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Author : Ching-Wai Jeremy Chiu
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (957 download)
Download or read book Financial Market Volatility, Macroeconomic Fundamentals and Investor Sentiment written by Ching-Wai Jeremy Chiu and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Louis O. Scott
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451944594
Total Pages : 68 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)
Download or read book Financial Market Volatility and the Implications for Market Regulation written by Louis O. Scott and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1990-11-01 with total page 68 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Volatility in financial markets has forced economists to reexamine the validity of the efficient markets hypothesis, and new empirical approaches have been applied to the study of this important issue in recent years. Many of the recent studies have found evidence of excessive volatility. In the aftermath of the stock market crash of 1987 and the perceived increase in market volatility, some economists have advocated additional market regulations. Are these proposed regulations necessary and would they serve to reduce market volatility? This paper presents a review of recent studies on financial market volatility and examines the proposed regulations.
Author : David Bourghelle
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3031244869
Total Pages : 228 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (312 download)
Download or read book Behavioral Finance and Asset Prices written by David Bourghelle and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2023-04-05 with total page 228 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In recent decades, the financial markets have experienced various crises, shocks and disruptive events, driving high levels of volatility. This volatility is too strong to be fully justified simply by changes in fundamentals. This volume discusses these highly relevant issues with special focus on asset pricing and behavioral finance. Financial price assets of the 2020s appear to be driven by various attractors in addition to fundamentals, and there is no doubt that investor emotions, market sentiment, the news, and external factors such as uncertainty all play a key role. This has been clearly observed in recent years, especially during the ongoing coronavirus pandemic that has changed the common perception of the way financial markets work.
Author : Francis X. Diebold
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 50 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 ( download)
Download or read book Macroeconomic Volatility and Stock Market Volatility, Worldwide written by Francis X. Diebold and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Notwithstanding its impressive contributions to empirical financial economics, there remains a significant gap in the volatility literature, namely its relative neglect of the connection between macroeconomic fundamentals and asset return volatility. We progress by analyzing a broad international cross section of stock markets covering approximately forty countries. We find a clear link between macroeconomic fundamentals and stock market volatilities, with volatile fundamentals translating into volatile stock markets.
Author : Mohammed Sharaf Shaiban
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 79 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)
Download or read book Investor Sentiment, Stock Markets and Macroeconomic Fluctuation written by Mohammed Sharaf Shaiban and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 79 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recent literature theoretically assumes that exuberant Investors' sentiments increase the price of capital, signals strong fundamentals of the real side of the economy and drive asymmetric nonlinear asset prices. This study offers empirical insights into the interaction between investor sentiment, financial market, and macroeconomic fluctuation. The objective is achieved by Yamamoto causality test, generalized impulse response function, and variance decomposition, which confirms robust results in multiple perspectives. We employ two indicators for investor sentiment, three stock market indices and seven macroeconomic variables covering the period January 1992 to September 2015. Our results suggest strong evidence on the negative causality from Baker and Wurgler (2006)'s sentiment measures to NASDAQ, and show short run bi-directional influence between VIX and financial market. Vis-à-vis to the spillover effect from financial market to real economic activities, our findings further indicate an observable impact on financial markets on production indicators, such as industrial production and capacity utilization. Overall, our study empirically supports the conceptual work of Benhabib et al. (2016) and validates the impact of sentiment shocks on the real sector and business prices over the business cycle.
Author : Zuliu Hu
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451852584
Total Pages : 26 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)
Download or read book Stock Market Volatility and Corporate Investment written by Zuliu Hu and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1995-10-01 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Despite concerns are often voiced on the so called “excess volatility” of the stock market, little is known about the implications of market volatility for the real economy. This paper examines whether the stock market volatility affects real fixed investment. The empirical evidence obtained from the US data shows that market volatility has independent effects on investment over and above that of stock returns. Volatility and its changes are negatively related to investment growth. To the extent volatility depresses fixed capital formation and hence future income growth, the results suggest the desirability of reducing stock market volatility.
Author : Halbert White
Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN 13 : 9780198296836
Total Pages : 512 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (968 download)
Download or read book Cointegration, Causality, and Forecasting written by Halbert White and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 1999 with total page 512 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A collection of essays in honour of Clive Granger. The chapters are by some of the world's leading econometricians, all of whom have collaborated with and/or studied with both) Clive Granger. Central themes of Granger's work are reflected in the book with attention to tests for unit roots and cointegration, tests of misspecification, forecasting models and forecast evaluation, non-linear and non-parametric econometric techniques, and overall, a careful blend of practical empirical work and strong theory. The book shows the scope of Granger's research and the range of the profession that has been influenced by his work.
Author : Elias Karakitsos
Publisher : Wiley
ISBN 13 : 9780471953128
Total Pages : 250 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (531 download)
Download or read book Macroeconomics and Financial Markets written by Elias Karakitsos and published by Wiley. This book was released on 2005-12-30 with total page 250 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Macroeconomics and Financial Markets develops a macroeconomic view of asset price determination and volatility within and between business cycles. It seeks to explain money market interest rates, bond yields, share prices, and exchange rates, and develops a financial markets model to derive optimal investment strategies for an internationally-diversified portfolio.
Author : Jess Benhabib
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 50 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (911 download)
Download or read book Sentiments, Financial Markets, and Macroeconomic Fluctuations written by Jess Benhabib and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper studies how financial information frictions can generate sentiment-driven fluctuations in asset prices and self-fulfilling business cycles. In our model economy, exuberant financial market sentiments of high output and high demand for capital increase the price of capital, which signals strong fundamentals of the economy to the real side and consequently leads to an actual boom in real output and employment. The model further derives implications for asymmetric non-linear asset prices and for economic contagion and co-movement across countries. In the extension to the dynamic OLG setting, our model demonstrates that sentiment shocks can generate persistent output, employment and business cycle fluctuations, and offers some new implications for asset prices over business cycles.
Author : John H. Cochrane
Publisher : Now Publishers Inc
ISBN 13 : 1933019158
Total Pages : 117 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (33 download)
Download or read book Financial Markets and the Real Economy written by John H. Cochrane and published by Now Publishers Inc. This book was released on 2005 with total page 117 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial Markets and the Real Economy reviews the current academic literature on the macroeconomics of finance.
Author : Ms.Ratna Sahay
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484356004
Total Pages : 61 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)
Download or read book Emerging Market Volatility written by Ms.Ratna Sahay and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-10-02 with total page 61 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Accommodative monetary policies in advanced economies have spurred increased capital inflows into emerging markets since the global financial crisis. Starting in May 2013, when the Federal Reserve publicly discussed its plans for tapering unconventional monetary policies, these emerging markets have experienced financial turbulence at the same that their domestic economic activity has slowed. This paper examines their experiences and policy responses and draws broad policy lessons. For emerging markets, good macroeconomic fundamentals matter, and early and decisive measures to strengthen macroeconomic policies and reduce vulnerabilities help dampen market reactions to external shocks. For advanced economies, clear and effective communication about the exit from unconventional monetary policy can and did help later to reduce the risk of excessive market volatility. And for the global community, enhanced global cooperation, including a strong global financial safety net, offers emerging markets effective protection against excessive volatility.
Author : Robert F. Engle
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 54 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)
Download or read book On the Economic Sources of Stock Market Volatility written by Robert F. Engle and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We revisit the relation between stock market volatility and macroeconomic activity using a new class of component models that distinguish short run from secular movements. We combine insights from Engle and Rangel (2007) and the recent work on mixed data sampling (MIDAS), as in e.g. Ghysels, Santa-Clara, and Valkanov (2005). The new class of models is called GARCH-MIDAS, since it uses a mean reverting unit daily GARCH process, similar to Engle and Rangel (2007), and a MIDAS polynomial which applies to monthly, quarterly, or bi-annual macroeconomic or financial variables. We study long historical data series of aggregate stock market volatility, starting in the 19th century, as in Schwert (1989). We formulate models with the long term component driven by inflation and industrial production growth that are at par in terms of out-of-sample prediction for horizons of one quarter and out-perform more traditional time series volatility models at longer horizons. Hence, imputing economic fundamentals into volatility models pays off in terms of long horizon forecasting. We also find that at a daily level, inflation and industrial production growth, account for between 10 % and 35 % of one-day ahead volatility prediction. Hence, macroeconomic fundamentals play a significant role even at short horizons. Unfortunately, all the models - purely time series ones as well as those driven by economic variables - feature structural breaks over the entire sample spanning roughly a century and a half of daily data. Consequently, our analysis also focuses on subsamples - pre-WWI, the Great Depression era, and post-WWII (also split to examine the so called Great Moderation). Our main findings remain valid across subsamples.
Author : Mauro Bernardi
Publisher : MDPI
ISBN 13 : 3039437852
Total Pages : 146 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (394 download)
Download or read book Bayesian Econometrics written by Mauro Bernardi and published by MDPI. This book was released on 2020-12-28 with total page 146 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since the advent of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods in the early 1990s, Bayesian methods have been proposed for a large and growing number of applications. One of the main advantages of Bayesian inference is the ability to deal with many different sources of uncertainty, including data, models, parameters and parameter restriction uncertainties, in a unified and coherent framework. This book contributes to this literature by collecting a set of carefully evaluated contributions that are grouped amongst two topics in financial economics. The first three papers refer to macro-finance issues for real economy, including the elasticity of factor substitution (ES) in the Cobb–Douglas production function, the effects of government public spending components, and quantitative easing, monetary policy and economics. The last three contributions focus on cryptocurrency and stock market predictability. All arguments are central ingredients in the current economic discussion and their importance has only been further emphasized by the COVID-19 crisis.
Author : Andrei Shleifer
Publisher : OUP Oxford
ISBN 13 : 0191606898
Total Pages : 225 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (916 download)
Download or read book Inefficient Markets written by Andrei Shleifer and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2000-03-09 with total page 225 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The efficient markets hypothesis has been the central proposition in finance for nearly thirty years. It states that securities prices in financial markets must equal fundamental values, either because all investors are rational or because arbitrage eliminates pricing anomalies. This book describes an alternative approach to the study of financial markets: behavioral finance. This approach starts with an observation that the assumptions of investor rationality and perfect arbitrage are overwhelmingly contradicted by both psychological and institutional evidence. In actual financial markets, less than fully rational investors trade against arbitrageurs whose resources are limited by risk aversion, short horizons, and agency problems. The book presents and empirically evaluates models of such inefficient markets. Behavioral finance models both explain the available financial data better than does the efficient markets hypothesis and generate new empirical predictions. These models can account for such anomalies as the superior performance of value stocks, the closed end fund puzzle, the high returns on stocks included in market indices, the persistence of stock price bubbles, and even the collapse of several well-known hedge funds in 1998. By summarizing and expanding the research in behavioral finance, the book builds a new theoretical and empirical foundation for the economic analysis of real-world markets.
Author : Ratih Hurriyati
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 946463443X
Total Pages : 1331 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (646 download)
Download or read book Proceedings of the 8th Global Conference on Business, Management, and Entrepreneurship (GCBME 2023) written by Ratih Hurriyati and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2024 with total page 1331 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Ms.Sonali Jain-Chandra
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475579713
Total Pages : 19 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)
Download or read book The Effectiveness of Monetary Policy Transmission Under Capital Inflows written by Ms.Sonali Jain-Chandra and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-11-02 with total page 19 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The effectiveness of the monetary policy transmission mechanism in open economies could be impaired if interest rates are driven primarily by global factors, especially during periods of large capital inflows. The main objective of this paper is to assess whether this is true for emerging Asia’s economies. Using a dynamic factor model and a structural vector auto-regression model, we show that long-term interest rates in Asia are indeed predominantly driven by global factors. However, monetary policy transmission mechanism remains effective in the region, as it operates predominantly through short-term interest rates. Nevertheless, the monetary transmission mechanism, though effective, is somewhat weaker in Asia during the periods of surges in capital inflows.
Author : H. Nejat Seyhun
Publisher : MIT Press
ISBN 13 : 9780262692342
Total Pages : 452 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (923 download)
Download or read book Investment Intelligence from Insider Trading written by H. Nejat Seyhun and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2000-02-28 with total page 452 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Learn how to profit from information about insider trading. The term insider trading refers to the stock transactions of the officers, directors, and large shareholders of a firm. Many investors believe that corporate insiders, informed about their firms' prospects, buy and sell their own firm's stock at favorable times, reaping significant profits. Given the extra costs and risks of an active trading strategy, the key question for stock market investors is whether the publicly available insider-trading information can help them to outperform a simple passive index fund. Basing his insights on an exhaustive data set that captures information on all reported insider trading in all publicly held firms over the past twenty-one years—over one million transactions!—H. Nejat Seyhun shows how investors can use insider information to their advantage. He documents the magnitude and duration of the stock price movements following insider trading, determinants of insiders' profits, and the risks associated with imitating insider trading. He looks at the likely performance of individual firms and of the overall stock market, and compares the value of what one can learn from insider trading with commonly used measures of value such as price-earnings ratio, book-to-market ratio, and dividend yield.
