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Evaluation Of Basis Levels As Contracts Approach Maturity In The United States Live Cattle Futures Markets
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Book Synopsis Evaluation of Basis Levels as Contracts Approach Maturity in the United States Live Cattle Futures Markets by : Christian J. Salnars Polanco
Download or read book Evaluation of Basis Levels as Contracts Approach Maturity in the United States Live Cattle Futures Markets written by Christian J. Salnars Polanco and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: ABSTRACT: The final results provide policy makers with information that can be used to improve the efficiency of the live cattle futures markets.
Book Synopsis Performance of the Live Cattle Futures Contract by : Brian W. Barton
Download or read book Performance of the Live Cattle Futures Contract written by Brian W. Barton and published by . This book was released on 1984 with total page 320 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Commodity Futures Trading by : United States. General Accounting Office
Download or read book Commodity Futures Trading written by United States. General Accounting Office and published by . This book was released on 1987 with total page 156 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Essays on Futures Contracts as a Feeder Cattle Price Risk Management Tool by : Justin Dean Bina
Download or read book Essays on Futures Contracts as a Feeder Cattle Price Risk Management Tool written by Justin Dean Bina and published by . This book was released on 2021 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This thesis consists of two articles analyzing the feeder cattle futures contract as a price risk management tool. The first article implements transaction-level data and feeder cattle futures interaction terms in a hedonic pricing model framework to estimate optimal feeder cattle hedge ratios conditioned on the price of corn. This deviates from previous feeder cattle hedging literature, which typically employs aggregate weekly data and simple linear regressions of cash price against futures price to estimate hedge ratios. Hedging risk using corn-conditioned hedge ratios is compared to estimated hedge ratios that are not dependent on corn price. The second article again implements transaction-level data and a hedonic pricing model framework to evaluate whether feeder cattle basis risk has changed over time and to identify factors driving basis risk. The method developed in the second article differs from previous livestock basis risk assessments in that out-of-sample transaction price prediction errors are used to represent unexplained cash price deviations from feeder cattle futures price, or basis risk. Results from both articles indicate varying market conditions and animal characteristics have important impacts on the effectiveness of feeder cattle futures for price risk management in a heterogeneous market.
Book Synopsis Impact of Cash Settlement and Market Fundamentals on Feeder Cattle Basis by : Tanner M. Aherin
Download or read book Impact of Cash Settlement and Market Fundamentals on Feeder Cattle Basis written by Tanner M. Aherin and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: With volatile cattle markets, comes substantial amounts of price risk for all parties involved in the industry. Hedging with futures markets to mitigate risk is a common practice performed by commercial producers. For this to be an effective risk management tool, the futures contract must function correctly by accurately representing the price and quality of the underlying product. Often times, commodity futures contracts are settled by physical delivery. However, two livestock contracts transitioned to a cash settled index, feeder cattle in 1986 and lean hogs in 1997, to enhance the performance of the contract and promote participation by commercial users. Eliminating high delivery costs, reducing any issues with the grading process when the product is delivered, and portraying a truer commercial value, are some of the benefits of a cash settlement index. There has been some speculation that dates back to the 1980's regarding whether the live cattle futures contract should switch to cash settlement rather than physical delivery. This study was done to measure the impact the change to cash settlement had on the hedging ability of the feeder cattle futures contract. Even though the feeder cattle contract represents a different sector of the industry, the results still provide some insight as to whether cash settlement can be advantageous for a futures contract. The ability to forecast basis is critical when hedging with futures to manage risk. The magnitude of basis prediction error (BPE), or the difference between expected basis and actual basis, is a common method used to measure the hedging ability of a futures contract. This procedure was utilized to analyze the effects the change to cash settlement had on BPE in six different regions: Kansas, Missouri, Nebraska, North/South Dakota, Oklahoma, and Texas. Expected basis was calculated using a two, three, and four year historical average technique for each respective week to contract expiration. Other market factors were also included in the models to ensure the cash settlement adjustment was not the sole reason for BPE variations over time. To estimate the impact the different elements have on basis predictability, Ordinary Least Squares regression was used for each of the three stacked models. For the two-year historical basis prediction error model, Kansas was the only area with a statistically significant value indicating cash settlement reduced BPE by $0.18. Three states, Kansas (-$0.24/cwt.), Missouri (-$0.17/cwt.), and Texas (-$0.16/cwt.), showed a statistically significant decrease in BPE due to cash settlement for the three-year historical basis prediction error model. Also, the coefficient for Oklahoma was just slightly above the statistically significant level. However, the four-year model had moderately different results. The estimate for Kansas was statistically significant at -$0.18/cwt. meaning cash settlement reduced BPE, while the Dakotas region actually showed a statistically significant increase in BPE by $0.18/cwt. This research provides evidence that cash settlement can improve the basis predictability of a futures contract depending on the region and technique used to calculate expected basis.
Book Synopsis The Live Cattle Basis at Selected Locations in Kansas by :
Download or read book The Live Cattle Basis at Selected Locations in Kansas written by and published by . This book was released on 1978 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Analyses characteristics of the basis to determine if basis movements were consistent from year to year, whether the basis varied between the several options, if location in the state influenced the basis, and whether the basis differed significently between nondelivery and delivery months.
Book Synopsis An Evaluation of Determinants of Fed Cattle Basis and Competing Forecasting Models by : Jeremiah McElligott
Download or read book An Evaluation of Determinants of Fed Cattle Basis and Competing Forecasting Models written by Jeremiah McElligott and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The objective of this analysis is to develop econometric models for forecasting fed cattle basis as well as compare these models with historic averaging methods of forecasting basis popular in existing literature. The econometric analysis also aims to identify important determinants of fed cattle basis. Both monthly and weekly models were assessed with data provided by the Livestock Marketing Information Center. All models analyzed the three regions of Nebraska, Kansas, and Texas. Monthly historic average approaches utilized historic fed cattle futures and fed cattle cash price series from January of 1995 through December of 2010. Weekly historic average approaches utilized historic fed cattle futures and fed cattle cash prices series from June of 2001 through December 2010. Data collected post mandatory price reporting implementation in 2001 was used in all econometric models. Overall lags of fed cattle basis, the spread between the nearby live cattle futures contract and the next deferred futures contract, and seasonality regularly proved to explain much of the variation in fed cattle basis in the econometric modeling. Multiple historic average based models were examined on both monthly and weekly frequencies. Once all competing models were estimated in-sample, out-of sample testing was conducted. The forecasting errors of all weekly models were compared to determine which methods prove to be dominant forecasters of fed cattle basis. This testing suggests historic averaging methods outperform the alternate econometric models in out-of-sample work. The econometric models helped to reveal some of the important factors determining fed cattle basis, however lags in collecting data on these factors may inhibit the forecaster's ability to use these techniques in real time. One interesting revelation in regards to historic averages is the potential of Olympic averages as forecasters. These methods have not been explored in previous academic literature but tend to perform quite well in comparison with other methods explored.
Book Synopsis Forecasting the Futures Market Basis Patterns for Tennessee Feeder Cattle by : Dan Lucien McLemore
Download or read book Forecasting the Futures Market Basis Patterns for Tennessee Feeder Cattle written by Dan Lucien McLemore and published by . This book was released on 1990 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Analysis of Basis Behaviors of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Live Cattle Futures Contract by : James E. Newsome
Download or read book Analysis of Basis Behaviors of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Live Cattle Futures Contract written by James E. Newsome and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 136 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Aspects of Washington-Oregon Cattlemen Using Futures Market by : Raymond J. Folwell
Download or read book Aspects of Washington-Oregon Cattlemen Using Futures Market written by Raymond J. Folwell and published by . This book was released on 1985 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis An Analysis of the Basis and Cross-hedging Potential of Beef and Pork Cuts in the Live Cattle and Hog Futures Contracts by : Raymond M. Leuthold
Download or read book An Analysis of the Basis and Cross-hedging Potential of Beef and Pork Cuts in the Live Cattle and Hog Futures Contracts written by Raymond M. Leuthold and published by . This book was released on 1986 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Futures Trading in Livestock by : Henry Harrison Bakken
Download or read book Futures Trading in Livestock written by Henry Harrison Bakken and published by . This book was released on 1970 with total page 270 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Basis Behavior and Hedging Risk Under Cash Versus Physical Delivery Settlement of the Feeder Cattle Futures Contract for Selected Texas Markets by : Petrina Lea Diamond
Download or read book Basis Behavior and Hedging Risk Under Cash Versus Physical Delivery Settlement of the Feeder Cattle Futures Contract for Selected Texas Markets written by Petrina Lea Diamond and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 336 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards by :
Download or read book International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards written by and published by Lulu.com. This book was released on 2004 with total page 294 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Economics of Food Price Volatility by : Jean-Paul Chavas
Download or read book The Economics of Food Price Volatility written by Jean-Paul Chavas and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2014-10-14 with total page 394 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The conference was organized by the three editors of this book and took place on August 15-16, 2012 in Seattle."--Preface.
Book Synopsis Agricultural Product Prices by : William G. Tomek
Download or read book Agricultural Product Prices written by William G. Tomek and published by Cornell University Press. This book was released on 2014-05-08 with total page 484 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Published continuously since 1972, Agricultural Product Prices has become the standard textbook and reference work for students in agricultural and applied economics, buyers and sellers of commodities, and policymakers, clearly explaining conceptual and empirical models applicable to agricultural product markets. The new fifth edition uses up-to-date information and models to explain the behavior of agricultural product prices. Topics include price differences over market levels (marketing margins), price differences over space (regionally and internationally) and by quality attributes, and price variability with the passage of time (seasonal and cyclical variations, trends, and random behavior). William G. Tomek and Harry M. Kaiser review and adapt microeconomic principles to the characteristics of agricultural commodity markets and then apply these principles to the various dimensions of price behavior. They also provide an in-depth discussion of prices established for futures contracts and their relationship to cash (spot) market prices; cover the influential roles of price discovery institutions, such as auctions and negotiated contracts, and government policies regulating trade and farms; and discuss the specification, use, and evaluation of empirical models of agricultural prices, placing emphasis on the challenges of doing high-quality, useful analyses and interpreting results.
Book Synopsis North Central Journal of Agricultural Economics by :
Download or read book North Central Journal of Agricultural Economics written by and published by . This book was released on 1979 with total page 812 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
