Does Central Bank Intervention Increase the Volatility of Foreign Exchange Rates?

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 64 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Does Central Bank Intervention Increase the Volatility of Foreign Exchange Rates? by : Kathryn M. Dominguez

Download or read book Does Central Bank Intervention Increase the Volatility of Foreign Exchange Rates? written by Kathryn M. Dominguez and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 64 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Since the abandonment of the Bretton Woods system of fixed exchange rates in the early 1970s, exchange rates have displayed a surprisingly high degree of time-conditional volatility. This volatility can be explained statistically using autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity models, but there remains the question of the economic source of this volatility. Central bank intervention policy may provide part of the explanation. Previous work has shown that central banks have relied heavily on intervention policy to influence the level of exchange rates, and that these operations have, at times, been effective. This paper investigates whether central bank interventions have also influenced the variance of exchange rates. The results from daily and weekly GARCH models of the $/DM and $/Yen rates over the period 1985 to 1991 indicate that publicly known Fed intervention generally decreased volatility over the full period. Further, results indicate that intervention need not be publicly known for it to influence the conditional variance of exchange rate changes. Secret intervention operations by both the Fed and the Bundesbank generally increased exchange rates volatility over the period.

Central Bank Intervention and the Volatility of Foreign Exchange Rates

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 26 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (642 download)

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Book Synopsis Central Bank Intervention and the Volatility of Foreign Exchange Rates by : Catherine A. Bonser-Neal

Download or read book Central Bank Intervention and the Volatility of Foreign Exchange Rates written by Catherine A. Bonser-Neal and published by . This book was released on 1995 with total page 26 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Central Bank Intervention and Exchange Rate Volatility

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 34 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis Central Bank Intervention and Exchange Rate Volatility by : Suk-Joong Kim

Download or read book Central Bank Intervention and Exchange Rate Volatility written by Suk-Joong Kim and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Foreign Exchange Intervention as a Monetary Policy Instrument

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3790826723
Total Pages : 180 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (98 download)

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Book Synopsis Foreign Exchange Intervention as a Monetary Policy Instrument by : Felix Hüfner

Download or read book Foreign Exchange Intervention as a Monetary Policy Instrument written by Felix Hüfner and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 180 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Foreign exchange intervention is frequently being used by central banks in countries which have a floating exchange rate. Most theoretical monetary policy models, however, do not take this phenomenon into account. This book contributes to close this gap between theory and practice by interpreting foreign exchange intervention as an additional monetary policy instrument for inflation targeting central banks. In-depth empirical analyses of the foreign exchange operations and interest rate policy of five inflation targeting countries (Australia, Canada, New Zealand, Sweden and the United Kingdom) demonstrate how foreign exchange intervention is used in practice.

Does central bank intervention increase the volatility of foreign exchange rates?

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 47 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)

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Book Synopsis Does central bank intervention increase the volatility of foreign exchange rates? by : Kathryn M.E. Domínguez

Download or read book Does central bank intervention increase the volatility of foreign exchange rates? written by Kathryn M.E. Domínguez and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 47 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Central Bank Participation in Currency Options Markets

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451856105
Total Pages : 41 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Central Bank Participation in Currency Options Markets by : Mr.Peter Breuer

Download or read book Central Bank Participation in Currency Options Markets written by Mr.Peter Breuer and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1999-10-01 with total page 41 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes whether and how central banks can use currency options to lower exchange rate volatility and maintain (implicit) target zones in foreign exchange markets. It argues that selling rather than buying options will result in market makers dynamically hedging their long option exposure in a stabilizing manner, consistent with the first objective. Selling a “strangle” allows a central bank to increase the credibility of its commitment to a target zone, and could have a lower expected cost than spot market interventions. However, this strategy also exposes the central bank to an unlimited loss potential.

Foreign Exchange Intervention Rules for Central Banks: A Risk-based Framework

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513569406
Total Pages : 33 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Foreign Exchange Intervention Rules for Central Banks: A Risk-based Framework by : Romain Lafarguette

Download or read book Foreign Exchange Intervention Rules for Central Banks: A Risk-based Framework written by Romain Lafarguette and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2021-02-12 with total page 33 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper presents a rule for foreign exchange interventions (FXI), designed to preserve financial stability in floating exchange rate arrangements. The FXI rule addresses a market failure: the absence of hedging solution for tail exchange rate risk in the market (i.e. high volatility). Market impairment or overshoot of exchange rate between two equilibria could generate high volatility and threaten financial stability due to unhedged exposure to exchange rate risk in the economy. The rule uses the concept of Value at Risk (VaR) to define FXI triggers. While it provides to the market a hedge against tail risk, the rule allows the exchange rate to smoothly adjust to new equilibria. In addition, the rule is budget neutral over the medium term, encourages a prudent risk management in the market, and is more resilient to speculative attacks than other rules, such as fixed-volatility rules. The empirical methodology is backtested on Banco Mexico’s FXIs data between 2008 and 2016.

Official Intervention in the Foreign Exchange Market

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 145185711X
Total Pages : 45 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Official Intervention in the Foreign Exchange Market by : Roberto Pereira Guimarães

Download or read book Official Intervention in the Foreign Exchange Market written by Roberto Pereira Guimarães and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-07-01 with total page 45 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper offers guidance on the operational aspects of official intervention in the foreign exchange market, particularly in developing countries with flexible exchange rate regimes. A brief survey of the literature and country experience is followed by an analysis of the objectives, timing, amount, degree of transparency, and choice of markets and counterparties in conducting intervention. The analysis highlights the difficulty of detecting exchange rate misalignments and disorderly markets, and argues in favor of parsimony in official intervention. Determining the timing and amount of intervention is a highly subjective excercise, and some degree of discretion is almost necessary, though policy rules may serve as "rules of thumb."

Foreign Exchange Intervention under Policy Uncertainty

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1475547234
Total Pages : 40 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (755 download)

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Book Synopsis Foreign Exchange Intervention under Policy Uncertainty by : Gustavo Adler

Download or read book Foreign Exchange Intervention under Policy Uncertainty written by Gustavo Adler and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-03-23 with total page 40 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We study the use of foreign exchange (FX) intervention as an additional policy instrument in an environment with learning, where agents infer the central bank policy rules from its policy actions. Under full information, a central bank focused on stabilizing output and inflation can achieve better outcomes by using FX intervention as an additional policy tool. Under policy uncertainty, where agents perceive that monetary policy may also have exchange rate stabilization goals, the use of FX intervention entails a trade-off, reducing output volatility while increasing inflation volatility. While having an additional policy tool is always beneficial, we find that the optimal magnitude of intervention is higher in monetary policy regimes with lower uncertainty. These results indicate that the benefits of using FX intervention as an additional stabilization tool are greater in regimes where monetary policy is credibly focused on output and inflation stabilization.

The Empirics of Foreign Exchange Intervention in Emerging Markets

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451854641
Total Pages : 34 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis The Empirics of Foreign Exchange Intervention in Emerging Markets by : Roberto Pereira Guimarães

Download or read book The Empirics of Foreign Exchange Intervention in Emerging Markets written by Roberto Pereira Guimarães and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2004-07-01 with total page 34 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper analyzes the effects of intervention on the level and volatility of the exchange rate in Mexico and Turkey, two emerging countries that have floating exchange rate regimes. The paper finds mixed evidence on the effectiveness of intervention. In Mexico, foreign exchange sales have a small impact on the exchange rate level and raise short-term volatility, while in Turkey, intervention does not appear to affect the exchange rate level but reduces its shortterm volatility. In both cases, the findings are consistent with officially stated policy objectives, which aim to minimize the effect of intervention on the exchange rate, but cast doubt on claims that intervention is a useful tool for smoothing volatility. Although these findings cannot be generalized to other emerging markets, intervention's apparently limited effectiveness highlights the need for central banks to use their scarce foreign reserves selectively and parsimoniously.

The Cost of Foreign Exchange Intervention

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 148433230X
Total Pages : 37 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis The Cost of Foreign Exchange Intervention by : Gustavo Adler

Download or read book The Cost of Foreign Exchange Intervention written by Gustavo Adler and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2016-04-12 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The accumulation of large foreign asset positions by many central banks through sustained foreign exchange (FX) intervention has raised questions about its associated fiscal costs. This paper clarifies conceptual issues regarding how to measure these costs both from an ex-post and an ex-ante (relevant for decision making) perspective, and estimates both marginal and total costs for 73 countries over the period 2002-13. We find ex-ante marginal costs for the median emerging market economy (EME) in the inter-quartile range of 2-5.5 percent per year; while ex-ante total costs (of sustaining FX positions) in the range of 0.2-0.7 percent of GDP per year for light interveners and 0.3-1.2 percent of GDP per year for heavy interveners. These estimates indicate that fiscal costs of sustained FX intervention (via expanding central bank balance sheets) are not negligible.

The Determinants of Foreign Exchange Intervention by Central Banks

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 46 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis The Determinants of Foreign Exchange Intervention by Central Banks by : Suk-Joong Kim

Download or read book The Determinants of Foreign Exchange Intervention by Central Banks written by Suk-Joong Kim and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 46 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Measuring Exchange Market Pressure and Central Bank Intervention

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 124 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)

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Book Synopsis Measuring Exchange Market Pressure and Central Bank Intervention by : Mikko Spolander

Download or read book Measuring Exchange Market Pressure and Central Bank Intervention written by Mikko Spolander and published by . This book was released on 1999 with total page 124 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Tiivistelmä.

Official Foreign Exchange Intervention

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 9781589064218
Total Pages : 58 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (642 download)

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Book Synopsis Official Foreign Exchange Intervention by : Mr.Jorge Iván Canales Kriljenko

Download or read book Official Foreign Exchange Intervention written by Mr.Jorge Iván Canales Kriljenko and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2006-03-02 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Despite increasing exchange rate flexibility, central banks in emerging markets still intervene in their foreign exchange markets for several reasons. In doing so, they face many operational questions, including on the degree of transparency and the choice of markets and counterparties. This paper identifies elements of best practice in official foreign exchange intervention, presents survey evidence on intervention practices in developing countries, and assesses the effectiveness of intervention in Mexico and Turkey.

How Does Public Information on Central Bank Intervention Strategies Affect Exchange Rate Volatility?

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (726 download)

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Book Synopsis How Does Public Information on Central Bank Intervention Strategies Affect Exchange Rate Volatility? by : B. Gabriela Mundaca

Download or read book How Does Public Information on Central Bank Intervention Strategies Affect Exchange Rate Volatility? written by B. Gabriela Mundaca and published by . This book was released on 2011 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Central Bank Foreign Exchange Market Intervention and Option Contract Specification

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1451855729
Total Pages : 18 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (518 download)

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Book Synopsis Central Bank Foreign Exchange Market Intervention and Option Contract Specification by : Mr.Ousmene Mandeng

Download or read book Central Bank Foreign Exchange Market Intervention and Option Contract Specification written by Mr.Ousmene Mandeng and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2003-06-01 with total page 18 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper aims to identify appropriate option contract specifications for effective central bank exchange market intervention. Option contract specifications determine the impact of options on the underlying asset or currency, and hence their actual effect on asset price or currency volatility and are therefore key to determining the effectiveness of option-based intervention. The paper reviews the experience of the systematic option-based foreign exchange market intervention of the Central Bank of Colombia and finds that its contract has only been moderately successful at abating exchange rate volatility, which is attributed here to sub-optimal contract specifications.

When Do Central Bank Interventions Influence Intra-daily and Longer-term Exchange Rate Movements?

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ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 58 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis When Do Central Bank Interventions Influence Intra-daily and Longer-term Exchange Rate Movements? by : Kathryn M. Dominguez

Download or read book When Do Central Bank Interventions Influence Intra-daily and Longer-term Exchange Rate Movements? written by Kathryn M. Dominguez and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 58 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper examines dollar interventions by the G3 governments since 1989, and the reasons that trader reactions to these interventions might differ over time and across central banks. Market microstructure theory provides a framework for understanding the process by which sterilized central bank interventions are observed and interpreted by traders, and how this process, in turn, might influence exchange rates. Using intra-daily and daily exchange rate and intervention data, the paper analyzes the influence of interventions on exchange rate volatility, finding evidence of both within day and daily impact effects, but little evidence that interventions increase longer-term volatility.