G7 Current Account Imbalances

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Author :
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226107280
Total Pages : 518 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (261 download)

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Book Synopsis G7 Current Account Imbalances by : Richard H. Clarida

Download or read book G7 Current Account Imbalances written by Richard H. Clarida and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-11-01 with total page 518 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The current account deficit of the United States is more than six percent of its gross domestic product—an all-time high. And the rest of the world, including other G7 countries such as Japan and Germany, must collectively run current account surpluses to finance this deficit. How long can such unevenness between imports and exports be sustained, and what form might their eventual reconciliation take? Putting forth scenarios ranging from a gradual correction to a crash landing for the dollar, G7 Current Account Imbalances brings together economists from around the globe to consider the origins, status, and future of those disparities. An esteemed group of collaborators here examines the role of the bursting of the dot-com bubble, the history of previous episodes of current account adjustments, and the possibility of the Euro surpassing the dollar as the leading international reserve currency. Though there are areas of broad agreement—that the imbalances will ultimately decline and that currency revaluations will be part of the solution—many areas of contention remain regarding both the dangers of imbalances and the possible forms of adjustment. This volume will be of tremendous value to economists, politicians, and business leaders alike as they look to the future of the G7 economies.

G7 Current Account Imbalances

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 9 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis G7 Current Account Imbalances by : Richard Clarida

Download or read book G7 Current Account Imbalances written by Richard Clarida and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 9 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume collects the eleven original papers that were written for the NBER Project on G7 Current Account Imbalances. Four major themes emerged from the papers written for the project. First, there was broad agreement that the current account imbalances that prevailed among the G7 countries as of June 2005 would ultimately decline, although there was no consensus on when or how this would occur . Second, there was agreement that adjustments in global currency markets would likely be associated with the shifts in global saving and investment patterns that would be required to bring about the ultimate decline in G7 current account imbalances. Third, while the focus of the conference was on current account imbalances in the G7 countries, it was recognized that the aggregate excess of saving over investment that existed among the emerging market economies at the time of the conference, as well as the currency intervention policies of some of these countries, were contributing to the current imbalances in the G7 that prevailed as of June 2005. Fourth, there was a consensus that re-valuation of the evolving foreign asset and liability positions of the G7 countries would play a role during process by which current account imbalances narrowed, although there was range of opinion concerning how large a role such revaluation effects would play.

G7 Current Account Imbalances: Sustainability and Adjustment

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (819 download)

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Book Synopsis G7 Current Account Imbalances: Sustainability and Adjustment by : Richard H. Clarida (Professor of Economics and International Affairs.)

Download or read book G7 Current Account Imbalances: Sustainability and Adjustment written by Richard H. Clarida (Professor of Economics and International Affairs.) and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Are There Thresholds of Current Account Adjustment in the G7?

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 59 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (255 download)

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Book Synopsis Are There Thresholds of Current Account Adjustment in the G7? by : Richard H. Clarida

Download or read book Are There Thresholds of Current Account Adjustment in the G7? written by Richard H. Clarida and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 59 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We find evidence of threshold behavior in current account adjustment for the G7 countries, such that the dynamics of adjustment towards equilibrium depend upon whether the current-account/ net-output ratio breaches estimated, country specific current account surplus or deficit thresholds. Both the speeds of adjustment and the size of the thresholds are found to differ significantly across countries. In addition, we also find evidence of shifts in means and variances of exchange rate changes, stock returns, and interest differentials that coincide with the current account adjustment regimes identified by the model.

Analysing the Causality Among the Foreign Direct Investment, Current Account Deficit, Gdp and Total Credit

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Author :
Publisher : LAP Lambert Academic Publishing
ISBN 13 : 9783659717123
Total Pages : 64 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (171 download)

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Book Synopsis Analysing the Causality Among the Foreign Direct Investment, Current Account Deficit, Gdp and Total Credit by : Yusuf Ekrem Akbas

Download or read book Analysing the Causality Among the Foreign Direct Investment, Current Account Deficit, Gdp and Total Credit written by Yusuf Ekrem Akbas and published by LAP Lambert Academic Publishing. This book was released on 2015-06-02 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economic indicators such as GDP, current account deficit, foreign direct investment, and total credit, have played an important role in adjusting a country's economy. In order to obtain desirable results, policy makers should understand how much valuable these economic tools can be while they are making their decisions. This book intends to help create an understanding of how these indicators can be managed and made use of in adjusting a country's economy policies not only for policy makers but also for academics and those dealing with the market. With this respect, the relationship among economic indicators such as current account deficit, GDP, foreign direct investment, and total credits for G7 countries for the period between 1990-2011 was studied using panel co-integration tests and causality tests developed by leading academics all around the world.

Cross-border Savings Flows and Capital Mobility in the G7 Economies

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Cross-border Savings Flows and Capital Mobility in the G7 Economies by : Shelley Cooper

Download or read book Cross-border Savings Flows and Capital Mobility in the G7 Economies written by Shelley Cooper and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

External Adjustment

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 64 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis External Adjustment by : Maurice Obstfeld

Download or read book External Adjustment written by Maurice Obstfeld and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Gross stocks of foreign assets have increased rapidly relative to national outputs since 1990, and the short-run capital gains and losses on those assets can amount to significant fractions of GDP. These fluctuations in asset values render the national income and product account measure of the current account balance increasingly inadequate as a summary of the change in a country's net foreign assets. Nonetheless, unusually large current account imbalances, especially deficits, should remain high on policymakers' list of concerns, even for the richer and less credit-constrained countries. Extreme imbalances signal the need for large and perhaps abrupt real exchange rate changes in the future, changes that might have undesired political and financial consequences given the incompleteness of domestic and international asset markets. Furthermore, of the two sources of the change in net foreign assets -- the current account and the capital gain on the net foreign asset position -- the former is better understood and more amenable to policy influence. Systematic government attempts to manipulate international asset values in order to change the net foreign asset position could have a destabilizing effect on market expectations"--NBER website

Europe and Global Imbalances

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 66 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Europe and Global Imbalances by : Philip R. Lane

Download or read book Europe and Global Imbalances written by Philip R. Lane and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2007-06 with total page 66 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Although Europe in the aggregate is a not a major contributor to global current account imbalances, its trade and financial linkages with the rest of the world mean that it will still be affected by a shift in the current configuration of external deficits and surpluses. We assess the macroeconomic impact on Europe of global current account adjustment under alternative scenarios, emphasizing both trade and financial channels. Finally, we consider heterogeneous exposure across individual European economies to external adjustment shocks.

The Dot-com Bubble, the Bush Deficits, and the U.S. Current Account

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Author :
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 47 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis The Dot-com Bubble, the Bush Deficits, and the U.S. Current Account by : Aart Kraay

Download or read book The Dot-com Bubble, the Bush Deficits, and the U.S. Current Account written by Aart Kraay and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2005 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The authors challenge this view here and develop two alternative interpretations. Both are based on the notion that a bubble (the "dot-com" bubble) has been driving the stock market, but differ in their assumptions about the interactions between this bubble and fiscal policy (the "Bush" deficits). The "benevolent" view holds that a change in investor sentiment led to the collapse of the dot-com bubble and the Bush deficits were a welfare-improving policy response to this event. The "cynical" view holds instead that the Bush deficits led to the collapse of the dot-com bubble as the new administration tried to appropriate rents from foreign investors. The authors discuss the implications of each of these views for the future evolution of the U.S. economy and, in particular, its net foreign asset position."

Current Account Reversals and Currency Crises

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451952422
Total Pages : 45 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis Current Account Reversals and Currency Crises by : Mr.Gian Milesi-Ferretti

Download or read book Current Account Reversals and Currency Crises written by Mr.Gian Milesi-Ferretti and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1998-06-01 with total page 45 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper studies large reductions in current account deficits and exchange rate depreciations in low- and middle-income countries. It examines which factors help predict the occurrence of a reversal or a currency crisis, and how these events affect macroeconomic performance. Both domestic factors, such as the low reserves, and external factors, such as unfavorable terms of trade, are found to trigger reversals and currency crises. The two types of events are, however, distinct; an exchange rate crash is associated with a fall in output growth and a recovery thereafter, while for reversals there is no systematic evidence of a growth slowdown.

The U.S. Current Account Deficit and the Expected Share of World Output

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 84 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis The U.S. Current Account Deficit and the Expected Share of World Output by : Charles Engel

Download or read book The U.S. Current Account Deficit and the Expected Share of World Output written by Charles Engel and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 84 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We investigate the possibility that the large current account deficits of the U.S. are the outcome of optimizing behavior. We develop a simple long-run world equilibrium model in which the current account is determined by the expected discounted present value of its future share of world GDP relative to its current share of world GDP. The model suggests that under some reasonable assumptions about future U.S. GDP growth relative to the rest of the advanced countries -- more modest than the growth over the past 20 years -- the current account deficit is near optimal levels. We then explore the implications for the real exchange rate. Under some plausible assumptions, the model implies little change in the real exchange rate over the adjustment path, though the conclusion is sensitive to assumptions about tastes and technology. Then we turn to empirical evidence. A test of current account sustainability suggests that the U.S. is not keeping on a long-run sustainable path. A direct test of our model finds that the dynamics of the U.S. current account -- the increasing deficits over the past decade -- are difficult to explain under a particular statistical model (Markov-switching) of expectations of future U.S. growth. But, if we use survey data on forecasted GDP growth in the G7, our very simple model appears to explain the evolution of the U.S. current account remarkably well. We conclude that expectations of robust performance of the U.S. economy relative to the rest of the advanced countries is a contender -- though not the only legitimate contender -- for explaining the U.S.

International Dimensions of Monetary Policy

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Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226278875
Total Pages : 663 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (262 download)

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Book Synopsis International Dimensions of Monetary Policy by : Jordi Galí

Download or read book International Dimensions of Monetary Policy written by Jordi Galí and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2010-03-15 with total page 663 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: United States monetary policy has traditionally been modeled under the assumption that the domestic economy is immune to international factors and exogenous shocks. Such an assumption is increasingly unrealistic in the age of integrated capital markets, tightened links between national economies, and reduced trading costs. International Dimensions of Monetary Policy brings together fresh research to address the repercussions of the continuing evolution toward globalization for the conduct of monetary policy. In this comprehensive book, the authors examine the real and potential effects of increased openness and exposure to international economic dynamics from a variety of perspectives. Their findings reveal that central banks continue to influence decisively domestic economic outcomes—even inflation—suggesting that international factors may have a limited role in national performance. International Dimensions of Monetary Policy will lead the way in analyzing monetary policy measures in complex economies.

Accounting for Global Dispersion of Current Accounts

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451874219
Total Pages : 35 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Accounting for Global Dispersion of Current Accounts by : Yongsung Chang

Download or read book Accounting for Global Dispersion of Current Accounts written by Yongsung Chang and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2009-12-01 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We undertake a quantitative analysis of the dispersion of current accounts in an open economy version of incomplete insurance model, incorporating important market frictions in trade and financial flows. Calibrated with conventional parameter values, the stochastic stationary equilibrium of the model with limited borrowing can account for about two-thirds of the global dispersion of current accounts. The easing of financial frictions can explain nearly all changes in the current account dispersion in the past four decades whereas the easing of trade frictions has almost no impact on the current account dispersion.

A Global Perspective on External Positions

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis A Global Perspective on External Positions by : Philip R. Lane

Download or read book A Global Perspective on External Positions written by Philip R. Lane and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2005-08 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper highlights the increased dispersion in net external positions in recent years, particularly among industrial countries. It provides a simple accounting framework that disentangles the factors driving the accumulation of external assets and liabilities (such as trade imbalances, investment income flows, and capital gains) for major external creditors and debtors. It also examines the factors driving the foreign asset portfolio of international investors, with a special focus on the weight of U.S. liabilities in the rest of the world's stock of external assets. Finally, it relates the empirical evidence to the current debate about the roles of portfolio balance effects and exchange rate adjustment in shaping the external adjustment process.

The External Balance Assessment (EBA) Methodology

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484346785
Total Pages : 68 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis The External Balance Assessment (EBA) Methodology by : Mr.Steven Phillips

Download or read book The External Balance Assessment (EBA) Methodology written by Mr.Steven Phillips and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-01-13 with total page 68 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The External Balance Assessment (EBA) methodology has been developed by the IMF’s Research Department as a successor to the CGER methodology for assessing current accounts and exchange rates in a multilaterally consistent manner. Compared to other approaches, EBA emphasizes distinguishing between the positive empirical analysis and the normative assessment of current accounts and exchange rates, and highlights the roles of policies and policy distortions. This paper provides a comprehensive description and discussion of the 2013 version (“2.0”) of the EBA methodology, including areas for its further development.

The New Global Political Economy

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Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN 13 : 0857934058
Total Pages : 255 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (579 download)

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Book Synopsis The New Global Political Economy by : Riccardo Fiorentini

Download or read book The New Global Political Economy written by Riccardo Fiorentini and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2012-01-01 with total page 255 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The 2008 financial crisis is arguably the most dramatic outcome of globalization. International economic integration, if unregulated, can bring about huge inequalities and the destruction of the environment. This thought provoking book illustrates why the ïoldÍ international order is unable to provide crucial global public goods such as monetary and financial stability in the fight against mass poverty and climate change. The expert authors provide an in-depth analysis of the causes of the financial crisis and the political economy measures required to build a safer and more stable international order. They show how the financial crisis is deeply rooted in the flaws of the dollar standard and explain why the dollar and globalization should be considered together to understand the present challenges. By way of conclusion, the authors propose the creation of a ïWorld Eco-Monetary UnionÍ with the power to regulate the global economy and to promote sustainable development. This new macroeconomic approach presented contributes to the development of a more comprehensive supranational political economy. As such, this challenging book will prove a stimulating read for academics, researchers and students with an interest in economics, heterodox economics, and international economics.

Designing the European Model

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Author :
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 0230236650
Total Pages : 510 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (32 download)

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Book Synopsis Designing the European Model by : S. Honkapohja

Download or read book Designing the European Model written by S. Honkapohja and published by Springer. This book was released on 2009-04-30 with total page 510 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book examines existing problems in the European economy, focusing on labour markets, including labour market reform and outsourcing, as well as macroeconomic issues, such as macroeconomic stabilization in the Euro area and convergence and divergence in economic growth in the EU.