Credit Risk Spreads in Local and Foreign Currencies

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451872577
Total Pages : 22 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Credit Risk Spreads in Local and Foreign Currencies by : Dan Galai

Download or read book Credit Risk Spreads in Local and Foreign Currencies written by Dan Galai and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2009-05-01 with total page 22 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The paper shows how-in a Merton-type model with bankruptcy-the currency composition of debt changes the risk profile of a company raising a given amount of financing, and thus affects the cost of debt. Foreign currency borrowing is cheaper when the exchange rate is positively correlated with the return on the company's assets, even if the company is not an exporter. Prudential regulations should therefore differentiate among loans depending on the extent to which borrowers have "natural hedges" of their foreign currency exposures.

IMF Working Papers

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (842 download)

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Book Synopsis IMF Working Papers by : Dan Galai

Download or read book IMF Working Papers written by Dan Galai and published by . This book was released on 2009 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Local Currency Sovereign Risk

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 61 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Local Currency Sovereign Risk by : Wenxin Du

Download or read book Local Currency Sovereign Risk written by Wenxin Du and published by . This book was released on 2015 with total page 61 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We introduce a new measure of emerging market sovereign credit risk: the local currency credit spread, defined as the spread of local currency bonds over the synthetic local currency risk-free rate constructed using cross-currency swaps. We find that local currency credit spreads are positive and sizable. Compared with credit spreads on foreign currency-denominated debt, local currency credit spreads have lower means, lower cross-country correlations, and lower sensitivity to global risk factors. We discuss several major sources of credit spread differentials, including positively correlated credit and currency risk, selective default, capital controls and various financial market frictions.

Essays on Foreign Exchange and Credit Risk

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9788793579996
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (799 download)

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Book Synopsis Essays on Foreign Exchange and Credit Risk by : Andreas Bang Nielsen

Download or read book Essays on Foreign Exchange and Credit Risk written by Andreas Bang Nielsen and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

International Reserves and Foreign Currency Liquidity

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484350162
Total Pages : 258 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis International Reserves and Foreign Currency Liquidity by : International Monetary Fund. Statistics Dept.

Download or read book International Reserves and Foreign Currency Liquidity written by International Monetary Fund. Statistics Dept. and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2015-01-07 with total page 258 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This update of the guidelines published in 2001 sets forth the underlying framework for the Reserves Data Template and provides operational advice for its use. The updated version also includes three new appendices aimed at assisting member countries in reporting the required data.

Sovereign Defaults, External Debt, and Real Exchange Rate Dynamics

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475597738
Total Pages : 48 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Sovereign Defaults, External Debt, and Real Exchange Rate Dynamics by : Mr.Tamon Asonuma

Download or read book Sovereign Defaults, External Debt, and Real Exchange Rate Dynamics written by Mr.Tamon Asonuma and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-02-25 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Emerging countries experience real exchange rate depreciations around defaults. In this paper, we examine this observed pattern empirically and through the lens of a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model. The theoretical model explicitly incorporates bond issuances in local and foreign currencies, and endogenous determination of real exchange rate and default risk. Our quantitative analysis replicates the link between real exchange rate depreciation and default probability around defaults and moments of the real exchange rate that match the data. Prior to default, interactions of real exchange rate depreciation, originated from a sequence of low tradable goods shocks with the sovereign’s large share of foreign currency debt, trigger defaults. In post-default periods, the resulting output costs and loss of market access due to default lead to further real exchange rate depreciation.

FX-Adjusted Local Currency Spreads

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 14 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis FX-Adjusted Local Currency Spreads by : Jorge A. Chan-Lau

Download or read book FX-Adjusted Local Currency Spreads written by Jorge A. Chan-Lau and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page 14 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Changes in domestic and international economic conditions affect partly the trend and volatility of the exchange rate as well as the operating conditions of firms and corporations. Therefore, the common practice of adding up the default risk and currency risk premia could overstate the risk compensation received by investors. Modern approaches to model default risk that incorporate foreign exchange effects while promising may be difficult to implement due to data limitations. This paper addresses the needs of practitioners by presenting a simple rule of thumb, based on the joint dynamics of exchange rate changes and the spreads of credit default swaps, to convert foreign-currency denominated spreads to local currency-denominated spreads adjusting for currency risk. The rule of thumb, while simple, captures the nonlinear dependence between default risk and currency risk, and could be very useful for investors in local currency instruments.

Policy Credibility and Sovereign Credit

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451865651
Total Pages : 31 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Policy Credibility and Sovereign Credit by : Mr.David Hauner

Download or read book Policy Credibility and Sovereign Credit written by Mr.David Hauner and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2007-01-01 with total page 31 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: References to policy credibility, particularly with regard to fiscal policy, are ubiquitous in both economic literature and financial markets, even though it is not directly observable. The case of the EU new member states (NMS)-emerging markets joining a supranational entity that is generally considered to have higher policy credibility-provides a unique experiment to assess the effects of credibility on sovereign credit. This paper examines the impact of EU accession on three key variables that can reflect in varying degrees policy credibility: sovereign ratings, foreign currency spreads, and local currency yields. The results suggest that the NMS appear to have enjoyed higher credibility compared to their peers.

International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards

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Author :
Publisher : Lulu.com
ISBN 13 : 9291316695
Total Pages : 294 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (913 download)

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Book Synopsis International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards by :

Download or read book International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards written by and published by Lulu.com. This book was released on 2004 with total page 294 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

This Time Is Different

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Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691152640
Total Pages : 513 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (911 download)

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Book Synopsis This Time Is Different by : Carmen M. Reinhart

Download or read book This Time Is Different written by Carmen M. Reinhart and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2011-08-07 with total page 513 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An empirical investigation of financial crises during the last 800 years.

Credit Cycle Dependent Spread Determinants in Emerging Sovereign Debt Markets

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 32 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Credit Cycle Dependent Spread Determinants in Emerging Sovereign Debt Markets by : Christoph Riedel

Download or read book Credit Cycle Dependent Spread Determinants in Emerging Sovereign Debt Markets written by Christoph Riedel and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We address credit cycle dependent sovereign credit risk determinants. In our model, the spread determinants' magnitude is conditional on an unobservable endogenous sovereign credit cycle as represented by the underlying state of a Markov regime switching process. Our explanatory variables are motivated in the tradition of structural credit risk models and include changes in asset prices, interest rates, implied market volatility, gold price changes and foreign exchange rates. We examine daily frequency variations of U.S. dollar denominated Eurobond credit spreads of four major Latin American sovereign bond issuers (Brazil, Colombia, Mexico and Venezuela) with liquid bond markets during March 2000 to June 2011. We find that spread determinants are statistically significant and consistent with theory, while their magnitude remarkably varies with the state of the credit cycle. Crisis states are characterized by high spread change uncertainty and high sensitivities with respect to the spread change determinants. We further document that not only changes of local currencies, but also changes of the Euro with respect to the U.S. dollar are significant spread drivers and argue that this is consistent with the sovereigns' ability to pay.

A Primer on Managing Sovereign Debt-Portfolio Risks

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484350545
Total Pages : 133 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis A Primer on Managing Sovereign Debt-Portfolio Risks by : Thordur Jonasson

Download or read book A Primer on Managing Sovereign Debt-Portfolio Risks written by Thordur Jonasson and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-04-06 with total page 133 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper provides an overview of sovereign debt portfolio risks and discusses various liability management operations (LMOs) and instruments used by public debt managers to mitigate these risks. Debt management strategies analyzed in the context of helping reach debt portfolio targets and attain desired portfolio structures. Also, the paper outlines how LMOs could be integrated into a debt management strategy and serve as policy tools to reduce potential debt portfolio vulnerabilities. Further, the paper presents operational issues faced by debt managers, including the need to develop a risk management framework, interactions of debt management with fiscal policy, monetary policy, and financial stability, as well as efficient government bond markets.

The Prudential Regulation and Management of Foreign Exchange Risk

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 38 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis The Prudential Regulation and Management of Foreign Exchange Risk by : Richard K. Abrams

Download or read book The Prudential Regulation and Management of Foreign Exchange Risk written by Richard K. Abrams and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1998-03 with total page 38 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines issues in the prudential management and regulation of foreign exchange risk. It begins with measurement issues, notably converting foreign currency items into domestic currency terms, and calculating foreign exchange positions. The focus then shifts to managing foreign exchange risks. Although the key to effective management lies in the bank’s reporting and internal control systems, regulators frequently seek to limit such risks directly. This usually involves limiting the overall open position in terms of bank capital or requiring that capital be set aside against such risks.

Covered Interest Parity Deviations: Macrofinancial Determinants

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484395212
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Covered Interest Parity Deviations: Macrofinancial Determinants by : Mr.Eugenio M Cerutti

Download or read book Covered Interest Parity Deviations: Macrofinancial Determinants written by Mr.Eugenio M Cerutti and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-01-16 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: For about three decades until the Global Financial Crisis (GFC), Covered Interest Parity (CIP) appeared to hold quite closely—even as a broad macroeconomic relationship applying to daily or weekly data. Not only have CIP deviations significantly increased since the GFC, but potential macrofinancial drivers of the variation in CIP deviations have also become significant. The variation in CIP deviations seems to be associated with multiple factors, not only regulatory changes. Most of these do not display a uniform importance across currency pairs and time, and some are associated with possible temporary considerations (such as asynchronous monetary policy cycles).

Foreign Exchange and Money Markets

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Publisher : McGraw Hill Professional
ISBN 13 : 9780070526716
Total Pages : 484 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (267 download)

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Book Synopsis Foreign Exchange and Money Markets by : Heinz Riehl

Download or read book Foreign Exchange and Money Markets written by Heinz Riehl and published by McGraw Hill Professional. This book was released on 1983 with total page 484 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Provides an expanded treatment of exchange markets and introduces a broad treatment of money market.

Foreign Exchange Intervention Rules for Central Banks: A Risk-based Framework

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513569406
Total Pages : 33 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Foreign Exchange Intervention Rules for Central Banks: A Risk-based Framework by : Romain Lafarguette

Download or read book Foreign Exchange Intervention Rules for Central Banks: A Risk-based Framework written by Romain Lafarguette and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-02-12 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper presents a rule for foreign exchange interventions (FXI), designed to preserve financial stability in floating exchange rate arrangements. The FXI rule addresses a market failure: the absence of hedging solution for tail exchange rate risk in the market (i.e. high volatility). Market impairment or overshoot of exchange rate between two equilibria could generate high volatility and threaten financial stability due to unhedged exposure to exchange rate risk in the economy. The rule uses the concept of Value at Risk (VaR) to define FXI triggers. While it provides to the market a hedge against tail risk, the rule allows the exchange rate to smoothly adjust to new equilibria. In addition, the rule is budget neutral over the medium term, encourages a prudent risk management in the market, and is more resilient to speculative attacks than other rules, such as fixed-volatility rules. The empirical methodology is backtested on Banco Mexico’s FXIs data between 2008 and 2016.

Financial Soundness Indicators

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1589063856
Total Pages : 302 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (89 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Soundness Indicators by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Financial Soundness Indicators written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2006-04-04 with total page 302 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial Soundness Indicators (FSIs) are measures that indicate the current financial health and soundness of a country's financial institutions, and their corporate and household counterparts. FSIs include both aggregated individual institution data and indicators that are representative of the markets in which the financial institutions operate. FSIs are calculated and disseminated for the purpose of supporting macroprudential analysis--the assessment and surveillance of the strengths and vulnerabilities of financial systems--with a view to strengthening financial stability and limiting the likelihood of financial crises. Financial Soundness Indicators: Compilation Guide is intended to give guidance on the concepts, sources, and compilation and dissemination techniques underlying FSIs; to encourage the use and cross-country comparison of these data; and, thereby, to support national and international surveillance of financial systems.