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Cointegration And The Monetary Exchange Rate Model Revisited
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Book Synopsis Cointegration and the Monetary Exchange Rate Model Revisited by : Jan J. Groen
Download or read book Cointegration and the Monetary Exchange Rate Model Revisited written by Jan J. Groen and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: To test for cointegration in a multiple of countries a number of procedures are available: a panel vector error correction framework, a panel-data version of the Engle and Granger (1987) two-step procedure and the Johansen (1991) trace statistic. We apply these three methods on two four-country datasets consisting of the exchange rate data and monetary fundamentals relative to both the United Kingdom and the United States to test the empirical validity of the monetary exchange rate model. Of the three aforementioned methods only the panel vector error correction approach provides evidence for the validity of both the cointegration restriction as well as the long-run parameter restrictions of the monetary model, irrespective of the numeraire country.
Book Synopsis The Monetary Model Strikes Back by : Valerie Cerra
Download or read book The Monetary Model Strikes Back written by Valerie Cerra and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2008-03 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We revisit the dramatic failure of monetary models in explaining exchange rate movements. Using the information content from 98 countries, we find strong evidence for cointegration between nominal exchange rates and monetary fundamentals. We also find fundamentalsbased models very successful in beating a random walk in out-of-sample prediction.
Book Synopsis Modelling the US$/A$ Exchange Rate Using Cointegration Techniques by : Costas I. Karfakis
Download or read book Modelling the US$/A$ Exchange Rate Using Cointegration Techniques written by Costas I. Karfakis and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Real Exchange Rate Levels, Productivity and Demand Shocks by : Menzie David Chinn
Download or read book Real Exchange Rate Levels, Productivity and Demand Shocks written by Menzie David Chinn and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1997-05-01 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We investigate the long-run relationship between the real exchange rate, traded and nontraded productivity levels, and government spending for 14 OECD countries, using recently developed panel cointegration tests. The results indicate that under certain assumptions it is easier to detect cointegration in panel data than in the available time series; moreover, the rate of reversion to long-run equilibrium is estimated with greater precision. Using the model augmented by oil prices, we find that in 1991 (the last year productivity data are available) there is less overvaluation of the U.S. dollar than that implied by a naive version of purchasing power parity.
Book Synopsis Integration, Cointegration and the Forecast Consistency of Structural Exchange Rate Models by : Yin-Wong Cheung
Download or read book Integration, Cointegration and the Forecast Consistency of Structural Exchange Rate Models written by Yin-Wong Cheung and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 66 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Exchange rate forecasts are generated using some popular monetary models of exchange rates in conjunction with several estimation techniques. We propose an alternative set of criteria for evaluating forecast rationality which entails the following requirements: the forecast and the actual series i) have the same order of integration, ii) are cointegrated, and iii) have a cointegrating vector consistent with long run unitary elasticity of expectations. When these conditions hold, we consider the forecasts to be consistent.' We find that it is fairly easy for the generated forecasts to pass the first requirement. However, according to the Johansen procedure, cointegration fails to hold the farther out the forecasts extend. At the one year ahead horizon, most series and their respective forecasts do not appear cointegrated. Of the cointegrated pairs, the restriction of unitary elasticity of forecasts with respect to actual appears not to be rejected in general. The exception to this pattern is in the case of the error correction models in the longer subsample. Using the Horvath-Watson procedure, which imposes a unitary coefficient restriction, we find fewer instances of consistency, but a relatively higher proportion of the identified cases of consistency are found at the longer horizons.
Book Synopsis Cointegration Model of Monetary Exchange Rate Determination Under Purchasing Power Parity Environment by : Carlos Castillo
Download or read book Cointegration Model of Monetary Exchange Rate Determination Under Purchasing Power Parity Environment written by Carlos Castillo and published by . This book was released on 1997 with total page 406 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis The Hyperinflation Model of Money Demand Revisited by : Mark P. Taylor
Download or read book The Hyperinflation Model of Money Demand Revisited written by Mark P. Taylor and published by . This book was released on 1990 with total page 48 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2007 by : Daron Acemoglu
Download or read book NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2007 written by Daron Acemoglu and published by . This book was released on 2008-03 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The NBER Macroeconomics Annual provides a forum for important debates in contemporary macroeconomics and major developments in the theory of macroeconomic analysis and policy that include leading economists from a variety of fields. The papers and accompanying discussions in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2007 address exchange-rate models; implications of credit market frictions; cyclical budgetary policy and economic growth; the impacts of shocks to government spending on consumption, real wages, and employment; dynamic macroeconomic models; and the role of cyclical entry of new firms and products on the nature of business-cycle fluctuations and on the effects of monetary policy.
Book Synopsis The Transfer Problem Revisited by : Philip R. Lane
Download or read book The Transfer Problem Revisited written by Philip R. Lane and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Cointegration Modeling of Expected Exchange Rates by : Robert A. Connolly
Download or read book Cointegration Modeling of Expected Exchange Rates written by Robert A. Connolly and published by . This book was released on 2012 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: If foreign exchange market participants form rational forecasts of future exchange rates, we should expect that these forecasts should be closely matched to subsequent realizations. Specifically, rational forecasts of a time series and the observed series itself should be cointegrated. In this paper, we apply this insight to multiple exchange rate series and a corresponding set of market expectations of future values of the exchange rate series. We build a cointegration (and associated error-correction) model of actual and expected exchange rates for five exchange rates against the U.S. Dollar, using weekly expectations data from Money Market Services, International for the 1986 - 1997 period. Our empirical work produces very strong evidence of cointegration between the exchange rate series and the expected rates series. We find strong evidence that existing work that ignores the impact of error-correction is significantly misspecified. At the shortest forecast horizon, the error-correction term dominates all other determinants of changes in expected exchange rates in our sample and indicates a sensible response by market participants to past mistakes in forecasting future rates. At longer forecast horizons, error-correction remains very important, but lagged changes in actual and expected rates also play a role. We find limited evidence of threshold effects in our error-correction models.
Book Synopsis Cointegration Studies of Monetary-type Models of the Real Exchange Rate for New Zealand by : Julian Peter Williams
Download or read book Cointegration Studies of Monetary-type Models of the Real Exchange Rate for New Zealand written by Julian Peter Williams and published by . This book was released on 1996 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis A Cointegration Approach to the Monetary Model of the Exchange Rate by : Marco Arnone
Download or read book A Cointegration Approach to the Monetary Model of the Exchange Rate written by Marco Arnone and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 59 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Economics by : Ronald MacDonald
Download or read book Exchange Rate Economics written by Ronald MacDonald and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2007-03-12 with total page 465 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: First published in 2007. Exchange Rate Economics: Theories and Evidence is the second edition of Floating Exchange Rates: Theories and Evidence, and builds on the successful content and structure of the previous edition, but has been comprehensively updated and expanded to include additional literature on the determination of both fixed and floating exchange rates. Core topics covered include: • the purchasing power parity hypothesis and the PPP puzzle; • the monetary and portfolio-balance approaches to exchange rates; • the new open economy macroeconomics approach to exchange rates; and • the determination of exchange rates in target zone models and speculative attack models. Exchange Rate Economics: Theories and Evidence also includes extensive discussion of recent econometric work on exchange rates with a particular focus on equilibrium exchange rates and measuring exchange rate misalignment, as well as discussion on the non-fundamentals-based approaches to exchange rate behaviour, such as the market microstructure approach. The book will appeal to academics and postgraduate students with an interest in all aspects of international finance and will also be of interest to practitioners concerned with issues relating to equilibrium exchange rates and the forecastability of currencies in terms of macroeconomic fundamentals.
Book Synopsis The Theory And Empirics Of Exchange Rates by : Imad A Moosa
Download or read book The Theory And Empirics Of Exchange Rates written by Imad A Moosa and published by World Scientific. This book was released on 2009-07-15 with total page 512 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Exchange rate economics is an important field of investigation for academics, professionals and policy-makers. This book provides a comprehensive survey of the theory of and empirical evidence on the determination and effects of exchange rates. The exposition utilizes both diagrammatic and mathematical representations of the underlying models. The book is a comprehensive reference for those engaged in this field of research.
Book Synopsis Exchange Rate Economics by : Ronald MacDonald
Download or read book Exchange Rate Economics written by Ronald MacDonald and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2005 with total page 334 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: ''In summary, the book is valuable as a textbook both at the advanced undergraduate level and at the graduate level. It is also very useful for the economist who wants to be brought up-to-date on theoretical and empirical research on exchange rate behaviour.'' ""Journal of International Economics""
Book Synopsis An Empirical Assessment of the Exchange Rate Pass-through in Mozambique by : International Monetary Fund
Download or read book An Empirical Assessment of the Exchange Rate Pass-through in Mozambique written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-05-06 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Determining the magnitude and speed of the exchange rate passthrough (ERPT) to inflation has been of paramount importance for policy-makers in developed and emerging economies. This paper estimates the exchange rate passthrough in Mozambique using econometric techniques on a sample spanning from 2001 to 2019. Results suggest that the ERPT is assymetric, sizable and fast, with 50 percent of the exchange rate variations passing through to prices in less than six months. Policy-makers should continue to pursue low and stable inflation and develop a strong track record of prudent macroeconomic policies for the ERPT to decline.
Book Synopsis The Economics of Foreign Exchange and Global Finance by : Peijie Wang
Download or read book The Economics of Foreign Exchange and Global Finance written by Peijie Wang and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-08-28 with total page 492 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This textbook presents all major topics in international monetary theory, foreign exchange markets, international financial management and investment analysis. It focuses on real-world problems in the sense that it provides guidance on how to solve policy issues as well as how to complete financial assignments across the globe. This in turn helps readers gain an understanding of the theory and refine the framework. This third edition of the book incorporates three new chapters, and most of the chapters from the second edition have been updated to integrate new material, data, and/or the recent developments in the areas. The book can be used in graduate and advanced undergraduate programs in international or global finance, international monetary economics, and international financial management. It is also a valuable reference book for researchers in these areas.
