Inflation in Emerging and Developing Economies

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Author :
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 1464813760
Total Pages : 524 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (648 download)

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Book Synopsis Inflation in Emerging and Developing Economies by : Jongrim Ha

Download or read book Inflation in Emerging and Developing Economies written by Jongrim Ha and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2019-02-24 with total page 524 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is the first comprehensive study in the context of EMDEs that covers, in one consistent framework, the evolution and global and domestic drivers of inflation, the role of expectations, exchange rate pass-through and policy implications. In addition, the report analyzes inflation and monetary policy related challenges in LICs. The report documents three major findings: In First, EMDE disinflation over the past four decades was to a significant degree a result of favorable external developments, pointing to the risk of rising EMDE inflation if global inflation were to increase. In particular, the decline in EMDE inflation has been supported by broad-based global disinflation amid rapid international trade and financial integration and the disruption caused by the global financial crisis. While domestic factors continue to be the main drivers of short-term movements in EMDE inflation, the role of global factors has risen by one-half between the 1970s and the 2000s. On average, global shocks, especially oil price swings and global demand shocks have accounted for more than one-quarter of domestic inflation variatio--and more in countries with stronger global linkages and greater reliance on commodity imports. In LICs, global food and energy price shocks accounted for another 12 percent of core inflation variatio--half more than in advanced economies and one-fifth more than in non-LIC EMDEs. Second, inflation expectations continue to be less well-anchored in EMDEs than in advanced economies, although a move to inflation targeting and better fiscal frameworks has helped strengthen monetary policy credibility. Lower monetary policy credibility and exchange rate flexibility have also been associated with higher pass-through of exchange rate shocks into domestic inflation in the event of global shocks, which have accounted for half of EMDE exchange rate variation. Third, in part because of poorly anchored inflation expectations, the transmission of global commodity price shocks to domestic LIC inflation (combined with unintended consequences of other government policies) can have material implications for poverty: the global food price spikes in 2010-11 tipped roughly 8 million people into poverty.

Pricing and Inflation in India

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Author :
Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 298 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Pricing and Inflation in India by : Pulapre Balakrishnan

Download or read book Pricing and Inflation in India written by Pulapre Balakrishnan and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 1991 with total page 298 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study examines inflation in the Indian economy from 1950 to 1980. It emphasizes modelling price behavior in the principal productive sectors of the economy. Within its clearly defined model selection, this work decisively counterposes alternative explanations of inflation.

Inflation Targeting

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Author :
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691187398
Total Pages : 393 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (911 download)

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Book Synopsis Inflation Targeting by : Ben S. Bernanke

Download or read book Inflation Targeting written by Ben S. Bernanke and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2018-06-05 with total page 393 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How should governments and central banks use monetary policy to create a healthy economy? Traditionally, policymakers have used such strategies as controlling the growth of the money supply or pegging the exchange rate to a stable currency. In recent years a promising new approach has emerged: publicly announcing and pursuing specific targets for the rate of inflation. This book is the first in-depth study of inflation targeting. Combining penetrating theoretical analysis with detailed empirical studies of countries where inflation targeting has been adopted, the authors show that the strategy has clear advantages over traditional policies. They argue that the U.S. Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank should adopt this strategy, and they make specific proposals for doing so. The book begins by explaining the unique features and advantages of inflation targeting. The authors argue that the simplicity and openness of inflation targeting make it far easier for the public to understand the intent and effects of monetary policy. This strategy also increases policymakers' accountability for inflation performance and can accommodate flexible, even "discretionary," monetary policy actions without sacrificing central banks' credibility. The authors examine how well variants of this approach have worked in nine countries: Germany and Switzerland (which employ a money-focused form of inflation targeting), New Zealand, Canada, the United Kingdom, Sweden, Israel, Spain, and Australia. They show that these countries have typically seen lower inflation, lower inflation expectations, and lower nominal interest rates, and have found that one-time shocks to the price level have less of a "pass-through" effect on inflation. These effects, in turn, are improving the climate for economic growth. The authors warn, however, that the success of inflation targeting depends on operational details, such as how the targets are defined and when they are announced. They also show that inflation targeting is not a panacea that can make inflation perfectly predictable or reduce it without economic costs. Clear, balanced, and authoritative, Inflation Targeting is a groundbreaking study that will have a major impact on the debate over the right monetary strategy for the coming decades. As a unique comparative study of what central banks actually do in different countries around the world, this book will also be invaluable to anyone interested in how economic policy is made.

Inflation-Forecast Targeting for India

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475578695
Total Pages : 37 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Inflation-Forecast Targeting for India by : Mr.Jaromir Benes

Download or read book Inflation-Forecast Targeting for India written by Mr.Jaromir Benes and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-02-13 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: India formally adopted flexible inflation targeting (FIT) in June 2016 to place price stability, defined in terms of a target CPI inflation, as the primary objective of monetary policy. In this context, the paper draws on Indian macroeconomic developments since 2000 and the experience of other countries that adopted FIT to bring out insights on how credible policy with an emphasis on a strong nominal anchor can reduce the impact of supply shocks and improve macroeconomic stability. For illustrating the key issues given the unique structural characteristics of India and the policy options under an FIT framework, the paper describes an analytical framework using the core quarterly projection model (QPM). Simulations of the QPM are carried out to illustrate the monetary policy responses under different types of uncertainty and to bring out the importance of gaining credibility for improving monetary policy efficacy.

India

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Author :
Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0195315030
Total Pages : 546 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (953 download)

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Book Synopsis India by : Arvind Panagariya

Download or read book India written by Arvind Panagariya and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2008-03-03 with total page 546 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The subject of India's rapid growth in the past two decades has become a prominent focus in the public eye. A book that documents this unique and unprecedented surge, and addresses the issues raised by it, is sorely needed. Arvind Panagariya fills that gap with this sweeping, ambitious survey. India: The Emerging Giant comprehensively describes and analyzes India's economic development since its independence, as well as its prospects for the future. The author argues that India's growth experience since its independence is unique among developing countries and can be divided into four periods, each of which is marked by distinctive characteristics: the post-independence period, marked by liberal policies with regard to foreign trade and investment, the socialist period during which Indira Ghandi and her son blocked liberalization and industrial development, a period of stealthy liberalization, and the most recent, openly liberal period. Against this historical background, Panagariya addresses today's poverty and inequality, macroeconomic policies, microeconomic policies, and issues that bear upon India's previous growth experience and future growth prospects. These provide important insights and suggestions for reform that should change much of the current thinking on the current state of the Indian economy. India: The Emerging Giant will attract a wide variety of readers, including academic economists, policy makers, and research staff in national governments and international institutions. It should also serve as a core text in undergraduate and graduate courses that deal with Indias economic development and policies.

Inflation Dynamics and the Great Recession

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1455263389
Total Pages : 58 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (552 download)

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Book Synopsis Inflation Dynamics and the Great Recession by : Laurence M. Ball

Download or read book Inflation Dynamics and the Great Recession written by Laurence M. Ball and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2011-06-01 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines inflation dynamics in the United States since 1960, with a particular focus on the Great Recession. A puzzle emerges when Phillips curves estimated over 1960-2007 are ussed to predice inflation over 2008-2010: inflation should have fallen by more than it did. We resolve this puzzle with two modifications of the Phillips curve, both suggested by theories of costly price adjustment: we measure core inflation with the median CPI inflation rate, and we allow the slope of the Phillips curve to change with the level and vairance of inflation. We then examine the hypothesis of anchored inflation expectations. We find that expectations have been fully "shock-anchored" since the 1980s, while "level anchoring" has been gradual and partial, but significant. It is not clear whether expectations are sufficiently anchored to prevent deflation over the next few years. Finally, we show that the Great Recession provides fresh evidence against the New Keynesian Phillips curve with rational expectations.

Understanding India’s Food Inflation

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513567888
Total Pages : 42 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Understanding India’s Food Inflation by : Rahul Anand

Download or read book Understanding India’s Food Inflation written by Rahul Anand and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-01-05 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Over the past decade, India has seen a prolonged period of high inflation, to a large extent driven by persistently-high food inflation. This paper investigates the demand and supply factors behind the contribution of relative food inflation to headline CPI inflation. It concludes that in the absence of a stronger food supply growth response, food inflation may exceed non-food inflation by 21⁄2–3 percentage points per year. The sustainability of a long-term inflation target of 4 percent under India’s recently-adopted flexible inflation targeting framework will depend on enhancing food supply, agricultural market-based pricing, and reducing price distortions. A well-designed cereal buffer stock liquidation policy could also help mitigate food inflation volatility.

Inflation and India's Economic Crisis

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Author :
Publisher : Delhi : Vikas Publishing House
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 96 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Inflation and India's Economic Crisis by : Vijendra Kasturi Ranga Varadaraja Rao

Download or read book Inflation and India's Economic Crisis written by Vijendra Kasturi Ranga Varadaraja Rao and published by Delhi : Vikas Publishing House. This book was released on 1973 with total page 96 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: India. Monograph on the short term inflation crisis, its causes and economic policy recommendations - includes supply and demand factors influencing inflation, such as fiscal policy, monetary policy, price controls, the black market, a shrinking tax base, insufficient agricultural production and industrial production, etc. Statistical tables.

Food Inflation in India

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498371558
Total Pages : 23 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Food Inflation in India by : Rahul Anand

Download or read book Food Inflation in India written by Rahul Anand and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-09-24 with total page 23 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Indian food and fuel inflation has remained high for several years, and second-round effects on core inflation are estimated to be large. This paper estimates the size of second-round effects using an estimated reduced-form general equilibrium model of the Indian economy, which incorporates pass-through from headline inflation to core inflation. The results indicate that India's inflation is highly inertial and persistent. Due to second-round effects, the gap between headline inflation and core inflation decreases by about three fourths within one year as core inflation catches up with headline inflation. Large second-round effects stem from several factors, such as the high share of food in household expenditure and the role of food inflation in informing inflation expectations and wage setting. Analysis suggests that in order to durably reduce the current high inflation, the monetary policy stance needs to remain tight for a considerable length of time. In addition, progress on structural reforms to raise potential growth is critical to reduce the burden on monetary policy.

OECD Economic Surveys: India 2019

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Publisher : OECD Publishing
ISBN 13 : 9264823514
Total Pages : 146 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (648 download)

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Book Synopsis OECD Economic Surveys: India 2019 by : OECD

Download or read book OECD Economic Surveys: India 2019 written by OECD and published by OECD Publishing. This book was released on 2019-12-24 with total page 146 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: India has been a growth champion in recent years and has succeeded in taming inflation, the current account deficit and non-performing loans. India's participation in the global economy has risen, with outstanding performances in some services, while the largest diaspora in the world is an asset in developing new markets. India has also lifted many millions of people out of poverty and has made access to housing for all a priority. Ambitious structural reforms -- including better targeted household support, financial inclusion initiatives, the implementation of the Goods and Services Tax, the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code, the new approach to federalism and the corporate income tax reform -- have played a key role.

The Distributional Implications of the Impact of Fuel Price Increases on Inflation

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1616356154
Total Pages : 34 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (163 download)

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Book Synopsis The Distributional Implications of the Impact of Fuel Price Increases on Inflation by : Mr. Kangni R Kpodar

Download or read book The Distributional Implications of the Impact of Fuel Price Increases on Inflation written by Mr. Kangni R Kpodar and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-11-12 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates the response of consumer price inflation to changes in domestic fuel prices, looking at the different categories of the overall consumer price index (CPI). We then combine household survey data with the CPI components to construct a CPI index for the poorest and richest income quintiles with the view to assess the distributional impact of the pass-through. To undertake this analysis, the paper provides an update to the Global Monthly Retail Fuel Price Database, expanding the product coverage to premium and regular fuels, the time dimension to December 2020, and the sample to 190 countries. Three key findings stand out. First, the response of inflation to gasoline price shocks is smaller, but more persistent and broad-based in developing economies than in advanced economies. Second, we show that past studies using crude oil prices instead of retail fuel prices to estimate the pass-through to inflation significantly underestimate it. Third, while the purchasing power of all households declines as fuel prices increase, the distributional impact is progressive. But the progressivity phases out within 6 months after the shock in advanced economies, whereas it persists beyond a year in developing countries.

Reintegrating India with the World Economy

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Publisher : Columbia University Press
ISBN 13 : 0881324442
Total Pages : 182 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (813 download)

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Book Synopsis Reintegrating India with the World Economy by : T. N. Srinivasan

Download or read book Reintegrating India with the World Economy written by T. N. Srinivasan and published by Columbia University Press. This book was released on 2003-05-01 with total page 182 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: After nearly five decades of insulation from world markets, state controls, and slow growth, India embarked in 1991 on a process of liberalization of controls and progressive integration with the global economy in an effort to put its economy on a path of rapid and sustained growth. Despite major changes in the government since then, the thrust on reforms has been maintained. According to the World Bank, only 10 out of 145 countries had more rapid growth than India at over 6 percent per year in the 1990s and two had the same as India's. In this study, T.N. Srinivasan and Suresh D. Tendulkar analyze the economics and politics of India's recent and growing integration with the world economy. They argue that this process has to be nurtured and accelerated if India is to eradicate its poverty and take its rightful place in the global economic system.The study covers the historical roots and the political economy of India's late integration; domestic and external constraints on integration; external capital inflows including foreign direct investment; and India's emerging comparative advantage in the information technology industry and services, particularly computer software. The final chapter offers policy recommendations including proposals that India could make at the ongoing Doha Round of multilateral trade negotiations.

What is Responsible for India’s Sharp Disinflation?

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475533454
Total Pages : 37 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis What is Responsible for India’s Sharp Disinflation? by : Sajjid Chinoy

Download or read book What is Responsible for India’s Sharp Disinflation? written by Sajjid Chinoy and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-09-07 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We analyze the dramatic decline in India’s inflation over the last two years using an augmented Phillips Curve approach and quantify the role of different factors. Our results suggest that, contrary to popular perception, the direct role of lower oil prices in India’s disinflation was relatively modest given the limited pass-through into domestic prices. Instead, we find that inflation is a highly persistent process in India, reflecting very adaptive expectations and the backward looking nature of wage and support price-setting. As a consequence, we find that a moderation of expectations, both backward and forward, and a rationalization of Minimum Support Prices (MSPs), explain the bulk of the disinflation over the last two years.

Managing the Macroeconomy

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Author :
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1137534141
Total Pages : 226 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (375 download)

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Book Synopsis Managing the Macroeconomy by : Ramkishen S. Rajan

Download or read book Managing the Macroeconomy written by Ramkishen S. Rajan and published by Springer. This book was released on 2015-08-04 with total page 226 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: While offering many growth-enhancing opportunities, India's ever-increasing integration with the world economy has given rise to a host of new challenges in managing the economy. This book provides an up-to-date empirical assessment of some of India's crucial policy challenges pertaining to its monetary and external sector management.

Economic Survey 2018-19

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Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0190990899
Total Pages : 951 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (99 download)

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Book Synopsis Economic Survey 2018-19 by : Ministry of Finance Government of India

Download or read book Economic Survey 2018-19 written by Ministry of Finance Government of India and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2019-09-12 with total page 951 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Economic Survey is the budget document of the Government of India, which is presented in parliament every year. It presents the state of affairs of the Indian economy. Economic Survey 2018-19 consists of two volumes, which analyse the performance of the Indian economy for the financial year 2018–19.

Economic Policy Reforms and the Indian Economy

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Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226454541
Total Pages : 396 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (264 download)

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Book Synopsis Economic Policy Reforms and the Indian Economy by : Anne O. Krueger

Download or read book Economic Policy Reforms and the Indian Economy written by Anne O. Krueger and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2011-04-15 with total page 396 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: India is the second most populous country in the world and also one of the poorest. From the late 1940s to 1980, India's per capita income grew at an average annual rate of only two percent. Expansionist economic reforms during the 1980s boosted economic growth but also unfortunately resulted in high inflation and a balance of payments crisis. As a consequence, in 1991 the government announced sweeping new changes in economic policies. Economic Policy Reforms and the Indian Economy evaluates the effects of those changes and identifies areas of the Indian economy still in urgent need of reform. After an overview of Indian economic policies and development since independence, papers focus on the country's fiscal situation, the environment for private economic activity, education, the reservation of certain activities for small-scale industry, and determinants of differentials in rates of growth across the different Indian states. Contributors include respected academic specialists on India and policy reform, high-level Indian administrators, and present and past policymakers.

Indian Economy: Reviews And Commentaries - Vol.Ii

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Author :
Publisher : ICFAI Books
ISBN 13 : 8178811618
Total Pages : 182 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (788 download)

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Book Synopsis Indian Economy: Reviews And Commentaries - Vol.Ii by : Venkitaramanan S

Download or read book Indian Economy: Reviews And Commentaries - Vol.Ii written by Venkitaramanan S and published by ICFAI Books. This book was released on 2003-08-15 with total page 182 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The state of our economy, the role of the state and markets are widely discussed topics. These debates are based on the expectations that economic policies and practices would improve. This is due to centuries of experience in farming, construction, fabri