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Essays In Forecast Evaluation
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Book Synopsis Essays in Econometrics by : Clive W. J. Granger
Download or read book Essays in Econometrics written by Clive W. J. Granger and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2001-07-23 with total page 400 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: These are econometrician Clive W. J. Granger's major essays in causality, integration, cointegration, and long memory.
Book Synopsis Essays in Honor of Joon Y. Park by : Yoosoon Chang
Download or read book Essays in Honor of Joon Y. Park written by Yoosoon Chang and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2023-04-24 with total page 382 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Volumes 45a and 45b of Advances in Econometrics honor Professor Joon Y. Park, who has made numerous and substantive contributions to the field of econometrics over a career spanning four decades since the 1980s and counting.
Book Synopsis Essays in Honor of M. Hashem Pesaran by : Alexander Chudik
Download or read book Essays in Honor of M. Hashem Pesaran written by Alexander Chudik and published by Emerald Group Publishing. This book was released on 2022-01-18 with total page 316 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The collection of chapters in Volume 43 Part A of Advances in Econometrics serves as a tribute to one of the most innovative, influential, and productive econometricians of his generation, Professor M. Hashem Pesaran.
Book Synopsis Essays in Nonlinear Time Series Econometrics by : Niels Haldrup
Download or read book Essays in Nonlinear Time Series Econometrics written by Niels Haldrup and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2014-06-26 with total page 393 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This edited collection concerns nonlinear economic relations that involve time. It is divided into four broad themes that all reflect the work and methodology of Professor Timo Teräsvirta, one of the leading scholars in the field of nonlinear time series econometrics. The themes are: Testing for linearity and functional form, specification testing and estimation of nonlinear time series models in the form of smooth transition models, model selection and econometric methodology, and finally applications within the area of financial econometrics. All these research fields include contributions that represent state of the art in econometrics such as testing for neglected nonlinearity in neural network models, time-varying GARCH and smooth transition models, STAR models and common factors in volatility modeling, semi-automatic general to specific model selection for nonlinear dynamic models, high-dimensional data analysis for parametric and semi-parametric regression models with dependent data, commodity price modeling, financial analysts earnings forecasts based on asymmetric loss function, local Gaussian correlation and dependence for asymmetric return dependence, and the use of bootstrap aggregation to improve forecast accuracy. Each chapter represents original scholarly work, and reflects the intellectual impact that Timo Teräsvirta has had and will continue to have, on the profession.
Book Synopsis Essays in Forecast Evaluation by : Raffaella Giacomini
Download or read book Essays in Forecast Evaluation written by Raffaella Giacomini and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 296 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Two Essays on Econometric Forecasting with an Econometric Model by : A. C. Fenwick
Download or read book Two Essays on Econometric Forecasting with an Econometric Model written by A. C. Fenwick and published by . This book was released on 1974 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Understanding Economic Forecasts by : David F. Hendry
Download or read book Understanding Economic Forecasts written by David F. Hendry and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2003 with total page 236 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How to interpret and evaluate economic forecasts and the uncertainties inherent in them.
Book Synopsis Handbook of Economic Forecasting by : Graham Elliott
Download or read book Handbook of Economic Forecasting written by Graham Elliott and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2013-08-23 with total page 667 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The highly prized ability to make financial plans with some certainty about the future comes from the core fields of economics. In recent years the availability of more data, analytical tools of greater precision, and ex post studies of business decisions have increased demand for information about economic forecasting. Volumes 2A and 2B, which follows Nobel laureate Clive Granger's Volume 1 (2006), concentrate on two major subjects. Volume 2A covers innovations in methodologies, specifically macroforecasting and forecasting financial variables. Volume 2B investigates commercial applications, with sections on forecasters' objectives and methodologies. Experts provide surveys of a large range of literature scattered across applied and theoretical statistics journals as well as econometrics and empirical economics journals. The Handbook of Economic Forecasting Volumes 2A and 2B provide a unique compilation of chapters giving a coherent overview of forecasting theory and applications in one place and with up-to-date accounts of all major conceptual issues. - Focuses on innovation in economic forecasting via industry applications - Presents coherent summaries of subjects in economic forecasting that stretch from methodologies to applications - Makes details about economic forecasting accessible to scholars in fields outside economics
Book Synopsis Evaluating Policy Regimes by : Ralph Bryant
Download or read book Evaluating Policy Regimes written by Ralph Bryant and published by Brookings Institution Press. This book was released on 2010-12-01 with total page 1028 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economists have long debated the theoretical merits—for an individual nation and for a multi-nation world economy—of alternative approaches to the conduct of economic policy. Yet theory alone cannot resolve the important issues at stake. Only after the robustness of policy regimes has been carefully examined with empirical evidence will policymakers and economists be able to reach more of a consensus. This pathbreaking volume takes major steps forward in meeting the need for a combination of theoretical and empirical evaluations of alternative policy regimes. Bringing together individuals and groups doing pioneering research on macroeconomic interaction, it explores what approach to monetary policy would lead to superior performance by individual national economies and the world economy as a whole. Many parts of the book use the analytical techniques of stochastic simulation, an evaluation procedure increasingly employed at the frontier of empirical economic analysis. The book provides a summary of the hey issues involved in evaluating policy regimes and clarifies the relationships among those issues. The authors examine the stabilization properties of alternative monetary-policy regimes and analyze how well various regime types perform in the face of unexpected shocks to national economies. Among their conclusions, they find that some simplified regimes for monetary policy are markedly less promising than others for achieving the stabilization objectives commonly sought by policymakers. Evaluating Policy Regimes is another major installment in a continuing world wide research project, sponsored by the Brookings Institution, to improve empirical knowledge about the interdependence of national economies.
Book Synopsis Minding the Weather by : Robert R. Hoffman
Download or read book Minding the Weather written by Robert R. Hoffman and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2017-08-11 with total page 502 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A detailed study of research on the psychology of expertise in weather forecasting, drawing on findings in cognitive science, meteorology, and computer science. This book argues that the human cognition system is the least understood, yet probably most important, component of forecasting accuracy. Minding the Weather investigates how people acquire massive and highly organized knowledge and develop the reasoning skills and strategies that enable them to achieve the highest levels of performance. The authors consider such topics as the forecasting workplace; atmospheric scientists' descriptions of their reasoning strategies; the nature of expertise; forecaster knowledge, perceptual skills, and reasoning; and expert systems designed to imitate forecaster reasoning. Drawing on research in cognitive science, meteorology, and computer science, the authors argue that forecasting involves an interdependence of humans and technologies. Human expertise will always be necessary.
Book Synopsis Forecast Verification by : Ian T. Jolliffe
Download or read book Forecast Verification written by Ian T. Jolliffe and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2003-08-01 with total page 257 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This handy reference introduces the subject of forecastverification and provides a review of the basic concepts,discussing different types of data that may be forecast. Each chapter covers a different type of predicted quantity(predictand), then looks at some of the relationships betweeneconomic value and skill scores, before moving on to review the keyconcepts and summarise aspects of forecast verification thatreceive the most attention in other disciplines. The book concludes with a discussion on the most importanttopics in the field that are the subject of current research orthat would benefit from future research. An easy to read guide of current techniques with real life casestudies An up-to-date and practical introduction to the differenttechniques and an examination of their strengths andweaknesses Practical advice given by some of the world?s leadingforecasting experts Case studies and illustrations of actual verification and itsinterpretation Comprehensive glossary and consistent statistical andmathematical definition of commonly used terms
Book Synopsis Designing Effective Instruction by : Gary R. Morrison
Download or read book Designing Effective Instruction written by Gary R. Morrison and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2019-03-19 with total page 512 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A guide to the information and practical skills for successful instructional design, revised and updated The updated eighth edition of Designing Effective Instruction offers educators an essential guide for designing effective and efficient instruction that is exciting and interesting. The flexible model presented is based on research from many different disciplines. The authors—noted experts on the topic—draw on recent research that incorporates both behavioral and cognitive approaches into the model. The eighth edition highlights the fundamentals of instructional design that can help students develop a solid foundation in the design process. These basic skills can be adapted to a wide variety of settings, such as multimedia, classroom, business, health care, higher education, and distance-education instruction. This new edition has been revised to include information on the most recent research and trends. The book also contains a new section on the topic of lean instructional design. This new section discusses strategies to reduce time and resources for each step of the process. This important guide: Offers a review of the basic skills needed to create effective instruction Includes various features to stimulate thinking and provides additional explanations Provides a real-world scenario in every chapter Presents exercises to test skills and knowledge Contains a quality management section to help conduct a quick quality check of the design project Written for instructional designers in business, military, medical, and government settings as well as to those in higher education and P–12 classrooms, Designing Effective Instruction is the proven resource for designing quality instruction that can motivate participants.
Book Synopsis Forecasting Volatility in the Financial Markets by : Stephen Satchell
Download or read book Forecasting Volatility in the Financial Markets written by Stephen Satchell and published by Elsevier. This book was released on 2002-08-22 with total page 417 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 'Forecasting Volatility in the Financial Markets' assumes that the reader has a firm grounding in the key principles and methods of understanding volatility measurement and builds on that knowledge to detail cutting edge modelling and forecasting techniques. It then uses a technical survey to explain the different ways to measure risk and define the different models of volatility and return.The editors have brought together a set of contributors that give the reader a firm grounding in relevant theory and research and an insight into the cutting edge techniques applied in this field of the financial markets.This book is of particular relevance to anyone who wants to understand dynamic areas of the financial markets.* Traders will profit by learning to arbitrage opportunities and modify their strategies to account for volatility.* Investment managers will be able to enhance their asset allocation strategies with an improved understanding of likely risks and returns.* Risk managers will understand how to improve their measurement systems and forecasts, enhancing their risk management models and controls.* Derivative specialists will gain an in-depth understanding of volatility that they can use to improve their pricing models.* Students and academics will find the collection of papers an invaluable overview of this field.This book is of particular relevance to those wanting to understand the dynamic areas of volatility modeling and forecasting of the financial marketsProvides the latest research and techniques for Traders, Investment Managers, Risk Managers and Derivative Specialists wishing to manage their downside risk exposure Current research on the key forecasting methods to use in risk management, including two new chapters
Book Synopsis Valuation of Equity Securities by : Geoffrey Poitras
Download or read book Valuation of Equity Securities written by Geoffrey Poitras and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2010-06-30 with total page 765 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Provides a treatment of academic and practitioner approaches to equity security valuation. This book challenges conventional academic wisdom surrounding the ergodic properties of stochastic processes, guided by historical and philosophical insights. It presents the implications of a general stochastic interpretation of equity security valuation.
Book Synopsis Axelrod & Cooper's Concise Guide to Writing by : Rise B. Axelrod
Download or read book Axelrod & Cooper's Concise Guide to Writing written by Rise B. Axelrod and published by Macmillan. This book was released on 2011-10-19 with total page 595 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Adapted from the best-selling St. Martin’s Guide to Writing, Axelrod and Cooper’s Concise Guide to Writing provides streamlined versions of the chapters covering six of the most commonly assigned genres in the first-year writing course — remembering events, writing profiles, explaining concepts, arguing a position, proposing a solution, and justifying an evaluation. The careful integration of well-chosen readings with guided writing instruction in these chapters is complemented by coverage of strategies for reading, writing, and research in brief-but-complete chapters at the end of the book. Read the preface.
Book Synopsis The St. Martin's Guide to Writing by : Rise B. Axelrod
Download or read book The St. Martin's Guide to Writing written by Rise B. Axelrod and published by Macmillan. This book was released on 2010-01-26 with total page 1093 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This textbook provides instruction in college level rhetoric and writing. It offers readings, a research manual, a handbook and supports a range of approaches to teaching and learning, including collaboration, visual rhetoric, personal writing, writing about literature, writing in the community and the workplace, field research, portfolios, oral presentations, essay exams, and ESL. It contains step-by-step guides to writing specific kinds of essays -- remembering events, writing profiles, explaining a concept, finding common ground, arguing a position, proposing a solution, justifying an evaluation, speculating about causes, and interpreting stories. Because so much college writing requires strong argumentation skills, four of the assignment chapters focus on argumentative writing, and a separate strategies chapter covers theses, reasons and support, counterarguments, and logical fallacies. Three full chapters on research give students useful strategies not only for conducting field, library, and Internet research, but also for evaluating sources; deciding whether to quote, paraphrase, or summarize; avoiding plagiarism; and documenting sources. The authors have included 39 readings by well-known authors and various "fresh" voices, including 12 students, providing well-written examples of the different types of essays and papers that students might be asked to complete.
Book Synopsis Business Forecasting by : Michael Gilliland
Download or read book Business Forecasting written by Michael Gilliland and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2021-05-11 with total page 435 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Discover the role of machine learning and artificial intelligence in business forecasting from some of the brightest minds in the field In Business Forecasting: The Emerging Role of Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning accomplished authors Michael Gilliland, Len Tashman, and Udo Sglavo deliver relevant and timely insights from some of the most important and influential authors in the field of forecasting. You'll learn about the role played by machine learning and AI in the forecasting process and discover brand-new research, case studies, and thoughtful discussions covering an array of practical topics. The book offers multiple perspectives on issues like monitoring forecast performance, forecasting process, communication and accountability for forecasts, and the use of big data in forecasting. You will find: Discussions on deep learning in forecasting, including current trends and challenges Explorations of neural network-based forecasting strategies A treatment of the future of artificial intelligence in business forecasting Analyses of forecasting methods, including modeling, selection, and monitoring In addition to the Foreword by renowned researchers Spyros Makridakis and Fotios Petropoulos, the book also includes 16 "opinion/editorial" Afterwords by a diverse range of top academics, consultants, vendors, and industry practitioners, each providing their own unique vision of the issues, current state, and future direction of business forecasting. Perfect for financial controllers, chief financial officers, business analysts, forecast analysts, and demand planners, Business Forecasting will also earn a place in the libraries of other executives and managers who seek a one-stop resource to help them critically assess and improve their own organization's forecasting efforts.
