Demographic Change and its Economic Consequences for USA compared to Germany

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Publisher : GRIN Verlag
ISBN 13 : 3640728688
Total Pages : 25 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (47 download)

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Book Synopsis Demographic Change and its Economic Consequences for USA compared to Germany by : Lukas Scisly

Download or read book Demographic Change and its Economic Consequences for USA compared to Germany written by Lukas Scisly and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2010-10-20 with total page 25 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Seminar paper from the year 2009 in the subject Business economics - Economic Policy, grade: 1,0, , language: English, abstract: Many countries in the world have gone through demographic transitions which have serious consequences on their economies. Examples for these are the USA and Germany. Since 1950, USA’s population has been going through a demographic transition. Although its population has experienced growth over the years, it is aging rapidly and has become more racially and ethnically diverse. Germany on the other hand, has a diminishing population with a population structure of people 65 and over, rising at a rapid rate. These demographic changes have had sig-nificant consequences for these economies and have ultimately led to policy implementations to address the issue. There are also grave concerns for the future of the economies, and the question of policy considerations for these changes. The purpose of this research paper is to examine demographic changes that have occurred over time in USA and Germany, the impact that these changes have on these economies in par-ticular the labor market and the health system and future implications of these changes. Additionally, policy considerations that have been made to address these demographic changes will be addressed. This paper seeks to investigate what current and future impacts demographic changes have on USA and Germany and how the countries counteract these impacts.

Demographic Change in Germany

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 354068137X
Total Pages : 223 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (46 download)

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Book Synopsis Demographic Change in Germany by : Ingrid Hamm

Download or read book Demographic Change in Germany written by Ingrid Hamm and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-09-27 with total page 223 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides an up-to-date summary of the consequences of demographic aging for labor markets, financial markets, economic growth, social security schemes and public finances in Germany, essentially reflecting the present state of knowledge in any of these areas. All contributions are written by leading experts in their fields and are based on results that emerge at the forefront of current research.

Demographic Change and Its Economic Consequences for USA Compared to Germany

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Publisher : GRIN Verlag
ISBN 13 : 3640729129
Total Pages : 53 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (47 download)

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Book Synopsis Demographic Change and Its Economic Consequences for USA Compared to Germany by : Lukas Scisly

Download or read book Demographic Change and Its Economic Consequences for USA Compared to Germany written by Lukas Scisly and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2010-11 with total page 53 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Seminar paper from the year 2009 in the subject Business economics - Economic Policy, grade: 1,0, language: English, abstract: Many countries in the world have gone through demographic transitions which have serious consequences on their economies. Examples for these are the USA and Germany. Since 1950, USA's population has been going through a demographic transition. Although its population has experienced growth over the years, it is aging rapidly and has become more racially and ethnically diverse. Germany on the other hand, has a diminishing population with a population structure of people 65 and over, rising at a rapid rate. These demographic changes have had sig-nificant consequences for these economies and have ultimately led to policy implementations to address the issue. There are also grave concerns for the future of the economies, and the question of policy considerations for these changes. The purpose of this research paper is to examine demographic changes that have occurred over time in USA and Germany, the impact that these changes have on these economies in par-ticular the labor market and the health system and future implications of these changes. Additionally, policy considerations that have been made to address these demographic changes will be addressed. This paper seeks to investigate what current and future impacts demographic changes have on USA and Germany and how the countries counteract these impacts.

The Demographic Dividend

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Publisher : Rand Corporation
ISBN 13 : 0833033735
Total Pages : 127 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (33 download)

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Book Synopsis The Demographic Dividend by : David Bloom

Download or read book The Demographic Dividend written by David Bloom and published by Rand Corporation. This book was released on 2003-02-13 with total page 127 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: There is long-standing debate on how population growth affects national economies. A new report from Population Matters examines the history of this debate and synthesizes current research on the topic. The authors, led by Harvard economist David Bloom, conclude that population age structure, more than size or growth per se, affects economic development, and that reducing high fertility can create opportunities for economic growth if the right kinds of educational, health, and labor-market policies are in place. The report also examines specific regions of the world and how their differing policy environments have affected the relationship between population change and economic development.

Beyond Demographics Is Destiny: Understanding Economic Mitigation Strategies for Demographic Change in China - Case Studies Germany, Japan, Russia, Fertility, Mortality, Aging Population, Labor Force

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781520148595
Total Pages : 107 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (485 download)

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Book Synopsis Beyond Demographics Is Destiny: Understanding Economic Mitigation Strategies for Demographic Change in China - Case Studies Germany, Japan, Russia, Fertility, Mortality, Aging Population, Labor Force by : U. S. Military

Download or read book Beyond Demographics Is Destiny: Understanding Economic Mitigation Strategies for Demographic Change in China - Case Studies Germany, Japan, Russia, Fertility, Mortality, Aging Population, Labor Force written by U. S. Military and published by . This book was released on 2016-12-15 with total page 107 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This excellent report has been professionally converted for accurate flowing-text e-book format reproduction. The favorable demographics that have contributed to China's rapid economic growth are changing. China's working-age population is currently peaking and within two decades its overall population will begin to shrink. In addition to a shrinking working-age population, China will see an increase in the elderly population and a rising dependency ratio. This demographic change may have an economically significant impact. If China's enormous stock of labor and low dependency ratio were key elements in its rapid economic growth, then some economists conclude that the reversal of these elements will have detrimental effects on the Chinese economy.This study examines this argument by examining how Germany, Japan, and Russia have already faced and attempted to mitigate similar demographic changes, and assesses China's potential mitigation strategies in this light. For each country, the study examines two economically significant demographic changes--decreasing working-age population and rising dependency ratio--and then examines how strategies to maximize labor force participation, increase productivity, and control old age benefits can potentially mitigate their effects. The comparison of China with Germany, Japan, and Russia leads to the conclusion that China is poorly prepared to mitigate the economic effects of its coming demographic change.This study examines this argument through five chapters.The second chapter focuses on understanding China's demographic trajectory. This is accomplished by examining population transition theory in general and assessing how China's recent demographic history fits this model. This history is broken down into two time periods: the Mao Zedong-influenced era from the founding of the People's Republic of China until the death of Mao; and the Post-Mao era, from Mao's death to the present. This review pays specific attention to the role that government policy has had in shaping China's demography. Finally, this chapter includes several of the potential economic impacts of China's demographic trajectory.The third chapter establishes the comparison case studies used to determine how well China is poised to mitigate the economic effects of demographic change. This begins by briefly reviewing the demographic and economic situation of the comparison countries: Germany, Japan, and Russia. Next, three specific economic aspects that may provide mitigation are reviewed; in maximization of potential labor, productive use of labor, and controlling the cost of elderly care.The fourth chapter compares China with the comparison case studies, seeking to understand to what extent is it likely that China will be able to emulate and benefit from similar mitigation strategies. This chapter begins with a historical look at China's economy in two periods: the economy under Mao Zedong, and the growth and reform that has occurred since his death. Then China is assessed against the comparison case studies to understand if China will be likely to benefit from similar mitigation strategies.The fifth chapter is the conclusion. This chapter reviews the findings of the three previous chapters--that China is destined for demographic change, that the economic effects of demographic change can be mitigated, and that China is currently poorly suited to mitigate its demographic change--and evaluates how China's mitigation potential might change in the future. This chapter also outlines areas where additional research could be conducted to further advance the understanding of the interaction between demographics and economics. The chapter concludes with the author's thoughts on broader implications of demographic decline.

Seismic Shifts

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 340 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (321 download)

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Book Synopsis Seismic Shifts by : Jane Sneddon Little

Download or read book Seismic Shifts written by Jane Sneddon Little and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 340 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Ageing and the German Economy

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Publisher : Verlag Bertelsmann Stiftung
ISBN 13 : 3867932735
Total Pages : 170 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (679 download)

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Book Synopsis Ageing and the German Economy by : Bertelsmann Stiftung

Download or read book Ageing and the German Economy written by Bertelsmann Stiftung and published by Verlag Bertelsmann Stiftung. This book was released on 2010-07-30 with total page 170 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Until now, most studies of how demographics and economics are linked have limited themselves to the ways that changes in a population's overall size influence economic development. As "Ageing and the German Economy" demonstrates, such undertakings have systematically underestimated the economic consequences of societal ageing. This work examines the impact that demographic shifts will have on key economic factors in Germany and 18 other countries (EU-15 member states, the US, Japan, China and India) between now and 2050. The variables examined include GDP, savings, investment and inflation. Just one finding among many is that, by 2050, ageing populations will cause GDP growth rates to be smaller than is generally anticipated.

Political Demography

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Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN 13 : 0199945969
Total Pages : 344 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (999 download)

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Book Synopsis Political Demography by : Jack A. Goldstone

Download or read book Political Demography written by Jack A. Goldstone and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 2012-08-16 with total page 344 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The field of political demography - the politics of population change - is dramatically underrepresented in political science. At a time when demographic changes - aging in the rich world, youth bulges in the developing world, ethnic and religious shifts, migration, and urbanization - are waxing as never before, this neglect is especially glaring and starkly contrasts with the enormous interest coming from policymakers and the media. "Ten years ago, [demography] was hardly on the radar screen," remarks Richard Jackson and Neil Howe of the Center for Strategic and International Studies, two contributors to this volume. "Today," they continue, "it dominates almost any discussion of America's long-term fiscal, economic, or foreign-policy direction." Demography is the most predictable of the social sciences: children born in the last five years will be the new workers, voters, soldiers, and potential insurgents of 2025 and the political elites of the 2050s. Whether in the West or the developing world, political scientists urgently need to understand the tectonics of demography in order to grasp the full context of today's political developments. This book begins to fill the gap from a global and historical perspective and with the hope that scholars and policymakers will take its insights on board to develop enlightened policies for our collective future.

Global Trends 2040

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Publisher : Cosimo Reports
ISBN 13 : 9781646794973
Total Pages : 158 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (949 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Trends 2040 by : National Intelligence Council

Download or read book Global Trends 2040 written by National Intelligence Council and published by Cosimo Reports. This book was released on 2021-03 with total page 158 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic marks the most significant, singular global disruption since World War II, with health, economic, political, and security implications that will ripple for years to come." -Global Trends 2040 (2021) Global Trends 2040-A More Contested World (2021), released by the US National Intelligence Council, is the latest report in its series of reports starting in 1997 about megatrends and the world's future. This report, strongly influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic, paints a bleak picture of the future and describes a contested, fragmented and turbulent world. It specifically discusses the four main trends that will shape tomorrow's world: - Demographics-by 2040, 1.4 billion people will be added mostly in Africa and South Asia. - Economics-increased government debt and concentrated economic power will escalate problems for the poor and middleclass. - Climate-a hotter world will increase water, food, and health insecurity. - Technology-the emergence of new technologies could both solve and cause problems for human life. Students of trends, policymakers, entrepreneurs, academics, journalists and anyone eager for a glimpse into the next decades, will find this report, with colored graphs, essential reading.

The Economics of World War I

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Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139448358
Total Pages : 363 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (394 download)

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Book Synopsis The Economics of World War I by : Stephen Broadberry

Download or read book The Economics of World War I written by Stephen Broadberry and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2005-09-29 with total page 363 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This unique volume offers a definitive new history of European economies at war from 1914 to 1918. It studies how European economies mobilised for war, how existing economic institutions stood up under the strain, how economic development influenced outcomes and how wartime experience influenced post-war economic growth. Leading international experts provide the first systematic comparison of economies at war between 1914 and 1918 based on the best available data for Britain, Germany, France, Russia, the USA, Italy, Turkey, Austria-Hungary and the Netherlands. The editors' overview draws some stark lessons about the role of economic development, the importance of markets and the damage done by nationalism and protectionism. A companion volume to the acclaimed The Economics of World War II, this is a major contribution to our understanding of total war.

Aging and the Macroeconomy

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Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309261961
Total Pages : 230 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (92 download)

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Book Synopsis Aging and the Macroeconomy by : National Research Council

Download or read book Aging and the Macroeconomy written by National Research Council and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2013-01-10 with total page 230 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The United States is in the midst of a major demographic shift. In the coming decades, people aged 65 and over will make up an increasingly large percentage of the population: The ratio of people aged 65+ to people aged 20-64 will rise by 80%. This shift is happening for two reasons: people are living longer, and many couples are choosing to have fewer children and to have those children somewhat later in life. The resulting demographic shift will present the nation with economic challenges, both to absorb the costs and to leverage the benefits of an aging population. Aging and the Macroeconomy: Long-Term Implications of an Older Population presents the fundamental factors driving the aging of the U.S. population, as well as its societal implications and likely long-term macroeconomic effects in a global context. The report finds that, while population aging does not pose an insurmountable challenge to the nation, it is imperative that sensible policies are implemented soon to allow companies and households to respond. It offers four practical approaches for preparing resources to support the future consumption of households and for adapting to the new economic landscape.

The Demographic Transition

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 656 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis The Demographic Transition by : Jean-Claude Chesnais

Download or read book The Demographic Transition written by Jean-Claude Chesnais and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 656 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Demographic transition constitutes one of the most fundamental modern historical changes; people live much longer, have fewer children, and experience higher mobility. This book examines the basic mechanisms behind the modernisation of demographic behaviour. The author has marshalled an impressive array of statistical material relating to sixty-seven countries, half of them less developed countries. Most of the tables are time-series, covering many decades and sometimes go back to the nineteenth, and even eighteenth centuries. The whole sweep of western experience is dealt with here impartially. Though technically sophisticated, the book also covers issues of interpretation and analysis. The author puts forward a number of challenging propositions: mortality decrease is shown to necessarily precede fertility and decline, so-called execptions being simply false exceptions. He shows how the decline of fertility is dependent on important and manifold social transformations. The strong connections between international migration and the course of demographic transition are demonstrated, as is the fact that less developed countries are following the same general patterns as MDCs. There is also discussion of why the theory of demographic transition must include the effect of population changes on the economic progress of society.

Impact of Demographic Changes on Inflation and the Macroeconomy

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 149839678X
Total Pages : 31 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Impact of Demographic Changes on Inflation and the Macroeconomy by : Mr.Jong-Won Yoon

Download or read book Impact of Demographic Changes on Inflation and the Macroeconomy written by Mr.Jong-Won Yoon and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-11-24 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The ongoing demographic changes will bring about a substantial shift in the size and the age composition of the population, which will have significant impact on the global economy. Despite potentially grave consequences, demographic changes usually do not take center stage in many macroeconomic policy discussions or debates. This paper illustrates how demographic variables move over time and analyzes how they influence macroeconomic variables such as economic growth, inflation, savings and investment, and fiscal balances, from an empirical perspective. Based on empirical findings—particularly regarding inflation—we discuss their implications on macroeconomic policies, including monetary policy. We also highlight the need to consider the interactions between population dynamics and macroeconomic variables in macroeconomic policy decisions.

Human Capital and Economic Growth

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Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030215997
Total Pages : 384 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (32 download)

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Book Synopsis Human Capital and Economic Growth by : Alberto Bucci

Download or read book Human Capital and Economic Growth written by Alberto Bucci and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2019-11-26 with total page 384 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This edited collection explores the links between human capital (both in the form of health and in the form of education), demographic change, and economic growth. Using empirical as well as theoretical perspectives, the authors investigate several important issues in the context of human capital, namely population ageing, inequality, public policy, and long-term economic development. Ultimately, they demonstrate that the accumulation of human capital is of crucial importance to long-run economic growth.

The Economic and Fiscal Consequences of Immigration

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Publisher : National Academies Press
ISBN 13 : 0309444454
Total Pages : 643 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (94 download)

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Book Synopsis The Economic and Fiscal Consequences of Immigration by : National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine

Download or read book The Economic and Fiscal Consequences of Immigration written by National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine and published by National Academies Press. This book was released on 2017-07-13 with total page 643 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Economic and Fiscal Consequences of Immigration finds that the long-term impact of immigration on the wages and employment of native-born workers overall is very small, and that any negative impacts are most likely to be found for prior immigrants or native-born high school dropouts. First-generation immigrants are more costly to governments than are the native-born, but the second generation are among the strongest fiscal and economic contributors in the U.S. This report concludes that immigration has an overall positive impact on long-run economic growth in the U.S. More than 40 million people living in the United States were born in other countries, and almost an equal number have at least one foreign-born parent. Together, the first generation (foreign-born) and second generation (children of the foreign-born) comprise almost one in four Americans. It comes as little surprise, then, that many U.S. residents view immigration as a major policy issue facing the nation. Not only does immigration affect the environment in which everyone lives, learns, and works, but it also interacts with nearly every policy area of concern, from jobs and the economy, education, and health care, to federal, state, and local government budgets. The changing patterns of immigration and the evolving consequences for American society, institutions, and the economy continue to fuel public policy debate that plays out at the national, state, and local levels. The Economic and Fiscal Consequences of Immigration assesses the impact of dynamic immigration processes on economic and fiscal outcomes for the United States, a major destination of world population movements. This report will be a fundamental resource for policy makers and law makers at the federal, state, and local levels but extends to the general public, nongovernmental organizations, the business community, educational institutions, and the research community.

Economic Consequences of Population Change in Industrialized Countries

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642864783
Total Pages : 428 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (428 download)

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Book Synopsis Economic Consequences of Population Change in Industrialized Countries by : G. Steinmann

Download or read book Economic Consequences of Population Change in Industrialized Countries written by G. Steinmann and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 428 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The recent experience of industrialized countries with low fer tility and persistent immigration has stimulated interest in the eco nomic effects of population change in industrial countries and has led to new research in population economics. In Germany, however, where these demographic trends were perhaps most pronounced, research on po pulation economics has lagged. During recent years more German econo mists have also turned to this topic. This upsurge in research activity motivated the organisation of an international conference entitled "Economic Consequences of Population Change in Industrialized Coun tries", which was held from June 1 to June 3, 1983 at the University of Paderborn, W. Germany. The conference was designed to discuss and assess the new theoretical and empirical research work on the effects of population change on the economy, to intensify the international cooperation and to stimulate the research in population economics in W. Germany. This volume contains 23 revised versions of the 27 papers pre sented at the conference. Although the topics of the papers are di verse, they can be grouped into six general themes: The first section, including papers by Cigno, Steinmann, and Simon, deals with models of the secular interrelationships between population change, technical progress and economic growth. The models are built upon the framework of neoclassical growth theory and are extended by the assumption that the rate of technical progress is positively linked with population growth or population density.

The Great Demographic Reversal

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Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030426572
Total Pages : 260 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (34 download)

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Book Synopsis The Great Demographic Reversal by : Charles Goodhart

Download or read book The Great Demographic Reversal written by Charles Goodhart and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-08-08 with total page 260 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This original and panoramic book proposes that the underlying forces of demography and globalisation will shortly reverse three multi-decade global trends – it will raise inflation and interest rates, but lead to a pullback in inequality. “Whatever the future holds”, the authors argue, “it will be nothing like the past”. Deflationary headwinds over the last three decades have been primarily due to an enormous surge in the world’s available labour supply, owing to very favourable demographic trends and the entry of China and Eastern Europe into the world’s trading system. This book demonstrates how these demographic trends are on the point of reversing sharply, coinciding with a retreat from globalisation. The result? Ageing can be expected to raise inflation and interest rates, bringing a slew of problems for an over-indebted world economy, but is also anticipated to increase the share of labour, so that inequality falls. Covering many social and political factors, as well as those that are more purely macroeconomic, the authors address topics including ageing, dementia, inequality, populism, retirement and debt finance, among others. This book will be of interest and understandable to anyone with an interest on where the world’s economy may be going.