Doing Bayesian Data Analysis

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Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 0124059163
Total Pages : 772 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (24 download)

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Book Synopsis Doing Bayesian Data Analysis by : John Kruschke

Download or read book Doing Bayesian Data Analysis written by John Kruschke and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2014-11-11 with total page 772 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Doing Bayesian Data Analysis: A Tutorial with R, JAGS, and Stan, Second Edition provides an accessible approach for conducting Bayesian data analysis, as material is explained clearly with concrete examples. Included are step-by-step instructions on how to carry out Bayesian data analyses in the popular and free software R and WinBugs, as well as new programs in JAGS and Stan. The new programs are designed to be much easier to use than the scripts in the first edition. In particular, there are now compact high-level scripts that make it easy to run the programs on your own data sets. The book is divided into three parts and begins with the basics: models, probability, Bayes' rule, and the R programming language. The discussion then moves to the fundamentals applied to inferring a binomial probability, before concluding with chapters on the generalized linear model. Topics include metric-predicted variable on one or two groups; metric-predicted variable with one metric predictor; metric-predicted variable with multiple metric predictors; metric-predicted variable with one nominal predictor; and metric-predicted variable with multiple nominal predictors. The exercises found in the text have explicit purposes and guidelines for accomplishment. This book is intended for first-year graduate students or advanced undergraduates in statistics, data analysis, psychology, cognitive science, social sciences, clinical sciences, and consumer sciences in business. - Accessible, including the basics of essential concepts of probability and random sampling - Examples with R programming language and JAGS software - Comprehensive coverage of all scenarios addressed by non-Bayesian textbooks: t-tests, analysis of variance (ANOVA) and comparisons in ANOVA, multiple regression, and chi-square (contingency table analysis) - Coverage of experiment planning - R and JAGS computer programming code on website - Exercises have explicit purposes and guidelines for accomplishment - Provides step-by-step instructions on how to conduct Bayesian data analyses in the popular and free software R and WinBugs

The Limits of Inference without Theory

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Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262019086
Total Pages : 197 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (62 download)

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Book Synopsis The Limits of Inference without Theory by : Kenneth I. Wolpin

Download or read book The Limits of Inference without Theory written by Kenneth I. Wolpin and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2013-04-26 with total page 197 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The role of theory in ex ante policy evaluations and the limits that eschewing theory places on inference In this rigorous and well-crafted work, Kenneth Wolpin examines the role of theory in inferential empirical work in economics and the social sciences in general—that is, any research that uses raw data to go beyond the mere statement of fact or the tabulation of statistics. He considers in particular the limits that eschewing the use of theory places on inference. Wolpin finds that the absence of theory in inferential work that addresses microeconomic issues is pervasive. That theory is unnecessary for inference is exemplified by the expression “let the data speak for themselves.” This approach is often called “reduced form.” A more nuanced view is based on the use of experiments or quasi-experiments to draw inferences. Atheoretical approaches stand in contrast to what is known as the structuralist approach, which requires that a researcher specify an explicit model of economic behavior—that is, a theory. Wolpin offers a rigorous examination of both structuralist and nonstructuralist approaches. He first considers ex ante policy evaluation, highlighting the role of theory in the implementation of parametric and nonparametric estimation strategies. He illustrates these strategies with two examples, a wage tax and a school attendance subsidy, and summarizes the results from applications. He then presents a number of examples that illustrate the limits of inference without theory: the effect of unemployment benefits on unemployment duration; the effect of public welfare on women's labor market and demographic outcomes; the effect of school attainment on earnings; and a famous field experiment in education dealing with class size. Placing each example within the context of the broader literature, he contrasts them to recent work that relies on theory for inference.

Statistical Challenges in Modern Astronomy V

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 146143520X
Total Pages : 544 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (614 download)

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Book Synopsis Statistical Challenges in Modern Astronomy V by : Eric D. Feigelson

Download or read book Statistical Challenges in Modern Astronomy V written by Eric D. Feigelson and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-08-15 with total page 544 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume contains a selection of chapters based on papers to be presented at the Fifth Statistical Challenges in Modern Astronomy Symposium. The symposium will be held June 13-15th at Penn State University. Modern astronomical research faces a vast range of statistical issues which have spawned a revival in methodological activity among astronomers. The Statistical Challenges in Modern Astronomy V conference will bring astronomers and statisticians together to discuss methodological issues of common interest. Time series analysis, image analysis, Bayesian methods, Poisson processes, nonlinear regression, maximum likelihood, multivariate classification, and wavelet and multiscale analyses are all important themes to be covered in detail. Many problems will be introduced at the conference in the context of large-scale astronomical projects including LIGO, AXAF, XTE, Hipparcos, and digitized sky surveys.

Moral Hazard in Health Insurance

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Publisher : Columbia University Press
ISBN 13 : 0231538685
Total Pages : 161 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (315 download)

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Book Synopsis Moral Hazard in Health Insurance by : Amy Finkelstein

Download or read book Moral Hazard in Health Insurance written by Amy Finkelstein and published by Columbia University Press. This book was released on 2014-12-02 with total page 161 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Addressing the challenge of covering heath care expenses—while minimizing economic risks. Moral hazard—the tendency to change behavior when the cost of that behavior will be borne by others—is a particularly tricky question when considering health care. Kenneth J. Arrow’s seminal 1963 paper on this topic (included in this volume) was one of the first to explore the implication of moral hazard for health care, and Amy Finkelstein—recognized as one of the world’s foremost experts on the topic—here examines this issue in the context of contemporary American health care policy. Drawing on research from both the original RAND Health Insurance Experiment and her own research, including a 2008 Health Insurance Experiment in Oregon, Finkelstein presents compelling evidence that health insurance does indeed affect medical spending and encourages policy solutions that acknowledge and account for this. The volume also features commentaries and insights from other renowned economists, including an introduction by Joseph P. Newhouse that provides context for the discussion, a commentary from Jonathan Gruber that considers provider-side moral hazard, and reflections from Joseph E. Stiglitz and Kenneth J. Arrow. “Reads like a fireside chat among a group of distinguished, articulate health economists.” —Choice

Bayes Or Bust?

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Publisher : Bradford Books
ISBN 13 : 9780262050463
Total Pages : 272 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (54 download)

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Book Synopsis Bayes Or Bust? by : John Earman

Download or read book Bayes Or Bust? written by John Earman and published by Bradford Books. This book was released on 1992 with total page 272 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: There is currently no viable alternative to the Bayesian analysis of scientific inference, yet the available versions of Bayesianism fail to do justice to several aspects of the testing and confirmation of scientific hypotheses. Bayes or Bust? provides the first balanced treatment of the complex set of issues involved in this nagging conundrum in the philosophy of science. Both Bayesians and anti-Bayesians will find a wealth of new insights on topics ranging from Bayes's original paper to contemporary formal learning theory. In a paper published posthumously in 1763, the Reverend Thomas Bayes made a seminal contribution to the understanding of "analogical or inductive reasoning." Building on his insights, modem Bayesians have developed an account of scientific inference that has attracted numerous champions as well as numerous detractors. Earman argues that Bayesianism provides the best hope for a comprehensive and unified account of scientific inference, yet the presently available versions of Bayesianisin fail to do justice to several aspects of the testing and confirming of scientific theories and hypotheses. By focusing on the need for a resolution to this impasse, Earman sharpens the issues on which a resolution turns. John Earman is Professor of History and Philosophy of Science at the University of Pittsburgh.

Computational Topology

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Publisher : American Mathematical Society
ISBN 13 : 1470467690
Total Pages : 241 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (74 download)

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Book Synopsis Computational Topology by : Herbert Edelsbrunner

Download or read book Computational Topology written by Herbert Edelsbrunner and published by American Mathematical Society. This book was released on 2022-01-31 with total page 241 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Combining concepts from topology and algorithms, this book delivers what its title promises: an introduction to the field of computational topology. Starting with motivating problems in both mathematics and computer science and building up from classic topics in geometric and algebraic topology, the third part of the text advances to persistent homology. This point of view is critically important in turning a mostly theoretical field of mathematics into one that is relevant to a multitude of disciplines in the sciences and engineering. The main approach is the discovery of topology through algorithms. The book is ideal for teaching a graduate or advanced undergraduate course in computational topology, as it develops all the background of both the mathematical and algorithmic aspects of the subject from first principles. Thus the text could serve equally well in a course taught in a mathematics department or computer science department.

Handbook of Approximate Bayesian Computation

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1439881510
Total Pages : 679 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (398 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Approximate Bayesian Computation by : Scott A. Sisson

Download or read book Handbook of Approximate Bayesian Computation written by Scott A. Sisson and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2018-09-03 with total page 679 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As the world becomes increasingly complex, so do the statistical models required to analyse the challenging problems ahead. For the very first time in a single volume, the Handbook of Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) presents an extensive overview of the theory, practice and application of ABC methods. These simple, but powerful statistical techniques, take Bayesian statistics beyond the need to specify overly simplified models, to the setting where the model is defined only as a process that generates data. This process can be arbitrarily complex, to the point where standard Bayesian techniques based on working with tractable likelihood functions would not be viable. ABC methods finesse the problem of model complexity within the Bayesian framework by exploiting modern computational power, thereby permitting approximate Bayesian analyses of models that would otherwise be impossible to implement. The Handbook of ABC provides illuminating insight into the world of Bayesian modelling for intractable models for both experts and newcomers alike. It is an essential reference book for anyone interested in learning about and implementing ABC techniques to analyse complex models in the modern world.

A Concise Introduction to Decentralized POMDPs

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319289292
Total Pages : 146 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (192 download)

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Book Synopsis A Concise Introduction to Decentralized POMDPs by : Frans A. Oliehoek

Download or read book A Concise Introduction to Decentralized POMDPs written by Frans A. Oliehoek and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-06-03 with total page 146 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book introduces multiagent planning under uncertainty as formalized by decentralized partially observable Markov decision processes (Dec-POMDPs). The intended audience is researchers and graduate students working in the fields of artificial intelligence related to sequential decision making: reinforcement learning, decision-theoretic planning for single agents, classical multiagent planning, decentralized control, and operations research.

Heuristics, Probability, and Casuality

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781904987666
Total Pages : 565 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (876 download)

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Book Synopsis Heuristics, Probability, and Casuality by : Rina Dechter

Download or read book Heuristics, Probability, and Casuality written by Rina Dechter and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 565 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The field of Artificial Intelligence has changed a great deal since the 80s, and arguably no one has played a larger role in that change than Judea Pearl. Judea Pearl's work made probability the prevailing language of modern AI and, perhaps more significantly, it placed the elaboration of crisp and meaningful models, and of effective computational mechanisms, at the center of AI research. This book is a collection of articles in honor of Judea Pearl, written by close colleagues and former students. Its three main parts, heuristics, probabilistic reasoning, and causality, correspond to the titles of the three ground-breaking books authored by Judea, and are followed by a section of short reminiscences. In this volume, leading authors look at the state of the art in the fields of heuristic, probabilistic, and causal reasoning, in light of Judea's seminal contributors. The authors list include Blai Bonet, Eric Hansen, Robert Holte, Jonathan Schaeffer, Ariel Felner, Richard Korf, Austin Parker, Dana Nau, V. S. Subrahmanian, Hector Geffner, Ira Pohl, Adnan Darwiche, Thomas Dean, Rina Dechter, Bozhena Bidyuk, Robert Matescu, Emma Rollon, Michael I. Jordan, Michael Kearns, Daphne Koller, Brian Milch, Stuart Russell, Azaria Paz, David Poole, Ingrid Zukerman, Carlos Brito, Philip Dawid, Felix Elwert, Christopher Winship, Michael Gelfond, Nelson Rushton, Moises Goldszmidt, Sander Greenland, Joseph Y. Halpern, Christopher Hitchcock, David Heckerman, Ross Shachter, Vladimir Lifschitz, Thomas Richardson, James Robins, Yoav Shoham, Peter Spirtes, Clark Glymour, Richard Scheines, Robert Tillman, Wolfgang Spohn, Jian Tian, Ilya Shpitser, Nils Nilsson, Edward T. Purcell, and David Spiegelhalter.

The Mathematics of Data

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Publisher : American Mathematical Soc.
ISBN 13 : 1470435756
Total Pages : 340 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (74 download)

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Book Synopsis The Mathematics of Data by : Michael W. Mahoney

Download or read book The Mathematics of Data written by Michael W. Mahoney and published by American Mathematical Soc.. This book was released on 2018-11-15 with total page 340 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Nothing provided

State-space Models with Regime Switching

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Publisher : Mit Press
ISBN 13 : 9780262112383
Total Pages : 297 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (123 download)

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Book Synopsis State-space Models with Regime Switching by : Chang-Jin Kim

Download or read book State-space Models with Regime Switching written by Chang-Jin Kim and published by Mit Press. This book was released on 1999 with total page 297 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Both state-space models and Markov switching models have been highly productive paths for empirical research in macroeconomics and finance. This book presents recent advances in econometric methods that make feasible the estimation of models that have both features. One approach, in the classical framework, approximates the likelihood function; the other, in the Bayesian framework, uses Gibbs-sampling to simulate posterior distributions from data.The authors present numerous applications of these approaches in detail: decomposition of time series into trend and cycle, a new index of coincident economic indicators, approaches to modeling monetary policy uncertainty, Friedman's "plucking" model of recessions, the detection of turning points in the business cycle and the question of whether booms and recessions are duration-dependent, state-space models with heteroskedastic disturbances, fads and crashes in financial markets, long-run real exchange rates, and mean reversion in asset returns.

Model Selection and Multimodel Inference

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 0387224564
Total Pages : 512 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (872 download)

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Book Synopsis Model Selection and Multimodel Inference by : Kenneth P. Burnham

Download or read book Model Selection and Multimodel Inference written by Kenneth P. Burnham and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-05-28 with total page 512 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A unique and comprehensive text on the philosophy of model-based data analysis and strategy for the analysis of empirical data. The book introduces information theoretic approaches and focuses critical attention on a priori modeling and the selection of a good approximating model that best represents the inference supported by the data. It contains several new approaches to estimating model selection uncertainty and incorporating selection uncertainty into estimates of precision. An array of examples is given to illustrate various technical issues. The text has been written for biologists and statisticians using models for making inferences from empirical data.

A Tutorial on Thompson Sampling

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781680834710
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (347 download)

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Book Synopsis A Tutorial on Thompson Sampling by : Daniel J. Russo

Download or read book A Tutorial on Thompson Sampling written by Daniel J. Russo and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The objective of this tutorial is to explain when, why, and how to apply Thompson sampling.

A Practical Introduction to Regression Discontinuity Designs

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1108670423
Total Pages : 118 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (86 download)

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Book Synopsis A Practical Introduction to Regression Discontinuity Designs by : Matias D. Cattaneo

Download or read book A Practical Introduction to Regression Discontinuity Designs written by Matias D. Cattaneo and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2020-02-13 with total page 118 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this Element and its accompanying second Element, A Practical Introduction to Regression Discontinuity Designs: Extensions, Matias Cattaneo, Nicolás Idrobo, and Rocıìo Titiunik provide an accessible and practical guide for the analysis and interpretation of regression discontinuity (RD) designs that encourages the use of a common set of practices and facilitates the accumulation of RD-based empirical evidence. In this Element, the authors discuss the foundations of the canonical Sharp RD design, which has the following features: (i) the score is continuously distributed and has only one dimension, (ii) there is only one cutoff, and (iii) compliance with the treatment assignment is perfect. In the second Element, the authors discuss practical and conceptual extensions to this basic RD setup.

Active Inference

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Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 0262362287
Total Pages : 313 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (623 download)

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Book Synopsis Active Inference by : Thomas Parr

Download or read book Active Inference written by Thomas Parr and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2022-03-29 with total page 313 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The first comprehensive treatment of active inference, an integrative perspective on brain, cognition, and behavior used across multiple disciplines. Active inference is a way of understanding sentient behavior—a theory that characterizes perception, planning, and action in terms of probabilistic inference. Developed by theoretical neuroscientist Karl Friston over years of groundbreaking research, active inference provides an integrated perspective on brain, cognition, and behavior that is increasingly used across multiple disciplines including neuroscience, psychology, and philosophy. Active inference puts the action into perception. This book offers the first comprehensive treatment of active inference, covering theory, applications, and cognitive domains. Active inference is a “first principles” approach to understanding behavior and the brain, framed in terms of a single imperative to minimize free energy. The book emphasizes the implications of the free energy principle for understanding how the brain works. It first introduces active inference both conceptually and formally, contextualizing it within current theories of cognition. It then provides specific examples of computational models that use active inference to explain such cognitive phenomena as perception, attention, memory, and planning.

Cure Models

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 0429629680
Total Pages : 268 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (296 download)

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Book Synopsis Cure Models by : Yingwei Peng

Download or read book Cure Models written by Yingwei Peng and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2021-03-22 with total page 268 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Cure Models: Methods, Applications and Implementation is the first book in the last 25 years that provides a comprehensive and systematic introduction to the basics of modern cure models, including estimation, inference, and software. This book is useful for statistical researchers and graduate students, and practitioners in other disciplines to have a thorough review of modern cure model methodology and to seek appropriate cure models in applications. The prerequisites of this book include some basic knowledge of statistical modeling, survival models, and R and SAS for data analysis. The book features real-world examples from clinical trials and population-based studies and a detailed introduction to R packages, SAS macros, and WinBUGS programs to fit some cure models. The main topics covered include the foundation of statistical estimation and inference of cure models for independent and right-censored survival data, cure modeling for multivariate, recurrent-event, and competing-risks survival data, and joint modeling with longitudinal data, statistical testing for the existence and difference of cure rates and sufficient follow-up, new developments in Bayesian cure models, applications of cure models in public health research and clinical trials.

Speech & Language Processing

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Publisher : Pearson Education India
ISBN 13 : 9788131716724
Total Pages : 912 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (167 download)

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Book Synopsis Speech & Language Processing by : Dan Jurafsky

Download or read book Speech & Language Processing written by Dan Jurafsky and published by Pearson Education India. This book was released on 2000-09 with total page 912 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: