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Download or read book Bubbles & Crashes in a Behavioural Finance Model written by and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Paul De Grauwe
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 39 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (186 download)
Download or read book Bubbles and Crashes in a Behavioural Finance Model written by Paul De Grauwe and published by . This book was released on 2004 with total page 39 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:
Author : Harold L. Vogel
Publisher : Springer Nature
ISBN 13 : 3030791823
Total Pages : 619 pages
Book Rating : 4.0/5 (37 download)
Download or read book Financial Market Bubbles and Crashes written by Harold L. Vogel and published by Springer Nature. This book was released on 2021-12-17 with total page 619 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economists broadly define financial asset price bubbles as episodes in which prices rise with notable rapidity and depart from historically established asset valuation multiples and relationships. Financial economists have for decades attempted to study and interpret bubbles through the prisms of rational expectations, efficient markets, equilibrium, arbitrage, and capital asset pricing models, but they have not made much if any progress toward a consistent and reliable theory that explains how and why bubbles (and crashes) evolve and are defined, measured, and compared. This book develops a new and different approach that is based on the central notion that bubbles and crashes reflect urgent short-side rationing, which means that, as such extreme conditions unfold, considerations of quantities owned or not owned begin to displace considerations of price.
Author : Paul De Grauwe
Publisher :
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 45 pages
Book Rating : 4.:/5 (129 download)
Download or read book Bubbles and Crashes in a Behavioural Finance Model written by Paul De Grauwe and published by . This book was released on 2013 with total page 45 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: We develop a simple model of the exchange rate in which agents optimize their portfolio and use different forecasting rules. They check the profitability of these rules ex post and select the more profitable one. This model produces two kinds of equilibria, a fundamental and a bubble one. In a stochastic environment the model generates a complex dynamics in which bubbles and crashes occur at unpredictable moments. We contrast these behavioural bubbles with rational bubbles.
Author : Harold L. Vogel
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1316101576
Total Pages : 471 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (161 download)
Download or read book Financial Market Bubbles and Crashes written by Harold L. Vogel and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2009-12-14 with total page 471 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Despite the thousands of articles and the millions of times that the word 'bubble' has been used in the business press, there still does not appear to be a cohesive theory or persuasive empirical approach with which to study 'bubble' and 'crash' conditions. This book presents a plausible and accessible descriptive theory and empirical approach to the analysis of such financial market conditions. It advances such a framework through application of standard econometric methods to its central idea, which is that financial bubbles reflect urgent short side rationed demand. From this basic idea, an elasticity of variance concept is developed. It is further shown that a behavioral risk premium can probably be measured and related to the standard equity risk premium models in a way that is consistent with conventional theory.
Author : Harold L. Vogel
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 3319715283
Total Pages : 477 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (197 download)
Download or read book Financial Market Bubbles and Crashes, Second Edition written by Harold L. Vogel and published by Springer. This book was released on 2018-08-16 with total page 477 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Economists broadly define financial asset price bubbles as episodes in which prices rise with notable rapidity and depart from historically established asset valuation multiples and relationships. Financial economists have for decades attempted to study and interpret bubbles through the prisms of rational expectations, efficient markets, and equilibrium, arbitrage, and capital asset pricing models, but they have not made much if any progress toward a consistent and reliable theory that explains how and why bubbles (and crashes) evolve and can also be defined, measured, and compared. This book develops a new and different approach that is based on the central notion that bubbles and crashes reflect urgent short-side rationing, which means that, as such extreme conditions unfold, considerations of quantities owned or not owned begin to displace considerations of price.
Author : Stefan Palan
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3642021476
Total Pages : 179 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (42 download)
Download or read book Bubbles and Crashes in Experimental Asset Markets written by Stefan Palan and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-10-03 with total page 179 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book describes a laboratory experiment designed to test the causes and properties of bubbles in financial markets and explores the question whether it is possible to design markets which avoid such bubbles and crashes. In the experiment, subjects were given the opportunity to trade in a stock market modeled after the seminal work of Smith et al. (1988). To account for the increasing importance of online betting sites, subjects were also allowed to trade in a digital option market. The outcomes shed new light on how subjects form and update their expectations, placing special emphasis on the bounded rationality of investors. Various analytical bubble measures found in the literature are collected, calculated, classified and presented for the first time. The very interesting new bubble measures "Dispersion Ratio", "Overpriced Transactions" and "Underpriced Transactions" are developed, making the book an important step towards the research goal of preventing bubbles and crashes in financial markets.
Author : Andrew W. Lo
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 069119680X
Total Pages : 503 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (911 download)
Download or read book Adaptive Markets written by Andrew W. Lo and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2019-05-14 with total page 503 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A new, evolutionary explanation of markets and investor behavior Half of all Americans have money in the stock market, yet economists can’t agree on whether investors and markets are rational and efficient, as modern financial theory assumes, or irrational and inefficient, as behavioral economists believe. The debate is one of the biggest in economics, and the value or futility of investment management and financial regulation hangs on the answer. In this groundbreaking book, Andrew Lo transforms the debate with a powerful new framework in which rationality and irrationality coexist—the Adaptive Markets Hypothesis. Drawing on psychology, evolutionary biology, neuroscience, artificial intelligence, and other fields, Adaptive Markets shows that the theory of market efficiency is incomplete. When markets are unstable, investors react instinctively, creating inefficiencies for others to exploit. Lo’s new paradigm explains how financial evolution shapes behavior and markets at the speed of thought—a fact revealed by swings between stability and crisis, profit and loss, and innovation and regulation. An ambitious new answer to fundamental questions about economics and investing, Adaptive Markets is essential reading for anyone who wants to understand how markets really work.
Author : Dr. R. Radhika
Publisher : Blue Rose Publishers
ISBN 13 :
Total Pages : 136 pages
Book Rating : 4./5 ( download)
Download or read book Bubble Bursts and Emotional Booms : In Financial Crisis written by Dr. R. Radhika and published by Blue Rose Publishers. This book was released on 2024-06-04 with total page 136 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Drawing upon their collective expertise, the authors delve into the depths of market bubbles, dissecting the irrational exuberance and subsequent despair that often accompany periods of financial turmoil. Through meticulous analysis and compelling narratives, they navigate the tumultuous landscape of past crises, illuminating the underlying emotional currents that drive market behavior. This book serves as a timely reminder of the profound impact that human psychology can have on economic phenomena, urging readers to critically examine their own biases and emotions in navigating the complexities of financial markets. 'Bubble Bursts Emotional Booms: in Financial Crisis' is a must-read for anyone seeking a deeper understanding of the interplay between emotions and economics, offering invaluable insights for investors, policymakers, and scholars alike.
Author : Markus Konrad Brunnermeier
Publisher : Oxford University Press, USA
ISBN 13 : 9780198296980
Total Pages : 264 pages
Book Rating : 4.2/5 (969 download)
Download or read book Asset Pricing Under Asymmetric Information written by Markus Konrad Brunnermeier and published by Oxford University Press, USA. This book was released on 2001 with total page 264 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The role of information is central to the academic debate on finance. This book provides a detailed, current survey of theoretical research into the effect on stock prices of the distribution of information, comparing and contrasting major models. It examines theoretical models that explain bubbles, technical analysis, and herding behavior. It also provides rational explanations for stock market crashes. Analyzing the implications of asymmetries in information is crucial in this area. This book provides a useful survey for graduate students.
Author : Anthony Brabazon
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
ISBN 13 : 3540959734
Total Pages : 246 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (49 download)
Download or read book Natural Computing in Computational Finance written by Anthony Brabazon and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2009-03-13 with total page 246 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recent years have seen the widespread application of Natural Computing algorithms (broadly defined in this context as computer algorithms whose design draws inspiration from phenomena in the natural world) for the purposes of financial modelling and optimisation. A related stream of work has also seen the application of learning mechanisms drawn from Natural Computing algorithms for the purposes of agent-based modelling in finance and economics. In this book we have collected a series of chapters which illustrate these two faces of Natural Computing. The first part of the book illustrates how algorithms inspired by the natural world can be used as problem solvers to uncover and optimise financial models. The second part of the book examines a number agent-based simulations of financial systems. This book follows on from Natural Computing in Computational Finance (Volume 100 in Springer’s Studies in Computational Intelligence series) which in turn arose from the success of EvoFIN 2007, the very first European Workshop on Evolutionary Computation in Finance & Economics held in Valencia, Spain in April 2007.
Author : William Quinn
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
ISBN 13 : 1108369359
Total Pages : 297 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (83 download)
Download or read book Boom and Bust written by William Quinn and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2020-08-06 with total page 297 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Why do stock and housing markets sometimes experience amazing booms followed by massive busts and why is this happening more and more frequently? In order to answer these questions, William Quinn and John D. Turner take us on a riveting ride through the history of financial bubbles, visiting, among other places, Paris and London in 1720, Latin America in the 1820s, Melbourne in the 1880s, New York in the 1920s, Tokyo in the 1980s, Silicon Valley in the 1990s and Shanghai in the 2000s. As they do so, they help us understand why bubbles happen, and why some have catastrophic economic, social and political consequences whilst others have actually benefited society. They reveal that bubbles start when investors and speculators react to new technology or political initiatives, showing that our ability to predict future bubbles will ultimately come down to being able to predict these sparks.
Author : STEPHAN. SCHEBITZ HOPPE (CARINA ANNA.)
Publisher : Grin Publishing
ISBN 13 : 9783668597341
Total Pages : 36 pages
Book Rating : 4.5/5 (973 download)
Download or read book Can the Theory of Behavioral Finance Depict the Reality on Stock Markets and Does it Contribute to the Progression in the Capital Market Theory? written by STEPHAN. SCHEBITZ HOPPE (CARINA ANNA.) and published by Grin Publishing. This book was released on 2018-01-16 with total page 36 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Seminar paper from the year 2015 in the subject Business economics - Investment and Finance, grade: 1,7, University of Applied Sciences Essen, language: English, abstract: "The Portfolio Theory" by Harry Markowitz, the "Capital Asset Pricing Model" by William Sharpe and the concept of the "Homo Oeconomicus" of Adam Smith - all of these models that are taught to business students and referred to by financial specialists all over the world are based on the assumption of the fundamental efficiency of markets. Market analysts build their substantial economic and financial predictions on the supposition that investors and corporations always behave and decide rationally. Consequently there would not be a chance that manias, panics or crashes ever occur. Nevertheless there were various speculation bubbles in the past such as the 1929 Stock-market-crash, the Dot-com bubble starting 1997 and the US-Subprime crisis as of 2007. So stock prices show fluctuations that cannot be only elucidated by economic factors. Moreover there are studies that come to the conclusion that there is only a low correlation between share prices and fundamental data. Concomitant new research approaches deployed that either developed the existing models further or even created a complete paradigmatic change. Nowadays when it comes to explaining the occurrences on the stock markets the field of psychology and the behavioral science gain in relevance. However the following question arises: Can the theory of Behavioral Finance depict the reality on stock markets and its participants and does it make a contribution for the progression in the Capital Market Theory? Yet there are some approaches that attempted to answer this question but there is no scientific consensus about it. Hence this term paper should accomplish a concise but fundamental contribution for the contemplation of this topic.
Author : Edwin T. Burton
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
ISBN 13 : 111830019X
Total Pages : 261 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (183 download)
Download or read book Behavioral Finance written by Edwin T. Burton and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2013-03-18 with total page 261 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An in-depth look into the various aspects of behavioral finance Behavioral finance applies systematic analysis to ideas that have long floated around the world of trading and investing. Yet it is important to realize that we are still at a very early stage of research into this discipline and have much to learn. That is why Edwin Burton has written Behavioral Finance: Understanding the Social, Cognitive, and Economic Debates. Engaging and informative, this timely guide contains valuable insights into various issues surrounding behavioral finance. Topics addressed include noise trader theory and models, research into psychological behavior pioneered by Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky, and serial correlation patterns in stock price data. Along the way, Burton shares his own views on behavioral finance in order to shed some much-needed light on the subject. Discusses the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) and its history, and presents the background of the emergence of behavioral finance Examines Shleifer's model of noise trading and explores other literature on the topic of noise trading Covers issues associated with anomalies and details serial correlation from the perspective of experts such as DeBondt and Thaler A companion Website contains supplementary material that allows you to learn in a hands-on fashion long after closing the book In order to achieve better investment results, we must first overcome our behavioral finance biases. This book will put you in a better position to do so.
Author : E. Porras
Publisher : Springer
ISBN 13 : 1137358769
Total Pages : 303 pages
Book Rating : 4.1/5 (373 download)
Download or read book Bubbles and Contagion in Financial Markets, Volume 1 written by E. Porras and published by Springer. This book was released on 2016-06-29 with total page 303 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Understanding the formation of bubbles and the contagion mechanisms afflicting financial markets is a must as extreme volatility events leave no market untouched. Debt, equity, real estate, commodities... Shanghai, NY, or London: The severe fluctuations, explained to a large extent by contagion and the fear of new bubbles imploding, justify the newly awaken interest in the contagion and bubble dynamics as yet again the world brazes for a new global economic upheaval. Bubbles and Contagion in Financial Markets explores concepts, intuition, theory, and models. Fundamental valuation, share price development in the presence of asymmetric information, the speculative behavior of noise traders and chartists, herding and the feedback and learning mechanisms that surge within the markets are key aspects of these dynamics. Bubbles and contagion are a vast world and fascinating phenomena that escape a narrow exploration of financial markets. Hence this work looks beyond into macroeconomics, monetary policy, risk aggregation, psychology, incentive structures and many more subjects which are in part co-responsible for these events. Responding to the ever more pressing need to disentangle the dynamics by which financial local events are transmitted across the globe, this volume presents an exhaustive and integrative outlook to the subject of bubbles and contagion in financial markets. The key objective of this volume is to give the reader a comprehensive understanding of all aspects that can potentially create the conditions for the formation and bursting of bubbles, and the aftermath of such events: the contagion of macro-economic processes. Achieving a better understanding of the formation of bubbles and the impact of contagion will no doubt determine the stability of future economies – let these two volumes be the starting point for a rational approach to a seemingly irrational phenomena.
Author : Singh Shuchita & Bahi Shilpa
Publisher : Vikas Publishing House
ISBN 13 : 9325984571
Total Pages : 261 pages
Book Rating : 4.3/5 (259 download)
Download or read book Behavioural Finance written by Singh Shuchita & Bahi Shilpa and published by Vikas Publishing House. This book was released on with total page 261 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The theories and concepts of behavioural finance are not widely studied. In many countries, the acceptance level of behavioural theories is quite low. However, the increasing instances of various anomalies of financial markets have forced many researchers to look closer to this modern field of finance. Behavioural Finance seeks to bring together all the concepts and theories developed by renowned international and national researchers and practitioners in financial markets. An in-depth study has been made to explain the current economic downturn and the role of behavioural finance in it. KEY FEATURES • Interviews: Latest industry views by various asset-class experts • Facts: Important factual information in boxes titled 'Do You Know?' • Abbreviations: Important and relevant abbreviated terms • Model Test Papers: For practice • Summary: Given as 'Key Learning Points' for revision
Author : Paul De Grauwe
Publisher : Princeton University Press
ISBN 13 : 0691186995
Total Pages : 213 pages
Book Rating : 4.6/5 (911 download)
Download or read book The Exchange Rate in a Behavioral Finance Framework written by Paul De Grauwe and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2018-06-05 with total page 213 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book provides an alternative view of the workings of foreign exchange markets. The authors' modeling approach is based on the idea that agents use simple forecasting rules and switch to those rules that have been shown to be the most profitable in the past. This selection mechanism is based on trial and error and is probably the best possible strategy in an uncertain world, the authors contend. It creates a rich dynamic in the foreign exchange markets and can generate bubbles and crashes. Sensitivity to initial conditions is a pervasive force in De Grauwe and Grimaldi's model. It explains why large exchange-rate changes and volatility clustering occur. It also has important implications for understanding how the news affects the exchange rate. De Grauwe and Grimaldi conclude that news in fundamentals has an unpredictable effect on the exchange rate. Sometimes, they maintain, it alters the exchange rate considerably; at other times it has no effectwhatsoever. The authors also use their model to analyze the effects of official interventions in the foreign exchange market. They show that simple intervention rules of the "leaning-against-the-wind" variety can be effective in eliminating bubbles and crashes in the exchange rate. They further demonstrate how, quite paradoxically, by intervening in the foreign exchange market the central bank makes the market look more efficient. Clear and comprehensive, The Exchange Rate in a Behavioral Finance Framework is a must-have for analysts in foreign exchange markets as well as students of international finance and economics.
