How Accurate Are The Imfs Short Term Forecasts Another Examination Of The World Economic Outlook

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How Accurate Are the Imf's Short-Term Forecasts? Another Examination of the World Economic Outlook

Author : Mr.Michael J. Artis
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451851251
Total Pages : 94 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis How Accurate Are the Imf's Short-Term Forecasts? Another Examination of the World Economic Outlook by : Mr.Michael J. Artis

Download or read book How Accurate Are the Imf's Short-Term Forecasts? Another Examination of the World Economic Outlook written by Mr.Michael J. Artis and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1996-08-01 with total page 94 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes the short-term forecasts for industrial and developing countries produced by the International Monetary Fund, and published twice a year in the World Economic Outlook (WEO). For the industrial country group, the WEO forecasts for output growth and inflation are satisfactory and pass most conventional tests in forecasting economic developments, although forecast accuracy has not improved over time, and predicting the turning points of the business cycle remains a weakness. For the developing countries, the task of forecasting movements in economic activity is even more difficult and the conventional measures of forecast accuracy are less satisfactory than for the industrial countries.

World Economic Outlook, April 2016

Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498398588
Total Pages : 230 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis World Economic Outlook, April 2016 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book World Economic Outlook, April 2016 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-04-12 with total page 230 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Major macroeconomic realignments are affecting prospects differentially across the world’s countries and regions. The April 2016 WEO examines the causes and implications of these realignments—including the slowdown and rebalancing in China, a further decline in commodity prices, a related slowdown in investment and trade, and declining capital flows to emerging market and developing economies—which are generating substantial uncertainty and affecting the outlook for the global economy. Additionally, analytical chapters examine the slowdown in capital flows to emerging market economies since their 2010 peak—its main characteristics, how it compares with past slowdowns, the factors that are driving it, and whether exchange rate flexibility has changed the dynamics of the capital inflow cycle—and assess whether product and labor market reforms can improve the economic outlook in advanced economies, looking at the recent evolution and scope for further reform, the channels through which reforms affect economic activity under strong versus weak economic conditions, reforms’ short- to medium-term macroeconomic effects, and sequencing of reforms and coordination with other policies to maximize their potential quantitative economic benefits. A special feature analyzes in depth the energy transition in an era of low fossil fuel prices.

The World Bank's Unified Survey Projections: How Accurate Are They?

Author : Jos Verbeek
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 60 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis The World Bank's Unified Survey Projections: How Accurate Are They? by : Jos Verbeek

Download or read book The World Bank's Unified Survey Projections: How Accurate Are They? written by Jos Verbeek and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1999 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

World Economic Outlook, April 2015

Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498378005
Total Pages : 884 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis World Economic Outlook, April 2015 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book World Economic Outlook, April 2015 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-04-14 with total page 884 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Global growth remains moderate and uneven, and a number of complex forces are shaping the outlook. These include medium- and long-term trends, global shocks, and many country- or region-specific factors. The April 2015 WEO examines the causes and implications of recent trends, including lower oil prices, which are providing a boost to growth globally and in many oil-importing countries but are weighing on activity in oil-exporting countries, and substantial changes in exchange rates for major currencies, reflecting variations in country growth rates and in exchange rate policies and the lower price of oil. Additionally, analytical chapters explore the growth rate of potential output across advanced and emerging market economies, assessing its recent track and likely future course; and the performance of private fixed investment in advanced economies, which has featured prominently in the public policy debate in recent years, focusing on the role of overall economic weakness in accounting for this performance.

International financial crises challenges remain in IMF's ability to anticipate, prevent, and resolve financial crises : report to the Chairman, Committee on Financial Services, and to the Vice Chairman, Joint Economic Committee, House of Representatives

Download International financial crises challenges remain in IMF's ability to anticipate, prevent, and resolve financial crises : report to the Chairman, Committee on Financial Services, and to the Vice Chairman, Joint Economic Committee, House of Representatives PDF Online Free

Author :
Publisher : DIANE Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1428941991
Total Pages : 82 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (289 download)

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Book Synopsis International financial crises challenges remain in IMF's ability to anticipate, prevent, and resolve financial crises : report to the Chairman, Committee on Financial Services, and to the Vice Chairman, Joint Economic Committee, House of Representatives by :

Download or read book International financial crises challenges remain in IMF's ability to anticipate, prevent, and resolve financial crises : report to the Chairman, Committee on Financial Services, and to the Vice Chairman, Joint Economic Committee, House of Representatives written by and published by DIANE Publishing. This book was released on 2003 with total page 82 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

IEO Evaluation Report

Author : International Monetary Fund. Independent Evaluation Office
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484363787
Total Pages : 68 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis IEO Evaluation Report by : International Monetary Fund. Independent Evaluation Office

Download or read book IEO Evaluation Report written by International Monetary Fund. Independent Evaluation Office and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-04-30 with total page 68 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Independent Evaluation Office (IEO) was established by the IMF’s Executive Board in 2001. It provides objective and independent evaluation of issues related to the IMF. The IEO operates independently of IMF management and at arm’s length from the IMF Executive Board. For more information on the IEO’s activities, visit the IEO website: www.ieo-imf.org.

Modeling the World Economic Outlook At the IMF

Author : Mr.James M. Boughton
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451846703
Total Pages : 25 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Modeling the World Economic Outlook At the IMF by : Mr.James M. Boughton

Download or read book Modeling the World Economic Outlook At the IMF written by Mr.James M. Boughton and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1997-04-01 with total page 25 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The World Economic Outlook (WEO) exercise at the IMF evolved during the 1980s, partly in response to demands by policymakers in national finance ministries for objective and internationally comparable projections and policy scenarios. The exercise had begun as a staff initiative, encouraged by the Managing Director (Johannes Witteveen). Gradually, the Executive Board, the Interim Committee, the Group of Seven, and others came to view the discussion of the WEO documents as an important element in their efforts to keep abreast of world economic developments and prospects. Direct and indirect feedback from those discussions informed the staff as to how the exercise should be improved. Driven by this policy relevance, the WEO evolved from a decentralized project that was only haphazardly model-based into a more rigorous and coordinated exercise.

World Economic Outlook, April 2006

Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1589065492
Total Pages : 283 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (89 download)

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Book Synopsis World Economic Outlook, April 2006 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book World Economic Outlook, April 2006 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2005-09-20 with total page 283 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The World Economic Outlook is the product of a unique international exercise in information gathering and analysis performed by IMF staff to guide key initiatives and to serve IMF member countries. Published at least twice a year in English, French, Spanish, and Arabic, the World Economic Outlook offers a comprehensive picture of the international economic situation and prospects for the future. With its analyses backed by the expertise and resources of over 1,100 IMF economists, the World Economic Outlook is the authoritative reference in its field. Today, even small economic fluctuations can trigger major financial swings. It’s vital to have the latest perspective on what’s happening and where it could lead in the coming months and years. The World Economic Outlook brings you that perspective, giving you analyses, forecasts, and figures you’ll use all year long.

IMF Staff Papers, Volume 49, No. 1

Author : Mr.Robert P. Flood
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 9781589060975
Total Pages : 166 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (69 download)

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Book Synopsis IMF Staff Papers, Volume 49, No. 1 by : Mr.Robert P. Flood

Download or read book IMF Staff Papers, Volume 49, No. 1 written by Mr.Robert P. Flood and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2002-04-18 with total page 166 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper presents details of a symposium on forecasting performance I organized under the auspices of the IMF Staff Papers. The assumption that the forecaster's goal is to do as well as possible in predicting the actual outcome is sometimes questionable. ln the context of private sector forecasts, this is because the incentives for forecasters may induce them to herd rather than to reveal their true forecasts. Public sector forecasts may also be distorted, although for different reasons. Forecasts associated with IMF programs, for example, are often the result of negotiations between the IMF staff and the country authorities and are perhaps more accurately viewed as goals, or targets, rather than pure forecasts. The standard theory of time series forecasting involves a variety of components including the choice of an information set, the choice of a cost function, and the evaluation of forecasts in terms of the average costs of the forecast errors. It is generally acknowledged that by including more relevant information in the information set, one should be able to produce better forecasts.

World Economic Outlook -- Interim Assessment, December 1997

Author : International Monetary Fund
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 9781557757142
Total Pages : 94 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (571 download)

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Book Synopsis World Economic Outlook -- Interim Assessment, December 1997 by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book World Economic Outlook -- Interim Assessment, December 1997 written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1998-01-27 with total page 94 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The economic and financial crisis that erupted in southeast Asia in July 1997 had continued to deepen and broaden as of December, and spillover effects from investor deteriorating confidence in emerging market economies were being felt throughout the global financial system. This special Interim Assessment of the World Economic Outlook revises regional and global economic projections made by the IMF staff, as published in the October 1997 issue, in light of the crisis; charts the buildup to the crisis and its onset and evolution; assesses effects on the advanced economies and on private financing for developing countries; and raises policy issues that the crisis has posed.

World Economic Outlook and International Capital Markets Interim Assessment, 1998

Author : International Monetary Fund
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 9781557757937
Total Pages : 126 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (579 download)

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Book Synopsis World Economic Outlook and International Capital Markets Interim Assessment, 1998 by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book World Economic Outlook and International Capital Markets Interim Assessment, 1998 written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1999-01-29 with total page 126 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This interim update of the IMF's latest regular reports on the World Economic Outlook (published in October 1998) and International Capital Markets (September 1998) provides a preliminary assessment of the unusual turbulence in international financial markets during much of the period August-November 1998, and its implications for the global economic outlook and for policy. The survey of prospects and policies is the product of a comprehensive interdepartmental review of world economic developments, which draws primarily on information the IMF gathers through its consultations with member countries. For its eveluation of developments in financial markets, the report also draws, in part, on informal discussions with commercial and investment banks, securities firms, stock and futures exchanges, and regulatory and monetary authorities.

World Economic Outlook, October 1997

Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 9781557756107
Total Pages : 262 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (561 download)

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Book Synopsis World Economic Outlook, October 1997 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book World Economic Outlook, October 1997 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1996-10-01 with total page 262 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The World Economic Outlook, published twice a year in English, French, Spanish, and Arabic, presents IMF staf economists' analyses of global economic developments during the near and medium tem. Chapters give an overview of the world economy; consider issues affecting industrial countries, developing countries, and economies in transition to market; and address topics of pressing current interest. Annexes, boxes, charts, and an extensive statistical appendix augment the text.

Staff Studies for the World Economic Outlook, 1997

Author : International Monetary Fund
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 9781557757012
Total Pages : 162 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (57 download)

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Book Synopsis Staff Studies for the World Economic Outlook, 1997 by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Staff Studies for the World Economic Outlook, 1997 written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1998-01-16 with total page 162 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: These studies provide supporting material for the analysis and scenarios in the World Economic Outlook.

World Economic Outlook, September 2003

Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 9781589062832
Total Pages : 244 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (628 download)

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Book Synopsis World Economic Outlook, September 2003 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book World Economic Outlook, September 2003 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-04-10 with total page 244 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The World Economic Outlook, published twice a year in English, French, Spanish, and Arabic, presents IMF staff economists' analyses of global economic developments during the near and medium term. Chapters give an overview of the world economy; consider issues affecting industrial countries, and economics in transition to market; and address topics of pressing current interest. Annexes, boxes, charts, and an extensive statistical appendix augment the text.

World Economic Outlook, April 2007

Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 158906626X
Total Pages : 323 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (89 download)

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Book Synopsis World Economic Outlook, April 2007 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book World Economic Outlook, April 2007 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2006-09-19 with total page 323 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The IMF’s World Economic Outlook is packed with country specific facts, figures, and worldwide projections that present the outlook for growth, inflation, trade, and other economic developments in a clear, practical format. Leading international economists pull together the latest data on key topics, producing informed projections and policy analyses that show where the global economy is headed in the years to come. Business executives, policymakers, bankers, investors, marketing strategists, and economists worldwide refer to the WEO with confidence because it delivers a balanced view of the current economic situation, built upon the respected and extensive macroeconomic expertise and statistical resources of the IMF. The WEO is the product of a unique international exercise in information gathering and analysis performed by over 1,000 economists on the IMF staff. An annual subscription to the World Economic Outlook, published at least twice a year in English, French, Spanish, and Arabic, offers a comprehensive assessment of the international economic situation as well as prospects for the future. With its analyses backed by the expertise and unparalleled resources of the IMF, the World Economic Outlook is the authoritative reference in its field. Today, when even small economic fluctuations can trigger major financial swings, the WEO supplies a solid source of actionable information and data.

World Economic Outlook, September 2005

Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 9781589064546
Total Pages : 294 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (645 download)

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Book Synopsis World Economic Outlook, September 2005 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book World Economic Outlook, September 2005 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2005-04-12 with total page 294 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The World Economic Outlook, published twice a year in English, French, Spanish, and Arabic, presents IMF staff economists' analyses of global economic developments during the near and medium term. Chapters give an overview of the world economy; consider issues affecting industrial countries, and economics in transition to market; and address topics of pressing current interest. Annexes, boxes, charts, and an extensive statistical appendix augment the text.

World Economic Outlook, May 1999

Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 9781557758095
Total Pages : 242 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (58 download)

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Book Synopsis World Economic Outlook, May 1999 by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book World Economic Outlook, May 1999 written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1999-05-28 with total page 242 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The World Economic Outlook, published twice a year in English, French, Spanish, and Arabic, presents IMF staff economists analyses of global economic developments during the near and medium term. Chapters give an overview of the world economy; consider issues affecting industrial countries, developing countries, and economies in transition to market; and address topics of pressing current interest. Annexes, boxes, charts, and an extensive statistical appendix augment the text.