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Fiscal Policy Over The Election Cycle In Low Income Countries
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Book Synopsis Fiscal Policy over the Election Cycle in Low-Income Countries by : Mr.Christian Ebeke
Download or read book Fiscal Policy over the Election Cycle in Low-Income Countries written by Mr.Christian Ebeke and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-06-26 with total page 24 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Focusing on Low-Income Countries, we investigate the behavior of fiscal variables during and after elections. The results indicate that during election years, government consumption significantly increases and leads to higher fiscal deficits. During the two years following elections, the fiscal adjustment takes the form of increased revenue mobilization in trade taxes and cuts to government investment, with no significant cuts in government consumption. Using a new dataset on national fiscal rules and IMF programs, we find that both the presence of fiscal rules and IMF programs help dampen the magnitude of the political budget cycle in LICs. We conclude that elections not only imply a macroeconomic cost when they take place but also trigger a painful fiscal adjustment in which public investment is largely sacrificed.
Book Synopsis Do Fiscal Rules Cause Fiscal Discipline Over the Electoral Cycle? by : Kodjovi M. Eklou
Download or read book Do Fiscal Rules Cause Fiscal Discipline Over the Electoral Cycle? written by Kodjovi M. Eklou and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-12-27 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper estimates the causal effect of fiscal rules on political budget cycles in a sample of 67 developing countries over the period 1985–2007. We exploit the geographical pattern in the adoption of fiscal rules to isolate an exogenous source of variation in the adoption of national fiscal rules. Based on a diffusion argument, we use the number of other countries in a given subregion that have fiscal rules in place to predict the probability of having them at the country level. We find that in election years with fiscal rules in place, public consumption is reduced by 1.6 percentage point of GDP as compared to election years without these rules. This impact is equivalent to a reduction by a third of the volatility of public consumption in our sample. Furthermore, the effectiveness of these rules depends on their type, their institutional design, whether they have been in place for a long time and finally on the degree of competitiveness of elections.
Book Synopsis Taxation, Responsiveness and Accountability in Sub-Saharan Africa by : Wilson Prichard
Download or read book Taxation, Responsiveness and Accountability in Sub-Saharan Africa written by Wilson Prichard and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2015-09-11 with total page 309 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: It is increasingly argued that bargaining between citizens and governments over tax collection can provide a foundation for the development of responsive and accountable governance in developing countries. However, while intuitively attractive, surprisingly little research has captured the reality and complexity of this relationship in practice. This book provides the most complete treatment of the connections between taxation and accountability in developing countries, providing both new evidence and an invaluable starting point for future research. Drawing on cross-country econometric evidence and detailed case studies from Ghana, Kenya and Ethiopia, Wilson Prichard shows that reliance on taxation has, in fact, increased responsiveness and accountability by expanding the political power wielded by taxpayers. Critically, however, processes of tax bargaining have been highly varied, frequently long term and contextually contingent. Capturing this diversity provides novel insight into politics in developing countries and how tax reform can be designed to encourage broader governance gains.
Book Synopsis Fiscal Policy in Developing Countries: by : Roberto Perotti
Download or read book Fiscal Policy in Developing Countries: written by Roberto Perotti and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2007 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper surveys fiscal policy in developing countries from the point of view of long-run growth. The first section reviews existing methodologies to estimate the effects of fiscal policy shocks and of systematic fiscal policy, with time series or with cross-sectional methods, and their applicability to developing countries. The second section surveys optimal fiscal policy in developing countries, by considering the role of the intertemporal government budget, and sustainability and solvency. It also reviews the fuzzy debate on "fiscal space" and "macroeconomic space" - and the usefulness (or lack thereof) of these terms for policy analysis. The third section asks what theory tells us about the optimal cyclical behavior of fiscal policy in developing countries. It shows that it very much depends on the assumptions about the interactions between credit market imperfections at the individual, firms, or government level, and on the supply of external funds to the country. Different sets of assumptions lead to different implications about optimal cyclical behavior. The available evidence on the cyclical behavior of fiscal policy, and possible reasons for the observed prevalence of a procyclical behavior in developing countries, is also reviewed. If one agrees that fiscal policy is indeed less countercyclical than we think is optimal, the issue is how to correct the problem. One obvious question is why government do not self-insure, i.e. why they do not accumulate assets in upturns and decumulate them in downturns. This leads to the analysis of fiscal rules and stabilization funds, in the fourth section. The last section concludes with what the author considers important research and policy questions in each part.
Book Synopsis Government Spending Effects in Low-income Countries by : Ms.Wenyi Shen
Download or read book Government Spending Effects in Low-income Countries written by Ms.Wenyi Shen and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-12-30 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Despite the voluminous literature on fiscal policy, very few papers focus on low-income countries (LICs). This paper develops a new-Keynesian small open economy model to show, analytically and through simulations, that some of the prevalent features of LICs—different types of financing including aid, the marginal efficiency of public investment, and the degree of home bias—play a key role in determining the effects of fiscal policy and related multipliers in these countries. External financing like aid increases the resource envelope of the economy, mitigating the private sector crowding out effects of government spending and pushing up the output multiplier. The same external financing, however, tends to appreciate the real exchange rate and as a result, traded output can respond quite negatively, reducing the overall output multiplier. Although capital scarcity implies high returns to public capital in LICs, declines in public investment efficiency can substantially dampen the output multiplier. Since LICs often import substantial amounts of goods, public investment may not be as effective in stimulating domestic production in the short run.
Book Synopsis Helping Countries Develop by : Mr.Sanjeev Gupta
Download or read book Helping Countries Develop written by Mr.Sanjeev Gupta and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2004-09-17 with total page 550 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Sets out principles for conducting fiscal policy in developing countries. Examines the role of public spending in meeting the Millennium Development Goals. Discusses the determinants of fiscal sustainability, the effectiveness of social spending, the limits to absorptive capacity, the volatility of aid flows and their impact on dependency, and a range of other contentious issues.
Book Synopsis Growth, Governance, and Fiscal Policy Transmission Channels in Low-Income Countries by : Naoko C. Kojo
Download or read book Growth, Governance, and Fiscal Policy Transmission Channels in Low-Income Countries written by Naoko C. Kojo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-12-01 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Private investment is the principal transmission channel through which fiscal policy affects growth in high-income countries. In low-income countries, governance and also other considerations suggest that the primary channel is factor productivity. Empirical results reported in this paper confirm this expectation: in low-income countries, factor productivity is some four times more effective than investment as a channel for increasing growth through fiscal policy. Although the private investment response to fiscal contraction may be minor, high-deficit, low-income countries can nonetheless benefit from a reduction in unsustainable fiscal deficits because of governance-related factor productivity responses that increase growth.
Book Synopsis Is Fiscal Policy the Answer? by : Blanca Moreno-Dodson
Download or read book Is Fiscal Policy the Answer? written by Blanca Moreno-Dodson and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2012-11-15 with total page 285 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The effects of fiscal policy measures, both taxes and public spending, adopted by developing countries in response to the 2009 global crisis are still uncertain. This book discusses them using an analytical framework that allows for distilling possible implications on growth and social welfare.
Book Synopsis Fiscal Discourse and Fiscal Policy by : Yongquan Cao
Download or read book Fiscal Discourse and Fiscal Policy written by Yongquan Cao and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2024-09-16 with total page 60 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We study the supply of fiscal ideas leveraging thousands of electoral platforms from 65 countries in the Manifesto Project to link how political parties discuss fiscal policy with fiscal outcomes. We provide three sets of results. First, fiscal discourse has become increasingly favourable to higher government spending since at least the 1990s in advanced and emerging economies and across the political spectrum. This pattern does not track survey trends in voter preferences, suggesting that parties have played a role in shifting the focus of political campaigns to fiscal issues to win over voters. Second, fiscal discourse turns conservative under more adverse fiscal conditions, including in the aftermath of debt surges and after the adoption of fiscal rules, but only to a limited extent. Third, over the medium-run, relative discourse changes in favor of government expansion and away from fiscal restraint are followed by higher fiscal deficits. Together, our results suggest that adverse shifts in the supply of fiscal ideas could add to fiscal pressures over time.
Book Synopsis Political Cycles in a Developing Economy by : Stuti Khemani
Download or read book Political Cycles in a Developing Economy written by Stuti Khemani and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2000 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Empirical results from India suggest that politicians exert greater effort in managing public works during election years. Surprisingly, there is no evidence of a populist spending spree to sway voters just before elections.
Book Synopsis Fiscal Limits, External Debt, and Fiscal Policy in Developing Countries by : Huixin Bi
Download or read book Fiscal Limits, External Debt, and Fiscal Policy in Developing Countries written by Huixin Bi and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-03-31 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper studies fiscal policy effects in developing countries with external debt and sovereign default risks. State-dependent distributions of fiscal limits are simulated based on macroeconomic uncertainty and fiscal policy specifications. The analysis shows that expected future revenue plays an important role in the low fiscal limits of developing countries, relative to those of developed countries. External debt carries additional risks since large devaluation of the real exchange rate can suddenly raise default probabilities. Consistent with majority views, fiscal consolidations are counterproductive in the short and medium runs. When an economy approaches its fiscal limits, government spending can be less expansionary than in a low-debt state. As more revenue is required to service debt in a high-debt state, higher tax rates raise the economic cost of increasing consumption, reducing the fiscal multiplier.
Book Synopsis Fiscal Rules to Tame the Political Budget Cycle by : Lorenzo Forni
Download or read book Fiscal Rules to Tame the Political Budget Cycle written by Lorenzo Forni and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-01-20 with total page 20 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper provides evidence that fiscal rules can limit the political budget cycle. It focuses on the application of the Italian fiscal rule at the sub-national level over the period 2004-2006 and shows that: 1) municipalities are subject to political budget cycles in capital spending; 2) the Italian subnational fiscal rule introduced in 1999 has been enforced by the central government; 3) municipalities subject to the fiscal rule show more limited political budget cycles than municipalities not subject to the rule. In order to identify the effect, we rely on the fact that the domestic fiscal rule does not apply to municipalities below 5,000 inhabitants. We find that the political budget cycle increases real capital spending by about 35 percent on average in the years prior to municipal elections and that the sub-national fiscal rule reduces these figures by about two thirds.
Book Synopsis Fiscal Policy, Stabilization, and Growth in Developing Countries by : Mario I. Bléjer
Download or read book Fiscal Policy, Stabilization, and Growth in Developing Countries written by Mario I. Bléjer and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1989-06-15 with total page 404 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Edited by Mario I. Blejer and Ke-young Chu, this book investigates linkages among components of the public sector, as well as between macro and micro aspects of fiscal policy, in developing countries. It presents 13 papers prepared by economists of the IMF's Fiscal Affairs Department.
Book Synopsis The Politics of Booms and Busts by : Martin Ardanaz
Download or read book The Politics of Booms and Busts written by Martin Ardanaz and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The reason is that while taxes are perfectly observed by voters, windfalls that accrue directly to government coffers are not, limiting voter ability to keep rent seeking politicians under control. Thus, fiscal policy is driven by voter's demands. I offer cross-national and subnational empirical evidence that is consistent with this theory: fiscal policy is more procyclical, political budget cycles prevalent, and levels of fiscal transparency lower in places with greater dependence of windfall revenue.
Book Synopsis Fiscal Policy Design in Low-income Countries by : Christopher S. Adam
Download or read book Fiscal Policy Design in Low-income Countries written by Christopher S. Adam and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Essays on the Political Economy of Fiscal Policy in Developing Countries by : Tina Renee Green
Download or read book Essays on the Political Economy of Fiscal Policy in Developing Countries written by Tina Renee Green and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 288 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Fiscal Policy Cycles and the Exchange Regime in Developing Countries by : Ludger Schuknecht
Download or read book Fiscal Policy Cycles and the Exchange Regime in Developing Countries written by Ludger Schuknecht and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper studies empirically fiscal policies around elections in 25 developing countries as affected by the exchange regime. It is argued that countries with flexible exchange regimes are less likely to engage in expansionary fiscal policies before elections because such policies can result in devaluations and inflation which affects government popularity adversely. The empirical results show that governments indeed try to improve their re-election prospects with the help of expansionary fiscal policies only in countries with fixed exchange rates and adequate reserve levels. For some countries, this raises doubts about the usefulness of fixed exchange rates for stabilizing the macro economy, unless reforms of the institutional framework reduce the scope for election-oriented fiscal expansion.
