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Exchange Rate Misalignment And Growth A Myth
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Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Misalignment and Growth: A Myth? by : Carlos Goncalves
Download or read book Exchange Rate Misalignment and Growth: A Myth? written by Carlos Goncalves and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-12-21 with total page 15 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The impact of real exchange rate movements on GDP growth is a hotly debated issue both in policy and academic circles. In this paper, we provide evidence suggesting that the association between exchange rate misalignment and growth for a broad panel of countries is very weak. Controlling for country fixed effects, time effects and initial GDP, a more depreciated currency is associated with higher growth if one does not exclude outliers. However, this positive association always vanishes after controling for the savings rate. Importantly, this applies for both a large panel of countries and for the emerging economies subsample.
Book Synopsis When and Why Worry About Real Exchange Rate Appreciation? The Missing Link Between Dutch Disease and Growth by : International Monetary Fund
Download or read book When and Why Worry About Real Exchange Rate Appreciation? The Missing Link Between Dutch Disease and Growth written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-12-01 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We review the literature on Dutch disease, and document that shocks that trigger foreign exchange inflows (such as natural resource booms, surges in foreign aid, remittances, or capital inflows) appreciate the real exchange rate, generate factor reallocation, and reduce manufacturing output and net exports. We also observe that real exchange rate misalignment due to overvaluation and higher volatility of the real exchange rate lower growth. Regarding the effect of undervaluation of the exchange rate on economic growth, the evidence is mixed and inconclusive. However, there is no evidence in the literature that Dutch disease reduces overall economic growth. Policy responses should aim at adequately managing the boom and the risks associated with it.
Book Synopsis Revisiting the Real Exchange Rate Misalignment-economic Growth Nexus Via the Across-sector Misallocation Channel by : Claire GIORDANO
Download or read book Revisiting the Real Exchange Rate Misalignment-economic Growth Nexus Via the Across-sector Misallocation Channel written by Claire GIORDANO and published by . This book was released on 2022 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Correcting Real Exchange Rate Misalignment by : Ha Nguyen
Download or read book Correcting Real Exchange Rate Misalignment written by Ha Nguyen and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Misalignments, Growth, and Institutions by : Jaromír Baxa
Download or read book Exchange Rate Misalignments, Growth, and Institutions written by Jaromír Baxa and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper, we revisit the relationship between economic growth and exchange rate misalignments, especially undervaluations. In particular, we ask which countries benefit from undervaluations at most, and whether the impact of undervaluations on growth depends on institutional quality as suggested in previous literature. First, we separate countries into groups according to their institutional quality using the cluster analysis. Then, we estimate the relationship between growth and exchange rate misalignment while allowing for variation in coefficients across these clusters. Our results confirm the positive relationship between undervaluation and growth, and this relationship is the highest for countries with the highest quality of institutions rather than with a poor level of institutional quality. Therefore, our results reconcile the importance of good institutions and do not support the hopes that the countries can compensate for the poor institutional quality via undervaluation of currencies successfully.
Book Synopsis Thirlwall's Law at 40 by : Thomas Palley
Download or read book Thirlwall's Law at 40 written by Thomas Palley and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2021-04-30 with total page 144 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 2019 marked the 40th anniversary of the publication of Anthony P. Thirlwall’s classic paper that laid out what became known as Thirlwall’s law. This article introduced and provided empirical evidence in favor of the proposition that the long-run rate of growth of an economy compatible with balance-of-payments equilibrium can be approximated by the simple rule of the ratio of the growth of exports to the income elasticity of demand for imports.
Book Synopsis Hysteresis and Business Cycles by : Ms.Valerie Cerra
Download or read book Hysteresis and Business Cycles written by Ms.Valerie Cerra and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2020-05-29 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Traditionally, economic growth and business cycles have been treated independently. However, the dependence of GDP levels on its history of shocks, what economists refer to as “hysteresis,” argues for unifying the analysis of growth and cycles. In this paper, we review the recent empirical and theoretical literature that motivate this paradigm shift. The renewed interest in hysteresis has been sparked by the persistence of the Global Financial Crisis and fears of a slow recovery from the Covid-19 crisis. The findings of the recent literature have far-reaching conceptual and policy implications. In recessions, monetary and fiscal policies need to be more active to avoid the permanent scars of a downturn. And in good times, running a high-pressure economy could have permanent positive effects.
Author :International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. Publisher :International Monetary Fund ISBN 13 :1484354672 Total Pages :134 pages Book Rating :4.4/5 (843 download)
Book Synopsis Regional Economic Outlook, April 2018, Western Hemisphere Department by : International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
Download or read book Regional Economic Outlook, April 2018, Western Hemisphere Department written by International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-05-11 with total page 134 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The world economy and global trade are experiencing a broad-based cyclical upswing. Since October 2017, global growth outcomes and the outlook for 2018–19 have improved across all regions, reinforced by the expected positive near-term spillovers from tax policy changes in the United States. Accommodative global financial conditions, despite some tightening and market volatility in early February 2018, have been providing support to economic recovery. Higher commodity prices are contributing to an improved outlook for commodity exporters. The US and Canadian economies posted solid gains in 2017 and are expected to grow above potential in the near term. Despite the improved near-term outlook, however, medium-term prospects are tilted downwards. Growth prospects for advanced economies are subdued and many emerging market and developing economies are projected to grow in per capita terms more slowly than advanced economies, raising concerns about income convergence. While risks appear broadly balanced in the near term, they skew to the downside over the medium term, including a possible sharp tightening of financial conditions, waning popular support for global economic integration, growing trade tensions and risks of a shift toward protectionist policies, and geopolitical strains.
Book Synopsis The Economics of Globalization by : Assaf Razin
Download or read book The Economics of Globalization written by Assaf Razin and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1999-04-13 with total page 436 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The growing economic openness expressed in the globalization of independent economic systems has created problems as well as opportunities that cross formal borders in unexpected ways. Professors Assaf Razin and Efraim Sadka explore the ramifications of globalization in selected public finance issue areas. Seven main topics are covered by the sixteen papers in the volume: the international mobility of technology; capital flows and exchange rate misalignments; tax incentives and patterns of capital flows; income redistribution and social insurance in federal systems; tax harmonization and coordination; political economy aspects of international tax competition; the migration of skilled and unskilled labour; and the fiscal aspects of monetary unification.
Book Synopsis Fear of Appreciation by : Eduardo Levy-Yeyati
Download or read book Fear of Appreciation written by Eduardo Levy-Yeyati and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2007 with total page 39 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Abstract: In recent years the term "fear of floating" has been used to describe exchange rate regimes that, while officially flexible, in practice intervene heavily to avoid sudden or large depreciations. However, the data reveals that in most cases (and increasingly so in the 2000s) intervention has been aimed at limiting appreciations rather than depreciations, often motivated by the neo-mercantilist view of a depreciated real exchange rate as protection for domestic industries. As a first step to address the broader question of whether this view delivers on its promise, the authors examine whether this "fear of appreciation" has a positive impact on growth performance in developing economies. The authors show that depreciated exchange rates appear to induce higher growth, but that the effect, rather than through import substitution or export booms as argued by the mercantilist view, works largely through the deepening of domestic savings and capital accumulation.
Book Synopsis The Exchange Rate, International Trade and the Balance of Payments by : Reserve Bank of Australia. Economic Group
Download or read book The Exchange Rate, International Trade and the Balance of Payments written by Reserve Bank of Australia. Economic Group and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 338 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The East Asian Crisis by : Ms.Kalpana Kochhar
Download or read book The East Asian Crisis written by Ms.Kalpana Kochhar and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1998-09-01 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper reviews macroeconomic developments during the first year of the crisis in east Asia and draws some preliminary policy lessons. The crisis is rooted in the interaction of large capital inflows and weak private and public sector governance. At the same time, macroeconomic adjustment in these countries has resulted in some surprising outcomes, including severe economic contractions, low inflation, and rapid external adjustment. The lessons for crisis resolution include the importance of tight monetary policy early on for exchange rate stabilization, flexible fiscal policy, and comprehensive structural reform. Crises are avoided by prudent macroeconomic policies, diligent bank supervision, transparent data dissemination, strong governance, and forward-looking policymaking, even in good times.
Download or read book Managing Openness written by Mona Haddad and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 2011 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The global financial crisis triggered a broad reassessment of economic integration policies in developed and developing countries worldwide. The crisis-induced collapse in trade was the sharpest ever since World War II, affecting all countries and all product categories. A huge shock to the trading system, combined with severe macroeconomic instability, makes it natural for policymakers to call into question the basic underlying assumptions of trade liberalization and openness. In particular, outward-oriented or export-led growth strategies are being reassessed as openness is increasingly associated with greater volatility. However, it is crucial not to lose sight of the dynamic benefits that openness can offer. Examples include technology transfer, increased competitive pressure that reduces markups and improves efficiency, and economies of scale. The real question is how to manage outward-oriented strategies so as to maximize the benefits of openness while minimizing risks. This book aims to contribute to this important and ongoing policy debate, bringing together recent empirical work on the trade collapse, its causes and consequences, and the broader trade policy agenda in the post-crisis environment. It addresses critical policy issues revolving around the topic of outward-oriented growth strategy, including policy instruments that help manage risks associated with outward-orientation, lessons learned from the crisis for particular countries and regions, and how emerging trade policy issues such as climate change, commodities, global production networking, and migration affect the prospects for recovery and outward-oriented growth.
Book Synopsis The Oxford Handbook of Industrial Policy by : Arkebe Oqubay
Download or read book The Oxford Handbook of Industrial Policy written by Arkebe Oqubay and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 2020-10-19 with total page 981 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Industrial policy has long been regarded as a strategy to encourage sector-, industry-, or economy-wide development by the state. It has been central to competitiveness, catching up, and structural change in both advanced and developing countries. It has also been one of the most contested perspectives, reflecting ideologically inflected debates and shifts in prevailing ideas. There has lately been a renewed interest in industrial policy in academic circles and international policy dialogues, prompted by the weak outcomes of policies pursued by many developing countries under the direction of the Washington Consensus (and its descendants), the slow economic recovery of many advanced economies after the 2008 global financial crisis, and mounting anxieties about the national consequences of globalization. The Oxford Handbook of Industrial Policy presents a comprehensive review of and a novel approach to the conceptual and theoretical foundations of industrial policy. The Handbook also presents analytical perspectives on how industrial policy connects to broader issues of development strategy, macro-economic policies, infrastructure development, human capital, and political economy. By combining historical and theoretical perspectives, and integrating conceptual issues with empirical evidence drawn from advanced, emerging, and developing countries, The Handbook offers valuable lessons and policy insights to policymakers, practitioners and researchers on developing productive transformation, technological capabilities, and international competitiveness. It addresses pressing issues including climate change, the gendered dimensions of industrial policy, global governance, and technical change. Written by leading international thinkers on the subject, the volume pulls together different perspectives and schools of thought from neo-classical to structuralist development economists to discuss and highlight the adaptation of industrial policy in an ever-changing socio-economic and political landscape.
Book Synopsis The US-China Trade Dispute by : Imad Moosa
Download or read book The US-China Trade Dispute written by Imad Moosa and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2012-01-01 with total page 321 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 'Imad Moosa reminds us that there are at least two sides to a relationship – including those in trade – and that failure of a relationship is rarely due to one side alone. Moosa handles the technicalities of exchange rates dexterously but reminds us constantly of the wider context of the trade relationships that determine them.' – Paul Rule, La Trobe University, Melbourne, Australia Dealing with a topic that has attracted significant media attention, this highly accessible book provides a detailed analysis of the trade dispute between China and the US. While the Americans accuse China of damaging their economy, the Chinese claim their policies are legitimate and that the US has no right to dictate how the Chinese economy should be run. Imad Moosa addresses contentious issues including: whether the Chinese currency is undervalued, whether the undervaluation of the yuan, should it exist, is the cause of the US trade deficit with China (hence revaluation being a justifiable cure) and whether Chinese economic policies are immoral and illegal according to IMF and WTO rules. This challenging and thought provoking book will prove a stimulating read for academics, researchers, students and policymakers with an interest in international economics, international finance, political economy and Asian studies.
Book Synopsis Theory and Applications of Time Series Analysis by : Olga Valenzuela
Download or read book Theory and Applications of Time Series Analysis written by Olga Valenzuela and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-11-20 with total page 460 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents a selection of peer-reviewed contributions on the latest advances in time series analysis, presented at the International Conference on Time Series and Forecasting (ITISE 2019), held in Granada, Spain, on September 25-27, 2019. The first two parts of the book present theoretical contributions on statistical and advanced mathematical methods, and on econometric models, financial forecasting and risk analysis. The remaining four parts include practical contributions on time series analysis in energy; complex/big data time series and forecasting; time series analysis with computational intelligence; and time series analysis and prediction for other real-world problems. Given this mix of topics, readers will acquire a more comprehensive perspective on the field of time series analysis and forecasting. The ITISE conference series provides a forum for scientists, engineers, educators and students to discuss the latest advances and implementations in the foundations, theory, models and applications of time series analysis and forecasting. It focuses on interdisciplinary research encompassing computer science, mathematics, statistics and econometrics.
Book Synopsis Capital Account Liberation by : Ying Yirong
Download or read book Capital Account Liberation written by Ying Yirong and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2015-05-13 with total page 445 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Along with the development of economic globalization, many countries have begun to relax their controls on their capital accounts. However, the recent financial crises in Latin American countries as well as the exchange rate crises in Southeast Asian countries have shown that there is major risk associated with capital account liberalization.This b
