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Explaining Devaluation Expectations In The Ems
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Book Synopsis Realignment Expectations in the ERM by : Sinimaaria Ranki
Download or read book Realignment Expectations in the ERM written by Sinimaaria Ranki and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 180 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The purpose of this study is to analyze realignment expectations in the exchange rate mechanism of the European Monetary System, in particular with reference to the five year period (1987-1992) during which no realignments were done.
Book Synopsis Devaluation Expectations by : Hans Lindberg
Download or read book Devaluation Expectations written by Hans Lindberg and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page 72 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Devaluation expectations for the Swedish krona are estimated for the period 1982-1991 with several methods. First the "simplest test" is applied under either only the minimal assumption of "no positive minimum profit" or the additional assumption of uncovered interest parity. Then a more precise method suggested by Bertola and Svensson is used, in which expected rates of depreciation within the exchange rate band, estimated in several ways, are subtracted from interest rate differentials. In addition the probability density of the time of devaluations is estimated. Finally, estimated devaluation expectations are to some extent explained by a few macrovariables and parliament elections
Book Synopsis Currencies, Crises, Fiscal Policy, and Coordination by : Paul R. Masson
Download or read book Currencies, Crises, Fiscal Policy, and Coordination written by Paul R. Masson and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2011 with total page 355 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume provides an integrated compilation of selected major articles published by the author in several fields of international finance. These include contributions to the understanding of currency crises and financial contagion, the evolution of exchange rate regimes, the interaction between national fiscal policies and regional monetary unions, and the effect of uncertainty on the gains from international economic policy coordination. The author spent most of his career doing research at established institutions (the Bank of Canada, OECD, and IMF), and these articles emerged from the need to understand the major economic policy issues of the day. In the book's introduction, the author discusses the motivation for these contributions and the unifying themes that emerged, while a concluding chapter provides his personal reflections and suggestions about promising avenues for further research.
Download or read book Realigning Interests written by M. Chang and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-02-10 with total page 211 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Why do currency crises happen? What conditions set the stage for such a crisis? How severe will it be? When will it happen? This book answers these questions, illustrating the points by examining the exchange rate realignments of the European Monetary System. It also shows how balancing the tension between domestic and international politics plays a vital part in a government's willingness to uphold its exchange rate commitments. Michele Chang pays particular attention to the role of domestic elections, since these may prevent governments from credibly committing to a fixed exchange rate and from responding quickly and coherently to market instability, thus encouraging speculation.
Book Synopsis Economic Convergence in a Multispeed Europe by : K.B. Gaynor
Download or read book Economic Convergence in a Multispeed Europe written by K.B. Gaynor and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-07-27 with total page 288 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: What policies should be pursued by, first, the peripheral countries, like Greece and Eastern Europe, and, second, by the median countries, like Spain, to qualify for monetary union? How should the core countries coordinate their fiscal policies once in a monetary union? This book considers the widening and deepening process of European integration and is based on work carried out for DG II of the European Commission in 1992-05. The conclusions reached for the median countries were endorsed by the finance ministers in Verona in 1996.
Book Synopsis Advances in Markov-Switching Models by : James D. Hamilton
Download or read book Advances in Markov-Switching Models written by James D. Hamilton and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-06-29 with total page 267 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is a collection of state-of-the-art papers on the properties of business cycles and financial analysis. The individual contributions cover new advances in Markov-switching models with applications to business cycle research and finance. The introduction surveys the existing methods and new results of the last decade. Individual chapters study features of the U. S. and European business cycles with particular focus on the role of monetary policy, oil shocks and co movements among key variables. The short-run versus long-run consequences of an economic recession are also discussed. Another area that is featured is an extensive analysis of currency crises and the possibility of bubbles or fads in stock prices. A concluding chapter offers useful new results on testing for this kind of regime-switching behaviour. Overall, the book provides a state-of-the-art over view of new directions in methods and results for estimation and inference based on the use of Markov-switching time-series analysis. A special feature of the book is that it includes an illustration of a wide range of applications based on a common methodology. It is expected that the theme of the book will be of particular interest to the macroeconomics readers as well as econometrics professionals, scholars and graduate students. We wish to express our gratitude to the authors for their strong contributions and the reviewers for their assistance and careful attention to detail in their reports.
Download or read book Working Paper Series written by and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 544 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Currency Speculation in Fixed Exchange Rate Regimes by : Anja Zenker
Download or read book Currency Speculation in Fixed Exchange Rate Regimes written by Anja Zenker and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2014-01-08 with total page 142 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Speculative currency crises seem to have become a common and inevitable phenomenon in the international monetary system. Against this background, various approaches have been developed by economists to cover the broad range of situations in which balance-of-payments crises occurred. Anja Zenker provides a comprehensive insight into the body of theoretical and empirical literature about currency speculation in fixed exchange rate regimes. The author discusses different generations of theoretical models and their empirical relevance in recent currency crises. Moreover, she considers diverse policy options which attempt to avoid speculative attacks on exchange rate pegs.
Book Synopsis European Economies in Transition by : O. Fabel
Download or read book European Economies in Transition written by O. Fabel and published by Springer. This book was released on 2000-06-13 with total page 262 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Focusing upon the rich interplay between ongoing institutional and technological changes, the dynamics of national industrial systems and the modifications in policy instruments of the new economic framework of the common market and the single currency, European Economies in Transition addresses key issues for growth and convergence. A set of methodologies highlighting the structural aspects and discontinuities in such dynamics reveals new features of transition processes experienced by some of the most advanced Western economies.
Book Synopsis The Mexican Peso Crisis by : Mr.Paul R. Masson
Download or read book The Mexican Peso Crisis written by Mr.Paul R. Masson and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1996-01-01 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines credibility and reputational factors in explaining the December 1994 crisis of the Mexican peso. After reviewing events leading to the crisis, a model emphasizing the inflation-competitiveness trade-off is presented to explain the formation of devaluation expectations. Estimation results indicate that investors appear to have seriously underestimated the risk of devaluation, despite early warning signals. The collapse of confidence that followed the December 20 devaluation may have been the result of a shift in the perceived commitment of the authorities to exchange rate stability.
Book Synopsis A Certain Idea of Europe by : Craig Parsons
Download or read book A Certain Idea of Europe written by Craig Parsons and published by Cornell University Press. This book was released on 2018-07-05 with total page 264 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The quasi-federal European Union stands out as the major exception in the thinly institutionalized world of international politics. Something has led Europeans—and only Europeans—beyond the nation-state to a fundamentally new political architecture. Craig Parsons argues in A Certain Idea of Europe that this "something" was a particular set of ideas generated in Western Europe after the Second World War. In Parsons's view, today's European Union reflects the ideological (and perhaps visionary) project of an elite minority. His book traces the progressive victory of this project in France, where the battle over European institutions erupted most divisively. Drawing on archival research and extensive interviews with French policymakers, the author carefully traces a fifty-year conflict between radically different European plans. Only through aggressive leadership did the advocates of a supranational "community" Europe succeed at building the EU and binding their opponents within it. Parsons puts the causal impact of ideas, and their binding effects through institutions, at the center of his book. In so doing he presents a strong logic of "social construction"—a sharp departure from other accounts of EU history that downplay the role of ideas and ideology.
Book Synopsis The Crisis in the EMS and the Transition to EMU by : Barry J. Eichengreen
Download or read book The Crisis in the EMS and the Transition to EMU written by Barry J. Eichengreen and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 66 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Road to European Monetary Union by : André Szász
Download or read book The Road to European Monetary Union written by André Szász and published by Springer. This book was released on 2000-03-15 with total page 272 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book explains the political background and describes the decision-making leading to European Monetary Union, as seen by a former central banker who participated in the process during more than two decades. Political rather than economic considerations were decisive in establishing EMU. French-German relations in particular form a thread that runs through the book, notably French efforts to replace German monetary domination by a form of decision-making France can influence. Thus, the issues involved are issues of power, though often presented in technical terms of economics.
Book Synopsis Bond Markets, Treasury and Debt Management by : V. Conti
Download or read book Bond Markets, Treasury and Debt Management written by V. Conti and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 252 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Until not too many years ago, the Italian government bond market, though the third largest in the world in terms of size, was characterised by numerous inefficiencies and problems regarding both policy in managing the public debt and the operation of the market. These aspects tended to isolate the Italian market from the international fmancial community and to keep large, international investors away from our market. As the situation with Italy's public finances grew worse and with financial markets being deregulated and expanding internationally, several direct measures were taken in recent years to encourage an even greater recourse to the Italian government securities market and to improve it's efficiency. Innovations in techniques for issuing government bonds, the creation of an automated trading system for Italian state securities, and the launch of a futures market in Italy, too, have all been useful measures in getting the Italian market closer to international standards. The measures adopted by economic policy authorities have often been inspired by the works developed by various study groups instituted by the treasury Ministry as well as by research coming from the academic world. Likewise, many measures aimed at improving the government bond market have been realised thanks to the important contribution of the trade associations and the main financial intermediaries operating in Italy, whose studies, suggestions and proposals have been based on operating expertise built up over decades.
Book Synopsis Crises in the Global Economy from Tulips to Today by : Larry Neal
Download or read book Crises in the Global Economy from Tulips to Today written by Larry Neal and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 78 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the historical record of the financial crises that have often accompanied surges of globalization in the past. The issue of contagion, the spread of financial turbulence from the crisis center to its trading partners, is confronted with historical and statistical evidence on the causes and consequences of well-known crises. In general, contagion seems often confused with prior interdependence, and crises are less widespread and shorter in duration than anecdotal evidence would indicate. Special attention is given to the gold standard period of 1880-1913, which we find useful to divide into the initial period of deflation, 1880-1896, and the following period of mild inflation, 1897-1913. We find evidence of changes in the pattern of 'contagion' from core to periphery countries between the two periods, but in both periods apparent contagions can more readily be interpreted as responses to common shocks. Lessons for the present period can only be tentative, but the similarities in learning experiences are striking.
Book Synopsis Contents of Recent Economics Journals by :
Download or read book Contents of Recent Economics Journals written by and published by . This book was released on 1994-12-30 with total page 396 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis International Macroeconomics by : Amalia Morales Zumaquero
Download or read book International Macroeconomics written by Amalia Morales Zumaquero and published by Nova Publishers. This book was released on 2006 with total page 426 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The international macroeconomics area has experienced substantial growth over the past decade. The goal of this volume is to present the most important developments in the international macroeconomics field in recent years. The literature in this area has evolved mainly in four directions that constitute the four parts of this book. In particular, Part I focuses on the purchasing power parity (PPP) puzzle, Part II presents papers that try to explain the behaviour of nominal and real exchange rates, Part III covers the financial crises, currency crises and contagion recent literature and, finally, the behaviour of exchange rates, inflation and output convergence in Central and Eastern European transition economies are considered in Part IV.
