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Evaluating The Quarterly Projection Model A Preliminary Investigation
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Book Synopsis Handbook of Empirical Economics and Finance by : Aman Ullah
Download or read book Handbook of Empirical Economics and Finance written by Aman Ullah and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2016-04-19 with total page 532 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Handbook of Empirical Economics and Finance explores the latest developments in the analysis and modeling of economic and financial data. Well-recognized econometric experts discuss the rapidly growing research in economics and finance and offer insight on the future direction of these fields. Focusing on micro models, the first group of chapters describes the statistical issues involved in the analysis of econometric models with cross-sectional data often arising in microeconomics. The book then illustrates time series models that are extensively used in empirical macroeconomics and finance. The last set of chapters explores the types of panel data and spatial models that are becoming increasingly significant in analyzing complex economic behavior and policy evaluations. This handbook brings together both background material and new methodological and applied results that are extremely important to the current and future frontiers in empirical economics and finance. It emphasizes inferential issues that transpire in the analysis of cross-sectional, time series, and panel data-based empirical models in economics, finance, and related disciplines.
Download or read book Monetary and Economic Studies written by and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 624 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis A Small Quarterly Multi-country Projection Model with Financial-real Linkages and Oil Prices by :
Download or read book A Small Quarterly Multi-country Projection Model with Financial-real Linkages and Oil Prices written by and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 76 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This is the third of a series of papers that are being written as part of a larger project to estimate a small quarterly Global Projection Model (GPM). The GPM project is designed to improve the toolkit for studying both own-country and cross-country linkages. In this paper, we estimate a small quarterly projection model of the US, Euro Area, and Japanese economies that incorporates oil prices and allows us to trace out the effects of shocks to oil prices. The model is estimated with Bayesian techniques. We show how the model can be used to construct efficient baseline forecasts that incorporate judgment imposed on the near-term outlook.
Download or read book Rapport Techniques written by and published by . This book was released on 1973 with total page 134 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Document de Travail written by and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Supply Shocks and Real Exchange Rate Dynamics by : Céline Gauthier
Download or read book Supply Shocks and Real Exchange Rate Dynamics written by Céline Gauthier and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 21 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this paper, we study the impact of supply shocks on the Canadian real exchange rate. We specify a structural vector-error-correction model that links the real exchange rate to different fundamentals. The identification scheme we use to recover the different shocks is based on long-run restrictions and allows us to decompose the real exchange rate according to different long-run trends, basically defined in terms of permanent shocks. Two main results emerge from our analysis. First, a positive supply shock in favour of Canada leads to a real exchange rate appreciation. Although consistent with the Balassa-Samuelson hypothesis, this result contradicts previous findings that have used a similar methodology. Second, commodity price shocks tend to dominate exchange rate movements over the short and medium run, but supply shocks have the largest impact over the long run. In particular, supply shocks explain most of the stochastic depreciation of the Canadian real exchange rate since the beginning of the 1990s.
Book Synopsis Alternative Trading Systems by : Nicolas Audet
Download or read book Alternative Trading Systems written by Nicolas Audet and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 86 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Evaluation of the Forecasting Capability of Selected Valuation Models for a Long-Term Equity Investment by : Susanne Hakuba
Download or read book Evaluation of the Forecasting Capability of Selected Valuation Models for a Long-Term Equity Investment written by Susanne Hakuba and published by ibidem-Verlag / ibidem Press. This book was released on 2012-02-13 with total page 121 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the 1990s, the global stock market experienced the birth of the new technology sector and an extraordinary increase in values. However, the surge of stock values came to an end in 2000 when stock markets dropped significantly. Especially the technology sector suffered greatly, and a high amount of wealth was erased by sharply falling markets. Could it have been possible to predict stock prices in such a market environment and, therefore, enable the equity investor to invest in undervalued stocks, if there were any? The key question for an investor in this context is whether an investment is fairly priced at the time of investment. This is of importance if one believes that stock prices can be overvalued or undervalued at times but adjust to their true values in the long-term. To form an opinion on whether an investment is fairly priced or not, i.e. overvalued or undervalued, an investor needs a valuation model. Such a model provides a theoretically correct value which can be used as a benchmark for the decision. In her study, Sussane Hakuba examines the forecasting capability of two selected valuation models for long-term equity investments over a nine-quarter time horizon (from the 4th quarter of 1999 to the 4th quarter of 2000): a) the two-stage free cash flow to equity (FCFE) model andb) the dividend discount model (DDM) as applied by JPMorgan Fleming. Susanne Hakuba looks at the application of the two equity valuation models analyzed including theory on the models, their inputs, and assumptions made. In addition, she provides discussion of the stock valuations performed and comes to conclusions and recommendations for future valuations applying the models examined.
Book Synopsis Labour Markets, Liquidity, and Monetary Policy Regimes by : David Andolfatto
Download or read book Labour Markets, Liquidity, and Monetary Policy Regimes written by David Andolfatto and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Macroeconomic Forecasting by : Michael P. Clements
Download or read book Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Macroeconomic Forecasting written by Michael P. Clements and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2024-11-08 with total page 491 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Bringing together the recent advances and innovative methods in macroeconomic forecasting, this erudite Handbook outlines how to forecast, including following world events such as the Covid-19 pandemic and the global financial crisis. With contributions from global experts, chapters explore the use of machine-learning techniques, the value of social media data, and climate change forecasting. This title contains one or more Open Access chapters.
Download or read book Energy Research Abstracts written by and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 754 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Monetary Policy Rules by : John B. Taylor
Download or read book Monetary Policy Rules written by John B. Taylor and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-12-01 with total page 460 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This timely volume presents the latest thinking on the monetary policy rules and seeks to determine just what types of rules and policy guidelines function best. A unique cooperative research effort that allowed contributors to evaluate different policy rules using their own specific approaches, this collection presents their striking findings on the potential response of interest rates to an array of variables, including alterations in the rates of inflation, unemployment, and exchange. Monetary Policy Rules illustrates that simple policy rules are more robust and more efficient than complex rules with multiple variables. A state-of-the-art appraisal of the fundamental issues facing the Federal Reserve Board and other central banks, Monetary Policy Rules is essential reading for economic analysts and policymakers alike.
Book Synopsis Quarterly Projection Model for India by : Mr.Jaromir Benes
Download or read book Quarterly Projection Model for India written by Mr.Jaromir Benes and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2017-02-13 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper outlines the key features of the production version of the quarterly projection model (QPM), which is a forward-looking open-economy gap model, calibrated to represent the Indian case, for generating forecasts and risk assessment as well as conducting policy analysis. QPM incorporates several India-specific features like the importance of the agricultural sector and food prices in the inflation process; features of monetary policy transmission and implications of an endogenous credibility process for monetary policy formulation. The paper also describes key properties and historical decompositions of some important macroeconomic variables.
Book Synopsis Assessment of Intraseasonal to Interannual Climate Prediction and Predictability by : National Research Council
Download or read book Assessment of Intraseasonal to Interannual Climate Prediction and Predictability written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2010-10-08 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: More accurate forecasts of climate conditions over time periods of weeks to a few years could help people plan agricultural activities, mitigate drought, and manage energy resources, amongst other activities; however, current forecast systems have limited ability on these time- scales. Models for such climate forecasts must take into account complex interactions among the ocean, atmosphere, and land surface. Such processes can be difficult to represent realistically. To improve the quality of forecasts, this book makes recommendations about the development of the tools used in forecasting and about specific research goals for improving understanding of sources of predictability. To improve the accessibility of these forecasts to decision-makers and researchers, this book also suggests best practices to improve how forecasts are made and disseminated.
Download or read book Solar Energy Update written by and published by . This book was released on 1977 with total page 874 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Download or read book Fossil Energy Update written by and published by . This book was released on 1978 with total page 944 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Natural Disasters and Extreme Events in Agriculture by : Mannava VK Sivakumar
Download or read book Natural Disasters and Extreme Events in Agriculture written by Mannava VK Sivakumar and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2005-12-06 with total page 377 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Agricultural production is highly sensitive to weather and climate-related disasters such as drought, storm and flood. While it is not possible to prevent the occurrence of natural disasters, the resultant disastrous effects can be reduced mitigated through proper planning and effective preparation. This book, based on a gathering of experts in Beijing, discusses ways to reduce the vulnerability of agriculture to disaster and extreme events, both by accurate and timely warning, and by impact-reducing countermeasures.
