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Statistical Consequences of Fat Tails

Author : Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781544508054
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis Statistical Consequences of Fat Tails by : Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Download or read book Statistical Consequences of Fat Tails written by Nassim Nicholas Taleb and published by . This book was released on 2020-06-30 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book investigates the misapplication of conventional statistical techniques to fat tailed distributions and looks for remedies, when possible. Switching from thin tailed to fat tailed distributions requires more than "changing the color of the dress." Traditional asymptotics deal mainly with either n=1 or n=∞, and the real world is in between, under the "laws of the medium numbers"-which vary widely across specific distributions. Both the law of large numbers and the generalized central limit mechanisms operate in highly idiosyncratic ways outside the standard Gaussian or Levy-Stable basins of convergence. A few examples: - The sample mean is rarely in line with the population mean, with effect on "naïve empiricism," but can be sometimes be estimated via parametric methods. - The "empirical distribution" is rarely empirical. - Parameter uncertainty has compounding effects on statistical metrics. - Dimension reduction (principal components) fails. - Inequality estimators (Gini or quantile contributions) are not additive and produce wrong results. - Many "biases" found in psychology become entirely rational under more sophisticated probability distributions. - Most of the failures of financial economics, econometrics, and behavioral economics can be attributed to using the wrong distributions. This book, the first volume of the Technical Incerto, weaves a narrative around published journal articles.

Essential Option Strategies

Author : J. J. Kinahan
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119291518
Total Pages : 299 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (192 download)

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Book Synopsis Essential Option Strategies by : J. J. Kinahan

Download or read book Essential Option Strategies written by J. J. Kinahan and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2016-09-07 with total page 299 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Learn the ins-and-outs of options trading with clear, practical guidance Essential Option Strategies is an introductory guide to options trading, designed to help new options traders better understand the market and the potential opportunities that exist. This book is designed to bring you up to speed with current practices and help you implement your own option trading strategies. You'll create a plan, track indicators, and understand underlying instruments, then apply that central investing knowledge directly to the options market. The discussion on pricing determinants and probabilities uses an intuitive approach to complex calculations, providing clear examples with no advanced math required, and extensive explanation of spreads, butterflies, and condors brings advanced strategies down to earth. Easy-reference appendices clarify the Greek terms and technical analysis charts, while focused discussion and expert insight throughout provide a highly informative crash course on options trading. Options trading has undergone a rapid evolution beyond stocks and commodities into asset classes including fixed-income, precious metals, energy, and more. This book helps you build a solid foundation in the fundamentals, giving you a knowledge base that applies no matter how the instruments change. This book is designed to help you: Understand the options market inside and out Avoid common mistakes Learn some basic positions, and trades Read charts and interpret probabilities Once the domain of the elites, the options market has been thrown wide open thanks to real-time price quotes, through brokerages, and the free flow of information online. The process of buying and selling options contracts is faster and more efficient than ever, and Wall Street is facing stiff competition from independent analysts and financial websites. As much as the market has changed, the fundamentals are the same—and Essential Option Strategies aims to provide expert guidance throughout the learning process.

RETRACTED BOOK: 151 Trading Strategies

Author : Zura Kakushadze
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3030027929
Total Pages : 480 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (3 download)

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Book Synopsis RETRACTED BOOK: 151 Trading Strategies by : Zura Kakushadze

Download or read book RETRACTED BOOK: 151 Trading Strategies written by Zura Kakushadze and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-12-13 with total page 480 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book provides detailed descriptions, including more than 550 mathematical formulas, for more than 150 trading strategies across a host of asset classes and trading styles. These include stocks, options, fixed income, futures, ETFs, indexes, commodities, foreign exchange, convertibles, structured assets, volatility, real estate, distressed assets, cash, cryptocurrencies, weather, energy, inflation, global macro, infrastructure, and tax arbitrage. Some strategies are based on machine learning algorithms such as artificial neural networks, Bayes, and k-nearest neighbors. The book also includes source code for illustrating out-of-sample backtesting, around 2,000 bibliographic references, and more than 900 glossary, acronym and math definitions. The presentation is intended to be descriptive and pedagogical and of particular interest to finance practitioners, traders, researchers, academics, and business school and finance program students.

Your Options Handbook

Author : Jared Levy
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118041186
Total Pages : 432 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (18 download)

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Book Synopsis Your Options Handbook by : Jared Levy

Download or read book Your Options Handbook written by Jared Levy and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-03-08 with total page 432 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive yet simplified guide to the complex world of options investing and risk management Before trading derivatives, one needs to understand the secrets and mechanics behind the options market. Your Options Handbook: The Practical Reference and Strategy Guide to Trading Options offers a straightforward, practical explanation of the options marketplace, including its origins, the mechanics of the market, and how to profit from trading options. Walks you through the stock and option markets from a professional's perspective, but uses plain language and simple analogies Discusses different trading strategies based upon whether one's opinion of the market is bullish, bearish, or neutral Details market players, useful tips, and trading psychology, and explains how options are priced Options are a versatile trading instrument that typically cost less and can have lower risk than stocks. They also offer investors a unique edge and lucrative opportunities that are not available to stock only traders. Your Options Handbook helps investors fully understand the options market, allowing them to enter the sector with greater ease.

The Bible of Options Strategies

Author : Guy Cohen
Publisher : Pearson Education
ISBN 13 : 0131710664
Total Pages : 395 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (317 download)

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Book Synopsis The Bible of Options Strategies by : Guy Cohen

Download or read book The Bible of Options Strategies written by Guy Cohen and published by Pearson Education. This book was released on 2005 with total page 395 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Presents today's most effective strategies for trading options :how and why they work, when they're appropriate, when they're inappropriate, and how to use each one responsibly and with confidence. This book will help you identify and implement the optimal strategy for every opportunity, trading environment, and goal.

Volatility Trading, + website

Author : Euan Sinclair
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470181990
Total Pages : 228 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (71 download)

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Book Synopsis Volatility Trading, + website by : Euan Sinclair

Download or read book Volatility Trading, + website written by Euan Sinclair and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2008-06-23 with total page 228 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In Volatility Trading, Sinclair offers you a quantitative model for measuring volatility in order to gain an edge in your everyday option trading endeavors. With an accessible, straightforward approach. He guides traders through the basics of option pricing, volatility measurement, hedging, money management, and trade evaluation. In addition, Sinclair explains the often-overlooked psychological aspects of trading, revealing both how behavioral psychology can create market conditions traders can take advantage of-and how it can lead them astray. Psychological biases, he asserts, are probably the drivers behind most sources of edge available to a volatility trader. Your goal, Sinclair explains, must be clearly defined and easily expressed-if you cannot explain it in one sentence, you probably aren't completely clear about what it is. The same applies to your statistical edge. If you do not know exactly what your edge is, you shouldn't trade. He shows how, in addition to the numerical evaluation of a potential trade, you should be able to identify and evaluate the reason why implied volatility is priced where it is, that is, why an edge exists. This means it is also necessary to be on top of recent news stories, sector trends, and behavioral psychology. Finally, Sinclair underscores why trades need to be sized correctly, which means that each trade is evaluated according to its projected return and risk in the overall context of your goals. As the author concludes, while we also need to pay attention to seemingly mundane things like having good execution software, a comfortable office, and getting enough sleep, it is knowledge that is the ultimate source of edge. So, all else being equal, the trader with the greater knowledge will be the more successful. This book, and its companion CD-ROM, will provide that knowledge. The CD-ROM includes spreadsheets designed to help you forecast volatility and evaluate trades together with simulation engines.

Stocks for the Long Run, 4th Edition

Author : Jeremy J. Siegel
Publisher : McGraw Hill Professional
ISBN 13 : 0071643923
Total Pages : 407 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (716 download)

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Book Synopsis Stocks for the Long Run, 4th Edition by : Jeremy J. Siegel

Download or read book Stocks for the Long Run, 4th Edition written by Jeremy J. Siegel and published by McGraw Hill Professional. This book was released on 2007-12-18 with total page 407 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Stocks for the Long Run set a precedent as the most complete and irrefutable case for stock market investment ever written. Now, this bible for long-term investing continues its tradition with a fourth edition featuring updated, revised, and new material that will keep you competitive in the global market and up-to-date on the latest index instruments. Wharton School professor Jeremy Siegel provides a potent mix of new evidence, research, and analysis supporting his key strategies for amassing a solid portfolio with enhanced returns and reduced risk. In a seamless narrative that incorporates the historical record of the markets with the realities of today's investing environment, the fourth edition features: A new chapter on globalization that documents how the emerging world will soon overtake the developed world and how it impacts the global economy An extended chapter on indexing that includes fundamentally weighted indexes, which have historically offered better returns and lower volatility than their capitalization-weighted counterparts Insightful analysis on what moves the market and how little we know about the sources of big market changes A sobering look at behavioral finance and the psychological factors that can lead investors to make irrational investment decisions A major highlight of this new edition of Stocks for the Long Run is the chapter on global investing. With the U.S. stock market currently holding less than half of the world's equity capitalization, it's important for investors to diversify abroad. This updated edition shows you how to create an “efficient portfolio” that best balances asset allocation in domestic and foreign markets and provides thorough coverage on sector allocation across the globe. Stocks for the Long Run is essential reading for every investor and advisor who wants to fully understand the market-including its behavior, past trends, and future influences-in order to develop a prosperous long-term portfolio that is both safe and secure.

Derivatives Demystified

Author : Andrew M. Chisholm
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470972955
Total Pages : 268 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (79 download)

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Book Synopsis Derivatives Demystified by : Andrew M. Chisholm

Download or read book Derivatives Demystified written by Andrew M. Chisholm and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2010-06-10 with total page 268 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book is a step-by-step guide to derivative products. By distilling the complex mathematics and theory that underlie the subject, Chisholm explains derivative products in straightforward terms, focusing on applications and intuitive explanations wherever possible. Case studies and examples of how the products are used to solve real-world problems, as well as an extensive glossary and material on the latest derivative products make this book a must have for anyone working with derivative products.

An Introduction to Quantitative Finance

Author : Stephen Blyth
Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN 13 : 0199666598
Total Pages : 193 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (996 download)

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Book Synopsis An Introduction to Quantitative Finance by : Stephen Blyth

Download or read book An Introduction to Quantitative Finance written by Stephen Blyth and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 2014 with total page 193 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The quantitative nature of complex financial transactions makes them a fascinating subject area for mathematicians of all types. This book gives an insight into financial engineering while building on introductory probability courses by detailing one of the most fascinating applications of the subject.

Trading VIX Derivatives

Author : Russell Rhoads
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470933089
Total Pages : 293 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (79 download)

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Book Synopsis Trading VIX Derivatives by : Russell Rhoads

Download or read book Trading VIX Derivatives written by Russell Rhoads and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-08-09 with total page 293 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A guide to using the VIX to forecast and trade markets Known as the fear index, the VIX provides a snapshot of expectations about future stock market volatility and generally moves inversely to the overall stock market. Trading VIX Derivatives will show you how to use the Chicago Board Options Exchange's S&P 500 volatility index to gauge fear and greed in the market, use market volatility to your advantage, and hedge stock portfolios. Engaging and informative, this book skillfully explains the mechanics and strategies associated with trading VIX options, futures, exchange traded notes, and options on exchange traded notes. Many market participants look at the VIX to help understand market sentiment and predict turning points. With a slew of VIX index trading products now available, traders can use a variety of strategies to speculate outright on the direction of market volatility, but they can also utilize these products in conjunction with other instruments to create spread trades or hedge their overall risk. Reviews how to use the VIX to forecast market turning points, as well as reveals what it takes to implement trading strategies using VIX options, futures, and ETNs Accessible to active individual traders, but sufficiently sophisticated for professional traders Offers insights on how volatility-based strategies can be used to provide diversification and enhance returns Written by Russell Rhoads, a top instructor at the CBOE's Options Institute, this book reflects on the wide range of uses associated with the VIX and will interest anyone looking for profitable new forecasting and trading techniques.

Iron Condor Options for Beginners

Author : Freeman Publications
Publisher : Independently Published
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 146 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (828 download)

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Book Synopsis Iron Condor Options for Beginners by : Freeman Publications

Download or read book Iron Condor Options for Beginners written by Freeman Publications and published by Independently Published. This book was released on 2020-09-04 with total page 146 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: If You Are Afraid to Leave Your Money in the Markets Right Now... This simple, repeatable iron condor options strategy could make you $1,000s extra every month from home, with your laptop or smartphone. And you want a low-risk way to "repair" some of the financial damage caused by the coronavirus crash... There's a unique situation in the market you can take advantage of today. Smart traders have been using this strategy for years to make thousands of dollars per week - with much less risk than buying stocks... and no matter what the market is doing... Legendary investor Warren Buffett - one of the most conservative investors in the world - uses this strategy too. That's one reason why conservative financial journal Barron's calls it: "One of the greatest strategies in existence..." Now, we know what you might be thinking: "Options are risky, right?" The simple answer is no. You see, options are one of the most misunderstood investments in the world. Most folks buy options for risky speculations. You can lose your shirt that way, and fast... especially if you don't know what you're doing. But the way we do it, you sell options. And when you do that, you can make great gains without needing to guess which direction a stock is going. Gains like... SPY - $360 from a single trade Disney - $440 from a single trade Netflix - $1,220 from a single trade Here is just a fraction of what you'll discover inside this book: The "instant cash" options strategy which immediately deposits money into your trading account- Page 33 10 effective ways to master the mental side of trading - Page 112 The 5 best low-commission brokers for beginner options traders - Page 88 Trade options like Warren Buffett? The world's greatest investor has used this specific strategy to make $4.9 Billion over the past decade - Page 17 3 live Iron Condor trades with different adjustments strategies for each one. Many traders struggle with adjustments, so we show you different "in the trenches" examples on real trades - Page 81 How to avoid overadjusting your trades. An extensive backtest reveals the surprisingly simple strategy which you can use to automate your profits - Page 73 A simple formula for accurately calculating your potential ROI from each trade - Page 70 The binary trap: Why you should never use an iron condor to trade earnings - Page 55 3 "non-negotiable" trading rules. Adhere to these and you will be ahead of 90% of amateur traders - Page 105 Should you trade SPY or SPX? The surprising answer is on Page 60 We tested 71,417 trades and found the best VIX level to enter your trades at - Page 54 ...plus $135 worth of free bonus material inside! You don't need to have any experience to profit. Nor do you need to monitor the markets 24/7. This is the perfect strategy to use in your spare time. Because you can make extra income with just 1-2 trades per month. And contrary to what many folks believe, becoming a "master" doesn't have to take years and thousands of hours of study. If you have a small account, this is one of the few ways you can turn it into a BIG account, with large, consistent income streams. Once you master the fundamental secrets of the options market, someday soon you could treat your family to a vacation... upgrade the house... or buy that sports car you've had your eye on. Even if you've never traded options before, everything inside is written in plain English, with clear definitions for everything. With real examples for all the concepts inside. So to get a head start on making consistent profits in the options market today, scroll up and click "add to cart"

Statistical Mechanics

Author : James Sethna
Publisher : OUP Oxford
ISBN 13 : 0191566217
Total Pages : 374 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (915 download)

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Book Synopsis Statistical Mechanics by : James Sethna

Download or read book Statistical Mechanics written by James Sethna and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2006-04-07 with total page 374 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In each generation, scientists must redefine their fields: abstracting, simplifying and distilling the previous standard topics to make room for new advances and methods. Sethna's book takes this step for statistical mechanics - a field rooted in physics and chemistry whose ideas and methods are now central to information theory, complexity, and modern biology. Aimed at advanced undergraduates and early graduate students in all of these fields, Sethna limits his main presentation to the topics that future mathematicians and biologists, as well as physicists and chemists, will find fascinating and central to their work. The amazing breadth of the field is reflected in the author's large supply of carefully crafted exercises, each an introduction to a whole field of study: everything from chaos through information theory to life at the end of the universe.

Option Volatility & Pricing: Advanced Trading Strategies and Techniques

Author : Sheldon Natenberg
Publisher : McGraw Hill Professional
ISBN 13 : 155738486X
Total Pages : 485 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (573 download)

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Book Synopsis Option Volatility & Pricing: Advanced Trading Strategies and Techniques by : Sheldon Natenberg

Download or read book Option Volatility & Pricing: Advanced Trading Strategies and Techniques written by Sheldon Natenberg and published by McGraw Hill Professional. This book was released on 1994-08 with total page 485 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Provides a thorough discussion of volatility, the most important aspect of options trading. Shows how to identify mispriced options and to construct volatility and "delta neutral" spreads.

Managed by the Markets

Author : Gerald F. Davis
Publisher : OUP Oxford
ISBN 13 : 0191607584
Total Pages : 328 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (916 download)

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Book Synopsis Managed by the Markets by : Gerald F. Davis

Download or read book Managed by the Markets written by Gerald F. Davis and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2009-03-26 with total page 328 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The current economic crisis reveals just how central finance has become to American life. Problems with obscure securities created on Wall Street radiated outward to threaten the retirement security of pensioners in Florida and Arizona, the homes and college savings of families in Detroit and Southern California, and ultimately the global economy itself. The American government took on vast new debt to bail out the financial system, while the government-owned investment funds of Kuwait, Abu Dhabi, Malaysia, and China bought up much of what was left of Wall Street. How did we get into this mess, and what does it all mean? Managed by the Markets explains how finance replaced manufacturing at the center of the American economy and how its influence has seeped into daily life. From corporations operated to create shareholder value, to banks that became portals to financial markets, to governments seeking to regulate or profit from footloose capital, to households with savings, pensions, and mortgages that rise and fall with the market, life in post-industrial America is tied to finance to an unprecedented degree. Managed by the Markets provides a guide to how we got here and unpacks the consequences of linking the well-being of society too closely to financial markets.

Intermarket Trading Strategies

Author : Markos Katsanos
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1119995906
Total Pages : 428 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (199 download)

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Book Synopsis Intermarket Trading Strategies by : Markos Katsanos

Download or read book Intermarket Trading Strategies written by Markos Katsanos and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2010-03-11 with total page 428 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book shows traders how to use Intermarket Analysis to forecast future equity, index and commodity price movements. It introduces custom indicators and Intermarket based systems using basic mathematical and statistical principles to help traders develop and design Intermarket trading systems appropriate for long term, intermediate, short term and day trading. The metastock code for all systems is included and the testing method is described thoroughly. All systems are back tested using at least 200 bars of historical data and compared using various profitability and drawdown metrics.

The Great Divergence

Author : Kenneth Pomeranz
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691217181
Total Pages : 404 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (912 download)

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Book Synopsis The Great Divergence by : Kenneth Pomeranz

Download or read book The Great Divergence written by Kenneth Pomeranz and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2021-04-13 with total page 404 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A landmark comparative history of Europe and China that examines why the Industrial Revolution emerged in the West The Great Divergence sheds light on one of the great questions of history: Why did sustained industrial growth begin in Northwest Europe? Historian Kenneth Pomeranz shows that as recently as 1750, life expectancy, consumption, and product and factor markets were comparable in Europe and East Asia. Moreover, key regions in China and Japan were no worse off ecologically than those in Western Europe, with each region facing corresponding shortages of land-intensive products. Pomeranz’s comparative lens reveals the two critical factors resulting in Europe's nineteenth-century divergence—the fortunate location of coal and access to trade with the New World. As East Asia’s economy stagnated, Europe narrowly escaped the same fate largely due to favorable resource stocks from underground and overseas. This Princeton Classics edition includes a preface from the author and makes a powerful historical work available to new readers.

Theory of Rational Option Pricing

Author : Robert C Merton
Publisher : Legare Street Press
ISBN 13 : 9781015784017
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (84 download)

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Book Synopsis Theory of Rational Option Pricing by : Robert C Merton

Download or read book Theory of Rational Option Pricing written by Robert C Merton and published by Legare Street Press. This book was released on 2022-10-27 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important, and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it. This work is in the "public domain in the United States of America, and possibly other nations. Within the United States, you may freely copy and distribute this work, as no entity (individual or corporate) has a copyright on the body of the work. Scholars believe, and we concur, that this work is important enough to be preserved, reproduced, and made generally available to the public. We appreciate your support of the preservation process, and thank you for being an important part of keeping this knowledge alive and relevant.