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Author : Karl Heinrich Oppenländer
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 488 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (54 download)
Download or read book Business Cycle Analysis by Means of Economic Surveys written by Karl Heinrich Oppenländer and published by . This book was released on 1992 with total page 488 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Karl Heinrich Oppenländer
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (756 download)
Download or read book Business cycle analysis by means of economic surveys written by Karl Heinrich Oppenländer and published by . This book was released on with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Georg Goldrian
Publisher : Edward Elgar Publishing
ISBN 13 : 9781781954362
Total Pages : 272 pages
Book Rating : 4.9/5 (543 download)
Download or read book Handbook of Survey- Based Business Cycle Analysis written by Georg Goldrian and published by Edward Elgar Publishing. This book was released on 2007-01-01 with total page 272 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This Handbook aims to provide an overview of regular survey activities, as well as to show how survey results can be used scientifically in the context of business-cycle analysis and forecasting. - Examples of various business surveys are described in detail, starting with their objectives, the questions they pose, how they are weighted and extrapolated and the representativeness of their results. A detailed scientific examination of the explanatory value of the data is also made in order to demonstrate their potential usefulness. The Handbook has three parts: firstly, it presents the importance of business surveys for empirical research. Secondly, selected surveys are introduced in detail such as the Ifo Business Survey and the Ifo Investment Survey, and thirdly, a broad spectrum of studies on the consequence of the survey results is presented. The significance of the surveys applied equally to business cycle analysis and to forecasting. An array of modern methods of time series analysis and econometric model construction is used in these investigations.
Author : Victor Zarnowitz
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 54 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (9 download)
Download or read book Business Cycle Analysis and Expectational Survey Data written by Victor Zarnowitz and published by . This book was released on 1984 with total page 54 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Ullrich Heilemann
Publisher : Duncker & Humblot
ISBN 13 : 342852425X
Total Pages : 168 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (285 download)
Download or read book Classification and Clustering in Business Cycle Analysis written by Ullrich Heilemann and published by Duncker & Humblot. This book was released on 2007-01-18 with total page 168 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The analysis of cyclical macroeconomic phenomena is an important field of econometric research. In the recent past, research interests have de-emphasized quantitative forecasting exercises and have addressed the qualitative diagnosis of the relative stance of the economy regarding »upswing«, »recession«, or »boom« periods, i. e. the classification of the state of the economy into a limited number of discrete states. In this context the principal challenge is to reduce the multifaceted and sometimes abundant quantitative information about the business cycle to such qualitative statements in an efficient way. For more than six years this task was the focus of the project »Multivariate determination and analysis of business cycles« within the SFB 475 »Reduction of complexity in multivariate data structures«, funded by the German Research Foundation (DFG). The necessity for complexity reduction is, of course, not unique to business cycle analysis but is studied in many fields and in a number of ways. This broad interest in the reduction of problem dimensionality and in the appropriate combination of data and of theory caused the RWI Essen and the Statistical Department of the University of Dortmund in January 2002 to hold a workshop at the RWI Essen where the findings of this and similar projects were presented and discussed. The present publication collects revised versions of the papers presented at this workshop. Although the workshop took place some five years ago, these papers mark an importent juncture in the development of business cycle research.
Author : Wesley Clair Mitchell
Publisher : National Bureau of Economic Research
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 520 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)
Download or read book Business Cycles written by Wesley Clair Mitchell and published by National Bureau of Economic Research. This book was released on 1927 with total page 520 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Victor Zarnowitz
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226978923
Total Pages : 613 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (269 download)
Download or read book Business Cycles written by Victor Zarnowitz and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2007-11-01 with total page 613 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This volume presents the most complete collection available of the work of Victor Zarnowitz, a leader in the study of business cycles, growth, inflation, and forecasting.. With characteristic insight, Zarnowitz examines theories of the business cycle, including Keynesian and monetary theories and more recent rational expectation and real business cycle theories. He also measures trends and cycles in economic activity; evaluates the performance of leading indicators and their composite measures; surveys forecasting tools and performance of business and academic economists; discusses historical changes in the nature and sources of business cycles; and analyzes how successfully forecasting firms and economists predict such key economic variables as interest rates and inflation.
Author : M.T. Belongia
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 9401129568
Total Pages : 248 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (11 download)
Download or read book The Business Cycle: Theories and Evidence written by M.T. Belongia and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 248 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: These proceedings, from a conference held at the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis on October 17-18, 1991, attempted to layout what we currently know about aggregate economic fluctuations. Identifying what we know inevitably reveals what we do not know about such fluctuations as well. From the vantage point of where the conference's participants view our current understanding to be, these proceedings can be seen as suggesting an agenda for further research. The conference was divided into five sections. It began with the formu lation of an empirical definition of the "business cycle" and a recitation of the stylized facts that must be explained by any theory that purports to capture the business cycle's essence. After outlining the historical develop ment and key features of the current "theories" of business cycles, the conference evaluated these theories on the basis of their ability to explain the facts. Included in this evaluation was a discussion of whether (and how) the competing theories could be distinguished empirically. The conference then examined the implications for policy of what is known and not known about business cycles. A panel discussion closed the conference, high lighting important unresolved theoretical and empirical issues that should be taken up in future business cycle research. What Is a Business Cycle? Before gaining a genuine understanding of business cycles, economists must agree and be clear about what they mean when they refer to the cycle.
Author : Wesley Clair Mitchell
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 640 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (243 download)
Download or read book Business Cycles written by Wesley Clair Mitchell and published by . This book was released on 1970 with total page 640 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Jan Jacobs
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 1461555914
Total Pages : 237 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (615 download)
Download or read book Econometric Business Cycle Research written by Jan Jacobs and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 237 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Econometric Business Cycle Research deals with econometric business cycle research (EBCR), a term introduced by the Nobel-laureate Jan Tinbergen for his econometric method of testing (economic) business cycle theories. EBCR combines economic theory and measurement in the study of business cycles, i.e., ups and downs in overall economic activity. We assess four methods of EBCR: business cycle indicators, simultaneous equations models, vector autoregressive systems and real business indicators. After a sketch of the history of the methods, we investigate whether the methods meet the goals of EBCR: the three traditional ones, description, forecasting and policy evaluation, and the one Tinbergen introduced, the implementation|testing of business cycles. The first three EBCR methods are illustrated for the Netherlands, a typical example of a small, open economy. The main conclusion of the book is that simultaneous equation models are the best vehicle for EBCR, if all its goals are to be attained simultaneously. This conclusion is based on a fairly detailed assessment of the methods and is not over-turned in the empirical illustrations. The main conclusion does not imply the end of other EBCR methods. Not all goals have to be met with a single vehicle, other methods might serve the purpose equally well - or even better. For example, if one is interested in business cycle forecasts, one might prefer a business cycle indicator or vector autoregressive system. A second conclusion is that many ideas/concepts that play an important role in current discussions about econometric methodology in general and EBCR in particular, were put forward in the 1930s and 1940s. A third conclusion is that it is difficult, if not impossible, to compare the outcomes of RBC models to outcomes of the other three methods, because RBC modellers are not interested in modelling business cycles on an observation-per-observation basis. A more general conclusion in this respect is that methods should adopt the same concept of business cycles to make them comparable.
Author : Karl Heinrich Oppenländer
Publisher : Routledge
ISBN 13 : 0429796676
Total Pages : 512 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (297 download)
Download or read book Social and Structural Change written by Karl Heinrich Oppenländer and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2019-01-04 with total page 512 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: First published in 1998, this wide-ranging and in-depth volume from specialists in economics and statistics examines leading indicators, the timing of cyclical turning points, firm behaviour, financial indicators, economic policy recommendations, transition economies and the service sector in relation to Finland’s bid for European Monetary Union membership.
Author : Durvasa Keshavji Shukla
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 424 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (91 download)
Download or read book Business Cycle Analysis written by Durvasa Keshavji Shukla and published by . This book was released on 1968 with total page 424 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Thomas F. Cooley
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 9780691043234
Total Pages : 452 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (432 download)
Download or read book Frontiers of Business Cycle Research written by Thomas F. Cooley and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 1995-02-26 with total page 452 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This introduction to modern business cycle theory uses a neoclassical growth framework to study the economic fluctuations associated with the business cycle. Presenting advances in dynamic economic theory and computational methods, it applies concepts to t
Author : Thomas F. Cooley
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 069104323X
Total Pages : 439 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (91 download)
Download or read book Frontiers of Business Cycle Research written by Thomas F. Cooley and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 1995-02-26 with total page 439 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This introduction to modern business cycle theory uses a neoclassical growth framework to study the economic fluctuations associated with the business cycle. Presenting advances in dynamic economic theory and computational methods, it applies concepts to t
Author : Arthur F. Burns
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 602 pages
Book Rating : 4.F/5 ( download)
Download or read book Measuring Business Cycles written by Arthur F. Burns and published by . This book was released on 1946 with total page 602 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : James H. Stock
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
ISBN 13 : 0226774740
Total Pages : 350 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (267 download)
Download or read book Business Cycles, Indicators, and Forecasting written by James H. Stock and published by University of Chicago Press. This book was released on 2008-04-15 with total page 350 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The inability of forecasters to predict accurately the 1990-1991 recession emphasizes the need for better ways for charting the course of the economy. In this volume, leading economists examine forecasting techniques developed over the past ten years, compare their performance to traditional econometric models, and discuss new methods for forecasting and time series analysis.
Author : Geoffrey Hoyt Moore
Publisher : Ballinger Publishing Company
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 496 pages
Book Rating : 4.4/5 (91 download)
Download or read book Business Cycles, Inflation, and Forecasting written by Geoffrey Hoyt Moore and published by Ballinger Publishing Company. This book was released on 1980 with total page 496 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
