Error and Inference

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139485369
Total Pages : 491 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (394 download)

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Book Synopsis Error and Inference by : Deborah G. Mayo

Download or read book Error and Inference written by Deborah G. Mayo and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2009-10-26 with total page 491 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Although both philosophers and scientists are interested in how to obtain reliable knowledge in the face of error, there is a gap between their perspectives that has been an obstacle to progress. By means of a series of exchanges between the editors and leaders from the philosophy of science, statistics and economics, this volume offers a cumulative introduction connecting problems of traditional philosophy of science to problems of inference in statistical and empirical modelling practice. Philosophers of science and scientific practitioners are challenged to reevaluate the assumptions of their own theories - philosophical or methodological. Practitioners may better appreciate the foundational issues around which their questions revolve and thereby become better 'applied philosophers'. Conversely, new avenues emerge for finally solving recalcitrant philosophical problems of induction, explanation and theory testing.

Statistical Inference as Severe Testing

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1108563309
Total Pages : 503 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (85 download)

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Book Synopsis Statistical Inference as Severe Testing by : Deborah G. Mayo

Download or read book Statistical Inference as Severe Testing written by Deborah G. Mayo and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2018-09-20 with total page 503 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Mounting failures of replication in social and biological sciences give a new urgency to critically appraising proposed reforms. This book pulls back the cover on disagreements between experts charged with restoring integrity to science. It denies two pervasive views of the role of probability in inference: to assign degrees of belief, and to control error rates in a long run. If statistical consumers are unaware of assumptions behind rival evidence reforms, they can't scrutinize the consequences that affect them (in personalized medicine, psychology, etc.). The book sets sail with a simple tool: if little has been done to rule out flaws in inferring a claim, then it has not passed a severe test. Many methods advocated by data experts do not stand up to severe scrutiny and are in tension with successful strategies for blocking or accounting for cherry picking and selective reporting. Through a series of excursions and exhibits, the philosophy and history of inductive inference come alive. Philosophical tools are put to work to solve problems about science and pseudoscience, induction and falsification.

Error and the Growth of Experimental Knowledge

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Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 9780226511979
Total Pages : 520 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (119 download)

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Book Synopsis Error and the Growth of Experimental Knowledge by : Deborah G. Mayo

Download or read book Error and the Growth of Experimental Knowledge written by Deborah G. Mayo and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 1996-07-15 with total page 520 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Preface1: Learning from Error 2: Ducks, Rabbits, and Normal Science: Recasting the Kuhn's-Eye View of Popper 3: The New Experimentalism and the Bayesian Way 4: Duhem, Kuhn, and Bayes 5: Models of Experimental Inquiry 6: Severe Tests and Methodological Underdetermination7: The Experimental Basis from Which to Test Hypotheses: Brownian Motion8: Severe Tests and Novel Evidence 9: Hunting and Snooping: Understanding the Neyman-Pearson Predesignationist Stance10: Why You Cannot Be Just a Little Bit Bayesian 11: Why Pearson Rejected the Neyman-Pearson (Behavioristic) Philosophy and a Note on Objectivity in Statistics12: Error Statistics and Peircean Error Correction 13: Toward an Error-Statistical Philosophy of Science ReferencesIndex Copyright © Libri GmbH. All rights reserved.

Error and Inference

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 0521180252
Total Pages : 439 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (211 download)

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Book Synopsis Error and Inference by : Deborah G. Mayo

Download or read book Error and Inference written by Deborah G. Mayo and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2011 with total page 439 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Explores the nature of error and inference, drawing on exchanges on experimental reasoning, reliability, and the objectivity of science.

Causal Inference

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Publisher : Yale University Press
ISBN 13 : 0300255888
Total Pages : 585 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis Causal Inference by : Scott Cunningham

Download or read book Causal Inference written by Scott Cunningham and published by Yale University Press. This book was released on 2021-01-26 with total page 585 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An accessible, contemporary introduction to the methods for determining cause and effect in the Social Sciences “Causation versus correlation has been the basis of arguments—economic and otherwise—since the beginning of time. Causal Inference: The Mixtape uses legit real-world examples that I found genuinely thought-provoking. It’s rare that a book prompts readers to expand their outlook; this one did for me.”—Marvin Young (Young MC) Causal inference encompasses the tools that allow social scientists to determine what causes what. In a messy world, causal inference is what helps establish the causes and effects of the actions being studied—for example, the impact (or lack thereof) of increases in the minimum wage on employment, the effects of early childhood education on incarceration later in life, or the influence on economic growth of introducing malaria nets in developing regions. Scott Cunningham introduces students and practitioners to the methods necessary to arrive at meaningful answers to the questions of causation, using a range of modeling techniques and coding instructions for both the R and the Stata programming languages.

Statistical Inference

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1040024025
Total Pages : 1746 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (4 download)

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Book Synopsis Statistical Inference by : George Casella

Download or read book Statistical Inference written by George Casella and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2024-05-23 with total page 1746 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This classic textbook builds theoretical statistics from the first principles of probability theory. Starting from the basics of probability, the authors develop the theory of statistical inference using techniques, definitions, and concepts that are statistical and natural extensions, and consequences, of previous concepts. It covers all topics from a standard inference course including: distributions, random variables, data reduction, point estimation, hypothesis testing, and interval estimation. Features The classic graduate-level textbook on statistical inference Develops elements of statistical theory from first principles of probability Written in a lucid style accessible to anyone with some background in calculus Covers all key topics of a standard course in inference Hundreds of examples throughout to aid understanding Each chapter includes an extensive set of graduated exercises Statistical Inference, Second Edition is primarily aimed at graduate students of statistics, but can be used by advanced undergraduate students majoring in statistics who have a solid mathematics background. It also stresses the more practical uses of statistical theory, being more concerned with understanding basic statistical concepts and deriving reasonable statistical procedures, while less focused on formal optimality considerations. This is a reprint of the second edition originally published by Cengage Learning, Inc. in 2001.

Errors of Reasoning. Naturalizing the Logic of Inference

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781848901148
Total Pages : 572 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (11 download)

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Book Synopsis Errors of Reasoning. Naturalizing the Logic of Inference by : John Woods

Download or read book Errors of Reasoning. Naturalizing the Logic of Inference written by John Woods and published by . This book was released on 2013-07 with total page 572 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Errors of Reasoning is the long-awaited continuation of the author's investigation of the logic of cognitive systems. The present focus is the individual human reasoner operating under the conditions and pressures of real life with capacities and resources the natural world makes available to him. The ensuing logic is thus agent-centred, goal-directed, and time-and-action oriented. It is also as psychologically real a logic as consistent with lawlike regularities of the better-developed empirical sciences of cognition. A point of departure for the book is that good reasoning is typically reasoning that does not meet the orthodox logician's requirements of either deductive validity or the sort of inductive strength sought for by the statistico-empirical sciences. A central objective here is to fashion a logic for this "third-way" reasoning. In so doing, substantial refinements are proposed for mainline treatments of nonmonotonic, defeasible, autoepistemic and default reasoning. A further departure from orthodox orientations is the eschewal of all idealizations short of those required for the descriptive adequacy of the relevant parts of empirical science. Also banned is any unearned assumption of a logic's normative authority to judge inferential behaviour as it actually occurs on the ground. The logic that emerges is therefore a naturalized logic, a proposed transformation of orthodox logics in the manner of the naturalization, more than forty years ago, of the traditional approaches to analytic epistemology. A byproduct of the transformation is the abandonment of justification as a general condition of knowledge, especially in third-way contexts. A test case for this new approach is an account of erroneous reasoning, including inferences usually judged fallacious, that outperforms its rivals in theoretical depth and empirical sensitivity. Errors of Reasoning is required reading in all research communities that seek a realistic understanding of human inference: Logic, formal and informal, AI and the other branches of cognitive science, argumentation theory, and theories of legal reasoning. Indeed the book is a standing challenge to all normatively idealized theories of assessable human performance. John Woods is Director of The Abductive Systems Group at the University of British Columbia, and was formerly the Charles S. Peirce Professor of Logic in the Group on Logic and Computation in the Department of Computer Science, King's College London. He is author of Paradox and Paraconsistency (2003) and with Dov Gabbay, of Agenda Relevance (2003) and The Reach of Abduction (2005). His pathbreaking The Logic of Fiction appeared in 1974, with a second edition by College Publications, 2009.

Information Theory, Inference and Learning Algorithms

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521642989
Total Pages : 694 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (429 download)

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Book Synopsis Information Theory, Inference and Learning Algorithms by : David J. C. MacKay

Download or read book Information Theory, Inference and Learning Algorithms written by David J. C. MacKay and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2003-09-25 with total page 694 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Information theory and inference, taught together in this exciting textbook, lie at the heart of many important areas of modern technology - communication, signal processing, data mining, machine learning, pattern recognition, computational neuroscience, bioinformatics and cryptography. The book introduces theory in tandem with applications. Information theory is taught alongside practical communication systems such as arithmetic coding for data compression and sparse-graph codes for error-correction. Inference techniques, including message-passing algorithms, Monte Carlo methods and variational approximations, are developed alongside applications to clustering, convolutional codes, independent component analysis, and neural networks. Uniquely, the book covers state-of-the-art error-correcting codes, including low-density-parity-check codes, turbo codes, and digital fountain codes - the twenty-first-century standards for satellite communications, disk drives, and data broadcast. Richly illustrated, filled with worked examples and over 400 exercises, some with detailed solutions, the book is ideal for self-learning, and for undergraduate or graduate courses. It also provides an unparalleled entry point for professionals in areas as diverse as computational biology, financial engineering and machine learning.

Statistical Inference: Testing Of Hypotheses

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Publisher : PHI Learning Pvt. Ltd.
ISBN 13 : 812033728X
Total Pages : 414 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (23 download)

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Book Synopsis Statistical Inference: Testing Of Hypotheses by : Srivastava & Srivastava

Download or read book Statistical Inference: Testing Of Hypotheses written by Srivastava & Srivastava and published by PHI Learning Pvt. Ltd.. This book was released on 2009-12 with total page 414 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: it emphasizes on J. Neyman and Egon Pearson's mathematical foundations of hypothesis testing, which is one of the finest methodologies of reaching conclusions on population parameter. Following Wald and Ferguson's approach, the book presents Neyman-Pearson theory under broader premises of decision theory resulting into simplification and generalization of results. On account of smooth mathematical development of this theory, the book outlines the main result on Lebesgue theory in abstract spaces prior to rigorous theoretical developments on most powerful (MP), uniformly most powerful (UMP) and UMP unbiased tests for different types of testing problems. Likelihood ratio tests their large sample properties to variety of testing situations and connection between confidence estimation and testing of hypothesis have been discussed in separate chapters. The book illustrates simplification of testing problems and reduction in dimensionality of class of tests resulting into existence of an optimal test through the principle of sufficiency and invariance. It concludes with rigorous theoretical developments on non-parametric tests including their optimality, asymptotic relative efficiency, consistency, and asymptotic null distribution.

Introduction to Logic

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Publisher : Courier Corporation
ISBN 13 : 0486138054
Total Pages : 340 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (861 download)

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Book Synopsis Introduction to Logic by : Patrick Suppes

Download or read book Introduction to Logic written by Patrick Suppes and published by Courier Corporation. This book was released on 2012-07-12 with total page 340 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Part I of this coherent, well-organized text deals with formal principles of inference and definition. Part II explores elementary intuitive set theory, with separate chapters on sets, relations, and functions. Ideal for undergraduates.

Computer Age Statistical Inference

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1108107958
Total Pages : 496 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (81 download)

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Book Synopsis Computer Age Statistical Inference by : Bradley Efron

Download or read book Computer Age Statistical Inference written by Bradley Efron and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2016-07-21 with total page 496 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The twenty-first century has seen a breathtaking expansion of statistical methodology, both in scope and in influence. 'Big data', 'data science', and 'machine learning' have become familiar terms in the news, as statistical methods are brought to bear upon the enormous data sets of modern science and commerce. How did we get here? And where are we going? This book takes us on an exhilarating journey through the revolution in data analysis following the introduction of electronic computation in the 1950s. Beginning with classical inferential theories - Bayesian, frequentist, Fisherian - individual chapters take up a series of influential topics: survival analysis, logistic regression, empirical Bayes, the jackknife and bootstrap, random forests, neural networks, Markov chain Monte Carlo, inference after model selection, and dozens more. The distinctly modern approach integrates methodology and algorithms with statistical inference. The book ends with speculation on the future direction of statistics and data science.

The Book of Why

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Publisher : Basic Books
ISBN 13 : 0465097618
Total Pages : 432 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (65 download)

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Book Synopsis The Book of Why by : Judea Pearl

Download or read book The Book of Why written by Judea Pearl and published by Basic Books. This book was released on 2018-05-15 with total page 432 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A Turing Award-winning computer scientist and statistician shows how understanding causality has revolutionized science and will revolutionize artificial intelligence "Correlation is not causation." This mantra, chanted by scientists for more than a century, has led to a virtual prohibition on causal talk. Today, that taboo is dead. The causal revolution, instigated by Judea Pearl and his colleagues, has cut through a century of confusion and established causality -- the study of cause and effect -- on a firm scientific basis. His work explains how we can know easy things, like whether it was rain or a sprinkler that made a sidewalk wet; and how to answer hard questions, like whether a drug cured an illness. Pearl's work enables us to know not just whether one thing causes another: it lets us explore the world that is and the worlds that could have been. It shows us the essence of human thought and key to artificial intelligence. Anyone who wants to understand either needs The Book of Why.

Causal Inference

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 9781420076165
Total Pages : 352 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (761 download)

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Book Synopsis Causal Inference by : Miquel A. Hernan

Download or read book Causal Inference written by Miquel A. Hernan and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2019-07-07 with total page 352 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The application of causal inference methods is growing exponentially in fields that deal with observational data. Written by pioneers in the field, this practical book presents an authoritative yet accessible overview of the methods and applications of causal inference. With a wide range of detailed, worked examples using real epidemiologic data as well as software for replicating the analyses, the text provides a thorough introduction to the basics of the theory for non-time-varying treatments and the generalization to complex longitudinal data.

Essentials of Statistical Inference

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780521839716
Total Pages : 240 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (397 download)

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Book Synopsis Essentials of Statistical Inference by : G. A. Young

Download or read book Essentials of Statistical Inference written by G. A. Young and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2005-07-25 with total page 240 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Aimed at advanced undergraduates and graduate students in mathematics and related disciplines, this engaging textbook gives a concise account of the main approaches to inference, with particular emphasis on the contrasts between them. It is the first textbook to synthesize contemporary material on computational topics with basic mathematical theory.

Computer Age Statistical Inference, Student Edition

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1108915876
Total Pages : 514 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (89 download)

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Book Synopsis Computer Age Statistical Inference, Student Edition by : Bradley Efron

Download or read book Computer Age Statistical Inference, Student Edition written by Bradley Efron and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2021-06-17 with total page 514 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The twenty-first century has seen a breathtaking expansion of statistical methodology, both in scope and influence. 'Data science' and 'machine learning' have become familiar terms in the news, as statistical methods are brought to bear upon the enormous data sets of modern science and commerce. How did we get here? And where are we going? How does it all fit together? Now in paperback and fortified with exercises, this book delivers a concentrated course in modern statistical thinking. Beginning with classical inferential theories - Bayesian, frequentist, Fisherian - individual chapters take up a series of influential topics: survival analysis, logistic regression, empirical Bayes, the jackknife and bootstrap, random forests, neural networks, Markov Chain Monte Carlo, inference after model selection, and dozens more. The distinctly modern approach integrates methodology and algorithms with statistical inference. Each chapter ends with class-tested exercises, and the book concludes with speculation on the future direction of statistics and data science.

Principles of Statistical Inference

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139459139
Total Pages : 227 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (394 download)

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Book Synopsis Principles of Statistical Inference by : D. R. Cox

Download or read book Principles of Statistical Inference written by D. R. Cox and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2006-08-10 with total page 227 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this definitive book, D. R. Cox gives a comprehensive and balanced appraisal of statistical inference. He develops the key concepts, describing and comparing the main ideas and controversies over foundational issues that have been keenly argued for more than two-hundred years. Continuing a sixty-year career of major contributions to statistical thought, no one is better placed to give this much-needed account of the field. An appendix gives a more personal assessment of the merits of different ideas. The content ranges from the traditional to the contemporary. While specific applications are not treated, the book is strongly motivated by applications across the sciences and associated technologies. The mathematics is kept as elementary as feasible, though previous knowledge of statistics is assumed. The book will be valued by every user or student of statistics who is serious about understanding the uncertainty inherent in conclusions from statistical analyses.

Handbook of Measurement Error Models

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Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1351588591
Total Pages : 648 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (515 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Measurement Error Models by : Grace Y. Yi

Download or read book Handbook of Measurement Error Models written by Grace Y. Yi and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2021-09-28 with total page 648 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Measurement error arises ubiquitously in applications and has been of long-standing concern in a variety of fields, including medical research, epidemiological studies, economics, environmental studies, and survey research. While several research monographs are available to summarize methods and strategies of handling different measurement error problems, research in this area continues to attract extensive attention. The Handbook of Measurement Error Models provides overviews of various topics on measurement error problems. It collects carefully edited chapters concerning issues of measurement error and evolving statistical methods, with a good balance of methodology and applications. It is prepared for readers who wish to start research and gain insights into challenges, methods, and applications related to error-prone data. It also serves as a reference text on statistical methods and applications pertinent to measurement error models, for researchers and data analysts alike. Features: Provides an account of past development and modern advancement concerning measurement error problems Highlights the challenges induced by error-contaminated data Introduces off-the-shelf methods for mitigating deleterious impacts of measurement error Describes state-of-the-art strategies for conducting in-depth research