Consumption Volatility and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 42 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Consumption Volatility and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns by : Roméo Tédongap

Download or read book Consumption Volatility and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns written by Roméo Tédongap and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: I derive and test multi-horizon implications of a consumption-based equilibrium model featuring fluctuating expected growth and volatility. My setup allows consumption dynamics to be estimated jointly with covariance risk prices in a single-stage GMM, and then inferences from asset pricing tests reflect uncertainty coming from factor estimation. I show that changes in consumption volatility are the key driver for explaining major asset pricing anomalies across risk horizons, while other factors play no or a secondary role. Value stocks and past long-term losers pay higher average returns mainly because they covary more negatively with these changes than what other stocks do.

Habit, Production, and the Cross-section of Stock Returns

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (931 download)

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Book Synopsis Habit, Production, and the Cross-section of Stock Returns by : Andrew Y. Chen

Download or read book Habit, Production, and the Cross-section of Stock Returns written by Andrew Y. Chen and published by . This book was released on 2014 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Habit, Production, and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns

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Publisher : CreateSpace
ISBN 13 : 9781511918596
Total Pages : 42 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (185 download)

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Book Synopsis Habit, Production, and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns by : Federal Reserve Federal Reserve Board

Download or read book Habit, Production, and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns written by Federal Reserve Federal Reserve Board and published by CreateSpace. This book was released on 2015-04-27 with total page 42 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Solutions to the equity premium puzzle should inform us about the cross-section of stock returns. An external habit model with heterogeneous firms reproduces numerous stylized facts about both the equity premium and the value premium. The equity premium is large, time-varying, and linked with consumption volatility. The cross-section of expected returns is log-linear in B/M, and the slope matches the data. The explanation for the value pre-mium lies in the interaction between the cross-section of cash flows and the time-varying risk premium. Value firms are temporarily low produc-tivity firms, which will eventually experience high cash flows. The present value of these temporally distant cash flows is sensitive to risk premium movements. The value premium is the reward for bearing this sensitivity. Empirical evidence verifies that value firms have higher cash-flow growth. The data also show that value stock returns are more sensitive to risk premium movements, as measured by consumption volatility shocks.

The Cross-section of Volatility and Expected Returns

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 55 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis The Cross-section of Volatility and Expected Returns by : Andrew Ang

Download or read book The Cross-section of Volatility and Expected Returns written by Andrew Ang and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 55 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "We examine the pricing of aggregate volatility risk in the cross-section of stock returns. Consistent with theory, we find that stocks with high sensitivities to innovations in aggregate volatility have low average returns. In addition, we find that stocks with high idiosyncratic volatility relative to the Fama and French (1993) model have abysmally low average returns. This phenomenon cannot be explained by exposure to aggregate volatility risk. Size, book-to-market, momentum, and liquidity effects cannot account for either the low average returns earned by stocks with high exposure to systematic volatility risk or for the low average returns of stocks with high idiosyncratic volatility"--National Bureau of Economic Research web site.

Volatility

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 472 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Volatility by : Robert A. Jarrow

Download or read book Volatility written by Robert A. Jarrow and published by . This book was released on 1998 with total page 472 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Written by a number of authors, this text is aimed at market practitioners and applies the latest stochastic volatility research findings to the analysis of stock prices. It includes commentary and analysis based on real-life situations.

Cointegration, Causality, and Forecasting

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Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN 13 : 9780198296836
Total Pages : 512 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (968 download)

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Book Synopsis Cointegration, Causality, and Forecasting by : Halbert White

Download or read book Cointegration, Causality, and Forecasting written by Halbert White and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 1999 with total page 512 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A collection of essays in honour of Clive Granger. The chapters are by some of the world's leading econometricians, all of whom have collaborated with and/or studied with both) Clive Granger. Central themes of Granger's work are reflected in the book with attention to tests for unit roots and cointegration, tests of misspecification, forecasting models and forecast evaluation, non-linear and non-parametric econometric techniques, and overall, a careful blend of practical empirical work and strong theory. The book shows the scope of Granger's research and the range of the profession that has been influenced by his work.

The Cross-section of Stock Returns

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Publisher : World Bank Publications
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 28 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis The Cross-section of Stock Returns by : Stijn Claessens

Download or read book The Cross-section of Stock Returns written by Stijn Claessens and published by World Bank Publications. This book was released on 1995 with total page 28 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Empirical Asset Pricing

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Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 1118589475
Total Pages : 512 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (185 download)

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Book Synopsis Empirical Asset Pricing by : Turan G. Bali

Download or read book Empirical Asset Pricing written by Turan G. Bali and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2016-02-26 with total page 512 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: “Bali, Engle, and Murray have produced a highly accessible introduction to the techniques and evidence of modern empirical asset pricing. This book should be read and absorbed by every serious student of the field, academic and professional.” Eugene Fama, Robert R. McCormick Distinguished Service Professor of Finance, University of Chicago and 2013 Nobel Laureate in Economic Sciences “The empirical analysis of the cross-section of stock returns is a monumental achievement of half a century of finance research. Both the established facts and the methods used to discover them have subtle complexities that can mislead casual observers and novice researchers. Bali, Engle, and Murray’s clear and careful guide to these issues provides a firm foundation for future discoveries.” John Campbell, Morton L. and Carole S. Olshan Professor of Economics, Harvard University “Bali, Engle, and Murray provide clear and accessible descriptions of many of the most important empirical techniques and results in asset pricing.” Kenneth R. French, Roth Family Distinguished Professor of Finance, Tuck School of Business, Dartmouth College “This exciting new book presents a thorough review of what we know about the cross-section of stock returns. Given its comprehensive nature, systematic approach, and easy-to-understand language, the book is a valuable resource for any introductory PhD class in empirical asset pricing.” Lubos Pastor, Charles P. McQuaid Professor of Finance, University of Chicago Empirical Asset Pricing: The Cross Section of Stock Returns is a comprehensive overview of the most important findings of empirical asset pricing research. The book begins with thorough expositions of the most prevalent econometric techniques with in-depth discussions of the implementation and interpretation of results illustrated through detailed examples. The second half of the book applies these techniques to demonstrate the most salient patterns observed in stock returns. The phenomena documented form the basis for a range of investment strategies as well as the foundations of contemporary empirical asset pricing research. Empirical Asset Pricing: The Cross Section of Stock Returns also includes: Discussions on the driving forces behind the patterns observed in the stock market An extensive set of results that serve as a reference for practitioners and academics alike Numerous references to both contemporary and foundational research articles Empirical Asset Pricing: The Cross Section of Stock Returns is an ideal textbook for graduate-level courses in asset pricing and portfolio management. The book is also an indispensable reference for researchers and practitioners in finance and economics. Turan G. Bali, PhD, is the Robert Parker Chair Professor of Finance in the McDonough School of Business at Georgetown University. The recipient of the 2014 Jack Treynor prize, he is the coauthor of Mathematical Methods for Finance: Tools for Asset and Risk Management, also published by Wiley. Robert F. Engle, PhD, is the Michael Armellino Professor of Finance in the Stern School of Business at New York University. He is the 2003 Nobel Laureate in Economic Sciences, Director of the New York University Stern Volatility Institute, and co-founding President of the Society for Financial Econometrics. Scott Murray, PhD, is an Assistant Professor in the Department of Finance in the J. Mack Robinson College of Business at Georgia State University. He is the recipient of the 2014 Jack Treynor prize.

Lazy Investors, Discretionary Consumption, and the Cross Section of Stock Returns

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 79 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Lazy Investors, Discretionary Consumption, and the Cross Section of Stock Returns by : Yong Wang

Download or read book Lazy Investors, Discretionary Consumption, and the Cross Section of Stock Returns written by Yong Wang and published by . This book was released on 2005 with total page 79 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: When consumption betas of stocks are computed using year-over-year consumption growth based upon the fourth quarter, the CCAPM explains the cross-section of stock returns as well as the Fama and French (1993) three-factor model. The CCAPM's performance deteriorates substantially when consumption growth is measured based upon other quarters. For the CCAPM to hold at any given point in time, investors must make their consumption and investment decisions simultaneously at that point in time. We suspect that this is more likely to happen during the fourth quarter, given investors' tax year ends in December.

Idiosyncratic Return Volatility in the Cross-section of Stocks

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (725 download)

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Book Synopsis Idiosyncratic Return Volatility in the Cross-section of Stocks by : Namho Kang

Download or read book Idiosyncratic Return Volatility in the Cross-section of Stocks written by Namho Kang and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper uncovers the changes in the cross-sectional distribution of idiosyncratic volatility of stocks over the period 1963--2008. The contribution of the top decile to the total market idiosyncratic volatility increased, while the contribution of the bottom decile decreased. We introduce a simple theoretical model showing that larger capital of Long/Short-Equity funds further exacerbates large idiosyncratic shocks but attenuates small idiosyncratic shocks. This effect is stronger for more illiquid stocks. Time-series and cross-sectional results are consistent with the predictions of the model. The results are robust to industry affiliation, stock liquidity, firm size, firm leverage, as well as sign of price change. These findings highlight the roll of hedge funds and other institutional investors in explaining the dynamics of extreme realizations in the cross-section of returns.

Financial Markets and the Real Economy

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Publisher : Now Publishers Inc
ISBN 13 : 1933019158
Total Pages : 117 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (33 download)

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Book Synopsis Financial Markets and the Real Economy by : John H. Cochrane

Download or read book Financial Markets and the Real Economy written by John H. Cochrane and published by Now Publishers Inc. This book was released on 2005 with total page 117 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Financial Markets and the Real Economy reviews the current academic literature on the macroeconomics of finance.

Strategic Asset Allocation

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Publisher : OUP Oxford
ISBN 13 : 019160691X
Total Pages : 272 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (916 download)

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Book Synopsis Strategic Asset Allocation by : John Y. Campbell

Download or read book Strategic Asset Allocation written by John Y. Campbell and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2002-01-03 with total page 272 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Academic finance has had a remarkable impact on many financial services. Yet long-term investors have received curiously little guidance from academic financial economists. Mean-variance analysis, developed almost fifty years ago, has provided a basic paradigm for portfolio choice. This approach usefully emphasizes the ability of diversification to reduce risk, but it ignores several critically important factors. Most notably, the analysis is static; it assumes that investors care only about risks to wealth one period ahead. However, many investors—-both individuals and institutions such as charitable foundations or universities—-seek to finance a stream of consumption over a long lifetime. In addition, mean-variance analysis treats financial wealth in isolation from income. Long-term investors typically receive a stream of income and use it, along with financial wealth, to support their consumption. At the theoretical level, it is well understood that the solution to a long-term portfolio choice problem can be very different from the solution to a short-term problem. Long-term investors care about intertemporal shocks to investment opportunities and labor income as well as shocks to wealth itself, and they may use financial assets to hedge their intertemporal risks. This should be important in practice because there is a great deal of empirical evidence that investment opportunities—-both interest rates and risk premia on bonds and stocks—-vary through time. Yet this insight has had little influence on investment practice because it is hard to solve for optimal portfolios in intertemporal models. This book seeks to develop the intertemporal approach into an empirical paradigm that can compete with the standard mean-variance analysis. The book shows that long-term inflation-indexed bonds are the riskless asset for long-term investors, it explains the conditions under which stocks are safer assets for long-term than for short-term investors, and it shows how labor income influences portfolio choice. These results shed new light on the rules of thumb used by financial planners. The book explains recent advances in both analytical and numerical methods, and shows how they can be used to understand the portfolio choice problems of long-term investors.

Essays on Temporal and Cross-sectional Variation in the Expected Return of Risky Securities, and Tests of Portfolio Efficiency

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 330 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Essays on Temporal and Cross-sectional Variation in the Expected Return of Risky Securities, and Tests of Portfolio Efficiency by : Mark Britten-Jones

Download or read book Essays on Temporal and Cross-sectional Variation in the Expected Return of Risky Securities, and Tests of Portfolio Efficiency written by Mark Britten-Jones and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 330 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Good Volatility, Bad Volatility and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 77 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Good Volatility, Bad Volatility and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns by : Tim Bollerslev

Download or read book Good Volatility, Bad Volatility and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns written by Tim Bollerslev and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 77 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Based on intraday data for a large cross-section of individual stocks and newly developed econometric procedures, we decompose the realized variation for each of the stocks into separate so-called realized up and down semi-variance measures, or “good” and “bad” volatilities, associated with positive and negative high-frequency price increments, respectively. Sorting the individual stocks into portfolios based on their normalized good minus bad volatilities results in economically large and highly statistically significant differences in the subsequent portfolio returns. These differences remain significant after controlling for other firm characteristics and explanatory variables previously associated with the cross-section of expected stock returns.

Volatility and the Cross-Section of Equity Returns

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 55 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (13 download)

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Book Synopsis Volatility and the Cross-Section of Equity Returns by : Ruslan Goyenko

Download or read book Volatility and the Cross-Section of Equity Returns written by Ruslan Goyenko and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page 55 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A number of papers document a strong negative relation between idiosyncratic volatility and risk-adjusted stock returns. Using IHS Markit data on indicative borrowing fees, we show that stocks with high idiosyncratic volatility are far more likely to be hard-to-borrow than stocks with low idiosyncratic volatility. When hard-to-borrow stocks are excluded, the relation between idiosyncratic volatility and stock returns disappears. The relation between idiosyncratic volatility and stocks returns is more accurately described as a relation between being hard-to-borrow and stock returns.

Consumption Risk and Expected Stock Returns

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 13 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (249 download)

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Book Synopsis Consumption Risk and Expected Stock Returns by : Jonathan A. Parker

Download or read book Consumption Risk and Expected Stock Returns written by Jonathan A. Parker and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 13 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Habit Formation and the Cross Section of Stock Returns

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 74 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Habit Formation and the Cross Section of Stock Returns by : Lior Menzly

Download or read book Habit Formation and the Cross Section of Stock Returns written by Lior Menzly and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page 74 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We develop an external habit persistence model where the time series of the aggregate portfolio and the cross section of stock returns are simultaneously studied and tested. By applying a slightly modified version of the model of Campbell and Cochrane (1999), we obtain closed form solutions for individual securities prices and returns and a full characterizations of the dynamics of the risk-return characteristics of individual securities. We find that each stock return quot;betaquot; with respect to the total wealth portfolios is jointly determined by an aggregate variable that depends on the habit level, and an idiosyncratic asset characteristics that depends on the contribution of the security to total consumption relative to its long-run average contribution. This functional form imposes tight predictions on the cross sectional test, including sign and magnitude of the coefficients, and insures that the explanatory power of the beta comes from the predictable part of the realization of returns. An estimate of the model for a set of 20 industry portfolios is able to explain cross-sectional variation in the conditional expected returns. Moreover, the model generates price consumption ratios for individual industries that track well the empirical ones.