Capital Flows at Risk: Taming the Ebbs and Flows

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1513522906
Total Pages : 44 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (135 download)

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Book Synopsis Capital Flows at Risk: Taming the Ebbs and Flows by : Mr.R. G Gelos

Download or read book Capital Flows at Risk: Taming the Ebbs and Flows written by Mr.R. G Gelos and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2019-12-20 with total page 44 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The volatility of capital flows to emerging markets continues to pose challenges to policymakers. In this paper, we propose a new framework to answer critical policy questions: What policies and policy frameworks are most effective in dampening sharp capital flow movements in response to global shocks? What are the near- versus medium-term trade-offs of different policies? We tackle these questions using a quantile regression framework to predict the entire future probability distribution of capital flows to emerging markets, based on current domestic structural characteristics, policies, and global financial conditions. This new approach allows policymakers to quantify capital flows risks and evaluate policy tools to mitigate them, thus building the foundation of a risk management framework for capital flows.

The Integration of World Capital Markets

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 145195039X
Total Pages : 66 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (519 download)

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Book Synopsis The Integration of World Capital Markets by : Mr.Michael Mussa

Download or read book The Integration of World Capital Markets written by Mr.Michael Mussa and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 1993-12-01 with total page 66 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper discusses the extent to which national capital markets have become linked, and identifies several of the more important consequences of that increased degree of integration. Alternative approaches to the measurement of capital market integration are reviewed, including deviations from the law of one price, differences between actual and optimally diversified portfolios, correlations between domestic investment and domestic saving, and cross-country links in consumption behavior. Two recent episodes of large-scale international capital flows—namely, the turmoil in the European Monetary System in the fall of 1992, and the surge of capital inflows into Latin America during the last three years—are examined for insights into the workings of today’s global capital market. Finally, the paper offers some concluding remarks on the future development of international capital markets, on exchange rate management, on alternative approaches to living with larger and more influential financial markets, and on the financing of investment in the formerly centrally planned economies.

International Monetary and Financial Integration — The European Dimension

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Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9400936516
Total Pages : 394 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (9 download)

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Book Synopsis International Monetary and Financial Integration — The European Dimension by : D.E. Fair

Download or read book International Monetary and Financial Integration — The European Dimension written by D.E. Fair and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 394 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The papers collected in this volume are those presented at the thirteenth Colloquium arranged by the Societe Universitaire Europeenne de Recherches Financieres (SUERF), which took place in Luxembourg in October 1986. The Society issupported byalargenumberofcentralbanksandcommer cial banks, byother financial and business institutions, by treasury officials and by academics and others interested in monetary and financial prob lems. Since its establishment in 1963 it has developed as a forum for the exchange of information, research results and ideas, valued by academics and practitioners in these fields, including central bank officials and civil servants responsible for formulating and applying monetary and financial policies, national and international. A major 'activity of SUERF is to organize and conduct Colloquia on subjects of topical interest to its mem bers. The titles, places and dates of previous Colloquia for which volumes of the collected papers were published are noted on the last page of this volume. Volumes were not produced for Colloquia held at Tarragona, Spain in October 1970 under the title 'Monetary Policy and New Develop ments inBanking'andatStrasbourg, France inJanuary 1972underthe title 'Aspects ofEuropean Monetary Union'. The previous SUERF Colloquium, at Cambridge in March 1985, had as its subject 'Shifting Frontiers in Financial Markets'

Preemptive Policies and Risk-Off Shocks in Emerging Markets

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1616358343
Total Pages : 54 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (163 download)

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Book Synopsis Preemptive Policies and Risk-Off Shocks in Emerging Markets by : Ms. Mitali Das

Download or read book Preemptive Policies and Risk-Off Shocks in Emerging Markets written by Ms. Mitali Das and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2022-01-07 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We show that “preemptive” capital flow management measures (CFM) can reduce emerging markets and developing countries’ (EMDE) external finance premia during risk-off shocks, especially for vulnerable countries. Using a panel dataset of 56 EMDEs during 1996–2020 at monthly frequency, we document that countries with preemptive policies in place during the five year window before risk-off shocks experienced relatively lower external finance premia and exchange rate volatility during the shock compared to countries which did not have such preemptive policies in place. We use the episodes of Taper Tantrum and COVID-19 as risk-off shocks. Our identification relies on a difference-in-differences methodology with country fixed effects where preemptive policies are ex-ante by construction and cannot be put in place as a response to the shock ex-post. We control the effects of other policies, such as monetary policy, foreign exchange interventions (FXI), easing of inflow CFMs and tightening of outflow CFMs that are used in response to the risk-off shocks. By reducing the impact of risk-off shocks on countries’ funding costs and exchange rate volatility, preemptive policies enable countries’ continued access to international capital markets during troubled times.

Capital Controls, EMU and the Crisis of the European Monetary System

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Publisher : GRIN Verlag
ISBN 13 : 3638161498
Total Pages : 21 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (381 download)

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Book Synopsis Capital Controls, EMU and the Crisis of the European Monetary System by : Ulrich Machold

Download or read book Capital Controls, EMU and the Crisis of the European Monetary System written by Ulrich Machold and published by GRIN Verlag. This book was released on 2003-01-04 with total page 21 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Essay from the year 2002 in the subject Economics - Monetary theory and policy, grade: 1.0 (A), Technical University of Berlin (European Center), course: European Monetary Integration, language: English, abstract: For European monetary affairs, 1992 was a watershed: In January, the European Monetary System (EMS) celebrated five years of stability; by November, it was all but falling apart. Two of its members had been driven from the system, two others had experienced steep and involuntary devaluations. The EMS was undergoing the worst crisis of its existence. When analysing these events, they inevitably lead to the issue of financial liberalisation. If the argument that the lack of control over international capital flows is at the heart of such crises is true, their costs must be weighed against the benefits of the liberalisation process. But can the use of capital controls be in any way compatible with the process of European financial integration? Does the idea not go against the entire philosophy embodied in the project of economic and monetary union (EMU)? Some authors argue that not only can capital controls be made compatible with the integration process but that they are in fact the only option available to safeguard any pegged exchange rate system against the excesses of occasionally irrational and overwhelmingly powerful financial markets. The resulting question, though merely speculative in retrospect, is thus two-fold: Could capital controls have helped to prevent the 1992-crisis of the EMS and would it therefore have been beneficial to allow for this instrument afterwards, instead of widening the fluctuation bands to 30 per cent? And, resultingly, could capital controls exist within a fixed exchange rate system like the EMS then and the EMSII in the future? I shall, as preliminaries, first briefly summarise the main arguments of the discussion on the desirability of capital controls. Subsequently, I shall discuss, whether capital controls can actually achieve what they were designed for. In the main section, I shall analyse what causes for the 1992-crisis seem probable, why the post-1992 re-constitution of the system took the form it actually did and whether capital controls could have been relevant in this context or will do so in the future.

International Economic Integration: Monetary, fiscal and factor mobility issues

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Publisher : Taylor & Francis
ISBN 13 : 9780415166737
Total Pages : 834 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (667 download)

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Book Synopsis International Economic Integration: Monetary, fiscal and factor mobility issues by : Miroslav Jovanovic

Download or read book International Economic Integration: Monetary, fiscal and factor mobility issues written by Miroslav Jovanovic and published by Taylor & Francis. This book was released on 1998 with total page 834 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Capital Rules

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Publisher : Harvard University Press
ISBN 13 : 0674034554
Total Pages : 250 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (74 download)

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Book Synopsis Capital Rules by : Rawi Abdelal

Download or read book Capital Rules written by Rawi Abdelal and published by Harvard University Press. This book was released on 2009-09-30 with total page 250 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "The rise of global financial markets in the last decades of the twentieth century was premised on one fundamental idea: that capital ought to flow across country borders with minimal restriction and regulation. Freedom for capital movements became the new orthodoxy. In an intellectual, legal, and political history of financial globalization, Rawi Abdelal shows that this was not always the case. Transactions routinely executed by bankers, managers, and investors during the 1990s—trading foreign stocks and bonds, borrowing in foreign currencies—had been illegal in many countries only decades, and sometimes just a year or two, earlier. How and why did the world shift from an orthodoxy of free capital movements in 1914 to an orthodoxy of capital controls in 1944 and then back again by 1994? How have such standards of appropriate behavior been codified and transmitted internationally? Contrary to conventional accounts, Abdelal argues that neither the U.S. Treasury nor Wall Street bankers have preferred or promoted multilateral, liberal rules for global finance. Instead, European policy makers conceived and promoted the liberal rules that compose the international financial architecture. Whereas U.S. policy makers have tended to embrace unilateral, ad hoc globalization, French and European policy makers have promoted a rule-based, “managed” globalization. This contest over the character of globalization continues today."

The Unstable EMS

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 118 pages
Book Rating : 4.X/5 (2 download)

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Book Synopsis The Unstable EMS by : Barry J. Eichengreen

Download or read book The Unstable EMS written by Barry J. Eichengreen and published by . This book was released on 1993 with total page 118 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

International Monetary Arrangements for the 21st Century

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Publisher : Brookings Institution Press
ISBN 13 : 9780815791423
Total Pages : 212 pages
Book Rating : 4.7/5 (914 download)

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Book Synopsis International Monetary Arrangements for the 21st Century by : Barry Eichengreen

Download or read book International Monetary Arrangements for the 21st Century written by Barry Eichengreen and published by Brookings Institution Press. This book was released on 2000-08-21 with total page 212 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recent events have reignited the debate over the future of the international monetary system. This book, part of the Integrating National Economic series, examines international monetary options of the twenty-first century. Barry Eichengreen argues that it will not be possible for governments to prevent exchange rates from exceeding prespecified limits. Changes in technology, market structure, and politics will force countries that have traditionally pegged their exchange rates to choose between floating rates and monetary unification. Eichengreen describes the various international monetary arrangements with which policymakers have experimented in the past. He introduces the requirements that an international monetary system must satisfy and illustrates how these requirements have been met over time. He analyzes which preconditions for the smooth operation of international monetary systems in the past will be impossible to achieve in the next century and creates a list of feasible options for future policymakers. These feasible options, he concludes, will be limited to some form of floating exchange rates and monetary unions. In which direction countries should move is not obvious. The choice between floating and monetary unification depends on a host of economic and political factors. The book provides an in-depth analysis of Western Europe's experience and the dramatic international monetary initiatives currently under way, and compares options for Asia, Africa, the former Soviet Union, and the Western Hemisphere. A volume of Brookings' Integrating National Economies Series

European Monetary Integration: from the European Monetary System to Monetary Union

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 : 9780582079229
Total Pages : 320 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (792 download)

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Book Synopsis European Monetary Integration: from the European Monetary System to Monetary Union by : Daniel Gros

Download or read book European Monetary Integration: from the European Monetary System to Monetary Union written by Daniel Gros and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 320 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

International Economic Cooperation

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Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226241815
Total Pages : 346 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (262 download)

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Book Synopsis International Economic Cooperation by : Martin Feldstein

Download or read book International Economic Cooperation written by Martin Feldstein and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-11-01 with total page 346 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: "A readable, balanced, and provocative view of the prospects for fruitful international economic cooperation. The papers are realistic: each discusses the difficulties involved in reaching cooperative solutions or procedures as well as the benefits of doing so. The discussion among the conference participants is lively, interesting, and insightful."--William H. Branson, Princeton University

Portfolio Inflows Eclipsing Banking Inflows: Alternative Facts?

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1484341961
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (843 download)

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Book Synopsis Portfolio Inflows Eclipsing Banking Inflows: Alternative Facts? by : Mr.Eugenio M Cerutti

Download or read book Portfolio Inflows Eclipsing Banking Inflows: Alternative Facts? written by Mr.Eugenio M Cerutti and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2018-02-16 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Superficial examination of aggregate gross cross-border capital inflow data suggests that there was no substitution between portfolio inflows and bank loans in recent years. However, our novel analysis of disaggregate inflows (both by types of instrument and borrower) shows interesting heterogeneity. There has been substitution of bank loans for portfolio debt securities not only in the case of corporate and sovereign borrowers in advanced countries, but also sovereign borrowers in emerging countries. In the case of corporate borrowers in emerging markets, the relationship corresponds to complementarity across types of gross capital inflows, especially during periods of positive capital gross inflows after the global financial crisis. A large part of these patterns does not seem to be driven by a common phenomenon across countries associated with the global financial cycle, but rather by country-specific factors.

Monetary Politics

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Publisher : University of Michigan Press
ISBN 13 : 0472023535
Total Pages : 235 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (72 download)

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Book Synopsis Monetary Politics by : Thomas H. Oatley

Download or read book Monetary Politics written by Thomas H. Oatley and published by University of Michigan Press. This book was released on 2010-05-25 with total page 235 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A single currency--and the necessary prior condition of exchange rate cooperation and the stabilization of exchange rates--has been an elusive goal of many European leaders for more than twenty years. While much of the literature on exchange rate cooperation within the European Union focuses on the integration of national economies as the driving force, Thomas Oatley draws on public choice models to develop an explanation of exchange rate cooperation based on domestic politics. The author then tests hypotheses derived from this model in a detailed consideration of the various efforts to stabilize currencies since the 1970s. Oatley argues that monetary policy has distributional effects and is used by policy makers to achieve domestic policy goals. Thus domestic politics plays an important role in defining the approach leaders take to monetary integration. Oatley suggests that leaders supported the creation of the European Monetary System because governments saw a link to the Bundesbank as a useful instrument to help slow the growth of wages, redistribute income from labor to capital, and achieve domestic stabilization. The later collapse of the System reflected the unwillingness on the part of many leaders to continue to follow the Bundesbank's lead as well as the Bundesbank's own reservations about monetary integration. Given the rising strife in countries such as France over the domestic costs of monetary integration, Oatley's domestic politics explanation will be useful in understanding the continued efforts of European policy makers to work towards an integrated currency. This book should appeal to political scientists and economists interested in international cooperation, the European Union and exchange rate systems. Thomas Oatley is Assistant Professor of Political Science, University of North Carolina.

Staff Guidance Note on Macroprudential Policy

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Publisher : International Monetary Fund
ISBN 13 : 1498342620
Total Pages : 45 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (983 download)

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Book Synopsis Staff Guidance Note on Macroprudential Policy by : International Monetary Fund

Download or read book Staff Guidance Note on Macroprudential Policy written by International Monetary Fund and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2014-06-11 with total page 45 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This note provides guidance to facilitate the staff’s advice on macroprudential policy in Fund surveillance. It elaborates on the principles set out in the “Key Aspects of Macroprudential Policy,” taking into account the work of international standard setters as well as the evolving country experience with macroprudential policy. The main note is accompanied by supplements offering Detailed Guidance on Instruments and Considerations for Low Income Countries

COVID-19 and Emerging Markets

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (117 download)

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Book Synopsis COVID-19 and Emerging Markets by : Cem Çakmaklı

Download or read book COVID-19 and Emerging Markets written by Cem Çakmaklı and published by . This book was released on 2020 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Abstract: We quantify the macroeconomic effects of COVID-19 for a small open economy by calibrating a SIR-multi-sector-macro model to Turkey. Sectoral supply shocks are based on the proximity requirements in each sector and the ability to work from home. Physical proximity determines the supply shock through its effect on infection rates. Sectoral demand shocks incorporate domestic and foreign demand, both of which adjust with infection rates. We calibrate demand shocks during COVID-19 using real-time credit card purchase data. Our results show that the optimal policy, which yields the lowest economic cost and saves the maximum number of lives, can be achieved under a full lockdown of 39 days. Economic costs are much larger for an open economy as the shocks are amplified through the international production network. A decline in foreign demand leads to losses in domestic sectors through international input-output linkages, accounting for a third of the total output loss. In addition, the reduction in capital flows deprives the network from its trade financing needs, where sectors with larger external finance needs experience larger losses. The policy options are limited given sparse fiscal resources to fight the pandemic domestically, while serving the external debt. We present historical evidence from 2001 crisis of Turkey, when fiscal, monetary and exchange rate policies were employed altogether to deal with a triple crisis of balance of payments, banking, and sovereign debt

International Financial Integration

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Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 552 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (318 download)

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Book Synopsis International Financial Integration by : Sylvester C. W. Eijffinger

Download or read book International Financial Integration written by Sylvester C. W. Eijffinger and published by . This book was released on 2003 with total page 552 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

The Evidence and Impact of Financial Globalization

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Publisher : Academic Press
ISBN 13 : 0123978742
Total Pages : 807 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (239 download)

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Book Synopsis The Evidence and Impact of Financial Globalization by : Gerard Caprio

Download or read book The Evidence and Impact of Financial Globalization written by Gerard Caprio and published by Academic Press. This book was released on 2012-11-27 with total page 807 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The sharp realities of financial globalization become clear during crises, when winners and losers emerge. Crises usher in short- and long-term changes to the status quo, and everyone agrees that learning from crises is a top priority. The Evidence and Impact of Financial Globalization devotes separate articles to specific crises, the conditions that cause them, and the longstanding arrangements devised to address them. While other books and journal articles treat these subjects in isolation, this volume presents a wide-ranging, consistent, yet varied specificity. Substantial, authoritative, and useful, these articles provide material unavailable elsewhere. Substantial articles by top scholars sets this volume apart from other information sources Rapidly developing subjects will interest readers well into the future Reader demand and lack of competitors underline the high value of these reference works