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Decision Analysis For The Manager
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Book Synopsis Decision Analysis for the Manager by : Rex V. Brown
Download or read book Decision Analysis for the Manager written by Rex V. Brown and published by Holt McDougal. This book was released on 1974 with total page 648 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Abstract: As a disciplene for systematic evaluation of alternative actions used as a basis of choice, decision analysis uses the tools that provide methodology for analyzing and dealing systematically with decision situations in management. Prescriptive, elementary models are a means of improving decision-making skills on practical topics. Case studies and follow-up assignments in the text reinforce theoretical discussions. Topic areas include: (1) introductory concepts and current applications; (2) developing decision modeling skills; (3) analytical strategy for real-world decisions; (4) direct and indirect probability assessment techniques; and (5) relating decision-making technology to the organizational context.
Book Synopsis Decision Analysis for Managers by : David Charlesworth
Download or read book Decision Analysis for Managers written by David Charlesworth and published by Business Expert Press. This book was released on 2013-03-13 with total page 144 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Everybody has to make decisions—they are unavoidable. Yet we receive little or no education or training on how to make decisions. Business decisions can be dif_ cult: which people to hire, which product lines or facilities to expand and which to sell or shut down, which bid or proposal to accept, which process to implement, how much R&D to invest in, which environmental projects should receive the highest priority, etc. This book gives you all the tools you need to... • clarify and reach alignment on goals and objectives and understand trade-offs in reaching those goals, • develop and examine alternatives, • systematically analyze the effects of risk and uncertainty, and • maximize the chances of achieving your goals and objectives. Success (getting what you want) depends on luck and good decision making. You can’t control your luck, but you can maximize your odds by making the best possible decisions, and this book gets you there. Broadly speaking, this book organizes and presents otherwise formal decision-making tools in an intuitively understandable fashion. The presentation is informal, but the concepts and tools are research-based and formally accepted.
Book Synopsis Decision Analysis for Management Judgment by : Paul Goodwin
Download or read book Decision Analysis for Management Judgment written by Paul Goodwin and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2014-05-12 with total page 496 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Decision Analysis for Management Judgment is unique in its breadth of coverage of decision analysis methods. It covers both the psychological problems that are associated with unaided managerial decision making and the decision analysis methods designed to overcome them. It is presented and explained in a clear, straightforward manner without using mathematical notation. This latest edition has been fully revised and updated and includes a number of changes to reflect the latest developments in the field.
Book Synopsis Handbook of Decision Analysis by : Gregory S. Parnell
Download or read book Handbook of Decision Analysis written by Gregory S. Parnell and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2013-01-24 with total page 441 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A ONE-OF-A-KIND GUIDE TO THE BEST PRACTICES IN DECISION ANALYSIS Decision analysis provides powerful tools for addressing complex decisions that involve uncertainty and multiple objectives, yet most training materials on the subject overlook the soft skills that are essential for success in the field. This unique resource fills this gap in the decision analysis literature and features both soft personal/interpersonal skills and the hard technical skills involving mathematics and modeling. Readers will learn how to identify and overcome the numerous challenges of decision making, choose the appropriate decision process, lead and manage teams, and create value for their organization. Performing modeling analysis, assessing risk, and implementing decisions are also addressed throughout. Additional features include: Key insights gleaned from decision analysis applications and behavioral decision analysis research Integrated coverage of the techniques of single- and multiple-objective decision analysis Multiple qualitative and quantitative techniques presented for each key decision analysis task Three substantive real-world case studies illustrating diverse strategies for dealing with the challenges of decision making Extensive references for mathematical proofs and advanced topics The Handbook of Decision Analysis is an essential reference for academics and practitioners in various fields including business, operations research, engineering, and science. The book also serves as a supplement for courses at the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels.
Book Synopsis Risk and Decision Analysis in Projects by : John R. Schuyler
Download or read book Risk and Decision Analysis in Projects written by John R. Schuyler and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 294 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Some of Schuyler's tried-and-true tips include: - The single-point estimate is almost always wrong, so that it is always better to express judgments as ranges. A probability distribution completely expresses someone's judgment about the likelihood of values within the range.- We often need a single-value cost or other assessment, and the expected value (mean) of the distribution is the only unbiased predictor. Expected value is the probability-weighted average, and this statistical idea is the cornerstone of decision analysis.- Some decisions are easy, perhaps aided by quick decision tree calculations on the back of an envelope. Decision dilemmas typically involve risky outcomes, many factors, and the best alternatives having comparable value. We only need analysis sufficient to confidently identify the best alternative. As soon as you know what to do, stop the analysis!- Be alert to ways to beneficially change project risks. We can often eliminate, avoid, transfer, or mitigate threats in some way. Get to know the people who make their living helping managers sidestep risk. They include insurance agents, partners, turnkey contractors, accountants, trainers, and safety personnel.
Book Synopsis Introduction to Decision Analysis by : David C. Skinner
Download or read book Introduction to Decision Analysis written by David C. Skinner and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page 376 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "This book is the most practical and thought-provoking step-by-step guide to making better decisions that is available today! Proven techniques and solid experience are the foundation for this classic text, which was written for the manager and for the decision analysis practitioner!"--
Book Synopsis Decision Analysis for Healthcare Managers by : Farrokh Alemi
Download or read book Decision Analysis for Healthcare Managers written by Farrokh Alemi and published by . This book was released on 2007 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The first part of the book explains the various analytical tools that simplify and accelerate decision making. Learn about tools that help you determine causes, evaluate choices, and forecast future events. For occasions when a group, rather than an individual, has to make a decision, you will also learn what tools can help you create group consensus. The second half of the book shows you how to apply analytical tools to different healthcare situations, including comparing clinician performance, determining the causes for medical errors, analyzing the costs of programs, and determining the market for new services. Many practical examples walk you step-by-step through common decision-making scenarios.
Book Synopsis Decision Management by : J. Frank Yates
Download or read book Decision Management written by J. Frank Yates and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2003-02-03 with total page 254 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Why do the people in some companies continually dazzle us with their brilliant decisions while those in others make one blunder after another? Do they understand their businesses better? Are they just plain smarter? Or is it all a matter of luck? The answer, says J. Frank Yates, is none of the above. The real key, rarely recognized, is how the leaders manage the company's decision processes—the leaders' decision management practices. Drawing on his thirty years of research and experience as well as scholarship from psychology, economics, statistics, strategy, medicine, and other fields to explain the fundamental nature of business decision problems, Yates highlights the ten cardinal decision issues crucial to managing the decision-making process—and ultimately better company decisions. He covers problems ranging from recognizing whether a decision is actually called for to assuring that a preferred course of action will be implemented. He shows how solid decisions result when managers ensure that deciders resolve every cardinal issue effectively for every decision problem facing the company. He also reveals how, conversely, chronically poor decisions are traceable to managers allowing—or even creating—conditions that encourage deciders to fall short in how they address at least one of those critical issues.
Book Synopsis Quantitative Analysis For Management by : Render
Download or read book Quantitative Analysis For Management written by Render and published by Pearson Education India. This book was released on 2008-02 with total page 756 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Value-Added Decision Making for Managers by : Kenneth Chelst
Download or read book Value-Added Decision Making for Managers written by Kenneth Chelst and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2011-10-05 with total page 580 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Developed from the authors’ longstanding course on decision and risk analysis, Value-Added Decision Making for Managers explores the important interaction between decisions and management action and clarifies the barriers to rational decision making. The authors analyze strengths and weaknesses of the best alternatives, enabling decision makers to improve on these alternatives by adding value and reducing risk. The core of the text addresses decisions that involve selecting the best alternative from diverse choices. The decisions include buying a car, picking a supplier or home contractor, selecting a technology, picking a location for a manufacturing plant or sports stadium, hiring an employee or selecting among job offers, deciding on the size of a sales force, making a late design change, and sourcing to emerging markets. The book also covers more complex decisions arising in negotiations, strategy, and ethics that involve multiple dimensions simultaneously. Numerous activities interspersed throughout the text highlight real-world situations, helping readers see how the concepts presented can be used in their own work environment or personal life. Each chapter also includes discussion questions and references. Web Resource The book’s website at http://ise.wayne.edu/research/decision.php offers tutorials of Logical Decisions software for multi-objective decisions and Precision Tree software for probabilistic decisions. Directions for downloading student versions of the DecisionTools Suite and Logical Decisions software can be found in the appendices. Password-protected PowerPoint presentations for each chapter and solutions to all of the numeric examples are available for instructors.
Book Synopsis Decision Analysis for Managers, Second Edition by : David Charlesworth
Download or read book Decision Analysis for Managers, Second Edition written by David Charlesworth and published by Business Expert Press. This book was released on 2017-04-11 with total page 133 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Everybody has to make decisions-they are unavoidable. However, we receive little or no education or training on how to make decisions. Business decisions are difficult: which people to hire, which product lines or facilities to expand, which proposal to accept, how much R&D to invest in, which environmental projects are high priority, etc. Personal decisions (college, getting married, changing jobs, buying a house, retiring, dealing with a health problem) can be even more difficult. This book gives you the tools you need toÉClarify and reach alignment on goals and objectives; Understand trade-offs associated with reaching those objectives; Develop and examine alternatives; Systematically analyze the effects of risk and uncertainty, and; Maximize the chances of achieving your goals. Success (getting what you want) depends on luck and good decision-making. You can't control your luck, but you can maximize your odds by making the best possible decisions, and this book gets you there. The author organizes and presents otherwise formal decision-making tools in an intuitively understandable fashion. The presentation is informal, but the concepts and tools are research-based and formally accepted. Whether you are a business owner, a manager or team leader, or a senior professional, these tools will help both your personal and your business life.
Book Synopsis Management Decision and Decision Analysis by : Colin Eden
Download or read book Management Decision and Decision Analysis written by Colin Eden and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 1975 with total page 280 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Multi-criteria Decision Analysis by : Alessio Ishizaka
Download or read book Multi-criteria Decision Analysis written by Alessio Ishizaka and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2013-06-10 with total page 260 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents an introduction to MCDA followed by more detailed chapters about each of the leading methods used in this field. Comparison of methods and software is also featured to enable readers to choose the most appropriate method needed in their research. Worked examples as well as the software featured in the book are available on an accompanying website.
Book Synopsis A Manager's Guide for Better Decision-Making by : Abu S.M. Masud
Download or read book A Manager's Guide for Better Decision-Making written by Abu S.M. Masud and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2021-10-29 with total page 110 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An important activity for an organization’s leaders and managers is making decisions associated with problem-solving. Making decisions is a complex endeavor where choices are made from courses of action where resources are limited and in the presence of constraints. Written as a guide, this book offers a quantitative approach to decision-making. The process of decision-making is presented from a holistic point of view. This book offers a basic understanding of the issues and processes involved in decision-making by presenting the tools associated with problem analysis, tools that enable developing choices, as well as tools used to normalize judgment criteria achievement so that they are comparable across measures using different scales. Several solution methods for decision problems that have one evaluation criterion are explained first. Methods for problems with multiple criteria for evaluating alternate solutions are discussed as well. The multiple criteria methods include those that do not require any explicit preference or trade-off information from the decision-maker and those that do require the decision-maker’s preference or trade-off information. The intended audience of the book includes technical and nontechnical professionals, managers, and supervisors at all levels, and engineering and business educators. The book would also be useful to undergraduate students, beginning graduate students, and recent graduates of professional programs, or in mathematics, computer science, natural sciences, and humanities.
Book Synopsis Management Decision-Making, Big Data and Analytics by : Simone Gressel
Download or read book Management Decision-Making, Big Data and Analytics written by Simone Gressel and published by SAGE. This book was released on 2020-10-12 with total page 354 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Accessible and concise, this exciting new textbook examines data analytics from a managerial and organizational perspective and looks at how they can help managers become more effective decision-makers. The book successfully combines theory with practical application, featuring case studies, examples and a ‘critical incidents’ feature that make these topics engaging and relevant for students of business and management. The book features chapters on cutting-edge topics, including: • Big data • Analytics • Managing emerging technologies and decision-making • Managing the ethics, security, privacy and legal aspects of data-driven decision-making The book is accompanied by an Instructor’s Manual, PowerPoint slides and access to journal articles. Suitable for management students studying business analytics and decision-making at undergraduate, postgraduate and MBA levels.
Book Synopsis Decision Analysis for Management Judgment by : Paul Goodwin
Download or read book Decision Analysis for Management Judgment written by Paul Goodwin and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 477 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Structured Decision Making by : Robin Gregory
Download or read book Structured Decision Making written by Robin Gregory and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2012-03-19 with total page 315 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book outlines the creative process of making environmental management decisions using the approach called Structured Decision Making. It is a short introductory guide to this popular form of decision making and is aimed at environmental managers and scientists. This is a distinctly pragmatic label given to ways for helping individuals and groups think through tough multidimensional choices characterized by uncertain science, diverse stakeholders, and difficult tradeoffs. This is the everyday reality of environmental management, yet many important decisions currently are made on an ad hoc basis that lacks a solid value-based foundation, ignores key information, and results in selection of an inferior alternative. Making progress – in a way that is rigorous, inclusive, defensible and transparent – requires combining analytical methods drawn from the decision sciences and applied ecology with deliberative insights from cognitive psychology, facilitation and negotiation. The authors review key methods and discuss case-study examples based in their experiences in communities, boardrooms, and stakeholder meetings. The goal of this book is to lay out a compelling guide that will change how you think about making environmental decisions. Visit www.wiley.com/go/gregory/ to access the figures and tables from the book.
