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Credibility Theory
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Book Synopsis A Course in Credibility Theory and its Applications by : Hans Bühlmann
Download or read book A Course in Credibility Theory and its Applications written by Hans Bühlmann and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2005-11-13 with total page 346 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is ideal for practicing experts in particular actuaries in the field of property-casualty insurance, life insurance, reinsurance and insurance supervision, as well as teachers and students. It provides an exploration of Credibility Theory, covering most aspects of this topic from the simplest case to the most detailed dynamic model. The book closely examines the tasks an actuary encounters daily: estimation of loss ratios, claim frequencies and claim sizes.
Book Synopsis Theory and Credibility by : Scott Ashworth
Download or read book Theory and Credibility written by Scott Ashworth and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2021-07-20 with total page 280 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A clear and comprehensive framework for bridging the widening gap between theorists and empiricists in social science The credibility revolution, with its emphasis on empirical methods for causal inference, has led to concerns among scholars that the canonical questions about politics and society are being neglected because they are no longer deemed answerable. Theory and Credibility stakes out an opposing view—presenting a new vision of how, working together, the credibility revolution and formal theory can advance social scientific inquiry. This authoritative book covers the conceptual foundations and practicalities of both model building and research design, providing a new framework to link theory and empirics. Drawing on diverse examples from political science, it presents a typology of the rich set of interactions that are possible between theory and empirics. This typology opens up new ways for scholars to make progress on substantive questions, and enables researchers from disparate traditions to gain a deeper appreciation for each other's work and why it matters. Theory and Credibility shows theorists how to create models that are genuinely useful to empirical inquiry, and helps empiricists better understand how to structure their research in ways that speak to theoretically meaningful questions.
Book Synopsis A Course in Credibility Theory and its Applications by : Hans Bühlmann
Download or read book A Course in Credibility Theory and its Applications written by Hans Bühlmann and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2005-08-30 with total page 360 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is ideal for practicing experts in particular actuaries in the field of property-casualty insurance, life insurance, reinsurance and insurance supervision, as well as teachers and students. It provides an exploration of Credibility Theory, covering most aspects of this topic from the simplest case to the most detailed dynamic model. The book closely examines the tasks an actuary encounters daily: estimation of loss ratios, claim frequencies and claim sizes.
Book Synopsis Introduction to Credibility Theory by : Thomas N. Herzog
Download or read book Introduction to Credibility Theory written by Thomas N. Herzog and published by . This book was released on 2010-01-01 with total page 337 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This text has been named as an approved reference in preparing for the SOA Exam C and the CAS Exam 4. Several chapters have been adopted as syllabus references for the SOA Group and Health specialty Design and Pricing Fellowship exam. Credibility modeling is a proven approach for analyzing unique product designs. This text presents a wide variety of credibility models in an easy-to-read style, and in so doing, traces the historical development of the subject. The Bayesian approach to credibility is emphasized. The text concentrates on basic statistical concepts, leaving more sophisticated theoretical concepts for a more advanced treatment elsewhere. It contains worked examples, a large number of end-of-chapter exercises and an extensive bibliography. Practical applications of credibility theory are presented in the Appendices. In the rapidly evolving healthcare environment, data credibility is more important than ever. The Fourth Edition of this text includes three case studies relating to healthcare issues. A separate solutions manual for the text exercises is also available.
Book Synopsis Nonlife Actuarial Models by : Yiu-Kuen Tse
Download or read book Nonlife Actuarial Models written by Yiu-Kuen Tse and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2009-09-17 with total page 541 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This class-tested undergraduate textbook covers the entire syllabus for Exam C of the Society of Actuaries (SOA).
Book Synopsis The Scientific Credibility of Freud's Theories and Therapy by : Seymour Fisher
Download or read book The Scientific Credibility of Freud's Theories and Therapy written by Seymour Fisher and published by Columbia University Press. This book was released on 1985 with total page 516 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book explores the puzzling phenomenon of new veiling practices among lower middle class women in Cairo, Egypt. Although these women are part of a modernizing middle class, they also voluntarily adopt a traditional symbol of female subordination. How can this paradox be explained? An explanation emerges which reconceptualizes what appears to be reactionary behavior as a new style of political struggle--as accommodating protest. These women, most of them clerical workers in the large government bureaucracy, are ambivalent about working outside the home, considering it a change which brings new burdens as well as some important benefits. At the same time they realize that leaving home and family is creating an intolerable situation of the erosion of their social status and the loss of their traditional identity. The new veiling expresses women's protest against this. MacLeod argues that the symbolism of the new veiling emerges from this tense subcultural dilemma, involving elements of both resistance and acquiescence.
Book Synopsis Nuclear Deterrence Theory by : Robert Powell
Download or read book Nuclear Deterrence Theory written by Robert Powell and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 1990-03-30 with total page 248 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Applying advances in game theory to the study of nuclear deterrence, Robert Powell examines the foundations of deterrence theory. Game-theoretic analysis allows the author to explore some of the most complex and problematic issues in deterrence theory, including the effects of first-strike advantages, limited retaliation, and the number of nuclear powers in the international system on the dynamics of escalation.
Book Synopsis Modern Actuarial Risk Theory by : Rob Kaas
Download or read book Modern Actuarial Risk Theory written by Rob Kaas and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2008-12-03 with total page 394 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Modern Actuarial Risk Theory contains what every actuary needs to know about non-life insurance mathematics. It starts with the standard material like utility theory, individual and collective model and basic ruin theory. Other topics are risk measures and premium principles, bonus-malus systems, ordering of risks and credibility theory. It also contains some chapters about Generalized Linear Models, applied to rating and IBNR problems. As to the level of the mathematics, the book would fit in a bachelors or masters program in quantitative economics or mathematical statistics. This second and.
Book Synopsis Calculating Credibility by : Daryl G. Press
Download or read book Calculating Credibility written by Daryl G. Press and published by Cornell University Press. This book was released on 2007 with total page 244 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Daryl G. Press uses historical evidence to answer two crucial questions: When a country backs down in a crisis, does its credibility suffer? How do leaders assess their adversaries' credibility? Press illuminates the decision-making processes behind events such as the crises in Europe that preceded World War II, the superpower showdowns over Berlin in the 1950s and 60s, and the Cuban Missile Crisis."--Page 4 of cover.
Book Synopsis Central Bank Strategy, Credibility, and Independence by : Alex Cukierman
Download or read book Central Bank Strategy, Credibility, and Independence written by Alex Cukierman and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 1992 with total page 532 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book brings together a large body of Cukierman's research and integrates it with recent developments in the political economy of monetary policy.
Book Synopsis The Credibility Challenge by : Inken von Borzyskowski
Download or read book The Credibility Challenge written by Inken von Borzyskowski and published by Cornell University Press. This book was released on 2019-06-15 with total page 314 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The key to the impact of international election support is credibility; credible elections are less likely to turn violent. So argues Inken von Borzyskowski in The Credibility Challenge, in which she provides an explanation of why and when election support can increase or reduce violence. Von Borzyskowski answers four major questions: Under what circumstances can election support influence election violence? How can election support shape the incentives of domestic actors to engage in or abstain from violence? Does support help reduce violence or increase it? And, which type of support—observation or technical assistance—is better in each instance? The Credibility Challenge pulls broad quantitative evidence and qualitative observations from Guyana, Liberia, Kenya, Sierra Leone, and Bangladesh to respond to these questions. Von Borzyskowski finds that international democracy aid matters for election credibility and violence; outside observers can exacerbate postelection violence if they cast doubt on election credibility; and technical assistance helps build electoral institutions, improves election credibility, and reduces violence. Her results advance research and policy on peacebuilding and democracy promotion in new and surprising ways.
Book Synopsis Fighting for Credibility by : Frank P. Harvey
Download or read book Fighting for Credibility written by Frank P. Harvey and published by University of Toronto Press. This book was released on 2017-01-18 with total page 311 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: When Bashar al-Assad used chemical weapons against his own people in Syria, he clearly crossed President Barack Obama’s "red line." At the time, many argued that the president had to bomb in order to protect America's reputation for toughness, and therefore its credibility, abroad; others countered that concerns regarding reputation were overblown, and that reputations are irrelevant for coercive diplomacy. Whether international reputations matter is the question at the heart of Fighting for Credibility. For skeptics, past actions and reputations have no bearing on an adversary’s assessment of credibility; power and interests alone determine whether a threat is believed. Using a nuanced and sophisticated theory of rational deterrence, Frank P. Harvey and John Mitton argue the opposite: ignoring reputations sidesteps important factors about how adversaries perceive threats. Focusing on cases of asymmetric US encounters with smaller powers since the end of the Cold War including Bosnia, Kosovo, Iraq, and Syria, Harvey and Mitton reveal that reputations matter for credibility in international politics. This dynamic and deeply documented study successfully brings reputation back to the table of foreign diplomacy.
Book Synopsis Advanced Reliability Modeling II by : Tadashi Dohi
Download or read book Advanced Reliability Modeling II written by Tadashi Dohi and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2006 with total page 814 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The 2006 Asian International Workshop on Advanced Reliability Modeling (AIWARM) is the second symposium in a series of biennial workshops for the dissemination of state-of-art research and the presentation of practice in reliability and maintenance engineering in Asia. It brings together researchers and engineers from not only Asian countries but also all over world to discuss the state of research and practice in dealing with both reliability issues at the system design phase and maintenance issues at the system operation phase. The theme of AIWARM 2006 is ?reliability testing and improvement?. The contributions in this volume cover all the main topics in reliability and maintenance engineering, providing an in-depth presentation of theory and practice.
Book Synopsis Modern Actuarial Risk Theory by : Rob Kaas
Download or read book Modern Actuarial Risk Theory written by Rob Kaas and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2008-08-17 with total page 394 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Modern Actuarial Risk Theory contains what every actuary needs to know about non-life insurance mathematics. It starts with the standard material like utility theory, individual and collective model and basic ruin theory. Other topics are risk measures and premium principles, bonus-malus systems, ordering of risks and credibility theory. It also contains some chapters about Generalized Linear Models, applied to rating and IBNR problems. As to the level of the mathematics, the book would fit in a bachelors or masters program in quantitative economics or mathematical statistics. This second and much expanded edition emphasizes the implementation of these techniques through the use of R. This free but incredibly powerful software is rapidly developing into the de facto standard for statistical computation, not just in academic circles but also in practice. With R, one can do simulations, find maximum likelihood estimators, compute distributions by inverting transforms, and much more.
Book Synopsis Mathematical Methods in Risk Theory by : Hans Bühlmann
Download or read book Mathematical Methods in Risk Theory written by Hans Bühlmann and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2007-06-15 with total page 218 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From the reviews: "The huge literature in risk theory has been carefully selected and supplemented by personal contributions of the author, many of which appear here for the first time. The result is a systematic and very readable book, which takes into account the most recent developments of the field. It will be of great interest to the actuary as well as to the statistician . . ." -- Math. Reviews Vol. 43
Book Synopsis Bayesian Statistics in Actuarial Science by : Stuart A. Klugman
Download or read book Bayesian Statistics in Actuarial Science written by Stuart A. Klugman and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-04-17 with total page 242 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The debate between the proponents of "classical" and "Bayesian" statistica} methods continues unabated. It is not the purpose of the text to resolve those issues but rather to demonstrate that within the realm of actuarial science there are a number of problems that are particularly suited for Bayesian analysis. This has been apparent to actuaries for a long time, but the lack of adequate computing power and appropriate algorithms had led to the use of various approximations. The two greatest advantages to the actuary of the Bayesian approach are that the method is independent of the model and that interval estimates are as easy to obtain as point estimates. The former attribute means that once one learns how to analyze one problem, the solution to similar, but more complex, problems will be no more difficult. The second one takes on added significance as the actuary of today is expected to provide evidence concerning the quality of any estimates. While the examples are all actuarial in nature, the methods discussed are applicable to any structured estimation problem. In particular, statisticians will recognize that the basic credibility problem has the same setting as the random effects model from analysis of variance.
Book Synopsis Borrowing Credibility by : Jana Grittersova
Download or read book Borrowing Credibility written by Jana Grittersova and published by University of Michigan Press. This book was released on 2017-07-28 with total page 311 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Explores multinational banks' role in enhancing monetary credibility, revealing the importance of market confidence in an interconnected world
