: On the Role of the United States in Bad and Good Times

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (956 download)

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Book Synopsis International Stock Return Predictability: On the Role of the United States in Bad and Good Times by : Boriss Siliverstovs

Download or read book International Stock Return Predictability: On the Role of the United States in Bad and Good Times written by Boriss Siliverstovs and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Empirical Asset Pricing

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Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262039370
Total Pages : 497 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (62 download)

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Book Synopsis Empirical Asset Pricing by : Wayne Ferson

Download or read book Empirical Asset Pricing written by Wayne Ferson and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2019-03-12 with total page 497 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An introduction to the theory and methods of empirical asset pricing, integrating classical foundations with recent developments. This book offers a comprehensive advanced introduction to asset pricing, the study of models for the prices and returns of various securities. The focus is empirical, emphasizing how the models relate to the data. The book offers a uniquely integrated treatment, combining classical foundations with more recent developments in the literature and relating some of the material to applications in investment management. It covers the theory of empirical asset pricing, the main empirical methods, and a range of applied topics. The book introduces the theory of empirical asset pricing through three main paradigms: mean variance analysis, stochastic discount factors, and beta pricing models. It describes empirical methods, beginning with the generalized method of moments (GMM) and viewing other methods as special cases of GMM; offers a comprehensive review of fund performance evaluation; and presents selected applied topics, including a substantial chapter on predictability in asset markets that covers predicting the level of returns, volatility and higher moments, and predicting cross-sectional differences in returns. Other chapters cover production-based asset pricing, long-run risk models, the Campbell-Shiller approximation, the debate on covariance versus characteristics, and the relation of volatility to the cross-section of stock returns. An extensive reference section captures the current state of the field. The book is intended for use by graduate students in finance and economics; it can also serve as a reference for professionals.

International Evidence for Return Predictability and the Implications for Long-run Covariation of the G7 Stock Markets

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (254 download)

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Book Synopsis International Evidence for Return Predictability and the Implications for Long-run Covariation of the G7 Stock Markets by : Thomas Nitschka

Download or read book International Evidence for Return Predictability and the Implications for Long-run Covariation of the G7 Stock Markets written by Thomas Nitschka and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Technical Analysis

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Publisher : Ft Press
ISBN 13 : 9780131479029
Total Pages : 241 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (79 download)

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Book Synopsis Technical Analysis by : Gerald Appel

Download or read book Technical Analysis written by Gerald Appel and published by Ft Press. This book was released on 2005 with total page 241 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Unlike most technical analysis books, Gerald Appel's Practical Power Tools! offers step-by-step instructions virtually any investor can use to achieve breakthrough success in the market. Appel illuminates a wide range of strategies and timing models, demystifying even advanced technical analysis the first time. Among the models he covers: NASDAQ/NYSE Relative Strength, 3-5 Year Treasury Notes, Triple Momentum, Seasonality, Breadth-Thrust Impulse, and models based on the revolutionary MACD techniques he personally invented. Appel covers momentum and trend of price movement, time and calendar cycles, predictive chart patterns, relative strength, analysis of internal vs. external markets, market breadth, moving averages, trading channels, overbought/oversold indicators, Trin, VIX, major term buy signals, major term sell signals, moving average trading channels, stock market synergy, and much more. He presents techniques for short-, intermediate-, and long-term investors, and even for mutual fund investors.