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Forecasting Commodity Markets
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Book Synopsis Forecasting Commodity Markets by : Julian Roche
Download or read book Forecasting Commodity Markets written by Julian Roche and published by McGraw-Hill. This book was released on 1995 with total page 280 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Julian Roche explains every major method of forecasting markets; fundamental analysis, technical analysis, & econometric analysis. Roche discusses both the underlying theory & current application of each method, as well as pricing information on data sources & software. Moreover, the book evaluates the advantages & disadvantages of each approach & demonstrate how to combine approaches to produce an optimum forecasting method. Specific topics include: The history of fundamental, technical, & econometric analysis; Forecasting theories & applications; Accuracy of forecasting methods; The role of forecasting in trading decisions; The future of forecasting.
Book Synopsis Modeling and Forecasting Primary Commodity Prices by : Walter C. Labys
Download or read book Modeling and Forecasting Primary Commodity Prices written by Walter C. Labys and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2017-03-02 with total page 247 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recent economic growth in China and other Asian countries has led to increased commodity demand which has caused price rises and accompanying price fluctuations not only for crude oil but also for the many other raw materials. Such trends mean that world commodity markets are once again under intense scrutiny. This book provides new insights into the modeling and forecasting of primary commodity prices by featuring comprehensive applications of the most recent methods of statistical time series analysis. The latter utilize econometric methods concerned with structural breaks, unobserved components, chaotic discovery, long memory, heteroskedasticity, wavelet estimation and fractional integration. Relevant tests employed include neural networks, correlation dimensions, Lyapunov exponents, fractional integration and rescaled range. The price forecasting involves structural time series trend plus cycle and cyclical trend models. Practical applications focus on the price behaviour of more than twenty international commodity markets.
Book Synopsis Commodity Prices and Markets by : Takatoshi Ito
Download or read book Commodity Prices and Markets written by Takatoshi Ito and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2011-03 with total page 346 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Fluctuations of commodity prices, most notably of oil, capture considerable attention and have been tied to important economic effects. This book advances our understanding of the consequences of these fluctuations, providing both general analysis and a particular focus on the countries of the Pacific Rim.
Book Synopsis The Concise Handbook of Futures Markets by : Perry J. Kaufman
Download or read book The Concise Handbook of Futures Markets written by Perry J. Kaufman and published by . This book was released on 1986-09-12 with total page 866 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Forbes Magazine called the 1,600-page, original Handbook of Futures Markets ``an exceptionally fine collection of work on every phase of the futures market.'' Now in paperback (and weighing much less than the six-and-a-half pound hardcover edition), this concise version covers the essential principles and methods in the encyclopedic original in 800 pages. Comprising all the material in Parts I through V of the original handbook, this edition brings together the know-how of the markets' foremost authorities. It covers futures markets and their operation; factors that influence the markets; uses of the markets, including hedging, managing interest rate risk, commodity spreads and options; forecasting methods and tools; and risk and money management.
Book Synopsis Volatility and Time Series Econometrics by : Mark Watson
Download or read book Volatility and Time Series Econometrics written by Mark Watson and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2010-02-11 with total page 432 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A volume that celebrates and develops the work of Nobel Laureate Robert Engle, it includes original contributions from some of the world's leading econometricians that further Engle's work in time series economics
Book Synopsis Agricultural Prices and Commodity Market Analysis by : John N. Ferris
Download or read book Agricultural Prices and Commodity Market Analysis written by John N. Ferris and published by MSU Press. This book was released on 2005 with total page 361 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Agricultural Prices and Commodity MarketAnalysis discusses the application of economictheory to agriculture and the foodindustry, using quantitative tools. The blendof theory and application is unique in detailinghow demand and supply can be measuredand how econometric simulationmodels can be constructed and evaluated.This revised edition focuses on forecastingand generating long-term projections as wellas discussing the relatively unexplored areaof stochastic modeling, which is critical inhandling crop yield variability. Other topicscovered include agricultural policy analysisand futures/options markets. The role oftime series models in improving structuralequations and forecasting techniques providesa capstone.
Book Synopsis Modern Management in the Global Mining Industry by : Robin G. Adams
Download or read book Modern Management in the Global Mining Industry written by Robin G. Adams and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2019-08-26 with total page 205 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book brings together perspectives from economics, specifically minerals economics, to the management of global mining companies. It covers volatile price forecasting, cost analysis, investment decisions, and the social, environmental, and developmental impacts of mining.
Book Synopsis The Economics of Commodity Markets by : Julien Chevallier
Download or read book The Economics of Commodity Markets written by Julien Chevallier and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2013-06-19 with total page 373 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As commodity markets have continued their expansion an extensive and complex financial industry has developed to service them. This industry includes hundreds of participating firms, including asset managers, brokers, consultants, verification agencies and a myriad of other institutions. Universities and other training institutions have responded to this rapid expansion of commodity markets as well as their substantial future growth potential by launching specialized courses on the subject. The Economics of Commodity Markets attempts to bridge the gap between academics and working professionals by way of a textbook that is both theoretically informative and practical. Based in part on the authors’ teaching experience of commodity finance at the University Paris Dauphine, the book covers all important commodity markets topics and includes coverage of recent topics such as financial applications and intuitive economic reasoning. The book is composed of three parts that cover: commodity market dynamics, commodities and the business cycle, and commodities and fundamental value. The key original approach to the subject matter lies in a shift away from the descriptive to the econometric analysis of commodity markets. Information on market trends of commodities is presented in the first part, with a strong emphasis on the quantitative treatment of that information in the remaining two parts of the book. Readers are provided with a clear and succinct exposition of up-to-date financial economic and econometric methods as these apply to commodity markets. In addition a number of useful empirical applications are introduced and discussed. This book is a self-contained offering, discussing all key methods and insights without descending into superfluous technicalities. All explanations are structured in an accessible manner, permitting any reader with a basic understanding of mathematics and finance to work their way through all parts of the book without having to resort to external sources.
Book Synopsis Commodity Modeling and Pricing by : Peter V. Schaeffer
Download or read book Commodity Modeling and Pricing written by Peter V. Schaeffer and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2008-10-06 with total page 345 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Commodity Modeling and Pricing provides extensions and applications of state-of-the-art methods for analyzing resource commodity behavior. Drawing from the seminal work of Professor Walter Labys on the development of econometric methods for forecasting commodity prices, this collection of essays features expert contributors ranging from practitioners in private industry, public sector, and nongovernmental organizations to scholars in higher education–all of whom were Labys's former students or collaborators. Filled with in-depth insights and expert advice, Commodity Modeling and Pricing contains the information you need to excel in this demanding environment.
Book Synopsis Storage and Commodity Markets by : Jeffrey C. Williams
Download or read book Storage and Commodity Markets written by Jeffrey C. Williams and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1991-03-29 with total page 522 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book deals with the capability to store surplus commodities and the impact of stockpiles on prices and production.
Book Synopsis Charting Commodity Market Price Behavior by : L. Dee Belveal
Download or read book Charting Commodity Market Price Behavior written by L. Dee Belveal and published by Irwin Professional Publishing. This book was released on 1985 with total page 204 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Stock Market Modeling and Forecasting by : Xiaolian Zheng
Download or read book Stock Market Modeling and Forecasting written by Xiaolian Zheng and published by Springer. This book was released on 2013-04-05 with total page 166 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Stock Market Modeling and Forecasting translates experience in system adaptation gained in an engineering context to the modeling of financial markets with a view to improving the capture and understanding of market dynamics. The modeling process is considered as identifying a dynamic system in which a real stock market is treated as an unknown plant and the identification model proposed is tuned by feedback of the matching error. Like a physical system, a financial market exhibits fast and slow dynamics corresponding to external (such as company value and profitability) and internal forces (such as investor sentiment and commodity prices) respectively. The framework presented here, consisting of an internal model and an adaptive filter, is successful at considering both fast and slow market dynamics. A double selection method is efficacious in identifying input factors influential in market movements, revealing them to be both frequency- and market-dependent. The authors present work on both developed and developing markets in the shape of the US, Hong Kong, Chinese and Singaporean stock markets. Results from all these sources demonstrate the efficiency of the model framework in identifying significant influences and the quality of its predictive ability; promising results are also obtained by applying the model framework to the forecasting of major market-turning periods. Having shown that system-theoretic ideas can form the core of a novel and effective basis for stock market analysis, the book is completed by an indication of possible and likely future expansions of the research in this area.
Book Synopsis Commodities and Commodity Derivatives by : Helyette Geman
Download or read book Commodities and Commodity Derivatives written by Helyette Geman and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2009-09-24 with total page 479 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The last few years have been a watershed for the commodities, cash and derivatives industry. New regulations and products have led to an explosion in the commodities markets, creating a new asset for investors that includes hedge funds as well as University endowments, and has resulted in a spectacular growth in spot and derivative trading. This book covers hard and soft commodities (energy, agriculture and metals) and analyses: Economic and geopolitical issues in commodities markets Commodity price and volume risk Stochastic modelling of commodity spot prices and forward curves Real options valuation and hedging of physical assets in the energy industry It is required reading for energy companies and utilities practitioners, commodity cash and derivatives traders in investment banks, the Agrifood business, Commodity Trading Advisors (CTAs) and Hedge Funds. In Commodities and Commodity Derivatives, Hélyette Geman shows her powerful command of the subject by combining a rigorous development of its mathematical modelling with a compact institutional presentation of the arcane characteristics of commodities that makes the complex analysis of commodities derivative securities accessible to both the academic and practitioner who wants a deep foundation and a breadth of different market applications. It is destined to be a "must have" on the subject.” —Robert Merton, Professor, Harvard Business School "A marvelously comprehensive book of interest to academics and practitioners alike, by one of the world's foremost experts in the field." —Oldrich Vasicek, founder, KMV
Book Synopsis A Complete Guide to the Futures Markets by : Jack D. Schwager
Download or read book A Complete Guide to the Futures Markets written by Jack D. Schwager and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 1984-06-29 with total page 774 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A new edition will be available in January 2017 Focusing on price-forecasting in the commodity futures market, this is the most comprehensive examination of fundamental and technical analysis available. Treats both approaches in depth, with forecasting examined in conjunction with practical trading considerations.
Book Synopsis Commodity Price Dynamics by : Craig Pirrong
Download or read book Commodity Price Dynamics written by Craig Pirrong and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2011-10-31 with total page 239 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Commodities have become an important component of many investors' portfolios and the focus of much political controversy over the past decade. This book utilizes structural models to provide a better understanding of how commodities' prices behave and what drives them. It exploits differences across commodities and examines a variety of predictions of the models to identify where they work and where they fail. The findings of the analysis are useful to scholars, traders and policy makers who want to better understand often puzzling - and extreme - movements in the prices of commodities from aluminium to oil to soybeans to zinc.
Download or read book Economic Forecasting written by N. Carnot and published by Springer. This book was released on 2005-08-12 with total page 335 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economic Forecasting provides a comprehensive overview of macroeconomic forecasting. The focus is first on a wide range of theories as well as empirical methods: business cycle analysis, time series methods, macroeconomic models, medium and long-run projections, fiscal and financial forecasts, and sectoral forecasting. In addition, the book addresses the main issues surrounding the use of forecasts (accuracy, communication challenges) and their policy implications. A tour of the economic data and forecasting institutions is also provided.
Book Synopsis Market Forecasting Secrets by : Rick Ratchford
Download or read book Market Forecasting Secrets written by Rick Ratchford and published by . This book was released on 2014-09-10 with total page 122 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Learn How Predicting Tops and Bottoms With Amazing Accuracy Can Add BIG Dividends To Your Bottom Line and Dramatically Decrease Your Risk Exposure! Plus, discover the key behind predicting turns in the Futures, Commodity, Forex, and Stock markets that are simple to apply, yet UNKNOWN to all but just a few! The key to success in the markets all comes down to timing. In today's volatile markets, you cannot afford any longer to be too early or too late in where you place your trade. In order to keep your risk exposure low and to give yourself the best chance of catching the moves that make all the difference in your trading account, you need to learn the secrets behind real market forecasting.The newly released Market Forecasting Secrets is exactly what is needed for the astute trader. The secrets contained in this publication are diverse in its coverage of those methods that REALLY WORK! You can spend a lifetime and a fortune trying to discover the information found in this book and never finding it.
