The Great Deleveraging

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Author :
Publisher : FT Press
ISBN 13 : 013248126X
Total Pages : 331 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (324 download)

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Book Synopsis The Great Deleveraging by : Chip Dickson

Download or read book The Great Deleveraging written by Chip Dickson and published by FT Press. This book was released on 2010-08-11 with total page 331 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In the past decade, the United States experienced two periods of excessive growth periods followed by two massive collapses: the technology and housing bubbles. Both were caused by illusions of growth and wealth creation: They were built on thin air. As an investor, how can you distinguish between “fake” wealth and the real thing? Where can you earn solid returns without falling victim to bubbles? Read The Great Deleveraging and find out. Former Wall Street analyst, strategist and Associate Director of Equity Research Chip Dickson and leading global business scholar Oded Shenkar first identify the policies and characteristics of societies most likely to generate real economic growth and investor wealth. Next, they outline specific lessons learned about bubbles and growth from nearly a century of investment returns. Finally, they identify global markets and sectors poised for high levels of sustainable growth--and make specific investment recommendations for each of them. In the wake of massive debt creation, history’s greatest deleveraging is now underway. For many investors, the next decade will be brutal. This book’s messages are designed to achiever real profits and real wealth creation. They are meant to help you navigate a challenging environment--and, hopefully, thrive. As seen on TheStreet.com

The Age of Deleveraging

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Author :
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 0470918349
Total Pages : 548 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (79 download)

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Book Synopsis The Age of Deleveraging by : A. Gary Shilling

Download or read book The Age of Deleveraging written by A. Gary Shilling and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2010-10-12 with total page 548 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Top economist Gary Shilling shows you how to prosper in the slow-growing and deflationary times that lie ahead While many investors fear a rapid rise in inflation, author Gary Shilling, an award-winning economic forecaster, argues that the global economy is going through a long period of de-leveraging and weak growth, which makes deflation far more likely and a far greater threat to investors than inflation. Shilling explains in clear language and compelling logic why the world economy will struggle for several more years and what investors can do to protect and grow their wealth in the difficult times ahead. The investment strategies that worked for last 25 years will not work in the next 10 years. Shilling advises readers to avoid broad exposure to stocks, real estate, and commodities and to focus on high-quality bonds, high-dividend stocks, and consumer staple and food stocks. Written by one of today's best forecasters of economic trends-twice voted by Institutional Investor as Wall Street's top economist Clearly explains what to invest in, what to avoid, and how to cope with a deflationary, slow-growth economy Demonstrates how Shilling has been consistently right about major economic trends since he began forecasting in the early 1980s Filled with in-depth insights and practical advice, this timely guide lays out a convincing case for why investors need to be prepared for a long period of weak growth and deflation-not inflation-and what you can do to prosper in the difficult times ahead.

Household Deleveraging and Saving Rates: A Cross-Country Analysis

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1589064070
Total Pages : 49 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (89 download)

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Book Synopsis Household Deleveraging and Saving Rates: A Cross-Country Analysis by : Romain Bouis

Download or read book Household Deleveraging and Saving Rates: A Cross-Country Analysis written by Romain Bouis and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-10-29 with total page 49 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Historically high household debt in several economies is calling for a deleveraging, but according to some economists, this adjustment can slow GDP growth by weighing on consumption. Using a sample of advanced and emerging market economies, this paper finds evidence of a negative relationship between changes of household debt-to-income ratios and saving rates. This relationship is however asymmetric, being significant only for debt build-ups. Declining debt ratios and saving are significantly related in some economies, but the relationship is driven by consumer credit, not by mortgages. Results therefore suggest that the economic cost associated with household deleveraging may be overestimated and motivate a deleveraging via lower mortgages.

The Great Cross-Border Bank Deleveraging

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498354785
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis The Great Cross-Border Bank Deleveraging by : Mr.Eugenio Cerutti

Download or read book The Great Cross-Border Bank Deleveraging written by Mr.Eugenio Cerutti and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-09-25 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: International banks greatly reduced their direct cross-border and local affiliates’ lending as the global financial crisis strained balance sheets, lowered borrower demand, and changed government policies. Using bilateral, lender-borrower countrydata and controlling for credit demand, we show that reductions largely varied in line with markets’ prior assessments of banks’ vulnerabilities, with banks’ financial statement variables and lender-borrower country characteristics playing minor roles. We find evidence that moving resources within banking groups became more restricted as drivers of reductions in direct cross-border loans differ from those for local affiliates’ lending, especially for impaired banking systems. Home bias induced by government interventions, however, affected both equally.

The Domestic Credit Supply Response to International Bank Deleveraging

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475580916
Total Pages : 15 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis The Domestic Credit Supply Response to International Bank Deleveraging by : Mr.Shekhar Aiyar

Download or read book The Domestic Credit Supply Response to International Bank Deleveraging written by Mr.Shekhar Aiyar and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-10-26 with total page 15 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: During the global financial crisis, European banks contracted foreign claims on recipient economies sharply. This paper examines the impact of that deleveraging on credit supply in recipient economies, with a particular focus on Asia. Identification is achieved by exploiting heterogeneity in ex-ante patterns of funding reliance on different European banking systems, and in variation in the ratio of local claims in local currency to total foreign claims in recipient economies. These sources of variation are used to create instruments for the deleveraging shock. We find that the contraction in European bank foreign claims was associated with a substantial reduction in domestic credit supply in a broad sample of countries. However, the credit supply response in Asia was only about half the size of the response in non-Asian countries, possibly due to a more robust policy response and healthier local bank balance sheets at the outset of the crisis.

Private Sector Deleveraging and Growth Following Busts

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498307922
Total Pages : 37 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Private Sector Deleveraging and Growth Following Busts by : Ms.Sally Chen

Download or read book Private Sector Deleveraging and Growth Following Busts written by Ms.Sally Chen and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-02-23 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Balance sheet recessions have been a drag on activity after the Global Financial Crisis, underscoring the important role of balance sheet adjustment for resuming sustained growth. In this paper we examine private sector deleveraging experiences across 36 advanced and emerging economies countries since 1960. We consider the common features and divergent experiences of deleveraging episodes across countries, and analyze empirically the impact of different aspects of deleveraging during the bust phase of leverage cycles on subsequent medium-term growth. The results suggest that larger and quicker unwinding of non-financial sector debt overhangs is associated with sizable medium-term output gains, and that policies should focus on facilitating up-front balance sheet adjustment.

Deleveraging? What Deleveraging?

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Author :
Publisher : Geneva Reports on the World Ec
ISBN 13 : 9781907142796
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (427 download)

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Book Synopsis Deleveraging? What Deleveraging? by : Luigi Buttiglione

Download or read book Deleveraging? What Deleveraging? written by Luigi Buttiglione and published by Geneva Reports on the World Ec. This book was released on 2016-09-20 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The 17th Geneva Report on the World Economy examines the causes of the unusually low interest rates seen in recent years, asks whether they are likely to persist, and explores the possible consequences should that happen. On the causes, the report argues that demographic developments and Chinese financial integration have been important drivers, reinforced since the crisis by a reluctance to invest and a shift in investor preferences towards safe assets. But some of these forces are likely to reverse in the future, suggesting that the current period of unusually low interest rates is unlikely to persist indefinitely. The pace at which that reversal will happen remains highly uncertain, however, and dependent on longer-term policy choices. The return to historically more normal levels of interest rates may consequently be quite drawn out and policymakers need to be alert to the consequences. Aside from increasing the frequency with which monetary policies are constrained by the lower bound on policy rates, persistently low interest rates on safe assets also encourage the adoption of strategies to lever up returns, so heightening the risks to financial stability. While macroprudential policies represent the first line of defense against such risks, policymakers should be careful not to expect too much from them.

The (Other) Deleveraging

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475505272
Total Pages : 22 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis The (Other) Deleveraging by : Mr.Manmohan Singh

Download or read book The (Other) Deleveraging written by Mr.Manmohan Singh and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2012-07-01 with total page 22 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Deleveraging has two components--shrinking of balance sheets due to increased haircuts/shedding of assets, and the reduction in the interconnectedness of the financial system. We focus on the second aspect and show that post-Lehman there has been a significant decline in the interconnectedness in the pledged collateral market between banks and nonbanks. We find that both the collateral and its associated velocity are not rebounding as of end-2011 and still about $4-5 trillion lower than the peak of $10 trillion as of end-2007. This paper updates Singh (2011) and we use this data to compare with the monetary aggregates (largely due to QE efforts in US, Euro area and UK), and discuss the overall financial lubrication that likely impacts the conduct of global monetary policy.

The Mechanics of a Strong Euro Area

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498305539
Total Pages : 286 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis The Mechanics of a Strong Euro Area by : Ms.Petya Koeva Brooks

Download or read book The Mechanics of a Strong Euro Area written by Ms.Petya Koeva Brooks and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-10-21 with total page 286 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Among member states, many structural weaknesses were exposed when economic performance declined significantly and financial markets became more discerning. This book focuses on the analytical underpinnings of real-time policy advice given to euro area policymakers during four cycles of the IMF’s annual Article IV consultations (2012–15) with euro area authorities.

Acquisitions in a Deleveraging Environment

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 268 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Acquisitions in a Deleveraging Environment by :

Download or read book Acquisitions in a Deleveraging Environment written by and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 268 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Private Sector Deleveraging and Growth Following Busts

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9781498338691
Total Pages : 37 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (386 download)

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Book Synopsis Private Sector Deleveraging and Growth Following Busts by :

Download or read book Private Sector Deleveraging and Growth Following Busts written by and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Balance sheet recessions have been a drag on activity after the Global Financial Crisis, underscoring the important role of balance sheet adjustment for resuming sustained growth. In this paper we examine private sector deleveraging experiences across 36 advanced and emerging economies countries since 1960. We consider the common features and divergent experiences of deleveraging episodes across countries, and analyze empirically the impact of different aspects of deleveraging during the bust phase of leverage cycles on subsequent medium-term growth. The results suggest that larger and quicker unwinding of non-financial sector debt overhangs is associated with sizable medium-term output gains, and that policies should focus on facilitating up-front balance sheet adjustment.--Abstract.

The Costs of Macroprudential Deleveraging in a Liquidity Trap

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513546805
Total Pages : 66 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis The Costs of Macroprudential Deleveraging in a Liquidity Trap by : Mr.Jiaqian Chen

Download or read book The Costs of Macroprudential Deleveraging in a Liquidity Trap written by Mr.Jiaqian Chen and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2020-06-12 with total page 66 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We examine the effects of various borrower-based macroprudential tools in a New Keynesian environment where both real and nominal interest rates are low. Our model features long-term debt, housing transaction costs and a zero-lower bound constraint on policy rates. We find that the long-term costs, in terms of forgone consumption, of all the macroprudential tools we consider are moderate. Even so, the short-term costs differ dramatically between alternative tools. Specifically, a loan-to-value tightening is more than twice as contractionary compared to loan-to-income tightening when debt is high and monetary policy cannot accommodate.

Principles

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Author :
Publisher : Simon and Schuster
ISBN 13 : 1982112387
Total Pages : 560 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (821 download)

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Book Synopsis Principles by : Ray Dalio

Download or read book Principles written by Ray Dalio and published by Simon and Schuster. This book was released on 2018-08-07 with total page 560 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: #1 New York Times Bestseller “Significant...The book is both instructive and surprisingly moving.” —The New York Times Ray Dalio, one of the world’s most successful investors and entrepreneurs, shares the unconventional principles that he’s developed, refined, and used over the past forty years to create unique results in both life and business—and which any person or organization can adopt to help achieve their goals. In 1975, Ray Dalio founded an investment firm, Bridgewater Associates, out of his two-bedroom apartment in New York City. Forty years later, Bridgewater has made more money for its clients than any other hedge fund in history and grown into the fifth most important private company in the United States, according to Fortune magazine. Dalio himself has been named to Time magazine’s list of the 100 most influential people in the world. Along the way, Dalio discovered a set of unique principles that have led to Bridgewater’s exceptionally effective culture, which he describes as “an idea meritocracy that strives to achieve meaningful work and meaningful relationships through radical transparency.” It is these principles, and not anything special about Dalio—who grew up an ordinary kid in a middle-class Long Island neighborhood—that he believes are the reason behind his success. In Principles, Dalio shares what he’s learned over the course of his remarkable career. He argues that life, management, economics, and investing can all be systemized into rules and understood like machines. The book’s hundreds of practical lessons, which are built around his cornerstones of “radical truth” and “radical transparency,” include Dalio laying out the most effective ways for individuals and organizations to make decisions, approach challenges, and build strong teams. He also describes the innovative tools the firm uses to bring an idea meritocracy to life, such as creating “baseball cards” for all employees that distill their strengths and weaknesses, and employing computerized decision-making systems to make believability-weighted decisions. While the book brims with novel ideas for organizations and institutions, Principles also offers a clear, straightforward approach to decision-making that Dalio believes anyone can apply, no matter what they’re seeking to achieve. Here, from a man who has been called both “the Steve Jobs of investing” and “the philosopher king of the financial universe” (CIO magazine), is a rare opportunity to gain proven advice unlike anything you’ll find in the conventional business press.

The Great Cross-Border Bank Deleveraging

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498332625
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis The Great Cross-Border Bank Deleveraging by : Mr.Eugenio Cerutti

Download or read book The Great Cross-Border Bank Deleveraging written by Mr.Eugenio Cerutti and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-09-25 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: International banks greatly reduced their direct cross-border and local affiliates’ lending as the global financial crisis strained balance sheets, lowered borrower demand, and changed government policies. Using bilateral, lender-borrower countrydata and controlling for credit demand, we show that reductions largely varied in line with markets’ prior assessments of banks’ vulnerabilities, with banks’ financial statement variables and lender-borrower country characteristics playing minor roles. We find evidence that moving resources within banking groups became more restricted as drivers of reductions in direct cross-border loans differ from those for local affiliates’ lending, especially for impaired banking systems. Home bias induced by government interventions, however, affected both equally.

Endgame

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Author :
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118004574
Total Pages : 66 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (18 download)

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Book Synopsis Endgame by : John Mauldin

Download or read book Endgame written by John Mauldin and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2011-03-08 with total page 66 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Greece isn't the only country drowning in debt. The Debt Supercycle—when the easily managed, decades-long growth of debt results in a massive sovereign debt and credit crisis—is affecting developed countries around the world, including the United States. For these countries, there are only two options, and neither is good—restructure the debt or reduce it through austerity measures. Endgame details the Debt Supercycle and the sovereign debt crisis, and shows that, while there are no good choices, the worst choice would be to ignore the deleveraging resulting from the credit crisis. The book: Reveals why the world economy is in for an extended period of sluggish growth, high unemployment, and volatile markets punctuated by persistent recessions Reviews global markets, trends in population, government policies, and currencies Around the world, countries are faced with difficult choices. Endgame provides a framework for making those choices.

Financial Contagion Through Bank Deleveraging

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1455209368
Total Pages : 39 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (552 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Contagion Through Bank Deleveraging by : Mr.Thierry Tressel

Download or read book Financial Contagion Through Bank Deleveraging written by Mr.Thierry Tressel and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-10-01 with total page 39 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The financial crisis has highlighted the importance of various channels of financial contagion across countries. This paper first presents stylized facts of international banking activities during the crisis. It then describes a simple model of financial contagion based on bank balance sheet identities and behavioral assumptions of deleveraging. Cascade effects can be triggered by bank losses or contractions of interbank lending activities. As a result of shocks on assets or on liabilities of banks, a global deleveraging of international banking activities can occur. Simple simulations are presented to illustrate the use of the model and the relative importance of contagion channels, relying on bank losses of advanced countries’ banking systems during the financial crisis to calibrate the shock. The outcome of the simulations is compared with the deleveraging observed during the crisis suggesting that leverage is a major determinant of financial contagion.

The Great Deleveraging

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780132481236
Total Pages : 317 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (812 download)

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Book Synopsis The Great Deleveraging by : Chip

Download or read book The Great Deleveraging written by Chip and published by . This book was released on 2010 with total page 317 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: