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Dynamic Programming And Bayesian Inference
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Book Synopsis Dynamic Programming and Bayesian Inference by : Mohammad Saber Fallah Nezhad
Download or read book Dynamic Programming and Bayesian Inference written by Mohammad Saber Fallah Nezhad and published by BoD – Books on Demand. This book was released on 2014-04-29 with total page 168 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Dynamic programming and Bayesian inference have been both intensively and extensively developed during recent years. Because of these developments, interest in dynamic programming and Bayesian inference and their applications has greatly increased at all mathematical levels. The purpose of this book is to provide some applications of Bayesian optimization and dynamic programming.
Book Synopsis Dynamic Programming and Bayesian Inference, Concepts and Applications by : Brygida Cullen
Download or read book Dynamic Programming and Bayesian Inference, Concepts and Applications written by Brygida Cullen and published by . This book was released on 2016-04 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A dynamic programming (DP) is an algorithmic technique which is usually based on a recurrent formula and one (or some) starting states. A subsolution of the problem is constructed from previously found ones. Dynamic programming solutions have a polynomial complexity which assures a much faster running time than other techniques like backtracking, brute-force etc. Dynamic programming is both a mathematical optimization method and a computer programming method. In both contexts it refers to simplifying a complicated problem by breaking it down into simpler sub-problems in a recursive manner. While some decision problems cannot be taken apart this way, decisions that span several points in time do often break apart recursively. Bayesian inference is a method of statistical inference in which Bayes' theorem is used to update the probability for a hypothesis as more evidence or information becomes available. Dynamic programming algorithms are applied for optimization. A dynamic programming algorithm will inspect the previously solved sub-problems and will combine their solutions to give the best solution for the given problem. The alternatives are many, such as using a greedy algorithm, which picks the locally optimal choice at each branch in the road. The locally optimal choice may be a poor choice for the overall solution. While a greedy algorithm does not guarantee an optimal solution, it is often faster to calculate. Fortunately, some greedy algorithms are proven to lead to the optimal solution. Dynamic programming and Bayesian inference have been both intensively and extensively advanced in the course of recent years. As a consequence of these developments, interest in dynamic programming and Bayesian inference and their applications has greatly increased at all mathematical levels. This book, Dynamic programming and Bayesian inference, Concepts and Applications, is intended to provide some applications of Bayesian optimization and dynamic programming. This book presents a wide-ranging and demanding dealing of dynamic programming.
Book Synopsis Using Dynamic Programming Based on Bayesian Inference in Selection Problems by : Mohammad Saber Fallah
Download or read book Using Dynamic Programming Based on Bayesian Inference in Selection Problems written by Mohammad Saber Fallah and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using Dynamic Programming Based on Bayesian Inference in Selection Problems.
Book Synopsis Simulation-based Inference in Econometrics by : Roberto Mariano
Download or read book Simulation-based Inference in Econometrics written by Roberto Mariano and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2000-07-20 with total page 488 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This substantial volume has two principal objectives. First it provides an overview of the statistical foundations of Simulation-based inference. This includes the summary and synthesis of the many concepts and results extant in the theoretical literature, the different classes of problems and estimators, the asymptotic properties of these estimators, as well as descriptions of the different simulators in use. Second, the volume provides empirical and operational examples of SBI methods. Often what is missing, even in existing applied papers, are operational issues. Which simulator works best for which problem and why? This volume will explicitly address the important numerical and computational issues in SBI which are not covered comprehensively in the existing literature. Examples of such issues are: comparisons with existing tractable methods, number of replications needed for robust results, choice of instruments, simulation noise and bias as well as efficiency loss in practice.
Book Synopsis Bayesian Programming by : Pierre Bessiere
Download or read book Bayesian Programming written by Pierre Bessiere and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2013-12-20 with total page 386 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Probability as an Alternative to Boolean Logic While logic is the mathematical foundation of rational reasoning and the fundamental principle of computing, it is restricted to problems where information is both complete and certain. However, many real-world problems, from financial investments to email filtering, are incomplete or uncertain in nature. Probability theory and Bayesian computing together provide an alternative framework to deal with incomplete and uncertain data. Decision-Making Tools and Methods for Incomplete and Uncertain Data Emphasizing probability as an alternative to Boolean logic, Bayesian Programming covers new methods to build probabilistic programs for real-world applications. Written by the team who designed and implemented an efficient probabilistic inference engine to interpret Bayesian programs, the book offers many Python examples that are also available on a supplementary website together with an interpreter that allows readers to experiment with this new approach to programming. Principles and Modeling Only requiring a basic foundation in mathematics, the first two parts of the book present a new methodology for building subjective probabilistic models. The authors introduce the principles of Bayesian programming and discuss good practices for probabilistic modeling. Numerous simple examples highlight the application of Bayesian modeling in different fields. Formalism and Algorithms The third part synthesizes existing work on Bayesian inference algorithms since an efficient Bayesian inference engine is needed to automate the probabilistic calculus in Bayesian programs. Many bibliographic references are included for readers who would like more details on the formalism of Bayesian programming, the main probabilistic models, general purpose algorithms for Bayesian inference, and learning problems. FAQs Along with a glossary, the fourth part contains answers to frequently asked questions. The authors compare Bayesian programming and possibility theories, discuss the computational complexity of Bayesian inference, cover the irreducibility of incompleteness, and address the subjectivist versus objectivist epistemology of probability. The First Steps toward a Bayesian Computer A new modeling methodology, new inference algorithms, new programming languages, and new hardware are all needed to create a complete Bayesian computing framework. Focusing on the methodology and algorithms, this book describes the first steps toward reaching that goal. It encourages readers to explore emerging areas, such as bio-inspired computing, and develop new programming languages and hardware architectures.
Book Synopsis Bayesian Methods for Hackers by : Cameron Davidson-Pilon
Download or read book Bayesian Methods for Hackers written by Cameron Davidson-Pilon and published by Addison-Wesley Professional. This book was released on 2015-09-30 with total page 551 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Master Bayesian Inference through Practical Examples and Computation–Without Advanced Mathematical Analysis Bayesian methods of inference are deeply natural and extremely powerful. However, most discussions of Bayesian inference rely on intensely complex mathematical analyses and artificial examples, making it inaccessible to anyone without a strong mathematical background. Now, though, Cameron Davidson-Pilon introduces Bayesian inference from a computational perspective, bridging theory to practice–freeing you to get results using computing power. Bayesian Methods for Hackers illuminates Bayesian inference through probabilistic programming with the powerful PyMC language and the closely related Python tools NumPy, SciPy, and Matplotlib. Using this approach, you can reach effective solutions in small increments, without extensive mathematical intervention. Davidson-Pilon begins by introducing the concepts underlying Bayesian inference, comparing it with other techniques and guiding you through building and training your first Bayesian model. Next, he introduces PyMC through a series of detailed examples and intuitive explanations that have been refined after extensive user feedback. You’ll learn how to use the Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithm, choose appropriate sample sizes and priors, work with loss functions, and apply Bayesian inference in domains ranging from finance to marketing. Once you’ve mastered these techniques, you’ll constantly turn to this guide for the working PyMC code you need to jumpstart future projects. Coverage includes • Learning the Bayesian “state of mind” and its practical implications • Understanding how computers perform Bayesian inference • Using the PyMC Python library to program Bayesian analyses • Building and debugging models with PyMC • Testing your model’s “goodness of fit” • Opening the “black box” of the Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithm to see how and why it works • Leveraging the power of the “Law of Large Numbers” • Mastering key concepts, such as clustering, convergence, autocorrelation, and thinning • Using loss functions to measure an estimate’s weaknesses based on your goals and desired outcomes • Selecting appropriate priors and understanding how their influence changes with dataset size • Overcoming the “exploration versus exploitation” dilemma: deciding when “pretty good” is good enough • Using Bayesian inference to improve A/B testing • Solving data science problems when only small amounts of data are available Cameron Davidson-Pilon has worked in many areas of applied mathematics, from the evolutionary dynamics of genes and diseases to stochastic modeling of financial prices. His contributions to the open source community include lifelines, an implementation of survival analysis in Python. Educated at the University of Waterloo and at the Independent University of Moscow, he currently works with the online commerce leader Shopify.
Download or read book Social Sciences written by and published by Ardent Media. This book was released on with total page 16 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Bayesian Inference by : Javier Prieto Tejedor
Download or read book Bayesian Inference written by Javier Prieto Tejedor and published by BoD – Books on Demand. This book was released on 2017-11-02 with total page 379 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The range of Bayesian inference algorithms and their different applications has been greatly expanded since the first implementation of a Kalman filter by Stanley F. Schmidt for the Apollo program. Extended Kalman filters or particle filters are just some examples of these algorithms that have been extensively applied to logistics, medical services, search and rescue operations, or automotive safety, among others. This book takes a look at both theoretical foundations of Bayesian inference and practical implementations in different fields. It is intended as an introductory guide for the application of Bayesian inference in the fields of life sciences, engineering, and economics, as well as a source document of fundamentals for intermediate Bayesian readers.
Book Synopsis Continuity of Posterior Revision and Bayesian Dynamic Programming by : Mark Feldman
Download or read book Continuity of Posterior Revision and Bayesian Dynamic Programming written by Mark Feldman and published by . This book was released on 1991 with total page 12 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Bayesian Inference on Complicated Data by : Niansheng Tang
Download or read book Bayesian Inference on Complicated Data written by Niansheng Tang and published by BoD – Books on Demand. This book was released on 2020-07-15 with total page 120 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Due to great applications in various fields, such as social science, biomedicine, genomics, and signal processing, and the improvement of computing ability, Bayesian inference has made substantial developments for analyzing complicated data. This book introduces key ideas of Bayesian sampling methods, Bayesian estimation, and selection of the prior. It is structured around topics on the impact of the choice of the prior on Bayesian statistics, some advances on Bayesian sampling methods, and Bayesian inference for complicated data including breast cancer data, cloud-based healthcare data, gene network data, and longitudinal data. This volume is designed for statisticians, engineers, doctors, and machine learning researchers.
Book Synopsis Bayesian Analysis in Natural Language Processing by : Shay Cohen
Download or read book Bayesian Analysis in Natural Language Processing written by Shay Cohen and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2022-11-10 with total page 266 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Natural language processing (NLP) went through a profound transformation in the mid-1980s when it shifted to make heavy use of corpora and data-driven techniques to analyze language. Since then, the use of statistical techniques in NLP has evolved in several ways. One such example of evolution took place in the late 1990s or early 2000s, when full-fledged Bayesian machinery was introduced to NLP. This Bayesian approach to NLP has come to accommodate for various shortcomings in the frequentist approach and to enrich it, especially in the unsupervised setting, where statistical learning is done without target prediction examples. We cover the methods and algorithms that are needed to fluently read Bayesian learning papers in NLP and to do research in the area. These methods and algorithms are partially borrowed from both machine learning and statistics and are partially developed "in-house" in NLP. We cover inference techniques such as Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling and variational inference, Bayesian estimation, and nonparametric modeling. We also cover fundamental concepts in Bayesian statistics such as prior distributions, conjugacy, and generative modeling. Finally, we cover some of the fundamental modeling techniques in NLP, such as grammar modeling and their use with Bayesian analysis.
Book Synopsis Recent Developments in Information and Decision Processes by : Purdue University
Download or read book Recent Developments in Information and Decision Processes written by Purdue University and published by New York, Macmillan. This book was released on 1962 with total page 216 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: “This book constitutes the proceeding of the most recent (April 12—13 1961) of a continuing series of symposia on information and decision processes held at Purdue University, where recent developments in this field are reported on by leading experts” -- Introduction.
Book Synopsis Dynamic Programming of Economic Decisions by : Martin F. Bach
Download or read book Dynamic Programming of Economic Decisions written by Martin F. Bach and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-11-11 with total page 155 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Dynamic Programming is the analysis of multistage decision in the sequential mode. It is now widely recognized as a tool of great versatility and power, and is applied to an increasing extent in all phases of economic analysis, operations research, technology, and also in mathematical theory itself. In economics and operations research its impact may someday rival that of linear programming. The importance of this field is made apparent through a growing number of publications. Foremost among these is the pioneering work of Bellman. It was he who originated the basic ideas, formulated the principle of optimality, recognized its power, coined the terminology, and developed many of the present applications. Since then mathe maticians, statisticians, operations researchers, and economists have come in, laying more rigorous foundations [KARLIN, BLACKWELL], and developing in depth such application as to the control of stochastic processes [HoWARD, JEWELL]. The field of inventory control has almost split off as an independent branch of Dynamic Programming on which a great deal of effort has been expended [ARRoW, KARLIN, SCARF], [WIDTIN] , [WAGNER]. Dynamic Programming is also playing an in creasing role in modem mathematical control theory [BELLMAN, Adap tive Control Processes (1961)]. Some of the most exciting work is going on in adaptive programming which is closely related to sequential statistical analysis, particularly in its Bayesian form. In this monograph the reader is introduced to the basic ideas of Dynamic Programming.
Book Synopsis Dynamic Bayesian Networks by : Fouad Sabry
Download or read book Dynamic Bayesian Networks written by Fouad Sabry and published by One Billion Knowledgeable. This book was released on 2023-07-01 with total page 105 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: What Is Dynamic Bayesian Networks A Bayesian network (BN) is referred to as a Dynamic Bayesian Network (DBN), which is a network that ties variables to each other throughout consecutive time steps. How You Will Benefit (I) Insights, and validations about the following topics: Chapter 1: Dynamic Bayesian Network Chapter 2: Bayesian Network Chapter 3: Hidden Markov Model Chapter 4: Graphical Model Chapter 5: Recursive Bayesian Estimation Chapter 6: Time Series Chapter 7: Statistical Relational Learning Chapter 8: Bayesian Programming Chapter 9: Switching Kalman Filter Chapter 10: Dependency Network (Graphical Model) (II) Answering the public top questions about dynamic bayesian networks. (III) Real world examples for the usage of dynamic bayesian networks in many fields. (IV) 17 appendices to explain, briefly, 266 emerging technologies in each industry to have 360-degree full understanding of dynamic bayesian networks' technologies. Who This Book Is For Professionals, undergraduate and graduate students, enthusiasts, hobbyists, and those who want to go beyond basic knowledge or information for any kind of dynamic bayesian networks.
Book Synopsis Bayesian Inference in Dynamic Econometric Models by : Luc Bauwens
Download or read book Bayesian Inference in Dynamic Econometric Models written by Luc Bauwens and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 1999 with total page 376 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Offering an up-to-date coverage of the basic principles and tools of Bayesian inference in economics, this textbook then shows how to use Bayesian methods in a range of models suited to the analysis of macroeconomic and financial time series.
Book Synopsis Bayesian Modeling and Computation in Python by : Osvaldo A. Martin
Download or read book Bayesian Modeling and Computation in Python written by Osvaldo A. Martin and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2021-12-28 with total page 420 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Bayesian Modeling and Computation in Python aims to help beginner Bayesian practitioners to become intermediate modelers. It uses a hands on approach with PyMC3, Tensorflow Probability, ArviZ and other libraries focusing on the practice of applied statistics with references to the underlying mathematical theory. The book starts with a refresher of the Bayesian Inference concepts. The second chapter introduces modern methods for Exploratory Analysis of Bayesian Models. With an understanding of these two fundamentals the subsequent chapters talk through various models including linear regressions, splines, time series, Bayesian additive regression trees. The final chapters include Approximate Bayesian Computation, end to end case studies showing how to apply Bayesian modelling in different settings, and a chapter about the internals of probabilistic programming languages. Finally the last chapter serves as a reference for the rest of the book by getting closer into mathematical aspects or by extending the discussion of certain topics. This book is written by contributors of PyMC3, ArviZ, Bambi, and Tensorflow Probability among other libraries.
Book Synopsis An Elementary Introduction to Dynamic Programming by : Brian Gluss
Download or read book An Elementary Introduction to Dynamic Programming written by Brian Gluss and published by . This book was released on 1972 with total page 434 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "When the Japanese landed at Rabaul on Friday 23 January 1942 it was the start of one of the fiercest campaigns of the war. On that day, with only a handful of badly trained troops led by inexperienced officers, with a civil administration torn with incompetence and jealousies, Australia faced its most serious threat yet. For Australia itself was one of the most important targets"--Jacket.
