Development of a Forecasting Model to Predict the Downturn and Upturn of a Real Estate Market in the Inland Empire

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Publisher : Universal-Publishers
ISBN 13 : 1599423944
Total Pages : 379 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (994 download)

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Book Synopsis Development of a Forecasting Model to Predict the Downturn and Upturn of a Real Estate Market in the Inland Empire by : Thomas F. Flynn

Download or read book Development of a Forecasting Model to Predict the Downturn and Upturn of a Real Estate Market in the Inland Empire written by Thomas F. Flynn and published by Universal-Publishers. This book was released on 2011-04 with total page 379 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Amidst the dramatic real estate fluctuations in the first decade of the twenty-first century, this study recognized that there is a necessity to create a real estate prediction model for future real estate ventures and prevention of losses such as the mortgage meltdown and housing bust. This real estate prediction model study sought to reinstall the integrity into the American building and development industry, which was tarnished by the sudden emergence of various publications offering get-rich-quick schemes. In the fast-paced and competitive world of lending and real estate development, it is becoming more complex to combine current and evolving factors into a profitable business model. This prediction model correlated past real estate cycle pinpoints to economical driving forces in order to create an ongoing formula. The study used a descriptive, secondary interpretation of raw data already available. Quarterly data was taken from the study's seven independent variables over a 24-year span from 1985 to 2009 to examine the correlation over two real estate cycles. Public information from 97 quarters (1985-2009) was also gathered on seven topics: consumer confidence, loan origination volume, construction employment statistics, migration, GDP, inflation, and interest rates. The Null hypothesis underwent a test of variance at a .05 level of significance. Multiple regression analysis uncovered that four of seven variables have correlated and could predict movement in real estate cycle evidence from previous data, based in the Inland Empire. GDP, interest rates, loan origination volume, and inflation were the four economical driving variables that completed the Inland Empire's real estate prediction model and global test. Findings from this study certify that there is correlation between economical driving factors and the real estate cycle. These correlations illustrate patterns and trends, which can become a prediction model using statistics. By interpreting and examining the data, this study believes that the prediction model is best utilized through pinpointing an exact numerical location by running calculations through the established global equation, and recommends further research and regular update of quarterly trends and movements in the real estate cycle and specific variables in the formula.

American Doctoral Dissertations

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 776 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis American Doctoral Dissertations by :

Download or read book American Doctoral Dissertations written by and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 776 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Quarterly Essay 54 Dragon's Tail

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Publisher : Quarterly Essay
ISBN 13 : 1922231568
Total Pages : 107 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (222 download)

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Book Synopsis Quarterly Essay 54 Dragon's Tail by : Andrew Charlton

Download or read book Quarterly Essay 54 Dragon's Tail written by Andrew Charlton and published by Quarterly Essay. This book was released on 2014-06-21 with total page 107 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In Dragon’s Tail, Andrew Charlton explores the supercharged rise of China and considers Australia’s future as the Chinese dragon stirs and shifts. China’s rise has been perhaps the most significant economic event in two centuries, occurring 100 times more quickly and on a scale 1000 times larger than Britain’s Industrial Revolution. Since 2000, Australia has been an essential part of this transformation, providing the raw materials to feed China’s frantic manufacture of steel vertebrae for everything from cars and trucks to railways, apartments and office towers. China’s appetite for resources has made us richer than ever before, but it has also drained the competitiveness from many parts of our economy, leaving us vulnerable. In Dragon’s Tail, Andrew Charlton shows that China’s growth model is now reaching its limit, and the world’s most populous economy faces a challenging transition. Whether China crashes, or crashes through, this will have dramatic implications for Australia, slowing the demand for our resources and forcing us to reassess the foundations of our wealth. Charlton looks at ways to revitalise the Australian economy and secure our prosperity in a changing world. “Understanding China’s growth model helps explain why australia has done so well in the twenty-first century. But it also explains why, at the same time, our economic anxiety is reaching a zenith: why holden is leaving, why the budget is in such an apparent quagmire, why house prices are soaring, why the dollar is so volatile. China’s growth has brought us a windfall, but it is a precarious sort of prosperity.” - Andrew Charlton, Dragon’s Tail Andrew Charlton is the author of Ozonomics, Fair Trade for All (written with Nobel laureate Joseph Stiglitz) and Quarterly Essay 44, Man-Made World, which won the 2012 John Button Prize. From 2008 to 2010 he was senior economic adviser to Prime Minister Kevin Rudd. He previously worked for the London School of Economics and the United Nations and received his doctorate in economics from Oxford University, where he studied as a Rhodes Scholar.

The Blackwell Companion to the Economics of Housing

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 9781444317985
Total Pages : 648 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (179 download)

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Book Synopsis The Blackwell Companion to the Economics of Housing by : Susan J. Smith

Download or read book The Blackwell Companion to the Economics of Housing written by Susan J. Smith and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2010-01-22 with total page 648 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Blackwell Companion to the Economics of Housing willhelp students and professionals alike to explore key elements ofthe housing economy: home prices, housing wealth, mortgage debt,and financial risk. Features 24 original essays, including an editorialintroduction and three section overviews Includes 39 world-class authors from a mix of educational andfinancial organizations in the UK, Europe, Australia, and NorthAmerica Broadly-based, scholarly, and accessible, serving students andprofessionals who wish to understand how today’s housingeconomy works Profiles the role and relevance of housing wealth; themismanagement of mortgage debt; and the pitfalls and potential ofhedging housing risk Key topics include: the housing price bubble and crash; thesubprime mortgage crisis in the US and its aftermath; the linksbetween housing wealth, the macroeconomy, and the welfare ofhome-occupiers; the mitigation of credit and housing investmentrisks Specific case studies help to illustrate concepts, along withnew data sets and analyses to illustrate empirical points

Thinking Ahead - Essays on Big Data, Digital Revolution, and Participatory Market Society

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Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319150782
Total Pages : 200 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (191 download)

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Book Synopsis Thinking Ahead - Essays on Big Data, Digital Revolution, and Participatory Market Society by : Dirk Helbing

Download or read book Thinking Ahead - Essays on Big Data, Digital Revolution, and Participatory Market Society written by Dirk Helbing and published by Springer. This book was released on 2015-04-10 with total page 200 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The rapidly progressing digital revolution is now touching the foundations of the governance of societal structures. Humans are on the verge of evolving from consumers to prosumers, and old, entrenched theories – in particular sociological and economic ones – are falling prey to these rapid developments. The original assumptions on which they are based are being questioned. Each year we produce as much data as in the entire human history - can we possibly create a global crystal ball to predict our future and to optimally govern our world? Do we need wide-scale surveillance to understand and manage the increasingly complex systems we are constructing, or would bottom-up approaches such as self-regulating systems be a better solution to creating a more innovative, more successful, more resilient, and ultimately happier society? Working at the interface of complexity theory, quantitative sociology and Big Data-driven risk and knowledge management, the author advocates the establishment of new participatory systems in our digital society to enhance coordination, reduce conflict and, above all, reduce the “tragedies of the commons,” resulting from the methods now used in political, economic and management decision-making. The author Physicist Dirk Helbing is Professor of Computational Social Science at the Department of Humanities, Social and Political Sciences and an affiliate of the Computer Science Department at ETH Zurich, as well as co-founder of ETH’s Risk Center. He is internationally known for the scientific coordination of the FuturICT Initiative which focuses on using smart data to understand techno-socio-economic systems. “Prof. Helbing has produced an insightful and important set of essays on the ways in which big data and complexity science are changing our understanding of ourselves and our society, and potentially allowing us to manage our societies much better than we are currently able to do. Of special note are the essays that touch on the promises of big data along with the dangers...this is material that we should all become familiar with!” Alex Pentland, MIT, author of Social Physics: How Good Ideas Spread - The Lessons From a New Science "Dirk Helbing has established his reputation as one of the leading scientific thinkers on the dramatic impacts of the digital revolution on our society and economy. Thinking Ahead is a most stimulating and provocative set of essays which deserves a wide audience.” Paul Ormerod, economist, and author of Butterfly Economics and Why Most Things Fail. "It is becoming increasingly clear that many of our institutions and social structures are in a bad way and urgently need fixing. Financial crises, international conflicts, civil wars and terrorism, inaction on climate change, problems of poverty, widening economic inequality, health epidemics, pollution and threats to digital privacy and identity are just some of the major challenges that we confront in the twenty-first century. These issues demand new and bold thinking, and that is what Dirk Helbing offers in this collection of essays. If even a fraction of these ideas pay off, the consequences for global governance could be significant. So this is a must-read book for anyone concerned about the future." Philip Ball, science writer and author of Critical Mass “This collection of papers, brought together by Dirk Helbing, is both timely and topical. It raises concerns about Big Data, which are truly frightening and disconcerting, that we do need to be aware of; while at the same time offering some hope that the technology, which has created the previously unthought-of dangers to our privacy, safety and democracy can be the means to address these dangers by enabling social, economic and political participation and coordination, not possible in the past. It makes for compelling reading and I hope for timely action.”Eve Mitleton-Kelly, LSE, author of Corporate Governance and Complexity Theory and editor of Co-evolution of Intelligent Socio-technical Systems

The Dialectics of Liquidity Crisis

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Author :
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1317536096
Total Pages : 244 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (175 download)

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Book Synopsis The Dialectics of Liquidity Crisis by : Chris Jefferis

Download or read book The Dialectics of Liquidity Crisis written by Chris Jefferis and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2017-02-17 with total page 244 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book analyses the logic of applying the American Post-Keynesian economist Hyman Minsky’s Financial Instability Hypothesis (FIH) to the financial crisis of 2007–08. Arguing that most theories of financial crisis, including Minsky’s own, only describe events, but do not actually explain them, the book surveys theories of financial crisis that have been developed to describe instability in the post-WW2 US financial system and analyses them in their historical context. The book argues that explanation of the financial crisis of 2007–08 should involve interpretation of the concept of 'risk', which guides the construction and pricing of contemporary financial products such as derivatives and asset backed securities, as a form of 'liquidity', the concept that Minsky sought to explain the financial crises of the 1970s and 1980s with. The book highlights the continuing relevance of Minsky’s theory of liquidity crisis as "immanent", in a historical sense, to the products and trading practices of modern finance, because these products were developed to obviate the crisis dynamics that Minsky described. Minsky's FIH can therefore inform historical understanding of the crisis of 2007–08 but is not directly explanatory itself. The book explores explanation of the financial crisis of 2007–08 interpreting 'liquidity', in practical historical terms, as involving a process of development out of prior crisis dynamics. Seeking to contribute to debates over the causes of the financial crisis of 2007–08 by blending a discussion of historicizing philosophy, economic theory and contemporary financial banking and trading practices this work will be of great interest to scholars of international political economy, heterodox economics and critical theory.

Public Real Estate Markets and Investments

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Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0199993289
Total Pages : 335 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (999 download)

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Book Synopsis Public Real Estate Markets and Investments by : H. Kent Baker

Download or read book Public Real Estate Markets and Investments written by H. Kent Baker and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2014-08-07 with total page 335 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Real estate is typically classified as an alternative to more traditional investments such as stocks and bonds. Real estate investing involves the purchase, ownership, management, rental, or sale of real estate for profit. Real estate investments can be both income producing and non-income producing. Although real estate can produce income like a bond and appreciate like a stock, this tangible asset has several unique characteristics as well as advantages and disadvantages relative to other investment alternatives. Benefits of including real estate in a portfolio include diversification, yield enhancement, risk reduction, tax management, and inflation hedging. Unlike traditional investments, investors in real estate have the ability to influence performance. Real estate has drawbacks in that it requires management, is costly and difficult to buy, sell, and operate, and sometimes has lower liquidity. Additionally, measuring the relative performance of real estate can be challenging. The purpose of this 14-chapter book is to provide an overview and synthesis of public real estate markets and investments in a global context. The book discusses the major types and the latest trends within public real estate markets and presents the results of research studies in a straightforward manner. It has three sections: (1) foundations of public real estate, (2) public debt markets and investments, and (3) public equity markets and investments. The book should be interest to various groups including academics, practitioners, investors, and students. Readers should gain a greater appreciation of what is needed for success when investing in public real estate markets. For more information about private real estate, read Private Real Estate Markets and Investments.

General Theory Of Employment , Interest And Money

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Publisher : Atlantic Publishers & Dist
ISBN 13 : 9788126905911
Total Pages : 410 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (59 download)

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Book Synopsis General Theory Of Employment , Interest And Money by : John Maynard Keynes

Download or read book General Theory Of Employment , Interest And Money written by John Maynard Keynes and published by Atlantic Publishers & Dist. This book was released on 2016-04 with total page 410 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: John Maynard Keynes is the great British economist of the twentieth century whose hugely influential work The General Theory of Employment, Interest and * is undoubtedly the century's most important book on economics--strongly influencing economic theory and practice, particularly with regard to the role of government in stimulating and regulating a nation's economic life. Keynes's work has undergone significant revaluation in recent years, and "Keynesian" views which have been widely defended for so long are now perceived as at odds with Keynes's own thinking. Recent scholarship and research has demonstrated considerable rivalry and controversy concerning the proper interpretation of Keynes's works, such that recourse to the original text is all the more important. Although considered by a few critics that the sentence structures of the book are quite incomprehensible and almost unbearable to read, the book is an essential reading for all those who desire a basic education in economics. The key to understanding Keynes is the notion that at particular times in the business cycle, an economy can become over-productive (or under-consumptive) and thus, a vicious spiral is begun that results in massive layoffs and cuts in production as businesses attempt to equilibrate aggregate supply and demand. Thus, full employment is only one of many or multiple macro equilibria. If an economy reaches an underemployment equilibrium, something is necessary to boost or stimulate demand to produce full employment. This something could be business investment but because of the logic and individualist nature of investment decisions, it is unlikely to rapidly restore full employment. Keynes logically seizes upon the public budget and government expenditures as the quickest way to restore full employment. Borrowing the * to finance the deficit from private households and businesses is a quick, direct way to restore full employment while at the same time, redirecting or siphoning

Essays in Monetary Policy in Honor of Elmer Wood

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 154 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (7 download)

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Book Synopsis Essays in Monetary Policy in Honor of Elmer Wood by : University of Missouri

Download or read book Essays in Monetary Policy in Honor of Elmer Wood written by University of Missouri and published by . This book was released on 1965 with total page 154 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Unloved Dollar Standard

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Publisher : Oxford University Press
ISBN 13 : 0199937001
Total Pages : 237 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (999 download)

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Book Synopsis The Unloved Dollar Standard by : Ronald I. McKinnon

Download or read book The Unloved Dollar Standard written by Ronald I. McKinnon and published by Oxford University Press. This book was released on 2013 with total page 237 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Th world dollar standard greatly facilitates international exchange. Since the Bretton Woods Agreement of 1945, the dollar has been the key currency for clearing international payments among banks, including government interventions to set exchange rates. IT is the dominant currency for invoicing trade in primary commodities and official exchange reserves.

Beyond Liquidity

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Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1317979990
Total Pages : 187 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (179 download)

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Book Synopsis Beyond Liquidity by : Brad Pasanek

Download or read book Beyond Liquidity written by Brad Pasanek and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2013-08-21 with total page 187 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: ‘Liquidity’, or rather lack of it, lies at the heart of the ongoing global financial crisis. In this collection of essays, the metaphor of money as liquidity, and the model of crisis it entails, is deliberated by a range of scholars from economics, history, anthropology, literature, and sociology. This volume offers a rhetorical explanation of the social, cultural, and historical contexts in which metaphors of money are produced, circulate, and fail. These essays, first presented at "After the Crash, Beyond Liquidity," a conference on money and metaphors held at the University of Virginia, USA, in October of 2009, were drafted in the wake of global uncertainty, TARP bailouts, the Great Recession, programs of stimulus and austerity, and recurrent threats of sovereign default in the EU. They question the language of liquidity and flows that is characteristic of everyday business, exposing what metaphors of money hide and explaining why the idea of liquidity has proved so durable. This book was originally published as a special issue of the Journal of Cultural Economy.

Financial Derivatives

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470499109
Total Pages : 624 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (74 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Derivatives by : Rob Quail

Download or read book Financial Derivatives written by Rob Quail and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2009-11-02 with total page 624 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Essential insights on the various aspects of financial derivatives If you want to understand derivatives without getting bogged down by the mathematics surrounding their pricing and valuation, Financial Derivatives is the book for you. Through in-depth insights gleaned from years of financial experience, Robert Kolb and James Overdahl clearly explain what derivatives are and how you can prudently use them within the context of your underlying business activities. Financial Derivatives introduces you to the wide range of markets for financial derivatives. This invaluable guide offers a broad overview of the different types of derivatives-futures, options, swaps, and structured products-while focusing on the principles that determine market prices. This comprehensive resource also provides a thorough introduction to financial derivatives and their importance to risk management in a corporate setting. Filled with helpful tables and charts, Financial Derivatives offers a wealth of knowledge on futures, options, swaps, financial engineering, and structured products. Discusses what derivatives are and how you can prudently implement them within the context of your underlying business activities Provides thorough coverage of financial derivatives and their role in risk management Explores financial derivatives without getting bogged down by the mathematics surrounding their pricing and valuation This informative guide will help you unlock the incredible potential of financial derivatives.

Liquidity and Crises

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Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN 13 : 0195390717
Total Pages : 719 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (953 download)

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Book Synopsis Liquidity and Crises by : Franklin Allen

Download or read book Liquidity and Crises written by Franklin Allen and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 2011-02-03 with total page 719 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: One important cause of the 2007-2009 crisis was illiquidity combined with exposure of many financial institutions to liquidity needs. But what is liquidity and why is it so important for financial institutions to command enough liquidity? This book brings together classic articles and recent contributions to this important field.

Platinum Essays in the Philosophy of Applied Economics of Development

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Publisher : AuthorHouse
ISBN 13 : 1463443692
Total Pages : 452 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (634 download)

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Book Synopsis Platinum Essays in the Philosophy of Applied Economics of Development by : Herbert Onye Orji

Download or read book Platinum Essays in the Philosophy of Applied Economics of Development written by Herbert Onye Orji and published by AuthorHouse. This book was released on 2011-09 with total page 452 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book, Platinum Essays In The Philosophy Of Applied Economics Of Development, is a collection of interrelated and interconnected essays on applied economics of development with underlying philosophy contents. The topic and areas of coverage were carefully chosen to comprehensively reflect a mandatory range of issues, germane to the understanding, teaching, research, publication and practice of applied economics of development, particularly in medium-to low income emerging markets. There are twenty one chapters each with a topic of major developmental significance in applied economics. Based on the clear and lucid underlying philosophical statements, the broad scope of the applied definitions, analytical and descriptive review of relevant modern and dated literatures, germane to the discourse, observations, recommendations, conclusions and range of ease or otherwise of policy implementations, the key objectives of the book have been achieved.

Essays on Financial Stability

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 132 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (121 download)

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Book Synopsis Essays on Financial Stability by : John F. Chant

Download or read book Essays on Financial Stability written by John F. Chant and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 132 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Theory and Practice of Financial Stability

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 62 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (321 download)

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Book Synopsis The Theory and Practice of Financial Stability by : Andrew Crockett

Download or read book The Theory and Practice of Financial Stability written by Andrew Crockett and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 62 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Financial Crisis Inquiry Report

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Author :
Publisher : Cosimo, Inc.
ISBN 13 : 1616405414
Total Pages : 692 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (164 download)

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Book Synopsis The Financial Crisis Inquiry Report by : Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission

Download or read book The Financial Crisis Inquiry Report written by Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission and published by Cosimo, Inc.. This book was released on 2011-05-01 with total page 692 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Financial Crisis Inquiry Report, published by the U.S. Government and the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission in early 2011, is the official government report on the United States financial collapse and the review of major financial institutions that bankrupted and failed, or would have without help from the government. The commission and the report were implemented after Congress passed an act in 2009 to review and prevent fraudulent activity. The report details, among other things, the periods before, during, and after the crisis, what led up to it, and analyses of subprime mortgage lending, credit expansion and banking policies, the collapse of companies like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and the federal bailouts of Lehman and AIG. It also discusses the aftermath of the fallout and our current state. This report should be of interest to anyone concerned about the financial situation in the U.S. and around the world.THE FINANCIAL CRISIS INQUIRY COMMISSION is an independent, bi-partisan, government-appointed panel of 10 people that was created to "examine the causes, domestic and global, of the current financial and economic crisis in the United States." It was established as part of the Fraud Enforcement and Recovery Act of 2009. The commission consisted of private citizens with expertise in economics and finance, banking, housing, market regulation, and consumer protection. They examined and reported on "the collapse of major financial institutions that failed or would have failed if not for exceptional assistance from the government."News Dissector DANNY SCHECHTER is a journalist, blogger and filmmaker. He has been reporting on economic crises since the 1980's when he was with ABC News. His film In Debt We Trust warned of the economic meltdown in 2006. He has since written three books on the subject including Plunder: Investigating Our Economic Calamity (Cosimo Books, 2008), and The Crime Of Our Time: Why Wall Street Is Not Too Big to Jail (Disinfo Books, 2011), a companion to his latest film Plunder The Crime Of Our Time. He can be reached online at www.newsdissector.com.