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Inflation Targeting Debt And The Brazilian Experience 1999 To 2003
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Book Synopsis Inflation Targeting, Debt, and the Brazilian Experience, 1999 to 2003 by : Francesco Giavazzi
Download or read book Inflation Targeting, Debt, and the Brazilian Experience, 1999 to 2003 written by Francesco Giavazzi and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2005 with total page 330 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How Brazil's monetary and fiscal policies survived a series of severe economic shocks and the policy lessons for other countries. Inflation targeting -- when central bank policies set specific inflation rate objectives -- is widely used by both developed and developing countries around the world (although not by the United States or the European Central Bank). This collection of original essays looks at how Brazil's policy of inflation targeting, coupled with a floating exchange rate, survived a series of severe economic shocks and examines the policy lessons that can be drawn from Brazil's experience. After a successful start in early 1999, Brazil's policy regime had to manage mounting difficulties, including a sudden reversal of capital flows and its effects on the exchange rate and public debt, the contagion of Argentina's severe economic problems, a domestic energy crisis, and the political uncertainty of the 2002 presidential campaign. The contributors, prominent Brazilian and international economists, draw important lessons from Brazil's experience, including the necessity of accompanying monetary policy with fiscal improvement, the trade-offs involved in dollar-linked debt, the importance of fiscal institutions in an emerging market economy, and the importance of keeping inflation under control.
Book Synopsis Inflation Targeting and Debt by : Carlo A. Favero
Download or read book Inflation Targeting and Debt written by Carlo A. Favero and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Studying the recent experience of Brazil the paper explains how default risk is at the centre of the mechanism through which an emerging market central bank that targets inflation might lose control of inflation--in other words of the mechanism through which the economy might move from a regime of 'monetary dominance' to one of 'fiscal dominance'. The literature, from Sargent and Wallace (1981) to the modern fiscal theory of the price level has discussed how an unsustainable fiscal policy may hinder the effectiveness of monetary policy, to the point that an increase in interest rates can have a perverse effect on inflation. We show that the presence of default risk reinforces the possibility that a vicious circle might arise, making the fiscal constraint on monetary policy more stringent"--NBER website
Book Synopsis Inflation Targeting and the Fiscal Policy Regime by : Francesco Giavazzi
Download or read book Inflation Targeting and the Fiscal Policy Regime written by Francesco Giavazzi and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This article reviews the recent experience of Brazil showing that credit risk is at the centre of the mechanism through which a central bank might lose control of inflation. Brazil during 2002 came close to a situation where fiscal policy hindered the effectiveness of monetary policy. But in early 2003 a change in investors' perception of the long-run fiscal stance brought the economy back to normal conditions, reducing credit risk, stabilising the exchange rate and, through these two variables, inflation expectations, inflation and the dynamics of the public debt. Brazil's experience could thus offer useful lessons for other emerging market economies, which consider adopting inflation targeting as their monetary policy rule.
Download or read book Brazil 2003 written by Ingrid Vogel and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Targeting Inflation when Debt and Risk Premia are High by : Carlo A. Favero
Download or read book Targeting Inflation when Debt and Risk Premia are High written by Carlo A. Favero and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Fiscal Dominance and Inflation Targeting by : Olivier J. Blanchard
Download or read book Fiscal Dominance and Inflation Targeting written by Olivier J. Blanchard and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "A standard proposition in open-economy macroeconomics is that a central-bank-engineered increase in the real interest rate makes domestic government debt more attractive and leads to a real appreciation. If, however, the increase in the real interest rate also increases the probability of default on the debt, the effect may be instead to make domestic government debt less attractive, and to lead to a real depreciation. That outcome is more likely the higher the initial level of debt, the higher the proportion of foreign-currency-denominated debt, and the higher the price of risk. Under that outcome, inflation targeting can clearly have perverse effects: An increase in the real interest in response to higher inflation leads to a real depreciation. The real depreciation leads in turn to a further increase in inflation. In this case, fiscal policy, not monetary policy, is the right instrument to decrease inflation. This paper argues that this is the situation the Brazilian economy found itself in in 2002 and 2003. It presents a model of the interaction between the interest rate, the exchange rate, and the probability of default, in a high-debt high-risk-aversion economy such as Brazil during that period. It then estimates the model, using Brazilian data. It concludes that, in 2002, the level and the composition of public debt in Brazil, and the general level of risk aversion in world financial markets, were indeed such as to imply perverse effects of the interest rate on the exchange rate and on inflation"--NBER website
Book Synopsis Keynes and Macroeconomics After 70 Years by : L. Randall Wray
Download or read book Keynes and Macroeconomics After 70 Years written by L. Randall Wray and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2009-01-01 with total page 354 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The book is strongly recommended for those interested in the continuing reception of Keynes s thinking. John B. Davis, EH.NET In this substantial new collection, esteemed Post-Keynesian scholars reassess the relevance of Keynes s The General Theory to a broad array of topic areas, ranging from the environment, investment finance, exchange rates, and socialism, as well as inquiries into general Post-Keynesian theory. In response to the current economic crisis, many people looking for new solutions are excitedly re-discovering the Post-Keynesian tradition of money modeling and theory. This book offers a broad array of recent Post-Keynesian scholarship, providing a good contextual understanding of the current state of the field from which innovative money solutions are springing. Topics covered here include: Keynes and heterodox economics, the founding fathers of Post-Keynesian economics, Keynesian models, Keynesian policy, and the modern development and extensions of Keynesian economics. Academics and practitioners eager for a solid heterodox approach to economics and money theory, the environment, finance, and political science will find the book an invaluable addition to their collection.
Book Synopsis Inflation Targeting and Financial Stability by : Pierre-Richard Agénor
Download or read book Inflation Targeting and Financial Stability written by Pierre-Richard Agénor and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 120 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Important Elements for Inflation Targeting for Emerging Economies by : Ms.Inci Ötker
Download or read book Important Elements for Inflation Targeting for Emerging Economies written by Ms.Inci Ötker and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-05-01 with total page 23 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is the fifth chapter of a forthcoming monograph entitled "On Implementing Full-Fledged Inflation-Targeting Regimes: Saying What You Do and Doing What You Say." It examines whether certain conditions have to be met before emerging economies can adopt an inflation-targeting regime and provides some empirical evidence on the matter. The issues analyzed are the priority of inflation targeting over other goals, the absence of fiscal dominance, central bank independence, the degree of control over the policy interest rate, a sound methodology for forecasting, and the soundness of financial institutions and markets, and resilience to changes in exchange rates and interest rates.
Book Synopsis The Role of the Exchange Rate in Inflation-Targeting Emerging Economies by : Anna Nordstrom
Download or read book The Role of the Exchange Rate in Inflation-Targeting Emerging Economies written by Anna Nordstrom and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2009-11-24 with total page 106 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper explores the role of exchange rates in emerging economies with inflation-targeting regimes, an issue that has become especially germane during the current episode of financial turmoil and volatile capital flows. Under inflation targeting, the interest rate is the main monetary policy tool for influencing activity and inflation, and there is little agreement about the appropriate role of the exchange rate.The exchange rate is a more important monetary policy tool for emerging economies that have adopted inflation targeting than it is for inflation-targeting advanced economies. Inflation-targeting emerging economies generally have less flexible exchange rate arrangements and intervene more frequently in the foreign exchange market than their advanced economy counterparts. The enhanced role of the exchange rate reflects these economies' greater vulnerability to exchange rate shocks and their less developed financial markets. However, their sharper focus on the exchange rate may cause some confusion about the commitment of their central banks to achieve the inflation target and may also complicate policy implementation. Global inflation pressures, greater exchange rate volatility, and the financial stresses from the global financial turmoil that began in mid-2007 are heightening these tensions.
Author :International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :1589065816 Total Pages :183 pages Book Rating :4.5/5 (89 download)
Book Synopsis IMF Staff Papers, Volume 53, No. 3 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Download or read book IMF Staff Papers, Volume 53, No. 3 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2006-12-15 with total page 183 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is the final issue for 2006 (Volume 53), and contains another paper in the occasional Special Data Section that seeks to measure financial development in the Middle East and North Africa by utilizing a new database. The issue also contains a comment from Jacques J. Polak on parity reversion in real exchange rates.
Book Synopsis IMF-Supported Programs by : Mr.Ashoka Mody
Download or read book IMF-Supported Programs written by Mr.Ashoka Mody and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2006-04-03 with total page 184 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Research work by the IMF’s staff on the effectiveness of the country programs the organization supports, which has long been carried out, has intensified in recent years. IMF analysts have sought to “open up the black box” by more closely examining program design and implementation, as well as how these influence programs’ effectiveness. Their efforts have also focused on identifying the lending, signaling, and monitoring features of the IMF that may affect member countries’ economic performance. This book reports on a large portion of both the new and the continuing research. It concludes that IMF programs work best where domestic politics and institutions permit the timely implementation of the necessary measures and when a country is vulnerable to, but not yet in, a crisis. It points to the need for a wider recognition of the substantial diversity among IMF member countries and for programs to be tailored accordingly while broadly maintaining the IMF’s general principle of uniformity of treatment.
Book Synopsis Monetary Policies and Inflation Targeting in Emerging Economies by : de Mello Luiz
Download or read book Monetary Policies and Inflation Targeting in Emerging Economies written by de Mello Luiz and published by OECD Publishing. This book was released on 2008-04-15 with total page 178 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book, based on the proceedings of a conference organised by the OECD and the Bank of England's Centre for Banking Studies, examines cross-country issues related to the conduct of monetary policy in emerging markets and the role of inflation targeting in improving macroeconomic performance.
Book Synopsis Inflation Targeting in MENA Countries by : Mongi Boughzala
Download or read book Inflation Targeting in MENA Countries written by Mongi Boughzala and published by Springer. This book was released on 2011-07-26 with total page 339 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume assesses the current state of play for Middle East and North African countries, in the light of wider work on inflation targeting, and provides lessons from the evolution of monetary policy in Europe.
Book Synopsis Macroeconomic Policies for EU Accession by : Erdem Basci
Download or read book Macroeconomic Policies for EU Accession written by Erdem Basci and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2007-01-01 with total page 360 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: What macroeconomic requirements must Turkey meet in its quest to accede to the European Union? This book, with its distinguished contributors - well-known economists and policymakers - examines and analyses these macroeconomic challenges confronting Turkey. Although the focus is on the specific situation of Turkey, the lessons are informative for other candidate countries and the findings directly relevant to the process of European integration. The book is divided into four parts: fiscal policies and sustainability of public finances, monetary policy challenges, preconditions for euro adoption, sustainable regimes of capital movements. Each topic is studied in two consecutive papers concentrating first on the challenges faced by the countries of the EU, and then by Turkey. Several papers review the experiences from the previous round of EU accession and the implications of these for Turkey. Macroeconomic Policies for EU Accession will appeal to policymakers, bureaucrats and academics interested in the macroeconomic problems of EU accession and European integration.
Book Synopsis The Puzzle of Brazil's High Interest Rates by : Mr.Alex Segura-Ubiergo
Download or read book The Puzzle of Brazil's High Interest Rates written by Mr.Alex Segura-Ubiergo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-02-01 with total page 20 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper highlights that real interest rates in Brazil have declined substantially over time, but are still well above the average of emerging market inflation targeting regimes. The adoption of an inflation-targeting regime and better economic fundamentals (reduction in inflation volatility and improvements in the fiscal and external positions) has helped Brazil sustain significantly lower real interest rates than in the past. Going forward, the paper shows that Brazil can converge towards lower equilibrium real interest rates if domestic savings increase to the level of other emerging market countries. The effect is particularly pronounced if the increase in domestic savings is achieved through higher levels of public savings. Still, econometric results suggest that, controlling for everything else in the model, real interest rates in Brazil are about two full percentage points higher than in other countries in the sample, suggesting that there are still Brazil-specific factors that have not been captured by the empirical analysis. Some of these factors may include credit market segmentation and inflation inertia generated by still pervasive indexation practices.
Book Synopsis The New Brazilian Economy by : Elias C. Grivoyannis
Download or read book The New Brazilian Economy written by Elias C. Grivoyannis and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-12-12 with total page 355 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This edited collection provides a thorough historical, statistical, and institutional description of the current Brazilian economy and the previous economic structure from which it is emerging. The contributions explore the institutional economic and cultural forces shaping the current development of the Brazilian economy and discuss how they will influence future progress. Together, the chapters form a picture of the international implications of Brazil’s emergence as a major world economic power. Topics covered include the growth and shrinkage of industry, the consumption boom and the financial crisis, sustainable financial growth and public debt management, the evolution of antitrust policy and the privatization of state-owned firms, and more. Academics and researchers of BRICS countries and Latin American and Caribbean studies will find these contributions a valuable addition to their research.