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Estimating The Cost Of Equity Capital Using Time Series Analysis
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Book Synopsis Estimating the Cost of Equity Capital Using Time Series Analysis by : Howard Elliott Thompson
Download or read book Estimating the Cost of Equity Capital Using Time Series Analysis written by Howard Elliott Thompson and published by . This book was released on 1983 with total page 50 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Estimation of Cost of Capital and Its Reliability by : Wing-Keung Wong
Download or read book Estimation of Cost of Capital and Its Reliability written by Wing-Keung Wong and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 39 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Gordon and Shapiro (1956) first equated the price of a share with the present value of future dividends and derived the well-known relationship. Since then, there are many improvement on the theory, for example, Thompson (1985, 1987) combined the "dividend yield plus growth"' method with Box-Jenkins time series analysis of past dividend experience to estimate the cost of capital and its credibility for individual firms while Thompson and Wong (1991, 1996) further extended the study of statistical time series methodology for estimating the cost of equity capital by proving the existence and uniqueness of the cost of capital and estimating its reliability. However, their approaches could not be used if the reliability does not exist or if there are multiple solution for the reliability. Wong and Chan (2004) extended the theory by proving the existence and uniqueness of the reliability. They further studied the properties of the cost of capital and simplify the estimation procedure. This paper discusses their contribution and the applications of the theory.
Book Synopsis Estimating the Cost of Capital Implied by Market Prices and Accounting Data by : Peter Easton
Download or read book Estimating the Cost of Capital Implied by Market Prices and Accounting Data written by Peter Easton and published by Now Publishers Inc. This book was released on 2009 with total page 148 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Estimating the Cost of Capital Implied by Market Prices and Accounting Data focuses on estimating the expected rate of return implied by market prices, summary accounting numbers, and forecasts of earnings and dividends. Estimates of the expected rate of return, often used as proxies for the cost of capital, are obtained by inverting accounting-based valuation models. The author describes accounting-based valuation models and discusses how these models have been used, and how they may be used, to obtain estimates of the cost of capital. The practical appeal of accounting-based valuation models is that they focus on the two variables that are commonly at the heart of valuations carried out by equity analysts -- forecasts of earnings and forecasts of earnings growth. The question at the core of this monograph is -- How can these forecasts be used to obtain an estimate of the cost of capital? The author examines the empirical validity of the estimates based on these forecasts and explores ways to improve these estimates. In addition, this monograph details a method for isolating the effect of any factor of interest (such as cross-listing, fraud, disclosure quality, taxes, analyst following, accounting standards, etc.) on the cost of capital. If you are interested in understanding the academic literature on accounting-based estimates of expected rate of return this monograph is for you. Estimating the Cost of Capital Implied by Market Prices and Accounting Data provides a foundation for a deeper comprehension of this literature and will give a jump start to those who have an interest in these topics. The key ideas are introduced via examples based on actual forecasts, accounting information, and market prices for listed firms, and the numerical examples are based on sound algebraic relations.
Book Synopsis Estimating the Cost of Equity Capital for a Division of a Firm by :
Download or read book Estimating the Cost of Equity Capital for a Division of a Firm written by and published by . This book was released on 1989 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Estimating the Expected Cost of Equity Capital Using Analysts' Consensus Forecasts by : Holger Daske
Download or read book Estimating the Expected Cost of Equity Capital Using Analysts' Consensus Forecasts written by Holger Daske and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this study, we develop a technique for estimating a firm's expected cost of equity capital derived from its stock price and analysts' consensus forecasts. Our estimation method based on the residual income valuation model builds on Gebhardt/Lee/Swaminathan (2001) and Easton/Taylor/ShroffSougiannis (2002), but extends and refines their approaches by explicitly allowing daily estimation and using only publicly available information at that estimation date. We apply this technique to estimate the expected cost of equity capital at the market, industry and individual firm level using historical German data from 1989-2002 and examine firm characteristics which have been systematically related to these estimated return expectations.
Book Synopsis Estimating beta and Cost of Equity Capital for Non-traded Transportation Companies by : Sascha Heller
Download or read book Estimating beta and Cost of Equity Capital for Non-traded Transportation Companies written by Sascha Heller and published by diplom.de. This book was released on 2014-04-11 with total page 71 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Inhaltsangabe:Introduction: Estimating the cost of equity capital has two major implications. First, it reflects the return to a company s stock which an equity investor expects to receive from his investment. He makes his decision upon whether he could earn a higher rate of return in an alternative investment of equivalent risk. Second, a company must earn the cost of capital (both debt and equity) through its undertaken projects. It is hence relevant for decisions on undertaking positive net present value projects which are of similar risk as the company s average business activities. It also substantially influences the pricing of an entire firm as far as the valuation is based on a discounted cash flow model. A lot of effort has been done in the past to achieve accurate models which precisely determine this cost. Building on the modern portfolio theory of Harry Markowitz, a widely used and commonly known model in this context is the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM). Introduced by several researchers in the 1960s, it is still one of the most applied methods for practitioners. However, it suffers from several shortcomings, including statistical caveats, economic assumptions, the absence of market frictions and the behaviour of market participants. An upgrade to this model was provided by Stephen Ross which has resulted in the Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT). It combines several risk factors in addition to one market proxy, as it is the case in the CAPM, and is less restrictive in its assumptions. But both CAPM and APT require observable market data, i.e. stock prices, of the analysed companies. These models thus only work for publicly listed firms. If research should be done on non-traded companies, however, an alternative methodology must be applied. In general, data from the balance sheet, the income statement and the cash flow statement are available for both listed and non-listed companies. While accounting data have widely been used in the past as well and have been assumed to provide valuable information in explaining stock returns, this line of research has dissipated over time. Only a few key figures, such as size and financial leverage, are still considered to be relevant. However, they can be used to indirectly estimate a firm s beta by assessing their explanatory power in a CAPM or APT framework. This methodology is particularly beneficial for firms which are not listed because there cannot be observed any stock price movements. [...]
Book Synopsis Estimating Expected Cost of Equity Capital by : Christine Botosan
Download or read book Estimating Expected Cost of Equity Capital written by Christine Botosan and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this study, we estimate the expected cost of equity capital using the unrestricted form of the classic dividend discount formula and examine the extent to which these estimates (rDIV ) reliably proxy for expected cost of equity capital. We find that the rDIV estimates are associated with six risk proxies suggested by theory and prior research in a manner consistent with expectations; the explanatory power of the model is approximately 26%. Based on these results we conclude that the rDIV estimates are a valid proxy for expected cost of equity capital.Estimating rDIV requires a terminal value forecast. Since such forecasts are not always available we also assess the reliability of estimates produced by imposing three alternative terminal value assumptions on the dividend discount model. Specifically, rGORDON (Gordon and Gordon (1997)) imposes a firm-specific assumption; rGLS (Gebhardt, Lee and Swaminathan (2001)) imposes an industry-specific assumption and rOJN (Ohlson and Juettner-Nauroth (2000) and Gode and Mohanram (2001)) imposes an economy-wide assumption. We find that the rGORDON estimates have the highest correlation with rDIV and behave in a manner consistent with expectations with respect to their relationships with the risk proxies. We conclude that, when sufficient data to estimate rDIV is unavailable, rGORDON represents a reasonable substitute. Finally, our data indicate that although rDIV and rGORDON reflect the distribution of expected cost of equity capital, neither measure (nor any of the alternatives) should be relied upon to estimate the magnitude of expected cost of equity capital and/or implied risk premiums.
Book Synopsis Cost of Capital by : Shannon P. Pratt
Download or read book Cost of Capital written by Shannon P. Pratt and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2003-02-28 with total page 354 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An authoritative text on cost of capital for both the nonprofessional and the valuation expert -- now revised and expanded In endeavoring to practice sound corporate finance, there is perhaps nothing so critical, nor slippery, as cost of capital estimation. The second edition of Cost of Capital: Estimation and Applications combines a state-of-the-art treatise on cost of capital estimation with an accessible introduction for the nonprofessional. This comprehensive yet usable guide begins with an exposition of basic concepts understandable to the lay person and proceeds gradually from simple applications to the more complex procedures commonly found in the marketplace. New features of the revised and expanded Second Edition include chapters on Economic Value Added (EVA) and reconciling cost of capital in the income approach with valuation multiples in the market approach, as well as expanded coverage of cost of capital in the courts and handling discounts for marketability. Cost of Capital remains an incomparable resource for all parties interested in effective business valuation.
Book Synopsis Estimating the cost of equity by : The Open University
Download or read book Estimating the cost of equity written by The Open University and published by The Open University. This book was released on with total page 74 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This 9-hour free course looked at how to estimate the cost of equity using the dividend valuation model and the capital asset pricing model.
Book Synopsis Estimating a Firm's Expected Cost of Equity Capital Using Consensus Forecasts by : Holger Daske
Download or read book Estimating a Firm's Expected Cost of Equity Capital Using Consensus Forecasts written by Holger Daske and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 55 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this study, we propose a technique for estimating a firm's expected cost of equity capital derived from analyst consensus forecasts and stock prices. Building on the work of Gebhardt/Lee/Swaminathan (2001) and Easton/Taylor/Shroff/Sougiannis (2002), our approach allows daily estimation, using only publicly available information at that date. We suggest this technique for application in investment and capital budgeting decisions at the company level. We then estimate the expected cost of equity capital at the market, industry and individual firm level using historical German data from 1989-2002 and examine firm characteristics which are systematically related to these estimates. Finally, we demonstrate the potential practical applicability of the concept in a contemporary case study for DaimlerChrysler and the European automobile industry.
Book Synopsis CAPM for estimating the cost of equity capital : interpreting the empirical evidence by : Zhi Da
Download or read book CAPM for estimating the cost of equity capital : interpreting the empirical evidence written by Zhi Da and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We argue that the CAPM may be a reasonable model for estimating the cost of capital for projects in spite of increasing criticisms in the empirical asset pricing literature. Following Hoberg and Welch (2007), we first show that there is more support for the CAPM than has been previously thought. We then present evidence that is consistent with the view that the option to modify existing projects and undertake new projects available to firms may be an important reason for the poor performance of the CAPM in explaining the cross section of returns on size and book-to-market sorted stock portfolios. That lends support to the McDonald and Siegel (1985) and Berk, Green and Naik (1999) observation that stock returns need not satisfy the CAPM even when the expected returns on all individual projects do. From the perspective of a person who believes that the CAPM provides a reasonable estimate of the required return on elementary individual projects, the empirical evidence in the literature is not sufficient to abandon the use of the CAPM in favor of other models.
Book Synopsis Empirical Asset Pricing by : Wayne Ferson
Download or read book Empirical Asset Pricing written by Wayne Ferson and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2019-03-12 with total page 497 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An introduction to the theory and methods of empirical asset pricing, integrating classical foundations with recent developments. This book offers a comprehensive advanced introduction to asset pricing, the study of models for the prices and returns of various securities. The focus is empirical, emphasizing how the models relate to the data. The book offers a uniquely integrated treatment, combining classical foundations with more recent developments in the literature and relating some of the material to applications in investment management. It covers the theory of empirical asset pricing, the main empirical methods, and a range of applied topics. The book introduces the theory of empirical asset pricing through three main paradigms: mean variance analysis, stochastic discount factors, and beta pricing models. It describes empirical methods, beginning with the generalized method of moments (GMM) and viewing other methods as special cases of GMM; offers a comprehensive review of fund performance evaluation; and presents selected applied topics, including a substantial chapter on predictability in asset markets that covers predicting the level of returns, volatility and higher moments, and predicting cross-sectional differences in returns. Other chapters cover production-based asset pricing, long-run risk models, the Campbell-Shiller approximation, the debate on covariance versus characteristics, and the relation of volatility to the cross-section of stock returns. An extensive reference section captures the current state of the field. The book is intended for use by graduate students in finance and economics; it can also serve as a reference for professionals.
Book Synopsis THE ENGINEERING ECONOMIST A JOURNAL DEVOTED TO THE PROBLEMS OF CAPITAL INVESTMENT FALL 1995 VOLUME 41 NO 1 by :
Download or read book THE ENGINEERING ECONOMIST A JOURNAL DEVOTED TO THE PROBLEMS OF CAPITAL INVESTMENT FALL 1995 VOLUME 41 NO 1 written by and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 450 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Alternative Estimates of the Cost of Equity Capital for Australian Firms by : Giang Truong
Download or read book Alternative Estimates of the Cost of Equity Capital for Australian Firms written by Giang Truong and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We estimate the cost of equity capital for a sample of Australian firms using the CAPM and valuation models which are based on analyst forecasts of earnings and dividends. We find that the use of a composite of time-series and analyst forecasts rather than raw analyst forecasts results in cost of capital estimates that better explain the cross-sectional variation in future stock returns. Cost of capital estimates from the CAPM provide the weakest explanation of future stock returns. Cost of capital estimates from the valuation models are also found to be significantly related to key firm characteristics such as size, book-to-market and financial leverage. A variant of the dividend discount model provides the best cost of capital estimates when judged by their ability to explain the cross-section of future returns and their association with firm risk characteristics.
Book Synopsis Cost of Capital, + Website by : Shannon P. Pratt
Download or read book Cost of Capital, + Website written by Shannon P. Pratt and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2014-04-21 with total page 1344 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A one-stop shop for background and current thinking on the development and uses of rates of return on capital Completely revised for this highly anticipated fifth edition, Cost of Capital contains expanded materials on estimating the basic building blocks of the cost of equity capital, the risk-free rate, and equity risk premium. There is also discussion of the volatility created by the financial crisis in 2008, the subsequent recession and uncertain recovery, and how those events have fundamentally changed how we need to interpret the inputs to the models we use to develop these estimates. The book includes new case studies providing comprehensive discussion of cost of capital estimates for valuing a business and damages calculations for small and medium-sized businesses, cross-referenced to the chapters covering the theory and data. Addresses equity risk premium and the risk-free rate, including the impact of Federal Reserve actions Explores how to use Morningstar's Ibbotson and Duff Phelps Risk Premium Report data Discusses the global cost of capital estimation, including a new size study of European countries Cost of Capital, Fifth Edition puts an emphasis on practical application. To that end, this updated edition provides readers with exclusive access to a companion website filled with supplementary materials, allowing you to continue to learn in a hands-on fashion long after closing the book.
Book Synopsis Costs of Capital and Earnings Attributes by : Jennifer Francis
Download or read book Costs of Capital and Earnings Attributes written by Jennifer Francis and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 43 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We examine the relation between the cost of equity capital and seven attributes of earnings: quality, persistence, predictability, smoothness, value relevance, timeliness and conservatism. We refer to the first four attributes as accounting-based because measures of these constructs are typically based on accounting information only. We refer to the last three attributes as market-based because proxies for these constructs are typically based on relations between market data and accounting data. Our analysis of the cost of capital effects of these attributes is based on two distinct approaches to measuring the cost of capital: a cross-sectional approach which uses ex ante cost of capital estimates derived from analyst forecast data, and a time-series approach that uses realized returns and asset pricing regressions. Across both sets of tests, we find that firms with the most favorable values of each attribute, viewed individually, enjoy significantly lower costs of capital than firms with the least favorable values. The largest cost of capital effects are found for the accounting-based attributes; within this set, earnings quality has the strongest effects. Among the market-based attributes, value relevance dominates timeliness and conservatism. Considering all attributes together, the results show that investors consistently price earnings quality and earnings persistence, and to a lesser extent, value relevance.
Book Synopsis Bank Capital and the Cost of Equity by : Mohamed Belkhir
Download or read book Bank Capital and the Cost of Equity written by Mohamed Belkhir and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-12-04 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using a sample of publicly listed banks from 62 countries over the 1991-2017 period, we investigate the impact of capital on banks’ cost of equity. Consistent with the theoretical prediction that more equity in the capital mix leads to a fall in firms’ costs of equity, we find that better capitalized banks enjoy lower equity costs. Our baseline estimations indicate that a 1 percentage point increase in a bank’s equity-to-assets ratio lowers its cost of equity by about 18 basis points. Our results also suggest that the form of capital that investors value the most is sheer equity capital; other forms of capital, such as Tier 2 regulatory capital, are less (or not at all) valued by investors. Additionally, our main finding that capital has a negative effect on banks’ cost of equity holds in both developed and developing countries. The results of this paper provide the missing evidence in the debate on the effects of higher capital requirements on banks’ funding costs.