China’s Demography and its Implications

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484363361
Total Pages : 27 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis China’s Demography and its Implications by : Mr.Il Houng Lee

Download or read book China’s Demography and its Implications written by Mr.Il Houng Lee and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2013-03-28 with total page 27 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In coming decades, China will undergo a notable demographic transformation, with its old-age dependency ratio doubling to 24 percent by 2030 and rising even more precipitously thereafter. This paper uses the permanent income hypothesis to reassess national savings behavior, with greater prominence and more careful consideration given to the role played by changing demography. We use a forward-looking and dynamic approach that considers the entire population distribution. We find that this not only holds up well empirically but may also be superior to the static dependency ratios typically employed in the literature. Going further, we simulate global savings behavior based on our framework and find that China’s demographics should have induced a negative current account in the 2000s and a positive one in the 2010s given the rising share of prime savers, only turning negative around 2045. The opposite is true for the United States and Western Europe. The observed divergence in current account outcomes from the simulated path appears to have been partly policy induced. Over the next couple of decades, individual countries’ convergence toward the simulated savings pattern will be influenced by their past divergences and future policy choices. Other implications arising from China’s demography, including the growth model, the pension system, the labor market, and the public finances are also briefly reviewed.

Analysing China's Population

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Author :
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 9401789878
Total Pages : 268 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (17 download)

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Book Synopsis Analysing China's Population by : Isabelle Attané

Download or read book Analysing China's Population written by Isabelle Attané and published by Springer. This book was released on 2014-10-06 with total page 268 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Based on China’s recently released 2010 population census data, this edited volume analyses the most recent demographic trends in China, in the context of significant social and economic upheavals. The editor and the expert contributors describe the main features of China’s demography, and focus on the details of this latest phase of its demographic transition. The book explores such striking characteristics of China’s demography as the changing age and sex population structure; recent trends in marriage and divorce; fertility trends with a focus on sex imbalance at birth; the demography of the ethnic minorities and recent mortality trends by sex. Analysing China's Population: Social Change in a New Demographic Era examines and assesses the impact of changes that in the coming decades will be crucial for individuals, and the larger society and economy of the nation.

Transition and Challenge

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Author :
Publisher : OUP Oxford
ISBN 13 : 0191538434
Total Pages : 364 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (915 download)

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Book Synopsis Transition and Challenge by : Zhongwei Zhao

Download or read book Transition and Challenge written by Zhongwei Zhao and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 2007-02-22 with total page 364 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: With the largest population in the world, China has experienced significant demographic, social, and economic changes in recent decades. Extraordinary demographic changes took place in China in the second half of the twentieth century having wide-ranging consequences. This book, written by a group of leading experts, examines these profound changes in an effort to understand their long term impact and provide an up-to-date account of China's demographic reality. The volume provides a comprehensive and authoritative analysis of a wide range of issues such as China's unprecedented family planning program, the impact of falling birth rates coupled with increasing life expectancy, changes in marriage patterns, and increasing rural-urban migration. Anyone who is interested in China and its recent demographic changes will benefit from the rich materials and thorough analysis provided in this book.

The Population of Modern China

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Author :
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1489912312
Total Pages : 750 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (899 download)

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Book Synopsis The Population of Modern China by : Dudley L. Poston Jr.

Download or read book The Population of Modern China written by Dudley L. Poston Jr. and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-11-11 with total page 750 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Student~ interested in world populations and demography inevitably need to know China. As the most populous country of the world, China occupies a unique position in the world population system. How its population is shaped by the intricate interplays among factors such as its political ideology and institutions, economic reality, government policies, sociocultural traditions, and ethnic divergence represents at once a fascinating and challenging arena for investigatIon and analysis. Yet, for much of the 20th century, while population studies have developed into a mature science, precise information and sophisticated analysis about the Chinese population had largely remained either lacking or inaccessible, first because of the absence of systematic databases due to almost uninterrupted strife and wars, and later because the society was closed to the outside observers for about three decades since 1949. Since the end of the Cultural Revolution, things have dramatically changed. China has embarked on an ambitious reform program where modernization became the utmost goal of societal mobilization. China could no longer afford to rely on imprecise census or survey information for population-related studies and policy planning, nor to remaining closed to the outside world. Both the gathering of more precise information and access to such information have dramatically increased in the 1980s. Systematic observations, analyses and reporting about the Chinese population have surfaced in the population literature around the globe.

Implications of the Aging of China's Population

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 56 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Implications of the Aging of China's Population by : Judith Banister

Download or read book Implications of the Aging of China's Population written by Judith Banister and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page 56 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

China’s Demographic Dilemma and Potential Solutions

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Author :
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 9789811014901
Total Pages : 0 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (149 download)

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Book Synopsis China’s Demographic Dilemma and Potential Solutions by : Long Mo

Download or read book China’s Demographic Dilemma and Potential Solutions written by Long Mo and published by Springer. This book was released on 2020-03-08 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is a quantitative assessment of the challenges China faces as it tries to achieve the twin goals of mitigating the effects of population aging while containing the overall size of the population. After a close examination of the impact of China’s fertility policies on the country’s population structure and size, the author presents empirical evidence for the effectiveness of finely calibrated easing of the country’s decades-long birth control policies for both of these objectives. This research uses an innovative quantitative indicator—the Aging and Economic Coordination Index (AECI)—to measure the macroeconomic pressure population aging places on the country. This is the first time the AECI has been systematically applied to gauge the magnitude and the trends of that pressure for the 1980–2050 period, and to provide the basis for policy suggestions about what might be done to ease that pressure.

Economic Implications of China's Demographics in the 21st Century

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Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451844824
Total Pages : 32 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Economic Implications of China's Demographics in the 21st Century by : Mr.Kevin C. Cheng

Download or read book Economic Implications of China's Demographics in the 21st Century written by Mr.Kevin C. Cheng and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-02-01 with total page 32 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This study assesses the economic implications of China's changing population in the 21st century using a numerical general equilibrium model. The simulations show that lower fertility rates yield lower saving rates. Since lower fertility rates reduce the future supply of labor, capital will become less productive. Consequently, if international capital mobility is high in China, a low fertility rate implies more future capital outflows. But if capital is less mobile, low fertility today lowers the domestic return to capital and raises the domestic return to labor. In addition, the paper finds no significant link between demographic structures and per capita income growth.

The China Population and Labor Yearbook, Volume 1

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Author :
Publisher : BRILL
ISBN 13 : 9004180575
Total Pages : 328 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (41 download)

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Book Synopsis The China Population and Labor Yearbook, Volume 1 by : Fang Cai

Download or read book The China Population and Labor Yearbook, Volume 1 written by Fang Cai and published by BRILL. This book was released on 2009-05-06 with total page 328 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This yearbook is a collection of important articles by demographers and economists from CASS and other top research and policy institutes in China. Several of the articles in this volume are based on major labor and population surveys carried out in recent years.

Implications of the Aging of China's Population

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 52 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)

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Book Synopsis Implications of the Aging of China's Population by : Judith Banister

Download or read book Implications of the Aging of China's Population written by Judith Banister and published by . This book was released on 1988 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

China’s Economic Growth Prospects

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Author :
Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN 13 : 1781005850
Total Pages : 256 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (81 download)

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Book Synopsis China’s Economic Growth Prospects by : Cai Fang

Download or read book China’s Economic Growth Prospects written by Cai Fang and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2016-01-29 with total page 256 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: China has grown rapidly since the reform initiation of the 1970s. China’s Economic Growth Prospects narrates the contribution of demographic transition to recent economic growth in China, and provides suggestions for ways in which it can sustain growth over the next few decades. The expert author provides reasons for the economic slowdown since the second decade of the twenty-first century; explores the challenges facing China’s long-term sustainability of growth with the disappearance of demographic dividend; and proposes policy suggestions. He concludes that, in order to avoid the middle-income trap, economic growth in China must transform from an inputs-driven pattern, to a productivity-driven pattern. Academics, researchers and students of economics and business, particularly those specialising in China, will find this book to be a useful resource. Investment bankers, journalists, politicians and policy makers will find the discussions of past experience and the future potential of the Chinese economy to be of interest.

Contemporary Demographic Transformations in China, India and Indonesia

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Author :
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319247832
Total Pages : 342 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (192 download)

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Book Synopsis Contemporary Demographic Transformations in China, India and Indonesia by : Christophe Z. Guilmoto

Download or read book Contemporary Demographic Transformations in China, India and Indonesia written by Christophe Z. Guilmoto and published by Springer. This book was released on 2015-12-12 with total page 342 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book examines the profound demographic transformation affecting China, India, and Indonesia, where 40% of the world's people live. It offers a systematic, comparative approach that will help readers to better understand the changing social and regional recomposition of the population in these regions. The chapters present a detailed investigation and mapping of regional trends in mortality, fertility, migration and urbanization, education, and aging. Throughout, the analysis carefully considers how these trends affect economic and social development. Coverage also raises global, theoretical questions about the singular ways in which each of these three countries have achieved their demographic transition. As the authors reveal, demographic trends seem to be somewhat linear and anticipatable, providing Asia’s three demographic giants and their governments a formidable advantage in planning for the future. But the evolution of human mobility in China, India, and Indonesia, closely intertwined as it is with changing economic conditions, appears less predictable and ranks high among the major challenges to demographic knowledge in the coming decades. Offering an insightful look into the components, implications, and regional variations of a changing population, this book will appeal to social scientists, demographers, anthropologists, sociologists, epidemiologists, and specialists in Asian studies.

The Great Demographic Reversal

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Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030426572
Total Pages : 260 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (34 download)

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Book Synopsis The Great Demographic Reversal by : Charles Goodhart

Download or read book The Great Demographic Reversal written by Charles Goodhart and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2020-08-08 with total page 260 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This original and panoramic book proposes that the underlying forces of demography and globalisation will shortly reverse three multi-decade global trends – it will raise inflation and interest rates, but lead to a pullback in inequality. “Whatever the future holds”, the authors argue, “it will be nothing like the past”. Deflationary headwinds over the last three decades have been primarily due to an enormous surge in the world’s available labour supply, owing to very favourable demographic trends and the entry of China and Eastern Europe into the world’s trading system. This book demonstrates how these demographic trends are on the point of reversing sharply, coinciding with a retreat from globalisation. The result? Ageing can be expected to raise inflation and interest rates, bringing a slew of problems for an over-indebted world economy, but is also anticipated to increase the share of labour, so that inequality falls. Covering many social and political factors, as well as those that are more purely macroeconomic, the authors address topics including ageing, dementia, inequality, populism, retirement and debt finance, among others. This book will be of interest and understandable to anyone with an interest on where the world’s economy may be going.

Governing China's Population

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Author :
Publisher : Stanford University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780804748803
Total Pages : 420 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (488 download)

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Book Synopsis Governing China's Population by : Susan Greenhalgh

Download or read book Governing China's Population written by Susan Greenhalgh and published by Stanford University Press. This book was released on 2005 with total page 420 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: 'Governing China's Population' tells the story of political and cultural shifts, from the perspectives of both regime and society.

China's Low Birth Rate and the Development of Population

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Author :
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 135161293X
Total Pages : 367 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (516 download)

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Book Synopsis China's Low Birth Rate and the Development of Population by : Guo Zhigang

Download or read book China's Low Birth Rate and the Development of Population written by Guo Zhigang and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2017-12-12 with total page 367 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As the most populous country in the world, China’s demographic challenges have always been too many people for ecological system, resources, and the environment. However, by the early 1990s, fertility rate in China had dropped below the replacement level, and China’s low fertility has now attracted the world’s attention. This book is among the first studies to raise and examine questions on low fertility in China, believing that China has entered a new era featured by low birth rate and ageing population. Utilizing advanced research methods and models on low fertility to analyze China’s census data, this book explores the issues from various perspectives. Methodologies employed in past population studies, policy making concerning fertility rate, underreporting of births and fertility rate estimates, fertility level of the migrant population, current population pattern, long-term population trends, population dynamics, and many other thought-provoking problems are covered. Finally, the book revisits China’s population issues in the context of globalization. The 21st century has seen the new challenge of persistent population decrease and ageing worldwide, which, along with economic globalization, demands a new understanding of the changes in population pattern and their consequences. Researchers and students in China’s demographic and social studies will be attracted by the insightful analysis and rich materials provided in the book. Population policy makers will also benefit from it.

China's Labour Market, 1950–2050

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Author :
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3031531388
Total Pages : 171 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (315 download)

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Book Synopsis China's Labour Market, 1950–2050 by : Jane Du

Download or read book China's Labour Market, 1950–2050 written by Jane Du and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on with total page 171 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Demographic Developments in China

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Author :
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1317701771
Total Pages : 275 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (177 download)

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Book Synopsis Demographic Developments in China by : China Development Research Foundation

Download or read book Demographic Developments in China written by China Development Research Foundation and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2014-06-05 with total page 275 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book assesses current developments in China’s demography, and discusses the changes which should be implemented to bring policy into line with the current demographic situation. It argues that population planning, which was introduced in the early years of the People’s Republic alongside economic planning, including "the one child policy", is no longer appropriate. It considers the results of the 2010 census, which showed the very significant shifts that are occurring , including a declining rate of population growth, ongoing growth of the number of people in "the floating population", an increasingly imbalanced sex ratio among newborn children, and ongoing ageing of the population. Besides discussing population planning policy, the book also examines how policies in the fields of education, health, gender relations, child development in rural areas, and polices for the elderly and families should be adjusted to accommodate demographic developments.

Recent Trends in China's Population and Their Implications

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Author :
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 52 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Recent Trends in China's Population and Their Implications by : Xizhe Peng

Download or read book Recent Trends in China's Population and Their Implications written by Xizhe Peng and published by . This book was released on 1994 with total page 52 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: