Chance And Consequence

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Chance and Consequence

Author : Sylvia Smoller
Publisher : iUniverse
ISBN 13 : 1532057407
Total Pages : 253 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (32 download)

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Book Synopsis Chance and Consequence by : Sylvia Smoller

Download or read book Chance and Consequence written by Sylvia Smoller and published by iUniverse. This book was released on 2018-10-19 with total page 253 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How much of our lives are determined by coincidences, how much by the choices we make? And how do those choices reverberate through time to affect those we love? This sweeping, historically accurate novel tells the story of people caught in the momentous upheavals of World War II, their destinies driven by chance, by the force of their characters and by the courage of a Japanese diplomat. Set in the period from 1918 to 1945, the story explores the impact of historical and political events on individual lives, on friendship, family ties and love. Against the backdrop of Poland, London, Moscow, Japan and America, consumed by her opposing desires — to be independent yet be taken care of - Rachel, the central character, must hold love in the balance and find her own answer to Freud’s famous question: What do women want?

Choice and Consequence

Author : Thomas C. Schelling
Publisher : Harvard University Press
ISBN 13 : 0674255976
Total Pages : 384 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (742 download)

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Book Synopsis Choice and Consequence by : Thomas C. Schelling

Download or read book Choice and Consequence written by Thomas C. Schelling and published by Harvard University Press. This book was released on 1985-10-15 with total page 384 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Thomas Schelling is a political economist “conspicuous for wandering”—an errant economist. In Choice and Consequence, he ventures into the area where rationality is ambiguous in order to look at the tricks people use to try to quit smoking or lose weight. He explores topics as awesome as nuclear terrorism, as sordid as blackmail, as ineffable as daydreaming, as intimidating as euthanasia. He examines ethical issues wrapped up in economics, unwrapping the economics to disclose ethical issues that are misplaced or misidentified. With an ingenious, often startling approach, Schelling brings new perspectives to problems ranging from drug abuse, abortion, and the value people put on their lives to organized crime, airplane hijacking, and automobile safety. One chapter is a clear and elegant exposition of game theory as a framework for analyzing social problems. Another plays with the hypothesis that our minds are not only our problem-solving equipment but also the organ in which much of our consumption takes place. What binds together the different subjects is the author’s belief in the possibility of simultaneously being humane and analytical, of dealing with both the momentous and the familiar. Choice and Consequence was written for the curious, the puzzled, the worried, and all those who appreciate intellectual adventure.

Time and Chance

Author : David Z Albert
Publisher : Harvard University Press
ISBN 13 : 0674020138
Total Pages : 188 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (74 download)

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Book Synopsis Time and Chance by : David Z Albert

Download or read book Time and Chance written by David Z Albert and published by Harvard University Press. This book was released on 2003-02-28 with total page 188 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book is an attempt to get to the bottom of an acute and perennial tension between our best scientific pictures of the fundamental physical structure of the world and our everyday empirical experience of it. The trouble is about the direction of time. The situation (very briefly) is that it is a consequence of almost every one of those fundamental scientific pictures--and that it is at the same time radically at odds with our common sense--that whatever can happen can just as naturally happen backwards. Albert provides an unprecedentedly clear, lively, and systematic new account--in the context of a Newtonian-Mechanical picture of the world--of the ultimate origins of the statistical regularities we see around us, of the temporal irreversibility of the Second Law of Thermodynamics, of the asymmetries in our epistemic access to the past and the future, and of our conviction that by acting now we can affect the future but not the past. Then, in the final section of the book, he generalizes the Newtonian picture to the quantum-mechanical case and (most interestingly) suggests a very deep potential connection between the problem of the direction of time and the quantum-mechanical measurement problem. The book aims to be both an original contribution to the present scientific and philosophical understanding of these matters at the most advanced level, and something in the nature of an elementary textbook on the subject accessible to interested high-school students.

Low-Probability High-Consequence Risk Analysis

Author : Ray Waller
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1475718187
Total Pages : 561 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (757 download)

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Book Synopsis Low-Probability High-Consequence Risk Analysis by : Ray Waller

Download or read book Low-Probability High-Consequence Risk Analysis written by Ray Waller and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-11-21 with total page 561 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In recent years public attention has focused on an array of low-probability/high-consequence (LC/HC) events that pose a signif icant threat to human health, safety, and the environment. At the same time, public and private sector responsibilities for the assessment and management of such events have grown because of a perceived need to anticipate, prevent, or reduce the risks. In attempting to meet these responsibilities, legislative, judicial, regulatory, and private sector institutions have had to deal with the extraordinarily complex problem of assessing and balancing LP/ HC risks against the costs and ben if its of risk reduction. The need to help society cope with LP/HC events such as nuclear power plant accidents, toxic spills, chemical plant explosions, and transportation accidents has given rise to the development of a new intellectual endeavor: LP/HC risk analysis. The scope and complexity of these analyses require a high degree of cooperative effort on the part of specialists from many f~elds. Analyzing technical, social, and value issues requires the efforts of physicists, biologists, geneticists, statisticians, chemists, engineers, political scientists, sociologists, decision analysts, management scientists, economists, psychologists, ethicists, lawyers, and policy analysts. Included in this volume are papers by authors in each of these disciplines. The papers share in common a focus on one or more of the following questions that are generic to the analysis of LP/HC risks.

Principles of Risk Analysis

Author : Charles Yoe
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 1439857504
Total Pages : 576 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (398 download)

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Book Synopsis Principles of Risk Analysis by : Charles Yoe

Download or read book Principles of Risk Analysis written by Charles Yoe and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2016-04-19 with total page 576 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In every decision context there are things we know and things we do not know. Risk analysis uses science and the best available evidence to assess what we know-and it is intentional in the way it addresses the importance of the things we don't know. Principles of Risk Analysis: Decision Making Under Uncertainty lays out the tasks of risk analysis i

Women of Consequence

Author : Jeanne Varnell
Publisher : Big Earth Publishing
ISBN 13 : 9781555662141
Total Pages : 356 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (621 download)

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Book Synopsis Women of Consequence by : Jeanne Varnell

Download or read book Women of Consequence written by Jeanne Varnell and published by Big Earth Publishing. This book was released on 1999 with total page 356 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The Colorado Women's Hall of Fame was founded in 1985, by a group of women who were concerned that both historic and contemporary women who shared foresight, vision, enthusiasm, and the power of accomplishment were not receiving appropriate acknowledgment. Fearful that splendid achievements would be forgotten, they wished to honor women who, during their lifetime, made a significant contribution to Colorado as a state or territory. It is the hope of the founders that by so honoring Colorado's women of consequence, their spirits might inspire future generations.In the first decade since the founding, fifty-nine women were selected for induction. Although historians habitually ignored the vital part that women played in the building of the West, in actuality these women's lives contain plots and characters that would enliven the most gripping novels. We have saints, like Frances Wisebart Jacobs and the theatrical angel Helen Bonfils; activists such as Josephine Roche and Rachel Noel; a scientific genius in Florence Sabin; and visionaries like Dana Crawford. There are tragedies, as with the Tabor wives, and the lighter-hearted tales of Mary Elitch Long and Mary Coyle Chase.Women of Consequence provides a bonanza of role models who opened new frontiers for women in so many fields, including business, journalism and newspaper publishing, science and medicine, law, politics, education, charity work, botany and even taxidermy. These stories are sure to inspire, delight, and instruct readers throughout Colorado, from young adults to senior citizens, whether they've lived here all their lives or moved here recently.

Risk: An Introduction

Author : Ben Ale
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 1134008376
Total Pages : 145 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (34 download)

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Book Synopsis Risk: An Introduction by : Ben Ale

Download or read book Risk: An Introduction written by Ben Ale and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2009-04-07 with total page 145 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An introductory guide to the concepts, quantification and mitigation of risk, that plainly explains risk perception, assessment and management and thereby forms a solid starting for students and policy professionals alike.

The Chances of Explanation

Author : Paul Humphreys
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 1400860768
Total Pages : 181 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (8 download)

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Book Synopsis The Chances of Explanation by : Paul Humphreys

Download or read book The Chances of Explanation written by Paul Humphreys and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2014-07-14 with total page 181 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides a post-positivist theory of deterministic and probabilistic causality that supports both quantitative and qualitative explanations. Features of particular interest include the ability to provide true explanations in contexts where our knowledge is incomplete, a systematic interpretation of causal modeling techniques in the social sciences, and a direct realist view of causal relations that is compatible with a liberal empiricism. The book should be of wide interest to both philosophers and scientists. Originally published in 1989. The Princeton Legacy Library uses the latest print-on-demand technology to again make available previously out-of-print books from the distinguished backlist of Princeton University Press. These editions preserve the original texts of these important books while presenting them in durable paperback and hardcover editions. The goal of the Princeton Legacy Library is to vastly increase access to the rich scholarly heritage found in the thousands of books published by Princeton University Press since its founding in 1905.

Chance, Love, and Logic

Author : Charles S. Peirce
Publisher : DigiCat
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 265 pages
Book Rating : 4.8/5 (596 download)

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Book Synopsis Chance, Love, and Logic by : Charles S. Peirce

Download or read book Chance, Love, and Logic written by Charles S. Peirce and published by DigiCat. This book was released on 2023-11-20 with total page 265 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "Chance, Love, and Logic" by Charles S. Peirce. Published by DigiCat. DigiCat publishes a wide range of titles that encompasses every genre. From well-known classics & literary fiction and non-fiction to forgotten−or yet undiscovered gems−of world literature, we issue the books that need to be read. Each DigiCat edition has been meticulously edited and formatted to boost readability for all e-readers and devices. Our goal is to produce eBooks that are user-friendly and accessible to everyone in a high-quality digital format.

Interpreting Probability

Author : David Howie
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1139434373
Total Pages : 276 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (394 download)

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Book Synopsis Interpreting Probability by : David Howie

Download or read book Interpreting Probability written by David Howie and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2002-08-08 with total page 276 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The term probability can be used in two main senses. In the frequency interpretation it is a limiting ratio in a sequence of repeatable events. In the Bayesian view, probability is a mental construct representing uncertainty. This 2002 book is about these two types of probability and investigates how, despite being adopted by scientists and statisticians in the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries, Bayesianism was discredited as a theory of scientific inference during the 1920s and 1930s. Through the examination of a dispute between two British scientists, the author argues that a choice between the two interpretations is not forced by pure logic or the mathematics of the situation, but depends on the experiences and aims of the individuals involved. The book should be of interest to students and scientists interested in statistics and probability theories and to general readers with an interest in the history, sociology and philosophy of science.

Chance or Choice

Author : Greg McLaughlin
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 148220956X
Total Pages : 223 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (822 download)

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Book Synopsis Chance or Choice by : Greg McLaughlin

Download or read book Chance or Choice written by Greg McLaughlin and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2017-07-27 with total page 223 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Twenty-first century advances in technology, transportation, and business models have enabled companies of all sizes to enter markets once thought to be the exclusive domain of giant enterprises. In this environment, innovation has emerged as the competitive differentiator that will propel companies to become global leaders.Supplying practical guid

Biostatistics and Epidemiology

Author : Sylvia Wassertheil-Smoller
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1475738870
Total Pages : 132 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (757 download)

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Book Synopsis Biostatistics and Epidemiology by : Sylvia Wassertheil-Smoller

Download or read book Biostatistics and Epidemiology written by Sylvia Wassertheil-Smoller and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2013-03-09 with total page 132 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Biostatistics and Epidemiology/A Primer for Health Professionals offers practical guidelines and gives a concise framework for research and interpretation in the field. In addition to major sections covering statistics and epidemiology, the book includes a comprehensive exploration of scientific methodology, probability, and the clinical trial. The principles and methods described in this book are basic and apply to all medical subspecialties, psychology and education. The primer will be especially useful to public health officials and students looking for an understandable treatment of the subject.

Primer on Risk Analysis

Author : Charles Yoe
Publisher : CRC Press
ISBN 13 : 0429667590
Total Pages : 306 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (296 download)

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Book Synopsis Primer on Risk Analysis by : Charles Yoe

Download or read book Primer on Risk Analysis written by Charles Yoe and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2019-01-18 with total page 306 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Primer on Risk Analysis: Decision Making Under Uncertainty, Second Edition lays out the tasks of risk analysis in a straightforward, conceptual manner, tackling the question, "What is risk analysis?" Distilling the common principles of many risk dialects into serviceable definitions, it provides a foundation for the practice of risk management and decision making under uncertainty for professionals from all disciplines. New in this edition is an expanded risk management emphasis that includes an overview chapter on enterprise risk management and a chapter on decision making under uncertainty designed to help decision makers use the results of risk analysis in practical ways to improve decisions and their outcomes. This book will empower you to enter the world of risk management in your own domain of expertise by providing you with practical, insightful, useful and adaptable knowledge of risk analysis science including risk management, risk assessment, and risk communication. Features: Answers the fundamental question, "What is Risk Analysis?" Presents the tasks of risk management, risk assessment, and risk communication in a straightforward, conceptual manner Responds to the continuing evolution of risk science and addresses the language of risk as it continues to evolve Expands the risk management emphasis with a new chapter to serve private industry and a growing public sector interest in the growing practice of enterprise risk management Includes a new chapter on decision making under uncertainty provides practical guidance and ideas for using risk science to improve decisions and their outcomes Features an expanded set of examples of the risk process that demonstrate the growing applications of risk analysis This book is suitable for executives, professionals and students who seek a fundamental understanding of risk management, risk assessment, and risk communication. A more detailed examination of this topic, suitable for practitioners from any discipline as well as students and professionals who aspire to become experts in the practice of risk analysis science, is found in Principles of Risk Analysis: Decision Making Under Uncertainty, Second Edition, ISBN: 978-1-138-47820-6.

Author :
Publisher : Cengage Learning
ISBN 13 : 0357715985
Total Pages : 1218 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (577 download)

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Book Synopsis by :

Download or read book written by and published by Cengage Learning. This book was released on with total page 1218 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Events Management

Author : Glenn A. J. Bowdin
Publisher : Taylor & Francis
ISBN 13 : 1000904458
Total Pages : 1056 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (9 download)

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Book Synopsis Events Management by : Glenn A. J. Bowdin

Download or read book Events Management written by Glenn A. J. Bowdin and published by Taylor & Francis. This book was released on 2023-07-31 with total page 1056 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A must-have introductory text of unrivalled coverage and depth focusing on events planning and management, the fourth edition of Events Management provides a complete A to Z of the principles and practices of planning, managing and staging events. The book offers a systematic guide to organising successful events, examining areas such as event design, logistics, marketing, human resource management, financial planning, risk management, impacts, evaluation and reporting. The fourth edition has been fully updated and revised to include content covering technology, including virtual and hybrid events, concepts such as social capital, soft power and events, social inclusion, equality, accessibility and diversity, and the latest industry reports, research and legal frameworks. The book is logically structured and features new case studies, showing real-life applications and highlighting issues with planning events of all types and scales in a range of geographical locations. This book has been dubbed ‘the events management bible’ and fosters an interactive learning experience amongst scholars of events management, tourism and hospitality.

The Philosophical Writings of Prémontval

Author : Lloyd Strickland
Publisher : Lexington Books
ISBN 13 : 1498563570
Total Pages : 387 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (985 download)

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Book Synopsis The Philosophical Writings of Prémontval by : Lloyd Strickland

Download or read book The Philosophical Writings of Prémontval written by Lloyd Strickland and published by Lexington Books. This book was released on 2018-03-28 with total page 387 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume contains the key philosophical writings of maverick Enlightenment philosopher André-Pierre Le Guay de Prémontval (1716-1764). Prémontval was a prolific member of the Berlin Academy of Sciences, and in his career as academic he wrote a series of essays and books on a range of core philosophical topics, such as necessity and contingency, free will, sufficient reason, personal identity, the nature of the mind and its relationship with the body, optimism, and the existence of God. Prémontval’s philosophy, shaped by his opposition to key philosophers such as Descartes, Leibniz, and Wolff, is notable for a number of original and often provocative positions on key philosophical issues of the time, which he supported by inventive critiques and a raft of novel arguments. In addition to developing a highly original proof for the existence of God based on the principles of atheism, Prémontval argued that all possible beings exist, and do so necessarily and therefore eternally; he insisted that the universe unfolded through an interplay of chance and necessity, its direction influenced by God but not under God’s direct control; and he considered free will a curse and the main impediment to the realization of the only aim fitting for God, which was to make all beings happy and holy as quickly as possible. His writings are notable for anticipating modern developments such as open theism, process theology, and animal theodicy. In this volume, Lloyd Strickland makes Prémontval’s key philosophical writings available in English for the first time. In making these translations, Strickland—a well-respected translator of Leibniz’s work—has consulted the original manuscripts to ensure the greatest accuracy, and as befits a scholarly edition, the texts are meticulously documented with copious annotations. Accompanying the texts is a substantial and informative introduction.

Routines for Results

Author : Chris Hook
Publisher : Taylor & Francis
ISBN 13 : 1351646338
Total Pages : 176 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (516 download)

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Book Synopsis Routines for Results by : Chris Hook

Download or read book Routines for Results written by Chris Hook and published by Taylor & Francis. This book was released on 2017-12-01 with total page 176 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Whether you're a small or mid-size organization, managing operations can be challenging. This book provides greater insight into the methods, techniques, and tools that can be used against a well-proven organizational improvement framework. This book offers readers an opportunity to understand how to manage their businesses via the Baldrige framework, defines methods that they can use to improve operations, and ensures that those methods are appropriate and aligned to meet their needs. The tools in this book are proven and practical, but innovative methods developed by internal teams are even better.