Exchange Rate Volatility And Productivity Growth

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Dollar Exchange Rate Volatility and Productivity Growth in Emerging Markets: Evidence from Firm Level Data

Author : Kodjovi M. Eklou
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 45 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Dollar Exchange Rate Volatility and Productivity Growth in Emerging Markets: Evidence from Firm Level Data by : Kodjovi M. Eklou

Download or read book Dollar Exchange Rate Volatility and Productivity Growth in Emerging Markets: Evidence from Firm Level Data written by Kodjovi M. Eklou and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2023-05-26 with total page 45 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines the impact of Dollar exchange rate volatility on firm productivity in Emerging Markets economies (EMs). Using firm level data covering 16 EMs over the period 1998 -2019, the paper shows that dollar exchange rate volatility reduces firm productivity growth. Exploring channels, its finds that the results are driven by countries with low level of financial development, high dollar invoicing, high bilateral trade with the US, high collective bargaining coverage and open capital account. Exploring the role of policy, it finds that Foreign Exchange Interventions (FXI) dampen this impact on firm productivty. Further, exploiting firm level data, the paper shows that dollar exchange rate volatility operates also through the financial friction channel, reducing contemporaneous investments, especially at firms with low liquidity buffers and weak balance sheet (high leverage). The role of financial frictions is confirmed through the finding that younger firms, more likely to face financial constraints, are also found to be more vulnerable to dollar exchange rate volatility. In addition, we also find evidence of a large and persistent effect on firms with highly irreversible investment, lending support for the real option channel of uncertainty on the dollar exchange rate. These findings are robust to a battery of tests, including controlling for uncertainty, financial crises and using an instrumental variable strategy exploiting US monetary policy shocks as an exogenous source of variation in dollar exchange rate volatility.

Exchange Rate Volatility and Productivity Growth

Author : Philippe Aghion
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 68 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Volatility and Productivity Growth by : Philippe Aghion

Download or read book Exchange Rate Volatility and Productivity Growth written by Philippe Aghion and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 68 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper offers empirical evidence that real exchange rate volatility can have a significant impact on long-term rate of productivity growth, but the effect depends critically on a country's level of financial development. For countries with relatively low levels of financial development, exchange rate volatility generally reduces growth, whereas for financially advanced countries, there is no significant effect. Our empirical analysis is based on an 83country data set spanning the years 1960-2000; our results appear robust to time window, alternative measures of financial development and exchange rate volatility, and outliers. We also offer a simple monetary growth model in which real exchange rate uncertainty exacerbates the negative investment effects of domestic credit market constraints. Our approach delivers results that are in striking contrast to the vast existing empirical exchange rate literature, which largely finds the effects of exchange rate volatility on real activity to be relatively small and insignificant.

Market Volatility and Foreign Exchange Intervention in EMEs

Author : Banco de Pagos Internacionales (Basilea, Suiza). Departamento Monetario y Económico
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9789291319626
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (196 download)

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Book Synopsis Market Volatility and Foreign Exchange Intervention in EMEs by : Banco de Pagos Internacionales (Basilea, Suiza). Departamento Monetario y Económico

Download or read book Market Volatility and Foreign Exchange Intervention in EMEs written by Banco de Pagos Internacionales (Basilea, Suiza). Departamento Monetario y Económico and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

IMF Staff papers

Author : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451956770
Total Pages : 228 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis IMF Staff papers by : International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Download or read book IMF Staff papers written by International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1988-01-01 with total page 228 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A central proposition regarding effects of different mechanisms of fi-nancing public expenditures is that, under specific circumstances, it makes no difference to the level of aggregate demand if the government finances its outlays by debt or taxation. This so-called Ricardian equivalence states that, for a given expenditure path, substitution of debt for taxes does not affect private sector wealth and consumption. This paper provides a model illustrating the implications of Ricardian equivalence, surveys the litera-ture, considers effects of relaxing the basic assumptions, provides a frame-work to study implications of various extensions, and critically reviews recent empirical work on Ricardian equivalence.

Exchange Rate Economics

Author : Ronald MacDonald
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1134838220
Total Pages : 334 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (348 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Economics by : Ronald MacDonald

Download or read book Exchange Rate Economics written by Ronald MacDonald and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2005 with total page 334 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: ''In summary, the book is valuable as a textbook both at the advanced undergraduate level and at the graduate level. It is also very useful for the economist who wants to be brought up-to-date on theoretical and empirical research on exchange rate behaviour.'' ""Journal of International Economics""

Targeting the Real Exchange Rate

Author : Mr.Guillermo Calvo
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451921217
Total Pages : 50 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis Targeting the Real Exchange Rate by : Mr.Guillermo Calvo

Download or read book Targeting the Real Exchange Rate written by Mr.Guillermo Calvo and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1994-02-01 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper presents a theoretical and empirical analysis of policies aimed at setting a more depreciated level of the real exchange rate. An intertemporal optimizing model suggests that, in the absence of changes in fiscal policy, a more depreciated level of the real exchange can only be attained temporarily. This can be achieved by means of higher inflation and/or higher real interest rates, depending on the degree of capital mobility. Evidence for Brazil, Chile, and Colombia supports the model’s prediction that undervalued real exchange rates are associated with higher inflation.

China’s Evolving Exchange Rate Regime

Author : Mr.Sonali Das
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498302025
Total Pages : 31 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis China’s Evolving Exchange Rate Regime by : Mr.Sonali Das

Download or read book China’s Evolving Exchange Rate Regime written by Mr.Sonali Das and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-03-07 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: China’s exchange rate regime has undergone gradual reform since the move away from a fixed exchange rate in 2005. The renminbi has become more flexible over time but is still carefully managed, and depth and liquidity in the onshore FX market is relatively low compared to other countries with de jure floating currencies. Allowing a greater role for market forces within the existing regime, and greater two-way flexibility of the exchange rate, are important steps to build on the progress already made. This should be complemented by further steps to develop the FX market, improve FX risk management, and modernize the monetary policy framework.

The Global Welfare Impact of China

Author : Mr.Julian Di Giovanni
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475535236
Total Pages : 50 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis The Global Welfare Impact of China by : Mr.Julian Di Giovanni

Download or read book The Global Welfare Impact of China written by Mr.Julian Di Giovanni and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-03-01 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper evaluates the global welfare impact of China's trade integration and technological change in a quantitative Ricardian-Heckscher-Ohlin model implemented on 75 countries. We simulate two alternative productivity growth scenarios: a "balanced" one in which China's productivity grows at the same rate in each sector, and an "unbalanced" one in which China's comparative disadvantage sectors catch up disproportionately faster to the world productivity frontier. Contrary to a well-known conjecture (Samuelson, 2004), the large majority of countries in the sample, including the developed ones, experience an order of magnitude larger welfare gains when China's productivity growth is biased towards its comparative disadvantage sectors. We demonstrate both analytically and quantitatively that this finding is driven by the inherently multilateral nature of world trade. As a separate but related exercise we quantify the worldwide welfare gains from China's trade integration.

Changes in Exchange Rates in Rapidly Developing Countries

Author : Takatoshi Ito
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226386937
Total Pages : 466 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (263 download)

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Book Synopsis Changes in Exchange Rates in Rapidly Developing Countries by : Takatoshi Ito

Download or read book Changes in Exchange Rates in Rapidly Developing Countries written by Takatoshi Ito and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-12-01 with total page 466 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The exchange rate is a crucial variable linking a nation's domestic economy to the international market. Thus choice of an exchange rate regime is a central component in the economic policy of developing countries and a key factor affecting economic growth. Historically, most developing nations have employed strict exchange rate controls and heavy protection of domestic industry-policies now thought to be at odds with sustainable and desirable rates of economic growth. By contrast, many East Asian nations maintained exchange rate regimes designed to achieve an attractive climate for exports and an "outer-oriented" development strategy. The result has been rapid and consistent economic growth over the past few decades. Changes in Exchange Rates in Rapidly Developing Countries explores the impact of such diverse exchange control regimes in both historical and regional contexts, focusing particular attention on East Asia. This comprehensive, carefully researched volume will surely become a standard reference for scholars and policymakers.

PPP Strikes Back

Author : Mr. Haroon Mumtaz
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451895534
Total Pages : 43 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis PPP Strikes Back by : Mr. Haroon Mumtaz

Download or read book PPP Strikes Back written by Mr. Haroon Mumtaz and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-04-01 with total page 43 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We show the importance of a dynamic aggregation bias in accounting for the PPP puzzle. We prove that established time-series and panel methods substantially exaggerate the persistence of real exchange rates because of heterogeneity in the dynamics of disaggregated relative prices. When heterogeneity is properly taken into account, estimates of the real exchange rate half-life fall dramatically, to little more than one year, or significantly below Rogoff''s "consensus view" of three to five years. We show that corrected estimates are consistent with plausible nominal rigidities, thus, arguably, solving the PPP puzzle.

Does Productivity Growth Lead to Appreciation of the Real Exchange Rate?

Author : Man-Keung Tang
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 145185725X
Total Pages : 41 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Does Productivity Growth Lead to Appreciation of the Real Exchange Rate? by : Man-Keung Tang

Download or read book Does Productivity Growth Lead to Appreciation of the Real Exchange Rate? written by Man-Keung Tang and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-07-01 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We revisit the time-honored link between productivity and the real exchange rate. Consistent with the traditional view, we find that higher labor productivity tends to lead to appreciation of the real exchange rate. Contrary to the traditional view, however, we find that the positive productivity effect is transmitted through the real exchange rate based on tradable prices, rather than through relative prices between tradables and nontradables. Moreover, higher total factor productivity is found, if anything, to lead to depreciation of the real exchange rate. These last two pieces of evidence provide support for the emerging view that limited tradability of goods and services provides scope for the strategic pricing decision, which has material consequences for the aggregate real exchange rate.

Economic Growth in Latin America and the Caribbean

Author : Norman Loayza
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 0821360914
Total Pages : 169 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (213 download)

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Book Synopsis Economic Growth in Latin America and the Caribbean by : Norman Loayza

Download or read book Economic Growth in Latin America and the Caribbean written by Norman Loayza and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2005-01-01 with total page 169 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Several countries in Latin America and the Caribbean are suffering severe economic downturns and the success of market-oriented reforms is being called into question. This report seeks to contribute to the debate by examining the nature of economic growth in the region. The aim is threefold: to describe the basic characteristics of growth; explain differences across countries and to forecast changes over the next decade.

Monetary Policy Credibility and Exchange Rate Pass-Through

Author : Mr.Yan Carriere-Swallow
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475560311
Total Pages : 33 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary Policy Credibility and Exchange Rate Pass-Through by : Mr.Yan Carriere-Swallow

Download or read book Monetary Policy Credibility and Exchange Rate Pass-Through written by Mr.Yan Carriere-Swallow and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-12-13 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A long-standing conjecture in macroeconomics is that recent declines in exchange rate pass-through are in part due to improved monetary policy performance. In a large sample of emerging and advanced economies, we find evidence of a strong link between exchange rate pass-through to consumer prices and the monetary policy regime’s performance in delivering price stability. Using input-output tables, we decompose exchange rate pass-through to consumer prices into a component that reflects the adjustment of imported goods at the border, and another that captures the response of all other prices. We find that price stability and central bank credibility have reduced the second component.

Global Productivity

Author : Alistair Dieppe
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 1464816093
Total Pages : 552 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (648 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Productivity by : Alistair Dieppe

Download or read book Global Productivity written by Alistair Dieppe and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2021-06-09 with total page 552 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The COVID-19 pandemic struck the global economy after a decade that featured a broad-based slowdown in productivity growth. Global Productivity: Trends, Drivers, and Policies presents the first comprehensive analysis of the evolution and drivers of productivity growth, examines the effects of COVID-19 on productivity, and discusses a wide range of policies needed to rekindle productivity growth. The book also provides a far-reaching data set of multiple measures of productivity for up to 164 advanced economies and emerging market and developing economies, and it introduces a new sectoral database of productivity. The World Bank has created an extraordinary book on productivity, covering a large group of countries and using a wide variety of data sources. There is an emphasis on emerging and developing economies, whereas the prior literature has concentrated on developed economies. The book seeks to understand growth patterns and quantify the role of (among other things) the reallocation of factors, technological change, and the impact of natural disasters, including the COVID-19 pandemic. This book is must-reading for specialists in emerging economies but also provides deep insights for anyone interested in economic growth and productivity. Martin Neil Baily Senior Fellow, The Brookings Institution Former Chair, U.S. President’s Council of Economic Advisers This is an important book at a critical time. As the book notes, global productivity growth had already been slowing prior to the COVID-19 pandemic and collapses with the pandemic. If we want an effective recovery, we have to understand what was driving these long-run trends. The book presents a novel global approach to examining the levels, growth rates, and drivers of productivity growth. For anyone wanting to understand or influence productivity growth, this is an essential read. Nicholas Bloom William D. Eberle Professor of Economics, Stanford University The COVID-19 pandemic hit a global economy that was already struggling with an adverse pre-existing condition—slow productivity growth. This extraordinarily valuable and timely book brings considerable new evidence that shows the broad-based, long-standing nature of the slowdown. It is comprehensive, with an exceptional focus on emerging market and developing economies. Importantly, it shows how severe disasters (of which COVID-19 is just the latest) typically harm productivity. There are no silver bullets, but the book suggests sensible strategies to improve growth prospects. John Fernald Schroders Chaired Professor of European Competitiveness and Reform and Professor of Economics, INSEAD

Commodity Terms of Trade

Author : International Monetary Fund
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451873522
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Commodity Terms of Trade by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Commodity Terms of Trade written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2009-09-01 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We compile a historical dataset covering nearly 40 years of booms and busts in the commodity terms of trade of over 150 countries. We discuss the characteristics of these events and their effects on macroeconomic performance and, in particular, compare the most recent commodity-price cycle with its historical precedents.

NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2007

Author : Daron Acemoglu
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780226002026
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2007 by : Daron Acemoglu

Download or read book NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2007 written by Daron Acemoglu and published by . This book was released on 2008-03 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The NBER Macroeconomics Annual provides a forum for important debates in contemporary macroeconomics and major developments in the theory of macroeconomic analysis and policy that include leading economists from a variety of fields. The papers and accompanying discussions in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2007 address exchange-rate models; implications of credit market frictions; cyclical budgetary policy and economic growth; the impacts of shocks to government spending on consumption, real wages, and employment; dynamic macroeconomic models; and the role of cyclical entry of new firms and products on the nature of business-cycle fluctuations and on the effects of monetary policy.

Exchange Rate Misalignment

Author : Lawrence E. Hinkle
Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 : 019521126X
Total Pages : 638 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (952 download)

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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Misalignment by : Lawrence E. Hinkle

Download or read book Exchange Rate Misalignment written by Lawrence E. Hinkle and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1999 with total page 638 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The study cautiously identifies exchange rate misalignment as an important element in most of the exchange rate crises that plagued the developing world during the last decade. Given that the increasing integration of world capital markets, has escalated the costs of such crises, a broad consensus emerged in recent years, that the overriding objective of exchange rate policy in developing countries, should be to avoid episodes of prolonged, and substantial misalignment, i.e., situations in which the actual real exchange rate differs significantly from its long-run equilibrium value. It was the Bank's involvement in one such misalignment episode, that eventually led to this book. Following an overview on the concepts and measurement of exchange rate misalignment, its impact on the purchasing power parity, and the relationship between the external real exchange rate (RER), and the two-good internal RER for tradables non-tradables, the study presents methodologies - empirical applications - for estimating the RER equilibrium. The study reaches an optimistic conclusion - that enough is known to identify cases of misalignment, and be able to sound clear warning signals. The implication for exchange rate policy is that ignorance about the empirical value of the equilibrium exchange rate, cannot be used to clinch arguments for extreme exchange arrangements, such as clean floats, currency boards, and "dollarization."