Country and Currency Risk Premia in an Emerging Market

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Country and Currency Risk Premia in an Emerging Market by : Ian Domowitz

Download or read book Country and Currency Risk Premia in an Emerging Market written by Ian Domowitz and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The magnitude and determinants of credit and currency risks are topics of considerable importance. This paper uses data on peso- and dollar-denominated debt issued by the Mexican government to identify currency and country risk premia. We show that shoc ks in equity and debt market returns translate into long-term increases in the premium demanded by investors with respect to currency and country factors. Country and currency premia help explain equity returns and closed-end fund discounts. Additional evidence is provided showing that investors did not anticipate the magnitude or timing of the currency devaluation of December 1994 and the subsequent financial crisis.

Identification and Testing of a Term Structure Relationship for Country and Currency Risk Premia in an Emerging Market

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Identification and Testing of a Term Structure Relationship for Country and Currency Risk Premia in an Emerging Market by : Ian Domowitz

Download or read book Identification and Testing of a Term Structure Relationship for Country and Currency Risk Premia in an Emerging Market written by Ian Domowitz and published by . This book was released on 2008 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper uses a term structure of Mexican sovereign debt to create measures of country and currency risk premia. We use these measures to test hypothesis about investors' expectations regarding these risks and their relationship to volatility in securities markets. In the period 1993-94, the behavior of these two risk premia are markedly different. Interestingly, the currency premium is considerably larger and more volatile than its country risk counterpart. We find that increases in stock return volatility translate into increases in the premium demanded by investors with respect to currency and country factors. Investors appear to have long memories, in that the premia are more persistent than equity market volatility shocks.

Currency Risk Premia in Global Stock Markets

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 32 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Currency Risk Premia in Global Stock Markets by : Shaun K. Roache

Download or read book Currency Risk Premia in Global Stock Markets written by Shaun K. Roache and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2006-08 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Large fundamental imbalances persist in the global economy, with potential exchange rate implications. This paper assesses whether exchange rate risk is priced across G-7 stock markets. Given the multitude of hedging instruments available, theory suggests that stock market investors should not be compensated for currency risk. However, data covering 33 industry portfolios across seven major stock markets suggest that not only is exchange rate risk priced in many markets, but that it is time-varying and sensitive to currency-specific shocks. With stock market investors typically exhibiting "home bias," this suggests that investors are using equity asset proxies to hedge the exchange rate risks to consumption.

Currency Risk Premia and Unhedged, Foreign-currency Borrowing in Emerging Markets

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 146 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Currency Risk Premia and Unhedged, Foreign-currency Borrowing in Emerging Markets by : Sajjid Z. Chinoy

Download or read book Currency Risk Premia and Unhedged, Foreign-currency Borrowing in Emerging Markets written by Sajjid Z. Chinoy and published by . This book was released on 2001 with total page 146 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Local Currency Bond Risk Premia

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 28 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Local Currency Bond Risk Premia by : Oguzhan Cepni

Download or read book Local Currency Bond Risk Premia written by Oguzhan Cepni and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates the source of variation in emerging market (EM) local currency bond risk premium by employing panel fixed effects regression model. Moreover, we use the methodology of dynamic factor model for large datasets to investigate the possible linkages between excess bond return and economic activity. We provide evidence that macroeconomic and financial variables contain valuable information in explaining local currency bond excess returns. Additionally, we extend our analysis with a panel threshold estimation to investigate how the influence of different factors may vary in different states of the markets depending on the level of global risk appetite. The results show that investors pay more attention to changes in macroeconomic fundamentals when the global risk aversion is high. Also, the influence of exchange rate volatility is more pronounced during the time of market stress. On the other hand, positive credit rating changes decrease the country risk premium which results in lower bond risk premium in tranquil times. Overall, these findings imply that global investors view the local currency debt market as a separate asset class and explore potential diversification benefit from investing in emerging markets by differentiating meaningfully in terms of macroeconomic and financial fundamentals.

Inflation Targeting and Country Risk

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475554710
Total Pages : 30 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Inflation Targeting and Country Risk by : Mr.Armand Fouejieu

Download or read book Inflation Targeting and Country Risk written by Mr.Armand Fouejieu and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-01-23 with total page 30 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The sovereign debt crisis in Europe has highlighted the role of country risk premia as a link between countries’ fiscal and external balances, financial conditions and monetary policy. The purpose of this paper is to estimate how adoption of inflation targeting (IT) affects spreads. It is hypothesized that country risk premia for IT countries (especially among emerging market economies) may be lower than for other countries owing to greater policy predictability and more stable long-term inflation. The findings suggest that IT reduces the risk premium, both through adoption of the IT regime, and through the observed track record in stabilizing inflation.

Global Risk Premia on International Investments

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Publisher : Springer-Verlag
ISBN 13 : 3663085287
Total Pages : 306 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (63 download)

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Book Synopsis Global Risk Premia on International Investments by :

Download or read book Global Risk Premia on International Investments written by and published by Springer-Verlag. This book was released on 2013-07-01 with total page 306 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Implementing unconditional as well as conditional beta pricing models, the author identifies global economic factors that affect the performance of international investments.

Monetary Rules for Emerging Market Economies

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 46 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary Rules for Emerging Market Economies by : Fabio Ghironi

Download or read book Monetary Rules for Emerging Market Economies written by Fabio Ghironi and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2002-02 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We compare the performance of a currency board, inflation targeting, and dollarization in a small, open developing economy with a liberalized capital account. We focus on the transmission of shocks to currency and country risk premia and on the role of fluctuations in premia in the propagation of other shocks. We calibrate our model on Argentina. The framework matches the second moments of key variables well. Welfare analysis suggests that dollarization is preferable to alternative regimes because it removes currency premium volatility. However, a currency board can match dollarization on welfare grounds if the central bank holds a sufficiently large stock of foreign reserves.

Systematic Intervention and Currency Risk Premia

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 61 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Systematic Intervention and Currency Risk Premia by : Marcel Fratzscher

Download or read book Systematic Intervention and Currency Risk Premia written by Marcel Fratzscher and published by . This book was released on 2019 with total page 61 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Using data for the trades of 19 central banks intervening in currency markets, we show that stabilization policies by individual central banks lead to "systematic intervention" patterns. This systematic intervention is driven by and impacts on the same factors that drive currency excess returns: carry, momentum, value, and a dollar factor. The sensitivity of an individual central bank's intervention to these factors differs markedly across countries, with developed countries making a profit from intervention and emerging markets incurring large losses.

Pricing Currency Risk

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 88 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Pricing Currency Risk by : Sergio L. Schmukler

Download or read book Pricing Currency Risk written by Sergio L. Schmukler and published by . This book was released on 2002 with total page 88 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Hard pegs, such as currency boards, intend to reduce or even eliminate currency risk. This paper investigates the patterns and determinants of the currency risk premium in two currency boards -- Argentina and Hong Kong. Despite the presumed rigidity of currency boards, the currency premium is almost always positive and at times very large. Its term structure is usually upward sloping, but flattens out or even becomes inverted at times of turbulence. Currency premia differ across markets. The forward discount typically exceeds the currency premium derived from interbank rates, particularly during crisis times. The large magnitude of these cross-market differences can be the consequence of unexploited arbitrage opportunities, market segmentation, or other risks embedded in typical measures of currency risk. The premium and its term structure depend on domestic and global factors, related to devaluation expectations and risk perceptions.

Regional Exposures and the Risk Premium on Emerging Market Equity

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 192 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (448 download)

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Book Synopsis Regional Exposures and the Risk Premium on Emerging Market Equity by : Yi Zhang

Download or read book Regional Exposures and the Risk Premium on Emerging Market Equity written by Yi Zhang and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 192 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Risk Premia of Emerging Markets Investments

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (61 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk Premia of Emerging Markets Investments by : Susanne Stürmer

Download or read book Risk Premia of Emerging Markets Investments written by Susanne Stürmer and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Economics of Emerging Markets

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Publisher : Nova Publishers
ISBN 13 : 9781600218507
Total Pages : 378 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (185 download)

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Book Synopsis Economics of Emerging Markets by : Lado Beridze

Download or read book Economics of Emerging Markets written by Lado Beridze and published by Nova Publishers. This book was released on 2008 with total page 378 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book presents recent significant research dealing the economics of emerging markets. The term emerging markets is commonly used to describe business and market activity in industrialising or emerging regions of the world. The term is sometimes loosely used as a replacement for emerging economies, but really signifies a business phenomenon that is not fully described by or constrained to geography or economic strength; such countries are considered to be in a transitional phase between developing and developed status. Examples of emerging markets include China, India, Mexico, Brazil, much of Southeast Asia, countries in Eastern Europe, parts of Africa and Latin America. An emerging market is sometimes defined as "a country where politics matters at least as much as economics to the markets."

Handbook of Emerging Fixed Income and Currency Markets

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 9781883249335
Total Pages : 242 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (493 download)

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Book Synopsis Handbook of Emerging Fixed Income and Currency Markets by : Frank J. Fabozzi

Download or read book Handbook of Emerging Fixed Income and Currency Markets written by Frank J. Fabozzi and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 1997-08-15 with total page 242 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The fixed income markets in emerging countries represent a new and potentially lucrative area of investment for investors. But along with the possibility of big returns, there is a much greater risk. The Handbook of Emerging Fixed Income and Currency Markets shows investors how to identify solid investment opportunities in these markets, assess the risk potential, and develop an investment approach to ensure long-range profits. Featuring contributions from leading experts around the world, this book provides a comprehensive and authoritative guide to these exciting new markets.

Currency Risk Premia in Global Stock Markets

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 25 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (144 download)

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Book Synopsis Currency Risk Premia in Global Stock Markets by : Shaun K. Roache

Download or read book Currency Risk Premia in Global Stock Markets written by Shaun K. Roache and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 25 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Empirics of Foreign Exchange Intervention in Emerging Markets

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451854641
Total Pages : 34 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis The Empirics of Foreign Exchange Intervention in Emerging Markets by : Roberto Pereira Guimarães

Download or read book The Empirics of Foreign Exchange Intervention in Emerging Markets written by Roberto Pereira Guimarães and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2004-07-01 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes the effects of intervention on the level and volatility of the exchange rate in Mexico and Turkey, two emerging countries that have floating exchange rate regimes. The paper finds mixed evidence on the effectiveness of intervention. In Mexico, foreign exchange sales have a small impact on the exchange rate level and raise short-term volatility, while in Turkey, intervention does not appear to affect the exchange rate level but reduces its shortterm volatility. In both cases, the findings are consistent with officially stated policy objectives, which aim to minimize the effect of intervention on the exchange rate, but cast doubt on claims that intervention is a useful tool for smoothing volatility. Although these findings cannot be generalized to other emerging markets, intervention's apparently limited effectiveness highlights the need for central banks to use their scarce foreign reserves selectively and parsimoniously.

Managing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets

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Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226155420
Total Pages : 456 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (261 download)

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Book Synopsis Managing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets by : Michael P. Dooley

Download or read book Managing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets written by Michael P. Dooley and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-11-01 with total page 456 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The management of financial crises in emerging markets is a vital and high-stakes challenge in an increasingly global economy. For this reason, it's also a highly contentious issue in today's public policy circles. In this book, leading economists-many of whom have also participated in policy debates on these issues-consider how best to reduce the frequency and cost of such crises. The contributions here explore the management process from the beginning of a crisis to the long-term effects of the techniques used to minimize it. The first three chapters focus on the earliest responses and the immediate defense of a currency under attack, exploring whether unnecessary damage to economies can be avoided by adopting the right response within the first few days of a financial crisis. Next, contributors examine the adjustment programs that follow, considering how to design these programs so that they shorten the recovery phase, encourage economic growth, and minimize the probability of future difficulties. Finally, the last four papers analyze the actual effects of adjustment programs, asking whether they accomplish what they are designed to do-and whether, as many critics assert, they impose disproportionate costs on the poorest members of society. Recent high-profile currency crises have proven not only how harmful they can be to neighboring economies and trading partners, but also how important policy responses can be in determining their duration and severity. Economists and policymakers will welcome the insightful evaluations in this important volume, and those of its companion, Sebastian Edwards and Jeffrey A. Frankel's Preventing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets.